A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper optimizes insurance strategies for two collaborating business lines.
The paper optimizes insurer's dividend, reinsurance, and capital injection strategies for two collaborating business lines.
The paper optimizes insurer's decisions on dividends, reinsurance, and capital injection under model uncertainty.
Many businesses are using recommender systems for marketing outreach. Recommendation algorithms can be either based on content or driven by collaborative filtering. We study different ways to incorporate content information directly into the matrix factorization approach of collaborative filtering. These content-booste…
Firms should keep capital to offer sufficient protection against the risks they are facing. In the insurance context methods have been developed to determine the minimum capital level required, but less so in the context of firms with multiple business lines including allocation. The individual capital reserve of each …
Co-PLNet combines point and line predictions to improve wireframe parsing accuracy and efficiency.
DeFi TrustBoost uses blockchain and AI to assess small business loans.
Model calculates capital requirements for multi-line insurance companies.
The paper analyzes systemic risk in an insurance model with multiple business lines and heterogeneous claims.
A new algorithm adapts to changing user behaviors in finance.
This paper analyzes privacy-preserving methods for collaborative forecasting.
In this paper we formulate a corporate bond (CB) pricing model for deriving the term structure of default probabilities (TSDP) and the recovery rate (RR) for each pair of industry factor and credit rating grade, and these derived TSDP and RR are regarded as what investors imply in forming CB prices in the market at eac…
Proposes a flexible neural recommendation framework for better prediction performance.
The present paper addresses the issue of the stochastic control of the optimal dynamic reinsurance policy and dynamic dividend strategy, which are state-dependent, for an insurance company that operates under multiple insurance lines of business. The aggregate claims model with a thinning-dependence structure is adopte…
Study on excess mortality in Germany during 2020-21.
Predicting the response of cancer cells to drugs is an important problem in pharmacogenomics. Recent efforts in generation of large scale datasets profiling gene expression and drug sensitivity in cell lines have provided a unique opportunity to study this problem. However, one major challenge is the small number of sa…
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity, and we, as machine learning experts, may wonder how we can help. Here we describe how machine learning can be a powerful tool in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and helping society adapt to a changing climate. From smart grids to disaster management, w…
New GNN method detects money laundering in diverse customer relationships.
Software and hardware co-design and optimization of HPC systems has become intolerably complex, ad-hoc, time consuming and error prone due to enormous number of available design and optimization choices, complex interactions between all software and hardware components, and multiple strict requirements placed on perfor…
The 2007--2008 financial crisis has paved the way for the use of macroprudential policies in supervising the financial system as a whole. This paper views macroprudential oversight in Europe as a process, a sequence of activities with the ultimate aim of safeguarding financial stability. To conceptualize a process in t…
Study optimal reinsurance and investment to minimize drawdown risk.
We propose a novel approach for loss reserving based on deep neural networks. The approach allows for joint modeling of paid losses and claims outstanding, and incorporation of heterogeneous inputs. We validate the models on loss reserving data across lines of business, and show that they improve on the predictive accu…
MoA framework improves financial LLM responses at low cost.
We study a continuous-time asset-allocation problem for an insurance firm that backs up liabilities from multiple non-life business lines with underwriting profits and investment income. The insurance risks are captured via a multidimensional jump-diffusion process with a multivariate compound Poisson process with depe…
Shaped by structural forces of change, banking in emerging markets has recently experienced a decline in its traditional activities, leading banks to diversify into new business strategies. This paper examines whether the observed shift into non-interest based activities improves financial performance. Using a sample o…
Personalized size and fit recommendations bear crucial significance for any fashion e-commerce platform. Predicting the correct fit drives customer satisfaction and benefits the business by reducing costs incurred due to size-related returns. Traditional collaborative filtering algorithms seek to model customer prefere…
The paper analyzes risk measures and optimal reserve allocation strategies.
Sales forecasting plays a prominent role in business planning and business strategy. The value and importance of advance information is a cornerstone of planning activity, and a well-set forecast goal can guide sale-force more efficiently. In this paper CPU sales forecasting of Intel Corporation, a multinational semico…
The present paper addresses the issue of choosing an optimal dynamic reinsurance policy, which is state-dependent, for an insurance company that operates under multiple insurance business lines. The optimal survival function is characterized as the unique nondecreasing viscosity solution of the associated Hamilton-Jaco…
Paper assesses risks of stablecoins, from lending to business-to-business.
Evidence shows that in a significant number of cases the current methods of research do not allow for reproducible and falsifiable procedures of scientific investigation. As a consequence, the majority of critical decisions at all levels, from personal investment choices to overreaching global policies, rely on some va…
In this paper, we address the aggregation of dependent stop loss reinsurance risks where the dependence among the ceding insurer(s) risks is governed by the Sarmanov distribution and each individual risk belongs to the class of Erlang mixtures. We investigate the effects of the ceding insurer(s) risk dependencies on th…
With the explosive growth of online products and content, recommendation techniques have been considered as an effective tool to overcome information overload, improve user experience, and boost business revenue. In recent years, we have observed a new desideratum of considering long-term rewards of multiple related re…
In November, 2011, the Financial Stability Board, in collaboration with the International Monetary Fund, published a list of 29 "systemically important financial institutions" (SIFIs). This designation reflects a concern that the failure of any one of them could have dramatic negative consequences for the global econom…
Most of the banks' operational risk internal models are based on loss pooling in risk and business line categories. The parameters and outputs of operational risk models are sensitive to the pooling of the data and the choice of the risk classification. In a simple model, we establish the link between the number of ris…
Large corporate credit models may be adapted for small business risk assessment.
Study shows credit expansion in mortgage markets influenced U.S. business cycle.
Business Architecture (BA) plays a significant role in helping organizations understand enterprise structures and processes, and align them with strategic objectives. However, traditional BAs are represented in fixed structure with static model elements and fail to dynamically capture business insights based on interna…
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
Asynchronous federated learning for vertically partitioned data improves efficiency and privacy.
In this paper we consider an optimal investment and reinsurance problem with partially unknown model parameters which are allowed to be learned. The model includes multiple business lines and dependence between them. The aim is to maximize the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth which is shown to imply a ro…
Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.
The biggest problem with the methods of machine learning used today in business analytics is that they do not generalize well and often fail when applied to new data. One of the possible approaches to this problem is to enrich these methods (which are almost exclusively based on statistical algorithms) with some intrin…
New algorithms reduce communication costs in collaborative learning.
Endogenous business cycles explain higher comovement across countries.
Machine learning predicts US and EuroZone business cycles with high accuracy.
Machine learning services pose privacy risks if data or model parameters are compromised.