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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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164329493657 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for conditional entropic risk measure

The paper develops a new approach to conditional risk measures using modular convex analysis.

problem Developing a new method for conditional risk measures.
method Random modular approach to conditional certainty equivalents and niveloids in the conditional LL^{\infty}-space.
result Retrieves a conditional variational formula for optimized certainty equivalents and applies it to the conditional entropic risk measure.

We introduce the entropic measure transform (EMT) problem for a general process and prove the existence of a unique optimal measure characterizing the solution. The density process of the optimal measure is characterized using a semimartingale BSDE under general conditions. The EMT is used to reinterpret the conditiona…

2015-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New risk measures incorporate economic states to assess crude oil derivatives.

problem Assessing risk in crude oil derivatives with varying economic conditions.
method Introduced regime switching entropic risk measures using Markov chains.
result Closed formulae for risk measures derived, showing term structure and mean-reverting convenience yield.

New method corrects bias in estimating entropic risk for better decision-making.

problem Underestimation of entropic risk when data are limited.
method Parametric bootstrap procedure to overestimate entropic risk.
result Corrected method provides better risk estimates, leading to improved decision-making.

Proposes a method to generate counterfactuals for ensemble models using entropic risk measures.

problem Finding a single counterfactual explanation for an ensemble of models.
method Incorporates entropic risk measure into a constrained optimization to generate counterfactuals valid for an adjustable fraction of models.
result Entropic risk measure allows generation of counterfactuals valid for all models in the ensemble under a limiting case.

Investment strategy optimizes risk using a specific risk measure.

problem Optimizing investment with risk controlled by a weighted entropic risk measure.
method Investigation of expected utility maximization and risk minimization problems with solutions provided iteratively.
result Explicit characterization of solutions to optimization problems.

This paper introduces new risk measures for evaluating losses with varying time horizons.

problem Capturing horizon risk and cash non-additivity in risk evaluation.
method Uses BSDEs and shortfall approaches to develop h-generalized shortfall risk measures.
result Introduces hq-entropic risk measures as a new family of fully-dynamic risk measures.

Study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with entropic risk measures and generative models.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in discounted MDPs with recursive entropic risk measures.
method Introduced Model-Based ERM QQ-Value Iteration (MB-RS-QVI) and derived PAC bounds on sample complexity for value and policy learning.
result PAC bounds show exponential dependence on β/(1γ)|β|/(1-γ), with tight bounds in SS and AA.

Overview of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes with Optimized Certainty Equivalent.

problem Optimizing decision-making under risk in Markov processes.
method Analyzes risk-sensitive criteria using Optimized Certainty Equivalent, including entropic risk and Conditional Value-at-Risk.
result Conditions for the existence of optimal policies and solution procedures are provided.

Proposes a new derivative concept for nonlinear DRO problems.

problem Optimizing nonlinear functions in probability space with distributionally robust optimization.
method Introduces Gateaux derivative for smoothness and proposes a Frank-Wolfe algorithm.
result Validates theoretical results on portfolio selection problems with numerical validation.

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on Lp(Ω,F,P;Rd)L^p(Ω,\mathcal F, P; R^d) with image space in the power set of Lp(Ω,Ft,P;Rd)L^p(Ω,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d). In the convex case, multiportfolio time consistency is equivalent to a cocycle condition on…

2012-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and strictly monotone over a broad sub-domain including all continuous distributions, wh…

2017-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We generalize Quasi-Linear Means by restricting to the tail of the risk distribution and show that this can be a useful quantity in risk management since it comprises in its general form the Value at Risk, the Tail Value at Risk and the Entropic Risk Measure in a unified way. We then investigate the fundamental propert…

2019-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This work addresses time inconsistency in risk measures and develops a dynamic programming principle for risk minimization problems.

problem Time inconsistency in optimized certainty equivalents (OCEs) risk measures.
method Enlargement of state space to achieve a substitute for time consistency, derivation of dynamic programming principle.
result Characterization of the value function via viscosity solutions of Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman--Issacs equations.

Improved sample complexity for identifying best policies in risk-sensitive reinforcement learning.

problem Identifying approximately optimal policies in risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with exponential horizon dependence.
method Forward-model based algorithm with KL-based exploration bonuses adapted for entropic criterion, leveraging smoothness properties of exponential utility and a new stopping rule.
result Achieved sample complexity matching the lower bound, closing the gap between upper and lower bounds.

