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We introduce a probabilistic model of labor markets for university graduates, in particular, in Japan. To make a model of the market efficiently, we take into account several hypotheses. Namely, each company fixes the (business year independent) number of opening positions for newcomers. The ability of gathering newcom…
New method quantifies systemic risk of firms in supply networks.
We introduce a toy probabilistic model to analyze job-matching processes in recent Japanese labor markets for university graduates by means of statistical physics. We show that the aggregation probability of each company is rewritten by means of non-linear map under several conditions. Mathematical treatment of the map…
Large language models learn company embeddings from SEC filings.
In a stock market, the price fluctuations are interactive, that is, one listed company can influence others. In this paper, we seek to study the influence relationships among listed companies by constructing a directed network on the basis of Chinese stock market. This influence network shows distinct topological prope…
To understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies, we define an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk. The algorithm ranks companies in networks of co-occurrences, and measures sentiment-based risk, by calculatin…
We analyze the distribution of income and income tax of individuals in Japan for the fiscal year 1998. From the rank-size plots we find that the accumulated probability distribution of both data obey a power law with a Pareto exponent very close to -2. We also present an analysis of the distribution of the debts owed b…
A study ranks critical Lean Six Sigma tools for implementation in Portuguese companies.
Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced not only by the variation of the topology of the system but also as a consequen…
Paper ranks stocks by compression risk, not volatility.
The purpose of this study was to build a customer selection model based on 20 dimensions, including customer codes, total contribution, assets, deposit, profit, profit rate, trading volume, trading amount, turnover rate, order amount, withdraw amount, withdraw rate, process fee, process fee submitted, process fee retai…
In this paper we extend the concept of Competitivity Graph to compare series of rankings with ties ({\em partial rankings}). We extend the usual method used to compute Kendall's coefficient for two partial rankings to the concept of evolutive Kendall's coefficient for a series of partial rankings. The theoretical frame…
Improved deep learning performance in financial markets by using rank space.
Improved default prediction for mid-cap companies using transformer models.
This project demonstrated a methodology to estimating cooperate credibility with a Natural Language Processing approach. As cooperate transparency impacts both the credibility and possible future earnings of the firm, it is an important factor to be considered by banks and investors on risk assessments of listed firms.…
We analyze a negative-parameter variant of the diversity-weighted portfolio studied by Fernholz, Karatzas, and Kardaras (Finance Stoch 9(1):1-27, 2005), which invests in each company a fraction of wealth inversely proportional to the company's market weight (the ratio of its capitalization to that of the entire market)…
Heteroskedasticity biases uplift model rankings, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.
Predictive models learned from historical data are widely used to help companies and organizations make decisions. However, they may digitally unfairly treat unwanted groups, raising concerns about fairness and discrimination. In this paper, we study the fairness-aware ranking problem which aims to discover discriminat…
E-commerce sponsored search contributes an important part of revenue for the e-commerce company. In consideration of effectiveness and efficiency, a large-scale sponsored search system commonly adopts a multi-stage architecture. We name these stages as ad retrieval, ad pre-ranking and ad ranking. Ad retrieval and ad pr…
Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice…
Study finds similar companies in Dhaka Stock Exchange using technical data.
Developed Merton's model for public companies using observed liabilities.
Company2Vec creates embeddings from company websites for fine-grained business analytics.
Develops Merton's model for private companies using DDM.
This paper develops a valuation model for private companies.
We present an analytical study of an insurance company. We model the company's performance on a statistical basis and evaluate the predicted annual income of the company in terms of insurance parameters namely the premium, total number of the insured, average loss claims etc. We restrict ourselves to a single insurance…
This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.
Employing profits data of Japanese companies in 2002 and 2003, we confirm that Pareto's law and the Pareto index are derived from the law of detailed balance and Gibrat's law. The last two laws are observed beyond the region where Pareto's law holds. By classifying companies into job categories, we find that companies …
The paper analyzes how news sentiment of companies can affect market movements.
The model is aimed to discriminate the 'good' and the 'bad' companies in Russian corporate sector based on their financial statements data based on Russian Accounting Standards. The data sample consists of 126 Russian public companies- issuers of Ruble bonds which represent about 36% of total number of corporate bonds …
In this study we consider relations between companies in Poland taking into account common branches they belong to. It is clear that companies belonging to the same branch compete for similar customers, so the market induces correlations between them. On the other hand two branches can be related by companies acting in…
Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.
A new method to value IPOed companies.
Simple algorithms identify best items or full rankings from choice-based feedback.
Audit fees change based on company and economic factors during auditor switching.
We consider the problem of evaluating the quality of startup companies. This can be quite challenging due to the rarity of successful startup companies and the complexity of factors which impact such success. In this work we collect data on tens of thousands of startup companies, their performance, the backgrounds of t…
Model predicts default risk based on company's financial forecasts and credit conditions.
The real estate is a pillar industry of China's national economy. Due to changes in policy and market conditions, the real estate companies are facing greater pressures to survive in a competitive environment. They must improve their financial competitiveness. Based on the conceptual framework of financial competitiven…
Modelling all possible life cycles of a company in a highly competitive economic environment gives a significant advantage to the owner in his business investment activities. This article proposes and analyses a dynamic model of a company's life cycle with known action costs and transition probabilities, that can be af…
Deep learning models outperform classical methods in forecasting company fundamentals.
Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.
We first estimate the average growth of a company's annual income and its variance by using both real company data and a numerical model which we already introduced a couple of years ago. Investment strategies expecting for income growth is evaluated based on the numerical model. Our numerical simulation suggests the p…
A pairwise clustering approach is applied to the analysis of the Dow Jones index companies, in order to identify similar temporal behavior of the traded stock prices. To this end, the chaotic map clustering algorithm is used, where a map is associated to each company and the correlation coefficients of the financial ti…
New machine learning method classifies companies effectively.
Analyzes how inclusion/exclusion from STOXX Europe 600 Index affects company prices.
We introduce a mean-field type approximation for description of company's income statistics. Utilizing huge company data we show that a discrete version of Langevin equation with additive and multiplicative noises can appropriately describe the time evolution of a company's income fluctuation in statistical sense. The …
We introduce a model for the adaptive evolution of a network of company ownerships. In a recent work it has been shown that the empirical global network of corporate control is marked by a central, tightly connected "core" made of a small number of large companies which control a significant part of the global economy.…