Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

4794140187 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for cognitive behavioral therapy

Develops methods for finding counterfactual explanations in sequential decision making.

problem Finding counterfactual explanations for sequential decision making processes.
method Formal characterization of sequential actions and states using Markov decision processes and Gumbel-Max structural causal model. Introduces a polynomial time algorithm based on dynamic programming.
result Algorithm finds optimal counterfactual explanations for sequential decision making.

Human decision-making underlies all economic behavior. For the past four decades, human decision-making under uncertainty has continued to be explained by theoretical models based on prospect theory, a framework that was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. However, theoretical models of this kind have develop…

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Guidelines for the management of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) recommend the use of risk stratification models to identify patients most likely to benefit from cholesterol-lowering and other therapies. These models have differential performance across race and gender groups with inconsistent behavior a…

2018-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

Framework enhances AI explainability by aligning with human cognitive models.

problem Lack of explainability in AI models hinders trust and accountability.
method Integrates explainability techniques with Malle's five category model of behavior explanation.
result Demonstrates practical relevance in credit risk assessment and regulatory analysis.

Classifying human cognitive states from behavioral and physiological signals is a challenging problem with important applications in robotics. The problem is challenging due to the data variability among individual users, and sensor artefacts. In this work, we propose an end-to-end framework for real-time cognitive wor…

2018-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a neural superstatistics method to estimate dynamic cognitive models from time series data.

problem Memoryless cognitive models ignore parameter fluctuations, leading to inaccurate predictions.
method Developed a simulation-based deep learning method for Bayesian inference of superstatistical models.
result Deep learning method efficiently recovers time-varying and time-invariant parameters.

Controlled interventions provide the most direct source of information for learning causal effects. In particular, a dose-response curve can be learned by varying the treatment level and observing the corresponding outcomes. However, interventions can be expensive and time-consuming. Observational data, where the treat…

2016-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a neural surrogate for proton dose calculation using Monte Carlo dropout uncertainty.

problem Computational demand in proton therapy workflows requiring repeated evaluations.
method Integrates Monte Carlo dropout into a neural network surrogate for fast, differentiable dose predictions and uncertainty quantification.
result Shows significant speedups over MC while retaining uncertainty information.

Imaging neuroscience links brain activation maps to behavior and cognition via correlational studies. Due to the nature of the individual experiments, based on eliciting neural response from a small number of stimuli, this link is incomplete, and unidirectional from the causal point of view. To come to conclusions on t…

2013-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine Learning algorithms are typically regarded as appropriate optimization schemes for minimizing risk functions that are constructed on the training set, which conveys statistical flavor to the corresponding learning problem. When the focus is shifted on perception, which is inherently interwound with time, recent…

2019-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a practical health-theme machine learning (ML) application concerning `AI for social good' domain for `Producing Good Outcomes' track. In particular, the solution is concerning the problem of a potential elderly adult dementia onset prediction in aging societies. The paper discusses our attempt and encouragi…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The mathematical model proposed by George Soros for his theory of reflexivity is analyzed under the framework of discrete dynamical systems. We show the importance of the notion of fixed points for explaining the behavior of a reflexive system governed by its cognitive and manipulative functions. The interrelationship …

2009-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Continuous collection of physiological data from wearable sensors enables temporal characterization of individual behaviors. Understanding the relation between an individual's behavioral patterns and psychological states can help identify strategies to improve quality of life. One challenge in analyzing physiological d…

2019-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Adobe research tackles strategic recommendations using reinforcement learning.

problem Optimizing user interactions for long-term objectives in various use-cases.
method Reinforcement learning applied to modeling user behavior and decision-making.
result Practical solutions implemented for various use-cases, addressing fundamental challenges.

Experiment shows cognitive biases impact human-AI collaboration, highlighting the need for diverse evaluator samples.

problem Cognitive biases affect human-AI collaboration, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Randomized experiment with 2,784 participants, manipulating AI suggestion quality, task burden, and financial incentives.
result Individual attitudes toward AI are the strongest predictor of performance, influencing accuracy and overcorrection.

