The paper uses Black-Scholes model to analyze political support and coalition agreements.
problem Determining the minimum support level for a minor party in a pre-electoral coalition.
method Modeling political support as a stochastic process with a deterministic growth rate and applying Black-Scholes option pricing theory.
result The minimum support level for a minor party to gain a representative in a pre-electoral coalition.
NDDV estimates data point value from a single stochastic trajectory.
problem Estimating marginal contributions of data points over stochastic training paths.
method Introduces Neural Dynamic Data Valuation (NDDV) using stochastic state and adjoint equations.
result NDDV provides a one-run, trajectory-conditioned estimator of data point value.
New foundation for Shapley value immune to coalitional manipulations.
problem Coalitional manipulations in game theory.
method Revised Shapley value criteria for coalitional games.
result Shapley value is immune to coalitional manipulations under new criteria.
This paper analyzes voter coalitions in MakerDAO's decentralized governance.
problem Understanding the governance structure and influence of voter coalitions in DAOs.
method Applied clustering algorithm to voting history of MakerDAO to identify voter coalitions.
result The emergence of a dominant voter coalition signals governance centralization in DAOs.
Distributed learning across a coalition of organizations allows the members of the coalition to train and share a model without sharing the data used to optimize this model. In this paper, we propose new secure architectures that guarantee preservation of data privacy, trustworthy sequence of iterative learning and equ…
Paper proposes Coalitional BAE to improve explainability of unsupervised deep learning models.
problem Improving explainability of Autoencoder's predictions.
method Introduces Coalitional BAE, inspired by agent-based system theory, to reduce correlation in explanations.
result Improved quality of explanations using Coalitional BAE on publicly available datasets.
Improved Shapley Value method for better model interpretation.
problem Misunderstanding and incorrect interpretation of Shapley Values in machine learning models.
method Identification of null and active coalitions, coalitional Shapley Value computation.
result Correct computation and inference of important variables using Shapley Values.
We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a strategy chosen from a proportional voting ``dominated'' by a leader's decision. The…
Bayesian approach improves Shapley value estimation efficiency.
problem Efficiently estimating Shapley values in machine learning models.
method Bayesian experimental design using Gaussian process surrogate and adaptive coalition selection.
result Consistently improves sample efficiency in low-budget settings.
Federated learning models are analyzed through game theory to determine optimal model sharing.
problem Agents with different data distributions face a choice between local or global models in federated learning.
method The problem is analyzed using coalitional game theory and hedonic game theory, considering different degrees of customization in model sharing.
result Exact expected MSE values are derived for linear regression and mean estimation problems, and stable partitions of players into coalitions are analyzed.
Fair insurance contracts are designed to handle default risk using cooperative game theory.
problem Designing fair insurance contracts in the presence of default risk.
method Cooperative game theory to specify premiums and participation in benefit.
result Fair benefit participation emerges as a game outcome involving residual risks.
MRC improves credit assignment in multi-agent LLM systems, achieving high returns and transparency.
problem Lack of principled credit assignment in multi-agent LLM decision systems, vulnerability to regime shifts, and limited transparency.
method Market Regime Council (MRC) computes exact Shapley credits, uses exponentially weighted performance histories, Bayesian adaptive mixture, and regime-dependent multipliers.
result MRC achieves a Sharpe ratio of 1.51 and a cumulative return of 440.1% over 1,037 trading days, ranking first on CR, SR, and IR.
New research on Shapley values for feature attribution in machine learning, considering model vs. data fidelity.
problem Controversy in connecting machine learning models to coalitional games, differing approaches.
method Investigates two approaches: interventional vs. observational conditional expectation Shapley values for linear models.
result The choice between model and data fidelity depends on the specific application.
Solves a 60-year-old question on agreement measures in statistics.
problem The challenge of measuring agreement between two raters or measures.
method Developed a new algorithm to minimize diagonals in contingency tables, formulated the minimum feasible agreement, and studied the lower limit of maximum feasible agreement.
result Formulated the lower limit of Cohen's kappa and two statistics for agreement analysis.
A new sampling scheme based on DOE improves Shapley value estimation accuracy and speed.
problem Heavy computational burden of calculating Shapley values in large coalition games.
method Design of Experiments (DOE) order-of-addition experimental designs for sampling.
result DOE-based sampling scheme yields more accurate and sometimes deterministic estimates of Shapley values.
