Quantum computing techniques applied to Monte Carlo simulations in finance.
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Optimizes K inner simulations for least-square Monte Carlo to reduce computational cost.
In computer experiments, a mathematical model implemented on a computer is used to represent complex physical phenomena. These models, known as computer simulators, enable experimental study of a virtual representation of the complex phenomena. Simulators can be thought of as complex functions that take many inputs and…
Paper uses agent-based simulation to identify investor types in financial markets.
The paper proposes using path signatures for better inference in time series data.
Bayesian neural networks improve simulation-based inference with limited data.
Quantum computing speeds up multi-period asset allocation.
Cost-aware SBI reduces expensive simulations in complex models.
The computational cost associated with simulating fluid flows can make it infeasible to run many simulations across multiple flow conditions. Building upon concepts from generative modeling, we introduce a new method for learning neural network models capable of performing efficient parameterized simulations of fluid f…
We introduce the simulation tool SABCEMM (Simulator for Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models) for agent-based computational economic market (ABCEM) models. Our simulation tool is implemented in C++ and we can easily run ABCEM models with several million agents. The object-oriented software design enables th…
Computer simulators are nowadays widely used to understand complex physical systems in many areas such as aerospace, renewable energy, climate modeling, and manufacturing. One fundamental issue in the study of computer simulators is known as experimental design, that is, how to select the input settings where the compu…
Novel quantum algorithm for financial market modeling.
GPU speeds up Monte Carlo simulations for large time steps.
Consider scene understanding problems such as predicting where a person is probably reaching, or inferring the pose of 3D objects from depth images, or inferring the probable street crossings of pedestrians at a busy intersection. This paper shows how to solve these problems using Approximate Bayesian Computation. The …
This work shows how to efficiently simulate parts of quantum landscapes using classical computers.
Improves efficiency of simulators that fail to return.
Improved inference efficiency for complex simulations.
Enhances SBI accuracy with multilevel Monte Carlo for expensive simulators.
Improved MMD estimator for likelihood-free inference.
High-precision machine learning reduces particle physics simulations by orders of magnitude.
Python package for fast simulation-based inference.
Incorporating computational fluid dynamics in the design process of jets, spacecraft, or gas turbine engines is often challenged by the required computational resources and simulation time, which depend on the chosen physics-based computational models and grid resolutions. An ongoing problem in the field is how to simu…
We propose a lifelong learning architecture, the Neural Computer Agent (NCA), where a Reinforcement Learning agent is paired with a predictive model of the environment learned by a Differentiable Neural Computer (DNC). The agent and DNC model are trained in conjunction iteratively. The agent improves its policy in simu…
BNRE improves simulation-based inference by producing more conservative posteriors.
High-fidelity quantum simulations demonstrated on short-coherence hardware.
3DB framework tests and debugs computer vision models using photorealistic simulation.
New MC simulation methods use classifiers to estimate pdf ratios without explicit pdfs.
We study the qualitative and quantitative appearance of stylized facts in several agent-based computational economic market (ABCEM) models. We perform our simulations with the SABCEMM (Simulator for Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models) tool recently introduced by the authors (Trimborn et al. 2019). Further…
Quantum computers can simulate flow models efficiently.
Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging. The Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework is the standard statistical…
Proposes a new simulator for complex arrival processes.
Novel deep learning approach for fast, differentiable fluid simulations.
New method improves SBI efficiency and scalability.
Computer simulations are invaluable tools for scientific discovery. However, accurate simulations are often slow to execute, which limits their applicability to extensive parameter exploration, large-scale data analysis, and uncertainty quantification. A promising route to accelerate simulations by building fast emulat…
Paper uses Chebyshev Tensors for accurate dynamic sensitivities and ISDA SIMM computation.
Complicated generative models often result in a situation where computing the likelihood of observed data is intractable, while simulating from the conditional density given a parameter value is relatively easy. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a paradigm that enables simulation-based posterior inference in su…
A new method quantifies uncertainty in brain injury simulations.
Quantum walk algorithm optimizes quantum state preparation for financial simulations.
Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is a hugely important subject with applications in almost every engineering field, however, fluid simulations are extremely computationally and memory demanding. Towards this end, we present Lat-Net, a method for compressing both the computation time and memory usage of Lattice Boltzm…
In many domains, scientists build complex simulators of natural phenomena that encode their hypotheses about the underlying processes. These simulators can be deterministic or stochastic, fast or slow, constrained or unconstrained, and so on. Optimizing the simulators with respect to a set of parameter values is common…
Quantum-inspired tensor network speeds up financial risk assessment.
Simulating the time-evolution of quantum mechanical systems is BQP-hard and expected to be one of the foremost applications of quantum computers. We consider classical algorithms for the approximation of Hamiltonian dynamics using subsampling methods from randomized numerical linear algebra. We derive a simulation tech…
The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is modelled with a GP which is further used to form a model-based estimator for the …
This tutorial introduces quantum computing for financial portfolio optimization.
Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach, which is well suited for OTC derivative portfolio valuation involved in CVA compu…
High performance computing (HPC) is a very attractive and relatively new area of research, which gives promising results in many applications. In this paper HPC is used for pricing of American options. Although the American options are very significant in computational finance; their valuation is very challenging, espe…
Maximal Rate of Stepwise Uncertainty Reduction selects simulations to reduce uncertainty efficiently.
Performing inference over simulators is generally intractable as their runtime means we cannot compute a marginal likelihood. We develop a likelihood-free inference method to infer parameters for a cardiac simulator, which replicates electrical flow through the heart to the body surface. We improve the fit of a state-o…