Mathematical approach assesses human resource competences accurately.
problem Accurate assessment and representation of human resource competences.
method Detailed quantification scheme and mathematical approach.
result Flexible tools for optimal job assignment and recruitment.
The Surprise index assesses autonomous systems' competency in uncertain environments.
problem Evaluating competency of autonomous systems in dynamic, uncertain environments.
method Surprise index, a measure that quantifies system performance based on available data.
result The Surprise index can be computed for dynamic systems with Gaussian marginal distributions.
TraCeR uses transformers to analyze survival data with longitudinal covariates.
problem Handling longitudinal covariates and assessing model calibration in survival analysis.
method Transformer-based survival analysis framework with factorized self-attention architecture.
result TraCeR achieves significant performance improvements over state-of-the-art methods.
Dynamic regressor selection (DRS) systems work by selecting the most competent regressors from an ensemble to estimate the target value of a given test pattern. This competence is usually quantified using the performance of the regressors in local regions of the feature space around the test pattern. However, choosing …
RL models improve target control in SSGs for security applications.
problem Improving RL algorithms for target control in SSGs.
method Investigates improvements to target representations in RL algorithms.
result Enhanced RL models control targets better in SSGs.
The paper estimates personalized treatment effects in medical settings with competing risks.
problem Estimating treatment effectiveness for specific events in the presence of alternative event types.
method Meta-learners combining Cox regression or random survival forests for risk modeling and elastic net regression or random forests for direct CATE modeling.
result Compared meta-learners in multiple simulation settings, providing practical guidance for model selection.
Model assesses loan profitability under changing credit conditions.
problem Financial institutions face risks of default and prepayment.
method Develops a Random Net Present Value (RNPV) model to evaluate profitability.
result Mean and variance of RNPV calculated at individual and portfolio levels.
PQMass assesses generative model quality using chi-squared tests.
problem Assessing the quality of generative models without density assumptions.
method Divides sample space into regions, applies chi-squared tests to p-values.
result Effectively assesses generative model quality, novelty, and diversity.
With the industry trend of shifting from a traditional hierarchical approach to flatter management structure, crowdsourced performance assessment gained mainstream popularity. One fundamental challenge of crowdsourced performance assessment is the risks that personal interest can introduce distortions of facts, especia…
A framework assesses the trustworthiness of probabilistic classifiers using local calibration error.
problem Assessing the trustworthiness of probabilistic classifiers beyond traditional metrics.
method I-trustworthy framework linking local calibration to trustworthiness; Kernel Local Calibration Error (KLCE) method for hypothesis testing.
result The effectiveness of the proposed test statistic demonstrated through simulated and real-world datasets.
Protocol assesses better model among two opaque models with minimal interaction.
problem Learning from two provers, one honest, the other potentially deceptive.
method Formulated and implemented a protocol for assessing better models among two opaque models.
result Protocol achieves near-optimal performance with minimal interaction and query access.
Paper introduces a framework for managing cyber risk with insurance and cybersecurity models.
problem Pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk, especially for capital allocation.
method Combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade models for comprehensive cyber risk assessment. Facilitates informed capital allocation through a two-pillar framework.
result Demonstrates the necessity of comprehensive cost-benefit analysis for budget-constrained companies.
Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme value mixture models have been defined to estimate the threshold using the full dat…
Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques aim to select locally competent classifiers for the classification of each new test sample. Most DES techniques estimate the competence of classifiers using a given criterion over the region of competence of the test sample (its the nearest neighbors in the validation set). T…
Estimating machine learning performance 'in the wild' is both an important and unsolved problem. In this paper, we seek to examine, understand, and predict the pointwise competence of classification models. Our contributions are twofold: First, we establish a statistically rigorous definition of competence that general…
Paper proposes a framework to assess model robustness against adversarial actions.
problem Ensuring model reliability in deployment with varied adversarial conditions.
method Developed a versatile framework for evaluating SVR and relaxed optimization models' robustness.
result Demonstrates model vulnerability without requiring additional test data.
