Study compares multivariate scoring rules for distribution forecasts.
problem Evaluating the discrimination ability of multivariate scoring rules.
method Simulation study comparing energy and variogram scores using historical data.
result Variogram score with p=0.5 outperforms other scores.
Study compares different scoring rules for machine-learned weather forecasts, finding scale-awareness improves forecast realism.
problem Improving the accuracy of machine-learned probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Comparison of scoring rules (CRPS, fair global energy score, graph energy score) and analysis of their impact on forecast field spectra.
result Scale-awareness improves forecast realism, particularly in the tropics.
Score matching is a popular method for estimating unnormalized statistical models. However, it has been so far limited to simple, shallow models or low-dimensional data, due to the difficulty of computing the Hessian of log-density functions. We show this difficulty can be mitigated by projecting the scores onto random…
Generative models' evaluation scores can be misleading, leading to inflated grades.
problem Misleading evaluation scores for generative models.
method Analyzed and compared various scores for evaluating synthetic vs. ground-truth data.
result The Eden score avoids grade inflation and better aligns with human perception.
SCORE improves tree-based predictions with boosted residual extraTrees.
problem Improving tree-based prediction models with reduced errors.
method Inspired by representation learning, SCORE uses boosting, regularized regression, and variable selection.
result SCORE provides comparable or superior performance compared to other models.
A new score SiNNE improves OAM efficiency and accuracy.
problem Comparing outlier scores across subspaces of different dimensions.
method Introducing SiNNE, a new score independent of subspace dimensionality.
result SiNNE produces better or at least as good results as existing scores and significantly improves runtime.
Proposes a score to compare rule-based algorithms' interpretability.
problem Lack of consensus on interpretability for predictive models.
method Defines a score with three terms: predictivity, stability, and simplicity, each quantified by simple formulas.
result Compares interpretability of rule-based and tree-based algorithms for regression and classification.
New scoring rules improve probabilistic classification model evaluation.
problem Traditional scoring rules misalign with the preference for correct classifications.
method Introduces Penalized Brier Score (PBS) and Penalized Logarithmic Loss (PLL) to modify proper scoring rules.
result PBS and PLL better identify optimal checkpoints and early stopping points, leading to superior F1 scores.
New method combines score lists using joint CDFs, improving computation.
problem Combining non-comparable score lists over a common index set.
method New algorithm for computing joint CDF values, linear runtime.
result Improved computation of joint CDF values for N-dimensional order statistics.
Credit estimation and bankruptcy prediction methods have been utilizing Altman's z score method for the last several years. It is reported in many studies that z score is sensitive to changes in accounting figures. Researches have proposed different variations to conventional z score that can improve the predicti…
Paper tackles transparency and auditability of machine learning in credit scoring.
problem Missed potential in using modern machine learning for credit scoring due to lack of transparency.
method Develops a framework for making black box machine learning models transparent, auditable, and explainable.
result Comparable interpretability can be achieved with machine learning while maintaining predictive power.
In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the form of a statistical functional, such as the mean or a quantile of the predictive distribution. When evaluating and comparing competing forecasts, it is then critical that the scoring function used for these purposes be co…
In recent years, probabilistic forecasting is an emerging topic, which is why there is a growing need of suitable methods for the evaluation of multivariate predictions. We analyze the sensitivity of the most common scoring rules, especially regarding quality of the forecasted dependency structures. Additionally, we pr…
New scoring rules compare probabilistic top lists in classification.
problem Evaluation of probabilistic top lists in classification.
method Elicitability through symmetric proper scoring rules.
result Brier score provides a well-suited metric for comparison.
