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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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4489133177 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for conflict detection

Hybrid model improves geopolitical conflict forecasting.

problem Forecasting geopolitical events from sparse, bursty data.
method Sparse Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) + Variational Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Process (VNNGP).
result Consistently outperforms standalone TFT in long-range horizons.

Research shows deep generative models' likelihoods are unreliable for anomaly detection.

problem Anomaly detection using deep generative models' likelihoods is unreliable.
method Examined the behavior of distribution densities through reparametrization.
result The likelihoods used for anomaly detection rely on strong and implicit hypotheses.

We present a new, efficient method for automatically detecting severe conflicts `edit wars' in Wikipedia and evaluate this method on six different language WPs. We discuss how the number of edits, reverts, the length of discussions, the burstiness of edits and reverts deviate in such pages from those following the gene…

2011-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning detects building damage in satellite images.

problem Extracting damage information from satellite imagery is slow and labor-intensive.
method Used four convolutional neural network models to detect damaged buildings.
result Models performed well in detecting damaged buildings in the 2010 Haiti earthquake.

The study extends Tutte's conflict graph concept to nonplanar graphs.

problem Understanding the structure of nonplanar graphs through conflict graphs.
method Defining a signed conflict graph for maximally planar subgraphs and analyzing their balance.
result For graphs with a flat embedding, every maximal planar subgraph has unbalanced conflict graphs if and only if the graph is intrinsically linked.

Signed Evidence Flow (SEF) combines fitted prediction with signed feature attributions to measure evidence conflict and stability.

problem Modern data analysis lacks mechanisms to show the clarity, conflict, or stability of evidence behind predictions.
method Signed Evidence Flow (SEF) combines fitted prediction with signed feature attributions.
result SEF measures conflict and stability, and shows that conflict can improve loss prediction beyond confidence.

Paper proposes privacy-preserving learning for images, making them imperceptible to humans but recognizable by machines.

problem Conflict between developing AI systems and protecting sensitive training data.
method Encryption strategies (random shuffling and sub-patch mixing) followed by minimal adaptation to vision transformer.
result Achieves comparable accuracy to competitive methods while ensuring human-imperceptibility of encrypted images.

Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.

problem Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
method Analytical framework for tail dependence, Copula-CoVaR method, ARMA-GARCH-skewed Student-t model.
result The outbreak of the conflict intensified risks in the wheat market the most and showed significant asymmetries in extreme risk spillovers.

The paper uses conformal prediction for forecasting conflict sequences in Markov processes.

problem Forecasting future conflict states for national policy decisions.
method Conformal prediction on Markov processes for temporally-dependent data.
result Conformal prediction provides valid uncertainty quantification and robustness to model misspecification.

Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.

problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.

This paper tackles multilingual speech processing by optimizing conflicting objectives hierarchically.

problem Training models for multilingual, multi-task speech processing is hampered by conflicting objectives.
method Investigates three multi-objective MSP formulations and introduces a lightweight layer-selection mechanism.
result A bi-level recipe outperforms standard flat optimization in state-of-the-art MSP models.

Paper defines predictive multiplicity and measures its severity in classification problems.

problem Challenges in machine learning due to competing models with conflicting predictions.
method Formal measures and integer programming tools for linear classification problems.
result Real-world datasets may admit competing models with wildly conflicting predictions.

Study on recurrent neural networks' feature selection and memorization using F1B test.

problem Conflict between feature selection and memorization in sequence learning.
method Flagged-1-Bit (F1B) test, four recurrent network models studied analytically and experimentally.
result Conflict can be resolved by gating mechanism or increasing state dimension.

CNNs trained on ImageNet favor textures over shapes, but can learn shape-based recognition.

problem CNNs trained on ImageNet favor textures over shapes, leading to biased recognition.
method Evaluating CNNs and human observers on images with a texture-shape cue conflict.
result CNNs trained on ImageNet favor textures over shapes, but can learn shape-based recognition.

Enhances conformal prediction for better uncertainty estimates in armed conflict fatalities.

problem Lack of individual-level uncertainty estimates in existing forecasting models.
method Introduces bin-conditional conformal prediction (BCCP) to improve coverage rates across subsets of the outcome variable.
result Demonstrates improved local coverage and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates across various ranges of fatalities.