In this work, we addressed the issue of applying a stochastic classifier and a local, fuzzy confusion matrix under the framework of multi-label classification. We proposed a novel solution to the problem of correcting label pairwise ensembles. The main step of the correction procedure is to compute classifier- specific…
Objective: In this work, we perform margin assessment of human breast tissue from optical coherence tomography (OCT) images using deep neural networks (DNNs). This work simulates an intraoperative setting for breast cancer lumpectomy. Methods: To train the DNNs, we use both the state-of-the-art methods (Weight Decay an…
Comprisk simplifies competing-risks analysis in Python.
problem Analyzing medical time-to-event data with competing risks.
method A scikit-learn-compatible toolkit for competing-risks survival analysis.
result Comprisk provides a unified API for various competing-risks methods.
Paper proposes FinAR-Bench to evaluate LLMs in financial analysis tasks.
problem Inaccurate financial analysis by LLMs leading to investment and regulatory issues.
method Proposes FinAR-Bench, a benchmark dataset with three steps: key info extraction, financial indicator calculation, and logical reasoning.
result LLMs perform better in key info extraction and indicator calculation but struggle with logical reasoning.
SurvivalBoost improves prediction of event times in competing risks scenarios.
problem Predicting event times in scenarios with multiple possible outcomes.
method Developed a strictly proper censoring-adjusted scoring rule for stochastic optimization of competing risks.
result SurvivalBoost outperforms 12 state-of-the-art models across various metrics.
Survival analysis in the presence of multiple possible adverse events, i.e., competing risks, is a pervasive problem in many industries (healthcare, finance, etc.). Since only one event is typically observed, the incidence of an event of interest is often obscured by other related competing events. This nonidentifiabil…
Competency questions help experts select best clustering for energy data.
problem Ad hoc and subjective selection of clustering structures by domain experts.
method Formalize expert knowledge and requirements with competency questions.
result Competency questions improve reproducibility and evaluation of clustering applications.
This paper uses neural networks to accurately model competing risks in survival analysis.
problem Ignoring competing risks leads to biased survival estimation in machine learning models.
method The paper introduces constrained monotonic neural networks to model each competing survival distribution.
result The method ensures exact likelihood maximization with reduced computational cost.
Study examines HTE estimation from time-to-event data with competing events.
problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with competing events.
method Outcome modeling approach using plug-in estimators for potential outcomes.
result Competing events introduce new challenges for HTE estimation.
HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.
problem Inaccurate survival predictions due to ignoring dependencies between competing risks and censoring.
method HACSurv uses hierarchical Archimedean copulas to model dependencies and cause-specific survival functions.
result HACSurv improves accuracy in survival predictions and captures complex risk interactions.
Proposes a new trust framework for AI models to maximize utility.
problem Concerns over bias and discrimination in predictive models.
method Introduces a novel trust framework inspired by philosophy, focusing on maximizing Bayes utility.
result Properly-ranked models are inherently U-trustworthy. PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.
problem Discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks and optional penalization.
method Regularized estimation methods, model evaluation metrics, variable screening tools, and simulation module.
result Supports research and development in discrete-time survival analysis.
New methods for functional data analysis improve manifold methods for continuous data.
problem Challenges in evaluating embeddings for functional data.
method Transfer manifold methods from tabular and image data to functional data, define a theoretical framework, and propose nuanced evaluation strategies.
result Manifold methods can be successfully applied to functional data, but careful evaluation is needed.
Selecting and combining the outlier scores of different base detectors used within outlier ensembles can be quite challenging in the absence of ground truth. In this paper, an unsupervised outlier detector combination framework called DCSO is proposed, demonstrated and assessed for the dynamic selection of most compete…
UMAP compared to other methods for dimensionality reduction.
problem Comparing UMAP to other dimensionality reduction techniques.
method Comprehensive evaluation of UMAP and other methods.
result Supervised UMAP performs well for classification but not for regression.