Generative Policy-based Models aim to enable a coalition of systems, be they devices or services to adapt according to contextual changes such as environmental factors, user preferences and different tasks whilst adhering to various constraints and regulations as directed by a managing party or the collective vision of…
RKHS-SHAP uses Shapley values for kernel methods to provide feature attributions.
problem Feature attribution for kernel methods is often heuristic and not individualised.
method RKHS-SHAP uses Shapley values from coalition game theory to compute feature attributions for kernel machines efficiently.
result RKHS-SHAP can compute both Interventional and Observational Shapley values.
A game-theoretic approach selects features by testing their marginal contributions.
problem Feature selection in econometric and statistical models.
method A coalitional game where features are players and payoff is model performance. Hypothesis test decides feature relevance.
result The approach significantly outperforms existing methods in simulations.
An explicit solution found for maximizing/minimizing agreement in a 2x2 table.
problem Maximizing or minimizing agreement between clusterings with given marginals.
method Formal framework for several agreement measures, explicit solution for 2x2 table.
result An explicit solution for the 2x2 case.
The paper analyzes reinsurance strategies in peer-to-peer insurance schemes.
problem Strategic interaction between plan managers and reinsurers in P2P insurance.
method Develops two game-theoretic contract designs: Pareto and Bowley designs, deriving optimal contracts and analyzing their welfare effects.
result The Bowley design yields a unique optimal contract, while the Pareto design allows for multiple Pareto-optimal contracts.
This work introduces significativity indices for agreement values between classifiers.
problem Evaluating the quality of agreement measures between classifiers.
method Proposes general approach and two specific indices for evaluation.
result Introduces two new significativity indices for evaluating agreement values.
Paper uses Shapley values to explain how clusters of training data affect predictions.
problem Explaining how training data clusters impact predictions from black-box models.
method Extends Shapley values to cluster importance, using coalitional game theory.
result Shows how different clusters of training data contribute to model predictions.
The paper introduces Absolute Shapley Value to handle negative contributions in machine learning model training.
problem Negative marginal contributions in machine learning model training.
method Investigates three philosophies: Original Shapley Value, Zero Shapley Value, and Absolute Shapley Value.
result Absolute Shapley Value significantly outperforms other definitions in evaluating data importance.
SNAP improves robust computation by emphasizing trustworthy items and downweighting outliers.
problem Improving robustness in computation, especially in high-dimensional settings.
method SNAP assigns weights based on mutual agreement, suppressing outlier contributions.
result SNAP ensures outliers contribute negligibly to computations, even in high-dimensional settings.
We study the problem of interpreting trained classification models in the setting of linguistic data sets. Leveraging a parse tree, we propose to assign least-squares based importance scores to each word of an instance by exploiting syntactic constituency structure. We establish an axiomatic characterization of these i…
Discriminatory trade liberalization policies are becoming more popular among world economies. Countries are motivated to enter for regional trade agreements to capture faster economic growth for alleviating poverty. In developing economies like most of the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations…
The paper explains DNNs by quantifying interactions among input variables.
problem Understanding and explaining the complex behavior of deep neural networks.
method The paper defines and quantifies the significance of interactions among multiple input variables using the Shapley value.
result The proposed method effectively explains the behavior of DNNs by assigning attribution values to input variables.
LFD method improves text classification by making features clearer and less label-leaking.
problem Creating interpretable text representations that are both predictive and understandable.
method LFD method: proposes lexical and semantic features from contrastive text pairs, screens candidates using κ, and selects features by residual gain. result LFD features achieve higher human-human and human-LLM agreement than baseline concepts and are less label-leaking.
Formula found for minimum ARI between clusterings of fixed sizes.
problem Understanding the lowest possible agreement between clusterings.
method Explicit formula derivation for minimum ARI.
result A specific pair of clusterings achieving the minimum ARI is provided.