We present CYCLADES, a general framework for parallelizing stochastic optimization algorithms in a shared memory setting. CYCLADES is asynchronous during shared model updates, and requires no memory locking mechanisms, similar to HOGWILD!-type algorithms. Unlike HOGWILD!, CYCLADES introduces no conflicts during the par…

2016-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Adversarial perturbations and RIS interaction vectors improve covert communication.

problem Covert communication in the presence of RISs.
method Designing RIS interaction vectors to balance receiver and eavesdropper detection, adding adversarial perturbations to signals.
result Adversarial perturbations and RIS interaction vectors can be jointly designed to boost covert communications.

Study examines grain futures connectedness during Russia-Ukraine conflict.

problem Quantile return connectedness of grain futures markets during geopolitical instability.
method Dynamic quantile VAR combined with frequency-domain decomposition.
result Heterogeneous spillovers across quantiles, with strong transmitters and persistent receivers.

WISCA generates consensus explanations from conflicting model-agnostic interpretability methods.

problem Conflicting explanations from diverse interpretability algorithms.
method WISCA integrates class probability and normalized attributions to generate consistent explanations.
result WISCA consistently aligns with the most reliable individual method, improving explanation reliability.

In unsupervised ensemble learning, one obtains predictions from multiple sources or classifiers, yet without knowing the reliability and expertise of each source, and with no labeled data to assess it. The task is to combine these possibly conflicting predictions into an accurate meta-learner. Most works to date assume…

2015-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study adapts OHLC volatility estimators for monitoring market stress in diverse settings.

problem Limited use of range-based volatility estimators in local commodity markets.
method Adapted OHLC volatility estimators to monitor market distress across various contexts.
result OHLC-based volatility indicators detect market disruptions missed by standard momentum indicators.

Conflict sets are loci of intersecting wavefronts emanating from ll different surfaces. We show that generically conflict sets are Legendrian: locally they admit the structure of wavefronts. Simple stable singularities for this problem in Rn\R^n occur when 0nl40 \leq n-l \leq 4. Other related sets, such as kite curves a…

2002-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers develop a neural network that learns like humans, overcoming forgetting and structure issues.

problem Catastrophic forgetting and structure limitations in neural networks.
method Memory playback strategy and dynamic structure extension using conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE).
result The method effectively prevents forgetting and allows for dynamic network growth.

The study analyzes implicit biases in neural networks using backward error analysis.

problem Analyzing implicit biases in multitask and continual learning settings.
method Backward error analysis to compute implicit training biases, deriving modified losses with three terms.
result The conflict term, measuring gradient alignment, is a new quantity in continual learning.

Three models proposed to resolve conflicts in Turkish day-ahead electricity market.

problem Non-convexities cause conflicts between bidders' actions and market results.
method Proposed three rule sets to address conflicts in market clearing.
result Statistical comparison of models' performance using real data.

The study analyzes the conflict between group fairness and individual fairness in machine learning.

problem The conflict between group fairness (optimal statistical parity) and individual fairness in machine learning.
method Established sufficient conditions for the compatibility between optimal statistical parity and individual fairness requirements.
result Identified regions along the Pareto frontier that satisfy individual fairness requirements.

Study analyzes crude oil futures markets using visibility graphs to understand their structure and dynamics.

problem Understanding the structure and dynamics of crude oil futures markets during global challenges.
method Visibility graph analysis of daily and high-frequency data.
result Crude oil futures markets exhibit small-world properties and assortative mixing, with unique sensitivities to global disruptions.

New method detects inconsistencies in AHP matrices using triadic preference reversals.

problem Challenges in assessing consistency in AHP pairwise comparison matrices.
method Triadic preference reversals to detect inconsistencies between pairs of elements.
result 97% accuracy in detecting inconsistencies, significantly surpassing traditional methods.

MAMBA learns policies competitive with multiple conflicting oracles.

problem Learning policies from multiple conflicting oracles in reinforcement learning.
method MAMBA uses a gradient estimator in the style of GAE to optimize policies, leveraging demonstrations from multiple weak oracles.
result MAMBA outperforms the state-of-the-art in learning policies competitive with multiple conflicting oracles.

Introduces Rashomon Capacity to measure predictive multiplicity in probabilistic classifiers.

problem Predictive multiplicity in classification models leading to unjustified decisions.
method Introduces Rashomon Capacity, a metric for probabilistic classifiers, and provides a rigorous derivation.
result Rashomon Capacity captures nuanced score variations and provides strategies for disclosing conflicting models.