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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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22446688 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for collapsed Gibbs sampler

We develop a framework for approximating collapsed Gibbs sampling in generative latent variable cluster models. Collapsed Gibbs is a popular MCMC method, which integrates out variables in the posterior to improve mixing. Unfortunately for many complex models, integrating out these variables is either analytically or co…

2018-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

For large scale on-line inference problems the update strategy is critical for performance. We derive an adaptive scan Gibbs sampler that optimizes the update frequency by selecting an optimum mini-batch size. We demonstrate performance of our adaptive batch-size Gibbs sampler by comparing it against the collapsed Gibb…

2018-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) model is a widely-used latent variable model in machine learning for text analysis. Inference for this model typically involves a single-site collapsed Gibbs sampling step for latent variables associated with observations. The efficiency of the sampling is critical to the success o…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze the complexity of Gibbs samplers for inference in crossed random effect models used in modern analysis of variance. We demonstrate that for certain designs the plain vanilla Gibbs sampler is not scalable, in the sense that its complexity is worse than proportional to the number of parameters and data. We thu…

2018-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Topic models, and more specifically the class of Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), are widely used for probabilistic modeling of text. MCMC sampling from the posterior distribution is typically performed using a collapsed Gibbs sampler. We propose a parallel sparse partially collapsed Gibbs sampler and compare its spe…

2015-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

A fast Gibbs sampler for Bayesian HMMs with missing data.

problem Complexity and slow mixing in EM and Gibbs samplers for HMMs with missing observations.
method Proposes a collapsed Gibbs sampler that integrates missing observations and latent states, achieving high accuracy, large ESS, and reduced computational complexity.
result The proposed sampler is faster and more efficient than existing methods, especially with many missing entries.

The pairwise influence matrix of Dobrushin has long been used as an analytical tool to bound the rate of convergence of Gibbs sampling. In this work, we use Dobrushin influence as the basis of a practical tool to certify and efficiently improve the quality of a discrete Gibbs sampler. Our Dobrushin-optimized Gibbs samp…

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Model clusters networks and their communities simultaneously.

problem Clustering networks and their communities in unlabeled, heterogeneous networks.
method Nested Stochastic Block Model (NSBM) with Bayesian approach and NDP prior.
result Model accurately estimates both within and across network clustering structures.

Gibbs sampling, as a model learning method, is known to produce the most accurate results available in a variety of domains, and is a de facto standard in these domains. Yet, it is also well known that Gibbs random walks usually have bottlenecks, sometimes termed "local maxima", and thus samplers often return suboptima…

2018-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This work analyzes Gibbs samplers for Bayesian hierarchical models without dimensionality constraints.

problem Analyzing convergence properties of Gibbs samplers for Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Using Bayesian asymptotics and total variation mixing times, the study provides dimension-free convergence results.
result Dimension-free convergence results for Gibbs samplers targeting hierarchical models under random data-generating assumptions.

Gibbs sampler contracts entropy under strong log-concavity, improving mixing time.

problem Improving the mixing time of Gibbs sampler under strong log-concavity.
method Analyzing Gibbs sampler contraction under strong log-concavity, providing sharp contraction rate.
result Gibbs sampler contracts entropy linearly with condition number and independent of dimension under strong log-concavity.

Bayesian feature allocation models are a popular tool for modelling data with a combinatorial latent structure. Exact inference in these models is generally intractable and so practitioners typically apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for posterior inference. The most widely used MCMC strategies rely on an e…

2020-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New model detects hidden group structures in criminal networks.

problem Challenges in identifying group structures in criminal networks with noisy data.
method Developed an extended stochastic block model (ESBM) to infer group structures.
result Unveiled complex block structures in an Italian mafia network.

New sampler reduces MCMC complexity for Bayesian variable selection.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian variable selection with high computation complexity.
method Variable-complexity subset weighted-Tempered Gibbs Sampler (wTGS) with Rao-Blackwellized estimator.
result Variances of Rao-Blackwellized estimator are smaller than those of subset wTGS.

The study examines mixing times of data-augmentation Gibbs samplers for high-dimensional probit regression.

problem Investigating convergence properties of data-augmentation samplers for Bayesian probit regression.
method Using recent results on Gibbs samplers for log-concave targets, the study provides non-asymptotic bounds on mixing times.
result Explicit non-asymptotic bounds on mixing times depend on design matrix and prior precision, holding uniformly over responses.

A common approach to analyze a covariate-sample count matrix, an element of which represents how many times a covariate appears in a sample, is to factorize it under the Poisson likelihood. We show its limitation in capturing the tendency for a covariate present in a sample to both repeat itself and excite related ones…

2016-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop amortized population Gibbs (APG) samplers, a class of scalable methods that frames structured variational inference as adaptive importance sampling. APG samplers construct high-dimensional proposals by iterating over updates to lower-dimensional blocks of variables. We train each conditional proposal by mini…

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian graphical models have been shown to be a powerful tool for discovering uncertainty and causal structure from real-world data in many application fields. Current inference methods primarily follow different kinds of trade-offs between computational complexity and predictive accuracy. At one end of the spectrum,…

2018-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from complicated high-dimensional posterior distributions. The key point for the suc…

2016-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on Metropolis-within-Gibbs schemes for high-dimensional Bayesian models.

problem Improving the scalability of MCMC methods for complex Bayesian models.
method Relating convergence properties to conditional conductance for non-conjugate hierarchical models.
result Established dimension-free convergence results for Metropolis-within-Gibbs schemes.

The Gibbs sampler is one of the most popular algorithms for inference in statistical models. In this paper, we introduce a herding variant of this algorithm, called herded Gibbs, that is entirely deterministic. We prove that herded Gibbs has an O(1/T)O(1/T) convergence rate for models with independent variables and for ful…

2013-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

A single, stationary topic model such as latent Dirichlet allocation is inappropriate for modeling corpora that span long time periods, as the popularity of topics is likely to change over time. A number of models that incorporate time have been proposed, but in general they either exhibit limited forms of temporal var…

2012-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also inefficient for large count values and requires averaging over many samples to reduce …

2012-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we propose a model for estimating volatility from financial time series, extending the non-Gaussian family of space-state models with exact marginal likelihood proposed by Gamerman, Santos and Franco (2013). On the literature there are models focused on estimating financial assets risk, however, most of t…

2018-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Adjoint sampler targets infinite-dimensional function spaces for efficient sampling.

problem Limited theory and algorithms for sampling infinite-dimensional function spaces.
method Adjoint Sampler for infinite-dimensional function spaces based on stochastic maximum principle.
result FAS achieves superior performance in synthetic and real systems.

Likelihood-free methods such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have extended the reach of statistical inference to problems with computationally intractable likelihoods. Such approaches perform well for small-to-moderate dimensional problems, but suffer a curse of dimensionality in the number of model parameter…

2019-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods improve sampling from complex dynamical models.

problem Sampling from high-dimensional, non-linear latent dynamical models is computationally challenging.
method Introduce auxiliary MCMC and Particle Gibbs samplers with improved performance and parallelisation.
result Enhanced samplers maintain performance in high-dimensional latent spaces and support parallelisation.

Additive regression trees are flexible non-parametric models and popular off-the-shelf tools for real-world non-linear regression. In application domains, such as bioinformatics, where there is also demand for probabilistic predictions with measures of uncertainty, the Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) model, i…

2015-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