Naz and Chaudhry [3] established multiple closed-form solutions for the basic Lucas-Uzawa model. According to Boucekkine and Ruiz-Tamarit [1] and Chilarescu [2] unique closed-form solutions exist for the basic Lucas-Uzawa model. We equate expressions for variables h(t) and u(t). We provide here condition for the unique…
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New method generates novel samples from closed-form diffusion models.
A large proportion of market making models derive from the seminal model of Avellaneda and Stoikov. The numerical approximation of the value function and the optimal quotes in these models remains a challenge when the number of assets is large. In this article, we propose closed-form approximations for the value functi…
Novel Hilbert space Gaussian process improves sequential design accuracy and efficiency.
Closed-form relations and approximations for SE(3) derivatives for robust numerical simulations.
Estimation of the operational risk capital under the Loss Distribution Approach requires evaluation of aggregate (compound) loss distributions which is one of the classic problems in risk theory. Closed-form solutions are not available for the distributions typically used in operational risk. However with modern comput…
The paper introduces closed-form expressions for interpreting Tsetlin Machines.
MDMA provides closed-form marginals and conditionals for deep networks.
In recent years, active subspace methods (ASMs) have become a popular means of performing subspace sensitivity analysis on black-box functions. Naively applied, however, ASMs require gradient evaluations of the target function. In the event of noisy, expensive, or stochastic simulators, evaluating gradients via finite …
Neural network discovers exact solutions to QP with linear constraints.
Proposes a new method for data assimilation using closed-form conditional diffusion models.
We introduce a unified framework for solving first passage times of time-homogeneous diffusion processes. According to the killed version potential theory and the perturbation theory, we are able to deduce closed-form solutions for probability densities of single-sided level crossing problem. The framework is applicabl…
Regression problems that have closed-form solutions are well understood and can be easily implemented when the dataset is small enough to be all loaded into the RAM. Challenges arise when data is too big to be stored in RAM to compute the closed form solutions. Many techniques were proposed to overcome or alleviate the…
VBphenoR uses variational Bayes for EHR-based patient phenotyping.
We develop a family of techniques to align word embeddings which are derived from different source datasets or created using different mechanisms (e.g., GloVe or word2vec). Our methods are simple and have a closed form to optimally rotate, translate, and scale to minimize root mean squared errors or maximize the averag…
Worst-case risk measures refer to the calculation of the largest value for risk measures when only partial information of the underlying distribution is available. For the popular risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), it is now known that their worst-case counterparts can be ev…
Markov networks (MNs) are a powerful way to compactly represent a joint probability distribution, but most MN structure learning methods are very slow, due to the high cost of evaluating candidates structures. Dependency networks (DNs) represent a probability distribution as a set of conditional probability distributio…
In this paper, we model financial markets with semi-Markov volatilities and price covarinace and correlation swaps for this markets. Numerical evaluations of vari- nace, volatility, covarinace and correlations swaps with semi-Markov volatility are presented as well. The novelty of the paper lies in pricing of volatilit…
SDE automatically recovers interpretable discrete distributions.
Alternative closed-form formula for spread call option prices under log-normal models.
We propose a scalable stochastic variational approach to GP classification building on Polya-Gamma data augmentation and inducing points. Unlike former approaches, we obtain closed-form updates based on natural gradients that lead to efficient optimization. We evaluate the algorithm on real-world datasets containing up…
We solve the mean parametrization of von Mises-Fisher distribution.
A new metric for comparing probability measures on graphs, scalable and negative definite.
A new retraction on Stiefel manifold with a closed-form inverse.
A new method for inferring latent states in Markov jump processes.
We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess all polynomial moments. We establish parametric conditions which guarantee existen…
Unified view on GP transfer learning for Bayesian optimization.
The Gerber-Shiu function provides a way of measuring the risk of an insurance company. It is given by the expected value of a function that depends on the ruin time, the deficit at ruin, and the surplus prior to ruin. Its computation requires the evaluation of the overshoot/undershoot distributions of the surplus proce…
We introduce a Vasicek-type short rate model which has two additional parameters representing memory effect. This model presents better results in yield curve fitting than the classical Vasicek model. We derive closed-form expressions for the prices of bonds and bond options. Though the model is non-Markov, there exist…
KL-MS improves regret bounds for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.
Iterative tilting fine-tunes diffusion models for reward-tilted distributions.
This paper provides a dictionary of closed-form kernel mean embeddings.
Based on the concept of self-decomposable random variables we discuss the application of a model for a pair of dependent Poisson processes to energy facilities. Due to the resulting structure of the jump events we can see the self-decomposability as a form of cointegration among jumps. In the context of energy faciliti…
Layer-wise networks have a closed-form solution and a stopping criterion.
New retraction on symplectic Stiefel manifold with closed-form inverse.
Layer-wise networks have a closed-form solution and a stopping criterion.
An extension of the regularized least-squares in which the estimation parameters are stretchable is introduced and studied in this paper. The solution of this ridge regression with stretchable parameters is given in primal and dual spaces and in closed-form. Essentially, the proposed solution stretches the covariance c…
Meta-GLAR combines global deep representations with local adaptation for improved forecasting accuracy.
Proposes a method to adapt DNNs to drift in data distribution.
Survey on closed-form Fisher-Rao distance expressions.
In this note we consider setups in which variational objectives for Bayesian neural networks can be computed in closed form. In particular we focus on single-layer networks in which the activation function is piecewise polynomial (e.g. ReLU). In this case we show that for a Normal likelihood and structured Normal varia…
Introduces q-paths for generalizing geometric annealing paths in machine learning.
Bayesian neural networks learn weights with closed-form updates.
New method uses generative models to estimate aleatoric uncertainty without strict data restrictions.
Improved portfolio optimization using VaR and CVaR with NMVM models.
CCC clusters with controlled spread, outperforming standard methods.
We consider optimization of composite objective functions, i.e., of the form , where is a black-box derivative-free expensive-to-evaluate function with vector-valued outputs, and is a cheap-to-evaluate real-valued function. While these problems can be solved with standard Bayesian optimization, we…
In this work, I generalize Merton's approach of pricing risky debt to the case where the interest rate risk is modeled by the CIR term structure. Closed form result for pricing the debt is given for the case where the firm value has non-zero correlation with the interest rate. This extends previous closed form pricing …