The paper proposes a new framework to generate synthetic data with human-like imperfections to prevent model collapse.

problem Model collapse due to statistical optimization of synthetic data.
method Introduces Prompt-driven Cognitive Computing Framework (PMCSF) with Cognitive State Decoder (CSD) and Cognitive Text Encoder (CTE).
result The framework generates text with cognitive imperfections, reducing maximum drawdown and delivering defensive alpha.

Modeling alignment as resource-limited cognitive processes, researchers derive performance bounds.

problem Systematic deviations in feedback-based alignment of large language models.
method Modeling alignment as a two-stage cascade UoHoYU o H o Y given SS, with cognitive and total capacities.
result Capacity-coupled Alignment Performance Interval derived from Fano and PAC-Bayes bounds.

New method analyzes complex multivariate pathways in high-dimensional data.

problem High-dimensional mediation analysis of multivariate exposures, mediators, and outcomes.
method Simultaneous variable selection, indirect effect matrix estimation, and prediction of multivariate outcomes.
result Identifies biologically interpretable genetic-neural-cognitive pathways.

This research explores inductive biases for deep learning to improve AI's higher-level cognition.

problem Current AI struggles with flexible out-of-distribution and systematic generalization.
method Examines and proposes new inductive biases for deep learning.
result Identifies specific inductive biases for higher-level sequential processing.

Study shows cognitive load impacts financial market efficiency, especially for less sophisticated investors.

problem Cognitive load's effect on financial market information processing.
method Developed a theoretical framework and tested it with exogenous disclosure complexity variation.
result Cognitive load significantly impairs price discovery, particularly for less sophisticated investors.

A cognitive model of human learning provides information about skills a learner must acquire to perform accurately in a task domain. Cognitive models of learning are not only of scientific interest, but are also valuable in adaptive online tutoring systems. A more accurate model yields more effective tutoring through b…

2018-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.

problem Cognitive decline in late adulthood among rural Chinese elderly.
method Examined the effects of a new pension scheme on cognitive performance.
result Pension benefits negatively impact cognitive functioning, particularly delayed recall.

Paper measures cognitive bias in positive feedback trading using diffusion process estimates.

problem Measuring cognitive bias in positive feedback trading behavior.
method Conditional estimates of diffusion processes to quantify bias, proving asymptotic properties.
result Bias in positive feedback trading converges to zero over time, leading to adaptive expectations.

Proposes a framework for automated radiation therapy treatment planning with uncertainty quantification.

problem Quantifying uncertainties in dose-related quantities for automated treatment planning.
method Three-step pipeline: feature extraction, dose statistic prediction, and dose mimicking.
result Probabilistic treatment plans agree better with clinical counterparts than non-probabilistic ones.

In the eyes of a rationalist like Descartes or Spinoza, human reasoning is flawless, marching toward uncovering ultimate truth. A few centuries later, however, culminating in the work of Kahneman and Tversky, human reasoning was portrayed as anything but flawless, filled with numerous misjudgments, biases, and cognitiv…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances large language models' reasoning through simpler off-policy reinforcement learning.

problem Improving large language models' ability to reason and solve problems.
method EM Policy Gradient, optimizing expected return over reasoning trajectories using Expectation-Maximization (EM) optimization.
result Achieves comparable or slightly superior performance to state-of-the-art methods on reasoning datasets, with additional cognitive behaviors.

We propose a method to model multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.

problem Modeling real-world multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
method Decentralized generative models with partial observation and mechanical constraints based on hierarchical variational recurrent neural networks.
result Our method effectively models and predicts biologically plausible behaviors with minimal constraint violations.

Study uses machine learning to optimize antibiotic therapy for MRSA skin infections.

problem Optimizing antibiotic choice for MRSA skin infections due to reduced treatment options and side effects.
method Propensity score matching, machine learning models (SVM, RF, LASSO), counterfactual analysis.
result RF model shows stronger treatment heterogeneity and potential for therapy change.

New filters improve radar target inference in complex scenarios.

problem Improving radar target inference in highly non-linear system models.
method Developed inverse cubature Kalman filter (I-CKF), inverse quadrature Kalman filter (I-QKF), and inverse cubature-quadrature Kalman filter (I-CQKF) for non-linear systems.
result Numerical experiments show improved estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.