In the last two decades several biclustering methods have been developed as new unsupervised learning techniques to simultaneously cluster rows and columns of a data matrix. These algorithms play a central role in contemporary machine learning and in many applications, e.g. to computational biology and bioinformatics. …
In this paper we show that reporting a single performance score is insufficient to compare non-deterministic approaches. We demonstrate for common sequence tagging tasks that the seed value for the random number generator can result in statistically significant (p < 10^-4) differences for state-of-the-art systems. For …
In political redistricting, the compactness of a district is used as a quantitative proxy for its fairness. Several well-established, yet competing, notions of geographic compactness are commonly used to evaluate the shapes of regions, including the Polsby-Popper score, the convex hull score, and the Reock score, and t…
Paper proposes an efficient causal discovery method with linear computational complexity.
problem Identifying causal relationships efficiently in large datasets.
method Approximate kernel-based generalized score function with low-rank technique and sampling algorithms.
result Significantly reduces computational costs while maintaining comparable accuracy.
Unified study of nine multi-output conformal methods with generalized scores.
problem Challenges in extending conformal prediction to multi-output problems.
method Nine conformal methods with generalized multi-output conformity scores.
result Generalized scores ensure asymptotic conditional coverage and exact finite-sample marginal coverage.
Mixed-SCORE+ improves community detection in weak signal networks.
problem Detecting communities in weak signal networks.
method Proposes Mixed-SCORE+ combining properties of Mixed-SCORE and SCORE+.
result Significantly improves detection error rates on Polblogs and weak signal networks.
We study strictly proper scoring rules in the Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. We propose a general Kernel Scoring rule and associated Kernel Divergence. We consider conditions under which the Kernel Score is strictly proper. We then demonstrate that the Kernel Score includes the Maximum Mean Discrepancy as a special …
Locus scores predictions for risk, reducing large-loss events.
problem Deployment cost from inaccurate predictions, especially large losses.
method Distribution-free loss-scale reliability score using any predictive distribution.
result Reduces large-loss frequency compared to standard heuristics.
Paper tackles score following in full-page sheet music images.
problem Score following in unprocessed sheet music images.
method Directly predicts score positions from audio and image input.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods in alignment precision.
Paper compares two forecasters using novel online inference methods.
problem How to compare forecasters without distributional assumptions.
method Confidence sequences and game-theoretic statistical framework for sequential testing.
result Valid methods for comparing forecasters without distributional assumptions.
New divergences improve score-based methods for multi-modal distributions.
problem Blindness problem in score-based divergences for multi-modal distributions.
method Proposed a new family of divergences to mitigate blindness.
result Improved performance in density estimation compared to traditional approaches.
Directly estimates Fisher score for likelihood maximization.
problem Intractable likelihood functions with model simulations.
method Gradient-based optimization using local score matching and linear parameterization.
result Efficient approximation of Fisher score improves likelihood maximization.
Objectives: Text categorization has been used in biomedical informatics for identifying documents containing relevant topics of interest. We developed a simple method that uses a chi-square-based scoring function to determine the likelihood of MEDLINE citations containing genetic relevant topic. Methods: Our procedure …
Method orders Pareto solutions using transformed objective scores.
problem Lack of orderability in multi-objective optimization solutions.
method Probability integral transform to map objectives to scores.
result Pareto efficient solutions can be ordered in score space.
A new method for estimating density ratios in high dimensions.
problem Difficulty in accurately comparing probability distributions in high-dimensional settings.
method Divide-and-conquer approach via an infinite continuum of bridge distributions and time score matching.
result The proposed method effectively estimates density ratios and performs well on complex datasets.
Paper compares ML methods for credit scoring, highlighting feature selection and scaling impacts.
problem Determining default risk in credit scoring models.
method Eight ML methods (SVM, Naive Bayes, DT, RF, XGBoost, KNN, MLP, LR) with feature selection and scaling.
result Feature selection and scaling improve model performance in credit scoring.
Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.
problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.
Two new methods score stress test scenarios for risk managers.
problem Comparing and evaluating stress test scenarios for risk managers.
method Inspired by Archer-Mouy-Selmi, two methodologies for scoring stress test scenarios.
result New methods can compare and evaluate stress test scenarios.
