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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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265277103 · Jun 202619922001200920172026
48 results for coherent aggregates

Enhances neural forecasting for hierarchically organized time series data.

problem Probabilistic coherent forecasting of time series data across different levels of aggregation.
method Proposes a coherent multivariate mixture output for neural forecasting architectures, optimizing with a composite likelihood objective.
result 13.2% average accuracy improvements on most datasets compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Paper introduces DCoVaR for aggregate risk models, outperforming existing methods.

problem Lack of coherent risk measures for aggregate risk models.
method Proposes Dependent Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCoVaR) for a target loss dependent on another random loss.
result DCoVaR outperforms MCoVaR and CCoVaR in numerical simulations and empirical studies.

HierarchicalForecast provides a Python framework for coherent hierarchical forecasting.

problem Ensuring forecasts at disaggregate levels add up to aggregate forecasts.
method Preprocessed datasets, evaluation metrics, and statistical baseline models.
result Python-based reference framework for statistical and ML forecasting.

Paper introduces REED for noncoherent OTA-FL, reducing latency without phase alignment.

problem Noncoherent OTA-FL requires signed model updates without phase alignment.
method Introduces REED for continuous signed aggregation using resource-element energy difference.
result Exact variance laws for REED and chip-diverse extension in Rayleigh fading.

BoC probe assesses neural network confidence coherence, revealing architecture-specific uncertainty.

problem Poor calibration and OOD detection in neural networks.
method Bag-of-Coins (BoC) probe compares softmax confidence to pairwise dominance probabilities.
result BoC reveals clear ID/OOD separation for some architectures but not others.

This paper challenges the current metrics used for evaluating long-term forecasting models.

problem Current metrics focus on pointwise error reduction, ignoring structural properties.
method Proposes a multi-dimensional evaluation approach that includes statistical fidelity, structural coherence, and decision-level relevance.
result Current progress in forecasting may reflect specialization in benchmark configurations rather than deeper understanding of temporal dynamics.

The paper analyzes risk measures and optimal reserve allocation strategies.

problem Risk measures and optimal reserve allocation across multiple lines of business.
method Formalizes expected maximum deficit, introduces implicitly bounded risk measures, and proposes capital allocation approaches.
result Theoretical results on static and dynamic coherence, convexity, and exact optimizations of aggregate minimum reserves.

Meta-analysis improves personalized treatment rules across multiple sites.

problem Lack of generalizability in learning individualized treatment rules across different medical sites.
method Developed a method for individual-level meta-analysis of ITRs, borrowing sign-coherency information between sites.
result Jointly learned site-specific ITRs with improved generalizability.

A new hierarchical forecasting method using machine learning improves forecast accuracy.

problem Improving forecast accuracy in hierarchical forecasting systems.
method Non-linear combination of base forecasts, focusing on both accuracy and coherence.
result The proposed method outperforms existing approaches, especially for diverse series.

New model improves multimodal autoencoders by learning joint and conditional distributions.

problem Limitations in recent multimodal autoencoders restrict their quality on complex datasets.
method Proposes a multistage training process with variational inference and Normalizing Flows, leveraging shared modality information.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets.

Recent dialogue approaches operate by reading each word in a conversation history, and aggregating accrued dialogue information into a single state. This fixed-size vector is not expandable and must maintain a consistent format over time. Other recent approaches exploit an attention mechanism to extract useful informat…

2019-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper extends compositional data analysis using graph signal processing.

problem Traditional log-ratios between all variables are not suitable for specific variable relationships.
method Linking compositional data analysis with graph signal processing, it considers only selected log-ratios.
result The approach retains desirable properties of scale invariance and compositional coherence.

A note on learning with agents having global perspectives and a principal optimizing their performance.

problem Learning with dynamic-optimizing principal-agent setting, where agents have global views and the principal optimizes performance.
method Empirical-likelihood estimator under conditional moment restrictions model, considering agents' out-of-sample and private dataset performances.
result A coherent mathematical argument for the learning process in this framework.

ReGEN-TAD detects anomalies in financial time series with interpretable models.

problem Detecting anomalies in complex financial time series with high-dimensional data.
method Integrates machine learning with econometric diagnostics in a refined convolutional--transformer architecture.
result Unified anomaly score without labeled data, robust to structured deviations.

