A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Statistical learning theory provides bounds of the generalization gap, using in particular the Vapnik-Chervonenkis dimension and the Rademacher complexity. An alternative approach, mainly studied in the statistical physics literature, is the study of generalization in simple synthetic-data models. Here we discuss the c…
This is a review article for Encyclopedia of Complexity and System Science, to be published by Springer http://refworks.springer.com/complexity/. The paper reviews statistical models for money, wealth, and income distributions developed in the econophysics literature since late 1990s.
The statistical leverage scores of a complex matrix A∈Cn×d record the degree of alignment between col(A) and the coordinate axes in Cn. These score are used in random sampling algorithms for solving certain numerical linear algebra problems. In this paper we present a max-plus algebr…
We give nearly matching upper and lower bounds on the oracle complexity of finding ε-stationary points (∥∇F(x)∥≤ε) in stochastic convex optimization. We jointly analyze the oracle complexity in both the local stochastic oracle model and the global oracle (or, statistical learning) model. This allows u…
The method to derive uniform bounds with Gaussian and Rademacher complexities is extended to the case where the sample average is replaced by a nonlinear statistic. Tight bounds are obtained for U-statistics, smoothened L-statistics and error functionals of l2-regularized algorithms.
The Morse-Smale complex of a function f decomposes the sample space into cells where f is increasing or decreasing. When applied to nonparametric density estimation and regression, it provides a way to represent, visualize, and compare multivariate functions. In this paper, we present some statistical results on es…
Study replicability in high-dimensional statistics, resolving open problems.
problem Ensuring consistent results in high-dimensional statistical tasks.
method Introduced replicable learning algorithms and established computational and statistical equivalence with high-dimensional isoperimetric tilings.
result Matching sample complexity upper and lower bounds for replicable mean estimation and coin problem.
We apply information-based complexity analysis to support vector machine (SVM) algorithms, with the goal of a comprehensive continuous algorithmic analysis of such algorithms. This involves complexity measures in which some higher order operations (e.g., certain optimizations) are considered primitive for the purposes …
New findings challenge the traditional U-shaped curve of model complexity and error, revealing a second descent in error as model size increases.
problem The traditional U-shaped curve of model complexity and prediction error is incomplete, with recent work suggesting a second descent in error as model size increases.
method Careful consideration of multiple complexity axes and a nonparametric statistics perspective were used to interpret the observed double descent curves.
result The observed double descent curves in classical statistical machine learning methods fold back into traditional convex shapes, resolving tensions with statistical intuition.
Stock markets are complex systems exhibiting collective phenomena and particular features such as synchronization, fluctuations distributed as power-laws, non-random structures and similarity to neural networks. Such specific properties suggest that markets operate at a very special point. Financial markets are believe…
The paper establishes a nearly-sharp statistical threshold for efficient learning in Latent MDPs with separated components.
problem Learning Latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs) with separated components.
method The paper considers various notions of separation and establishes a nearly-sharp statistical threshold for efficient learning. It also presents a quasi-polynomial algorithm with time complexity scaling in terms of the statistical threshold under a weaker assumption of separability under the optimal policy, and a near-matching time complexity lower bound under the exponential time hypothesis.
result Establishes a nearly-sharp statistical threshold for efficient learning in Latent MDPs with separated components.
These are the written discussions of the paper "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit" by D. Spiegelhalter et al. (2002), following the discussions given at the Annual Meeting of the Royal Statistical Society in Newcastle-upon-Tyne on September 3rd, 2013.