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set minimization problems. The dual relationship between these two classes of multivariate ris…

2014-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Generalizes risk sharing models to a continuum of agents.

problem Risk sharing among a large number of heterogeneous agents.
method Modeling agents as points in a measure space, using risk measures on a probability space, and deriving dual representations.
result Explicit formulas for specific risk measures (entropic and expected shortfall) and applications to Pareto efficiency.

An Entropic Dynamics of exchange rates is laid down to model the dynamics of foreign exchange rates, FX, and European Options on FX. The main objective is to represent an alternative framework to model dynamics. Entropic inference is an inductive inference framework equipped with proper tools to handle situations where…

2019-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies risk-sensitive MDPs with recursive risk measures.

problem Risk-sensitive decision-making in MDPs with unbounded costs.
method Recursive application of static risk measures, Bellman equation derivation, existence of optimal policies.
result Existence of Markovian optimal policies for infinite planning horizons, contractive model for stationary optimal policy.

Sharp bounds found for various risk measures using generalized FGM copulas.

problem Finding sharp bounds for risk measures in high dimensions.
method Proved that generalized FGM copulas form a convex polytope, used this structure to find bounds for risk measures.
result Sharp analytical bounds for convex risk measures in the class of generalized FGM copulas.

The paper studies risk-sensitive learning schemes and provides learning bounds for empirical OCE minimizers.

problem Risk-sensitive learning aims to minimize risk-averse measures of loss.
method Proposes learning bounds for empirical OCE minimizers based on Rademacher average and variance.
result Provides two learning bounds on the performance of empirical OCE minimizers.

New concept of partial law invariance connects decision theory and financial risk management.

problem Connecting decision theory and financial risk management under uncertainty.
method Characterizing partially law-invariant coherent risk measures via a novel representation formula.
result Strong partial law invariance bridges the gap between existing risk measure representations.

The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out-of-the-money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be integrated into the theoretical framework of convex monetary measures of risk. In …

2011-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of portfolio insurance from the point of view of a fund manager, who guarantees to the investor that the portfolio value at maturity will be above a fixed threshold. If, at maturity, the portfolio value is below the guaranteed level, a third party will refund the investor up to the guarantee. In ex…

2011-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces submodular information measures for machine learning applications.

problem Generalizing information-theoretic measures to non-random variables.
method Developing combinatorial information measures based on submodular functions.
result Submodular mutual information is submodular in one argument for certain submodular functions.

A new RL framework for risk-sensitive decision-making using convex scoring functions.

problem Time-inconsistent risk measures in reinforcement learning.
method Convex scoring functions, augmented state space, auxiliary variable, customized Actor-Critic algorithm.
result Theoretical guarantees for approximation and convergence under certain conditions.

Study entropic regularization of Gaussian measures and processes on Hilbert space.

problem Regularizing 2-Wasserstein distance for infinite-dimensional Gaussian measures and processes.
method Minimum Mutual Information property, closed form formulas, Fréchet differentiability, Sinkhorn barycenter equation.
result Entropic 2-Wasserstein distance and Sinkhorn divergence are Fréchet differentiable in Hilbert space.

Unified framework for risk-aware policy learning in contextual bandits.

problem Optimizing decision rules in high-stakes domains with adverse outcomes.
method Distributional framework for Lipschitz-continuous risk functionals, with novel empirical concentration inequalities.
result Data-dependent suboptimality bounds with an ildeO(1/n) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/\sqrt{n}) rate, matching risk-neutral offline policy optimization.

New algorithms reduce risk in reinforcement learning with provable regret bounds.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes.
method Two novel DRL algorithms leveraging the independence property of entropic risk measure.
result Regret bounds of ildeO(exp(βH)1βHS2AK) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{\exp(|β| H)-1}{|β|}H\sqrt{S^2AK}) for model-free and model-based algorithms.

Mathematical conditions and practical computations for adversarial robustness measures are established.

problem Existence, uniqueness, and scalability of adversarial robustness measures for AI classifiers.
method Formulated and proven mathematical conditions for existence, uniqueness, and explicit analytical computation of minimal adversarial paths and distances. Practical computation demonstrated on various AI tools and synthetic benchmarks.
result Explicit mathematical conditions and practical computations for adversarial robustness measures are established.

We develop an entropic framework to model the dynamics of stocks and European Options. Entropic inference is an inductive inference framework equipped with proper tools to handle situations where incomplete information is available. The objective of the paper is to lay down an alternative framework for modeling dynamic…

2019-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