A new method detects anomalies in trajectory data using normalizing flows.

problem Detecting anomalous patterns in high-dimensional, varying-length spatial data.
method Probability density estimation via normalizing flows for each trajectory segment, aggregating likelihoods.
result The proposed method, GRADINGS, effectively identifies anomalies in real-world trajectory data.

Coherent Multiplex analyzes real-time wavelet coherence among multiple signals.

problem Identifying and visualizing coherence among multiple time series.
method Fast spectral similarity based on cosine similarity metrics of Fourier-transformed signals and sparse time-frequency wavelet coherence.
result Scalable real-time system for low-latency inference and monitoring of inter-signal relationships.

The transition amplitudes between coherent states on a coherent state manifold are expressed in terms of the embedding of the coherent state manifold into a projective Hilbert space. Consequences for the dimension of projective Hilbert space and a simple geometric interpretation of Calabi's diastasis follows.

1997-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse coding in learned dictionaries has been established as a successful approach for signal denoising, source separation and solving inverse problems in general. A dictionary learning method adapts an initial dictionary to a particular signal class by iteratively computing an approximate factorization of a training …

2012-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops equivariant Chern characters for coherent sheaves with group actions.

problem Computing Chern characters for coherent sheaves on manifolds with group actions.
method Introduces equivariant Chern characters and proves Riemann-Roch-Grothendieck theorem in Bott-Chern cohomology.
result Establishes a Riemann-Roch-Grothendieck theorem for coherent sheaves with finite group actions.

New metric mm-coherence measures gradient alignment during training, revealing surprising memorization patterns.

problem Measuring and understanding the alignment of per-example gradients during training.
method Introducing mm-coherence as a metric to study gradient alignment, showing its advantages over existing metrics.
result Training with random labels leads to high mm-coherence, indicating common patterns even when generalization is not possible.

Generates coherent storybooks from plain text using diffusion models.

problem Ensuring coherency in a sequence of images for storytelling applications.
method Combines pre-trained LLM and text-guided Latent Diffusion Model for zero-shot generation.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art image editing baselines in generating coherent storybooks.

Low-rank matrix approximations are often used to help scale standard machine learning algorithms to large-scale problems. Recently, matrix coherence has been used to characterize the ability to extract global information from a subset of matrix entries in the context of these low-rank approximations and other sampling-…

2010-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops non-standard analysis for coherent risk estimation.

problem Estimating coherent risk measures in financial contexts.
method Non-standard analysis, hyperfinite representations, discrete Kusuoka formulae, plug-in asymptotics.
result Uniform almost sure consistency and asymptotic normality of spectral plug-in estimators.

We propose a pricing technique based on coherent risk measures, which enables one to get finer price intervals than in the No Good Deals pricing. The main idea consists in splitting a liability into several parts and selling these parts to different agents. The technique is closely connected with the convolution of coh…

2006-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The coherent states are viewed as a powerful tool in differential geometry. It is shown that some objects in differential geometry can be expressed using quantities which appear in the construction of the coherent states. The following subjects are discussed via the coherent states: the geodesics, the conjugate locus a…

1998-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We emphasize some properties of coherent state groups, i.e. groups whose quotient with the stationary groups, are manifolds which admit a holomorphic embedding in a projective Hilbert space. We determine the differential action of the generators of the representation of coherent state groups on the symmetric Fock space…

2002-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

For homogeneous simply connected Hodge manifolds it is proved that the set of coherent vectors orthogonal to a given one is the divisor responsible for the homogeneous holomorphic line bundle of the coherent vectors. In particular, for naturally reductive spaces, the divisor is the cut locus.

1998-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A group is coherent if all its finitely generated subgroups are finitely presented. In this article we provide a criterion for positively determining the coherence of a group. This criterion is based upon the notion of the perimeter of a map between two finite 2-complexes which is introduced here. In the groups to whic…

2002-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, neural approaches to coherence modeling have achieved state-of-the-art results in several evaluation tasks. However, we show that most of these models often fail on harder tasks with more realistic application scenarios. In particular, the existing models underperform on tasks that require the model to be sen…

2019-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