Standardized fairness measures for continuous risk scores using Wasserstein distance.
problem Quantifying and interpreting group disparities in continuous risk scores.
method Proposes standardized fairness measures based on Wasserstein distance for continuous scores.
result Proposed measures outperform ROC-based fairness measures by being more explicit and quantifying significant biases.
Proposes a new method to minimize non-singleton predictions in conformal prediction.
problem Large prediction sets in conformal prediction are costly and inefficient.
method Introduces a new nonconformity score to minimize non-singleton sets and provides an algorithm to compute it efficiently.
result The proposed Singleton-Optimized Conformal Prediction (SOCOP) method increases singleton frequency by over 20% compared to standard scores, with minimal impact on average set size.
Proposes SD-KDE for density estimation using debiased kernel density with score-based adjustments.
problem Density estimation with bias in kernel density estimation.
method Adjusts data points by taking a step along the estimated score function, then applies standard KDE with modified bandwidth.
result Significantly reduces mean integrated squared error compared to standard Silverman KDE, especially with noisy score function estimates.
DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.
problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.
Evaluates explanations of LTR models using decision paths and compares their accuracy.
problem Challenges in evaluating local explanations of LTR models due to lack of ground truth feature importance scores.
method Focuses on tree-based LTR models, extracts ground truth feature importance scores using decision paths, and compares them with explanation techniques.
result Explanation accuracy varies depending on the model and data point.
A new method for Bayesian inference using diffusion models.
problem Bayesian inference in simulator-based models.
method Score-based diffusion models trained with a sequential training procedure.
result Comparable or superior performance compared to existing methods.
This research adapts scoring rules for training survival models, improving predictive performance.
problem Training survival models with traditional methods struggles with censoring.
method Adapting scoring rules for survival analysis, creating a flexible framework for model training.
result Scoring rules can be successfully incorporated into model training, yielding competitive performance.
Improved score-based models generate high-quality images up to 256x256.
problem Training score-based models for high-resolution images is unstable and limited.
method Theoretical analysis, exponential moving average of model weights.
result Score-based models can generate high-fidelity images up to 256x256.
New algorithm learns bridged diffusion processes without time-reversals.
problem Learning bridged diffusion processes efficiently and accurately.
method Score matching with Doob's h-transform, avoiding time-reversals.
result Outperforms existing methods in learning bridged diffusion processes.
New bounds for score matching in polynomial exponential families.
problem Understanding the sample complexity of score matching for polynomial exponential families.
method Non-asymptotic sample complexity analysis for score matching.
result First finite sample bounds for score matching in polynomial exponential families.
A new framework detects adverse dataset shifts using outlier scores.
problem False alarms in dataset shift tests.
method Outlier scores to compare contamination rates at varying thresholds.
result Reduces the sensitivity to minor differences in predictive performance.
In this work, we addressed the issue of combining linear classifiers using their score functions. The value of the scoring function depends on the distance from the decision boundary. Two score functions have been tested and four different combination strategies were investigated. During the experimental study, the pro…
T-PSDA improves speaker recognition accuracy on toroidal submanifolds.
problem Improving speaker recognition accuracy on hypersphere embeddings.
method Extends PSDA to model within and between-speaker variabilities in toroidal submanifolds of the hypersphere.
result T-PSDA achieves accuracy on par with cosine scoring on VoxCeleb and large accuracy gains on NIST SRE'21.
BERT learns claim descriptions to identify patent novelty.
problem Identifying novel patent claims among existing documents.
method Training BERT on concatenated claims and descriptions, scoring BERT's output.
result BERT identifies relevant X documents for patent novelty.
Although timely sepsis diagnosis and prompt interventions in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients are associated with reduced mortality, early clinical recognition is frequently impeded by non-specific signs of infection and failure to detect signs of sepsis-induced organ dysfunction in a constellation of dynamically cha…
Robust score matching improves parameter estimation in contaminated data.
problem Parameter estimation in data contaminated by outliers.
method Geometric median of means to develop a robust score matching procedure.
result Consistent parameter estimates in contaminated data settings.