New method for discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks.
problem Discrete failure time data in survival analysis.
method Proposes a new estimation procedure for discrete-time survival analysis with competing events.
result Offers advantages over existing procedures and integrates regularized regression methods.
A Nash game theory approach allocates capital requirements among financial institutions.
problem Allocating systemic risk measures among financial institutions.
method Proposes a Nash allocation rule inspired by game theory.
result Provides sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of Nash allocation rules.
Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive multiplicity as the ability of a prediction problem to admit competing models with confl…
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.
In Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) techniques, only the most competent classifiers are selected to classify a given query sample. Hence, the key issue in DES is how to estimate the competence of each classifier in a pool to select the most competent ones. In order to deal with this issue, we proposed a novel dynamic e…
Improved earnings predictions through text-morphed earnings calls.
problem Improving earnings prediction models using narrative information.
method Introducing a text-morphing methodology to generate counterfactual transcripts.
result Analysts over-react to sentiment and under-react to risk and uncertainty.
Dynamic ensemble selection systems work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. This is achieved by defining a criterion to measure the level of competence of a base classifier, such as, its accuracy …
The Audio/Visual Emotion Challenge and Workshop (AVEC 2019) "State-of-Mind, Detecting Depression with AI, and Cross-cultural Affect Recognition" is the ninth competition event aimed at the comparison of multimedia processing and machine learning methods for automatic audiovisual health and emotion analysis, with all pa…
CoPhy-PGNN tackles competing PG losses in neural networks for solving eigenvalue problems.
problem Solving eigenvalue problems with competing physics-guided loss functions.
method Learning generalizable solutions using a novel approach to handle competing PG losses.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach in quantum mechanics and electromagnetic propagation.
Real-time bidding (RTB) systems, which utilize auctions to allocate user impressions to competing advertisers, continue to enjoy success in digital advertising. Assessing the effectiveness of such advertising remains a challenge in research and practice. This paper proposes a new approach to perform causal inference on…
Paper introduces Decentralized Non-stationary Competing Bandits ( exttt{DNCB}) for dynamic matching markets.
problem Understanding dynamic two-sided matching markets with competing agents.
method Proposes a decentralized asynchronous learning algorithm ( exttt{DNCB}) for non-stationary environments.
result Obtains sub-linear (logarithmic) regret of exttt{DNCB} in dynamic settings.
SSH-Net: A Deep Neural Network for Predicting Failure Time Distribution Functions under Competing Risks with GPU Data
problem Predicting failure time distribution functions under competing risks
method Structured Segmented Hazard Deep Neural Network (SSH-Net)
result Prediction accuracy validated through simulation studies and GPU data
In this article three models of firms interaction on the market are described. One of these models is described by using a differential equation and by Lotka-Volterra model, where the equation has a different form. Also, there are models of non-competing and competing firms. The article presents an algorithm for solvin…
Study factors affecting liquidity on decentralized exchanges, introducing new metrics.
problem Understanding and predicting liquidity on decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
method Analyzes platform, blockchain, token pair, and liquidity pool factors; introduces new metrics.
result Identifies how various factors affect liquidity through concentration and total value locked.
Develops new methods to estimate treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
problem Estimating treatment effects in survival data with competing risks.
method Censoring Unbiased Transformations (CUTs) for survival outcomes with and without competing risks.
result Consistent estimates of heterogeneous cumulative incidence effects and total effects using HTE learners.
The paper addresses insurance pricing by improving machine learning models and metrics.
problem Lack of balance and confusion in insurance model performance metrics.
method Introduces autocalibration and Tweedie deviance minimization for insurance pricing models.
result Autocalibration corrects bias and ensures balance on local scales.
In this article we propose a novel ranking algorithm, referred to as HierLPR, for the multi-label classification problem when the candidate labels follow a known hierarchical structure. HierLPR is motivated by a new metric called eAUC that we design to assess the ranking of classification decisions. This metric, associ…