In unsupervised machine learning, agreement between partitions is commonly assessed with so-called external validity indices. Researchers tend to use and report indices that quantify agreement between two partitions for all clusters simultaneously. Commonly used examples are the Rand index and the adjusted Rand index. …
In many machine learning problems, labeled training data is limited but unlabeled data is ample. Some of these problems have instances that can be factored into multiple views, each of which is nearly sufficent in determining the correct labels. In this paper we present a new algorithm for probabilistic multi-view lear…
In Bipartite Correlation Clustering (BCC) we are given a complete bipartite graph G with `+' and `-' edges, and we seek a vertex clustering that maximizes the number of agreements: the number of all `+' edges within clusters plus all `-' edges cut across clusters. BCC is known to be NP-hard. We present a novel approx…
Model selection is a problem that has occupied machine learning researchers for a long time. Recently, its importance has become evident through applications in deep learning. We propose an agreement-based learning framework that prevents many of the pitfalls associated with model selection. It relies on coupling the t…
A new method for combining multiple data views in supervised learning.
problem Combining multiple data views in supervised learning, especially in biology and medicine.
method Cooperative learning combines squared error loss with an agreement penalty to encourage predictions from different data views to agree.
result Cooperative learning achieves higher predictive accuracy on simulated and real multiomics data.
Understanding the influence of features in machine learning is crucial to interpreting models and selecting the best features for classification. In this work we propose the use of principles from coalitional game theory to reason about importance of features. In particular, we propose the use of the Banzhaf power inde…
Computable contracts simplify financial transactions and reduce legal costs.
problem Difficulty in querying, executing, and analyzing text-based financial contracts.
method Develop a Contract Definition Language and illustrate use cases.
result Substantial improvements in customer experience and cost reduction.
Generalization and reliability of multilingual translation often highly depend on the amount of available parallel data for each language pair of interest. In this paper, we focus on zero-shot generalization---a challenging setup that tests models on translation directions they have not been optimized for at training t…
We apply an asymmetric version of Kirman's herding model to volatile financial markets. In the relation between returns and agent concentration we use the square root law proposed by Zhang. This can be derived by extending the idea of a critical mean field theory suggested by Plerou et al. We show that this model is eq…
Study finds simple model-agreement scores perform well in various error estimation scenarios.
problem Evaluating model performance on unseen distributions using disparate scoring functions.
method Rigorously studied popular scoring functions (confidence, local manifold smoothness, model agreement) independently of mechanism choice.
result Simple model-agreement scores outperform confidence- and smoothness-based scores in realistic settings with compromised training data.
Researchers develop multi-agent systems for quadcopters to collaborate in missions.
problem Enable multiple quadcopters to work together in remote sensing tasks.
method Agent dynamics, network topologies, collective behaviors, agreement protocol, equations of motion for quadcopters.
result Multi-agent systems can successfully collaborate in remote sensing missions.
Ensemble learning is a powerful approach to construct a strong learner from multiple base learners. The most popular way to aggregate an ensemble of classifiers is majority voting, which assigns a sample to the class that most base classifiers vote for. However, improved performance can be obtained by assigning weights…
Study shows more data improves model explanations, aiding reliable knowledge extraction.
problem Challenges in deriving reliable knowledge from machine learning models due to the Rashōmon effect.
method Examined the influence of sample size on explanations from models in a Rashōmon set using SHAP.
result Explanations from <128 samples are highly variable, but agreement improves with more data.
This paper introduces a novel framework for designing fair and sustainable unemployment benefits, grounded in cooperative game theory and real-time fiscal policy. The labor market is modeled as a coalitional game, where a random subset of participants is employed, generating stochastic economic output. To ensure fairne…
Unified framework for policy learning using weak supervision.
problem High-quality supervision is often infeasible or expensive in practice.
method Treat weak supervision as imperfect peer information and evaluate policies based on correlated agreement.
result Substantial performance improvements, especially in complex or noisy environments.
There is considerable debate whether the domestic political institutions (specifically, the country s level of democracy) of the host developing country toward foreign investors are effective in establishing the credibility of commitments are still underway, researchers have also analyzed the effect of international in…
MAS scores cluster size consistency from points, robust to label changes.
problem Desired uniformity in cluster sizes, stability under label perturbations.
method Mass Agreement Score (MAS) measures point-centric cluster size consistency, robust to label changes.
result MAS yields similar scores for partitions with similar bulk structure, sensitive to genuine redistribution of cluster mass.
In important applications involving multi-task networks with multiple objectives, agents in the network need to decide between these multiple objectives and reach an agreement about which single objective to follow for the network. In this work we propose a distributed decision-making algorithm. The agents are assumed …
Co-learning BO improves global optimization with limited samples.
problem Suboptimal solutions in Bayesian optimization due to poor surrogate accuracy.
method Build multiple Gaussian process models to complement each other and reduce prediction errors.
result CLBO achieves more efficient global optimization with fewer samples.