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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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64129193257 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for cognitive inference

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

Study improves robustness of Bayesian inference for cognitive models.

problem Outliers and contaminants affect parameter estimation in cognitive models.
method Robustness of parameter estimation using amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) with neural networks.
result Introducing contaminants from a Cauchy distribution increases robustness.

New filters improve radar target inference in complex scenarios.

problem Improving radar target inference in highly non-linear system models.
method Developed inverse cubature Kalman filter (I-CKF), inverse quadrature Kalman filter (I-QKF), and inverse cubature-quadrature Kalman filter (I-CQKF) for non-linear systems.
result Numerical experiments show improved estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

MHVAE learns cross-modality inference inspired by human cognition.

problem Cross-modality inference in multimodal data.
method Hierarchical multimodal generative model with modality-specific and joint-modality distributions.
result MHVAE performs on par with state-of-the-art models on multimodal datasets.

CogFormer trains a transformer to estimate parameters across various cognitive models.

problem Difficulty in fitting complex cognitive models and iterating over varying assumptions.
method Meta-amortized framework using a transformer to estimate parameters across multiple models.
result CogFormer accurately estimates parameters across different model families with minimal retraining.

We propose a neural superstatistics method to estimate dynamic cognitive models from time series data.

problem Memoryless cognitive models ignore parameter fluctuations, leading to inaccurate predictions.
method Developed a simulation-based deep learning method for Bayesian inference of superstatistical models.
result Deep learning method efficiently recovers time-varying and time-invariant parameters.

New benchmark tests machine learning's ability to learn causal overhypotheses.

problem Machine learning's difficulty in understanding causal overhypotheses.
method Adapted blicket detector environment for machine learning agents to test causal overhypotheses.
result Many state-of-the-art methods struggle with causal overhypotheses in the new benchmark.

Inferring new facts from existing knowledge graphs (KG) with explainable reasoning processes is a significant problem and has received much attention recently. However, few studies have focused on relation types unseen in the original KG, given only one or a few instances for training. To bridge this gap, we propose Co…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Selective inference improves multi-task neuroimaging analysis.

problem Improving predictive performance and modeling accuracy in neuroimaging studies.
method Proposes a framework for selective inference to jointly identify relevant covariates and conduct valid inference in a sparsity-inducing model.
result Selective inference yields tighter confidence intervals and more accurate signal recovery than single-task methods.

We develop an HMC algorithm to easily marginalize random effects in LMMs.

problem Bayesian inference in LMMs is challenging, especially marginalizing random effects.
method Developed an HMC algorithm to marginalize random effects in LMMs efficiently.
result Marginalization is always beneficial when applicable and improves various models, especially cognitive science models.

The study corrects measurement error in evaluating health effects of multiple pollutants.

problem Bias in estimating health effects of air pollution constituents due to mismeasurement.
method Used a linear regression calibration model and extended DML approach to correct for measurement error.
result Identified two PM2.5 constituents (Br and Mn) that show a negative causal effect on cognitive function after correction.

Imaging neuroscience links brain activation maps to behavior and cognition via correlational studies. Due to the nature of the individual experiments, based on eliciting neural response from a small number of stimuli, this link is incomplete, and unidirectional from the causal point of view. To come to conclusions on t…

2013-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We tackle the problem of constructive preference elicitation, that is the problem of learning user preferences over very large decision problems, involving a combinatorial space of possible outcomes. In this setting, the suggested configuration is synthesized on-the-fly by solving a constrained optimization problem, wh…

2017-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new framework to generate synthetic data with human-like imperfections to prevent model collapse.

problem Model collapse due to statistical optimization of synthetic data.
method Introduces Prompt-driven Cognitive Computing Framework (PMCSF) with Cognitive State Decoder (CSD) and Cognitive Text Encoder (CTE).
result The framework generates text with cognitive imperfections, reducing maximum drawdown and delivering defensive alpha.

Deep active inference agents learn complex environments using Monte-Carlo methods.

problem Understanding and modeling biological intelligence in complex, continuous state-spaces.
method Neural architecture for deep active inference agents using multiple forms of Monte-Carlo sampling.
result Deep active inference agents can learn environmental dynamics and plan future actions.

A new method for estimating adversarial strategies in nonlinear systems.

problem Inferring an intelligent adversarial agent's strategy in highly nonlinear systems.
method Formulated inverse cognition as a nonlinear Gaussian state-space model and developed an inverse UKF (IUKF) system.
result The estimation error of IUKF converges and closely follows the recursive Cramér-Rao lower bound.

Study shows cognitive load impacts financial market efficiency, especially for less sophisticated investors.

problem Cognitive load's effect on financial market information processing.
method Developed a theoretical framework and tested it with exogenous disclosure complexity variation.
result Cognitive load significantly impairs price discovery, particularly for less sophisticated investors.

A cognitive model of human learning provides information about skills a learner must acquire to perform accurately in a task domain. Cognitive models of learning are not only of scientific interest, but are also valuable in adaptive online tutoring systems. A more accurate model yields more effective tutoring through b…

2018-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.

problem Cognitive decline in late adulthood among rural Chinese elderly.
method Examined the effects of a new pension scheme on cognitive performance.
result Pension benefits negatively impact cognitive functioning, particularly delayed recall.

In the eyes of a rationalist like Descartes or Spinoza, human reasoning is flawless, marching toward uncovering ultimate truth. A few centuries later, however, culminating in the work of Kahneman and Tversky, human reasoning was portrayed as anything but flawless, filled with numerous misjudgments, biases, and cognitiv…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The central tenet of reinforcement learning (RL) is that agents seek to maximize the sum of cumulative rewards. In contrast, active inference, an emerging framework within cognitive and computational neuroscience, proposes that agents act to maximize the evidence for a biased generative model. Here, we illustrate how i…

2020-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Brain decoding involves the determination of a subject's cognitive state or an associated stimulus from functional neuroimaging data measuring brain activity. In this setting the cognitive state is typically characterized by an element of a finite set, and the neuroimaging data comprise voluminous amounts of spatiotemp…

2015-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

In reinforcement learning (RL), agents often operate in partially observed and uncertain environments. Model-based RL suggests that this is best achieved by learning and exploiting a probabilistic model of the world. 'Active inference' is an emerging normative framework in cognitive and computational neuroscience that …

2019-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Accurate diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) entails clinical evaluation of multiple cognition metrics and biomarkers. Metrics such as the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale - Cognitive test (ADAS-cog) comprise multiple subscores that quantify different aspects of a patient's cognitive state such as learning, memor…

2017-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Inverse inference, or "brain reading", is a recent paradigm for analyzing functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data, based on pattern recognition and statistical learning. By predicting some cognitive variables related to brain activation maps, this approach aims at decoding brain activity. Inverse inference ta…

2011-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning ensemble improves Alzheimer vs. Mild Cognitive Impairment diagnosis.

problem Differentiating Alzheimer Disease from Mild Cognitive Impairment.
method Hybrid deep learning ensemble framework using MRI slices, pretrained models, and stacked ensemble learning.
result State-of-the-art accuracy (99.21%) for Alzheimer vs. Mild Cognitive Impairment classification.

Model place cells as spatial embeddings for efficient path planning and cognitive map construction.

problem Encoding spatial navigation in the hippocampus.
method Model place cells using spectral decomposition of multi-step random walk transition kernels, inducing sparsity and adjacency.
result Place cells encode spatial information through non-negativity and inner-product structure, forming a cognitive map.