New method produces coherent forecasts for long-range data.
arXiv research
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CoRe method improves time series forecasting coherency without strict constraints.
Enhances neural forecasting for hierarchically organized time series data.
Paper introduces DCoVaR for aggregate risk models, outperforming existing methods.
HierarchicalForecast provides a Python framework for coherent hierarchical forecasting.
In this paper we introduce a new coherent cumulative risk measure on , the space of càdlàg processes having Laplace transform. This new coherent risk measure turns out to be tractable enough within a class of models where the aggregate claims is driven by a spectrally positive Lévy process. Moreover, w…
This work analyzes two methods for combining multiple binary labels in bipartite ranking.
Paper introduces REED for noncoherent OTA-FL, reducing latency without phase alignment.
Solvency II Directive 2009/138/EC requires an insurance and reinsurance undertakings assessment of a Solvency Capital Requirement by means of the so-called "Standard Formula" or by means of partial or full internal models. Focusing on the first approach, the bottom-up aggregation formula proposed by the regulator permi…
BoC probe assesses neural network confidence coherence, revealing architecture-specific uncertainty.
This paper challenges the current metrics used for evaluating long-term forecasting models.
Efficiently simulates risk budgeting portfolios using novel algorithms.
The paper analyzes risk measures and optimal reserve allocation strategies.
Paper characterizes star-shaped risk measures and their properties.
Meta-analysis improves personalized treatment rules across multiple sites.
A new hierarchical forecasting method using machine learning improves forecast accuracy.
New model improves multimodal autoencoders by learning joint and conditional distributions.
Recent dialogue approaches operate by reading each word in a conversation history, and aggregating accrued dialogue information into a single state. This fixed-size vector is not expandable and must maintain a consistent format over time. Other recent approaches exploit an attention mechanism to extract useful informat…
This paper extends compositional data analysis using graph signal processing.
Develops risk-averse fair multi-class classification methods.
M4L-JMF tackles multi-typed objects learning, improving on M3L.
Non-negative tensor factorization models enable predictive analysis on count data. Among them, Bayesian Poisson-Gamma models can derive full posterior distributions of latent factors and are less sensitive to sparse count data. However, current inference methods for these Bayesian models adopt restricted update rules f…
A note on learning with agents having global perspectives and a principal optimizing their performance.
Defines coherent manifolds and their quantum applications.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
ReGEN-TAD detects anomalies in financial time series with interpretable models.
A new method detects anomalies in trajectory data using normalizing flows.
Coherent Multiplex analyzes real-time wavelet coherence among multiple signals.
The transition amplitudes between coherent states on a coherent state manifold are expressed in terms of the embedding of the coherent state manifold into a projective Hilbert space. Consequences for the dimension of projective Hilbert space and a simple geometric interpretation of Calabi's diastasis follows.
We use mathematical induction to prove that the horizontal composition in the class of coherently diagonal complexes is indeed a binary operation. That is to say, the embedding of two coherently diagonal complexes in an alternating planar diagram produces a coherently diagonal complex.
Paper constructs Chern character for coherent sheaves.
The paper constructs minimal coherent filling pairs on surfaces.
Sparse coding in learned dictionaries has been established as a successful approach for signal denoising, source separation and solving inverse problems in general. A dictionary learning method adapts an initial dictionary to a particular signal class by iteratively computing an approximate factorization of a training …
Paper defines dynamical coherence for flows and proves it under specific conditions.
Develops equivariant Chern characters for coherent sheaves with group actions.
New metric -coherence measures gradient alignment during training, revealing surprising memorization patterns.
We present a method for identifying the coherent structures associated with individual Lagrangian flow trajectories even where only sparse particle trajectory data is available. The method, based on techniques in spectral graph theory, uses the Coherent Structure Coloring vector and associated eigenvectors to analyze t…
We study a space of coherent risk measures M_phi obtained as certain expansions of coherent elementary basis measures. In this space, the concept of ``Risk Aversion Function'' phi naturally arises as the spectral representation of each risk measure in a space of functions of confidence level probabilities. We give nece…
Generates coherent storybooks from plain text using diffusion models.
Low-rank matrix approximations are often used to help scale standard machine learning algorithms to large-scale problems. Recently, matrix coherence has been used to characterize the ability to extract global information from a subset of matrix entries in the context of these low-rank approximations and other sampling-…
A realization of coherent state Lie algebras by first-order differential operators with holomorphic polynomial coefficients on Kähler coherent state orbits is presented. Explicit formulas involving the Bernoulli numbers and the structure constants for the semisimple Lie groups are proved.
Develops non-standard analysis for coherent risk estimation.
We propose a pricing technique based on coherent risk measures, which enables one to get finer price intervals than in the No Good Deals pricing. The main idea consists in splitting a liability into several parts and selling these parts to different agents. The technique is closely connected with the convolution of coh…
The coherent states are viewed as a powerful tool in differential geometry. It is shown that some objects in differential geometry can be expressed using quantities which appear in the construction of the coherent states. The following subjects are discussed via the coherent states: the geodesics, the conjugate locus a…
We emphasize some properties of coherent state groups, i.e. groups whose quotient with the stationary groups, are manifolds which admit a holomorphic embedding in a projective Hilbert space. We determine the differential action of the generators of the representation of coherent state groups on the symmetric Fock space…
For homogeneous simply connected Hodge manifolds it is proved that the set of coherent vectors orthogonal to a given one is the divisor responsible for the homogeneous holomorphic line bundle of the coherent vectors. In particular, for naturally reductive spaces, the divisor is the cut locus.
A group is coherent if all its finitely generated subgroups are finitely presented. In this article we provide a criterion for positively determining the coherence of a group. This criterion is based upon the notion of the perimeter of a map between two finite 2-complexes which is introduced here. In the groups to whic…
Recently, neural approaches to coherence modeling have achieved state-of-the-art results in several evaluation tasks. However, we show that most of these models often fail on harder tasks with more realistic application scenarios. In particular, the existing models underperform on tasks that require the model to be sen…