Owe to the recent advancements in Artificial Intelligence especially deep learning, many data-driven decision support systems have been implemented to facilitate medical doctors in delivering personalized care. We focus on the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) models in this paper. DRL models have demonstrated human-le…
AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.
problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.
Objectives: Electronic health records (EHRs) are only a first step in capturing and utilizing health-related data - the challenge is turning that data into useful information. Furthermore, EHRs are increasingly likely to include data relating to patient outcomes, functionality such as clinical decision support, and gen…
Deep learning, an area of machine learning, is set to revolutionize patient care. But it is not yet part of standard of care, especially when it comes to individual patient care. In fact, it is unclear to what extent data-driven techniques are being used to support clinical decision making (CDS). Heretofore, there has …
CASCADE improves uncertainty communication in Parkinson's disease medication management.
problem Uncertainty in clinical decision-making for Parkinson's disease patients.
method CASCADE uses a novel conformal prediction framework to adaptively scale prediction intervals based on classification uncertainty.
result CASCADE produces more efficient and robust prediction intervals for Parkinson's disease patients.
Causal ML predicts treatment outcomes, aiding personalized medicine.
problem Predicting individualized treatment effects for personalized medicine.
method Flexible, data-driven methods using causal inference with clinical trial and real-world data.
result Causal ML allows for estimating individualized treatment effects.
Study improves mortality prediction in hospital patients using comprehensive feature engineering.
problem Accurate prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality in healthcare.
method Comprehensive feature engineering approach using vital signs, laboratory results, and demographic data.
result Random Forest model achieved highest performance with AUC of 0.94, significantly outperforming other models.
In this chapter, we provide a brief overview of applying machine learning techniques for clinical prediction tasks. We begin with a quick introduction to the concepts of machine learning and outline some of the most common machine learning algorithms. Next, we demonstrate how to apply the algorithms with appropriate to…
Clinical decision support systems (CDSS) will play an in-creasing role in improving the quality of medical care for critically ill patients. However, due to limitations in current informatics infrastructure, CDSS do not always have com-plete information on state of supporting physiologic monitor-ing devices, which can …
This research improves uncertainty estimation for medical predictions, enhancing model trust and decision support.
problem Improving model uncertainty estimation for rare medical conditions.
method Developed and refined heuristics for selecting uncertainty estimation techniques, distinguishing them by clinical use-case. Also, compared ensembles vs. auto-encoders for detecting out-of-domain examples.
result Auto-encoders outperform ensembles in detecting out-of-domain examples, highlighting their importance for medical tabular data.
The paper studies how noisy labels impact decision-making in machine learning.
problem The impact of noisy labels on decision-making in machine learning.
method Introducing a notion of regret, studying standard approaches, and estimating individual-level mistakes.
result Standard approaches can lead to unforeseen mistakes for individuals, revealing the need for anticipation.
Improved model predicts ICU readmission and mortality with interpretable results.
problem Lack of clinically interpretable predictions from deep learning models on clinical notes.
method Augmented a convolutional model with an attention mechanism for clinical note prediction.
result Attention mechanism improves prediction performance while providing interpretable results.
Framework improves health by planning actionable treatment processes.
problem Developing objective treatment processes in clinical settings.
method Surrogate Bayesian model combined with ML for personalized health improvement.
result Computed treatment processes are actionable and consistent with clinical knowledge.
Proposes a new Q-learning method for survival outcomes in clinical trials.
problem Incomplete follow-up data and nonlinear covariate effects in clinical trials.
method Combines Buckley-James boosting with flexible base learners for estimating optimal treatment regimes.
result Improves treatment decision accuracy and stability in longitudinal clinical trials.
Review of methods enabling causal predictions under hypothetical interventions.
problem Need for predicting outcomes under hypothetical interventions in decision making.
method Systematic review of methods using causal inference for prediction models.
result Identified 13 methods for causal inference from observational data.
Hybrid Bayesian-conformal framework improves uncertainty quantification in healthcare predictions.
problem Jointly satisfying distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision in clinical decision-making.
method Integrates Bayesian hierarchical random forests with group-aware conformal calibration, using posterior uncertainties to weight conformity scores.
result Achieves target coverage (94.3% vs 95% target) with adaptive precision, 21% narrower intervals for low-uncertainty cases.
An assistant learns to mediate decisions between humans and experts, balancing risk and learning.
problem Learning to mediate decisions between imperfect humans and expert knowledge.
method Formalizes online decision mediation, proposes a policy to balance immediate loss and future generalization.
result Consistent gains over benchmarks in decision-making performance.
Determining the optimal initial dose for warfarin is a critically important task. Several factors have an impact on the therapeutic dose for individual patients, such as patients' physical attributes (Age, Height, etc.), medication profile, co-morbidities, and metabolic genotypes (CYP2C9 and VKORC1). These wide range f…
This paper studies the trade-off between model accuracy and coverage for diagnosis models used by patients.
problem Balancing accuracy and coverage in diagnosis models for patient use.
method Learned diagnosis models with varying coverage from EHR data.
result A 1% drop in top-3 accuracy for every 10 diseases added to the coverage.
In this work, we present our various contributions to the objective of building a decision support tool for the diagnosis of rare diseases. Our goal is to achieve a state of knowledge where the uncertainty about the patient's disease is below a predetermined threshold. We aim to reach such states while minimizing the a…
Improved negation detection in Dutch clinical texts using machine learning.
problem Extracting negation from clinical text for better model development.
method Comparison of rule-based and machine learning methods (biLSTM, RoBERTa).
result BiLSTM and RoBERTa models outperform rule-based method in F1 score, precision, and recall.
Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.
problem Challenges in patient triage, treatment, and care management during the pandemic.
method Integrated four-step approach combining descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics.
result Optimized resource allocation and informed policy decisions.
Paper uses ML to classify liver diseases from clinical data.
problem Classifying liver diseases from clinical data.
method Multiple imputation, PCA, data visualizations, binary classifier algorithms (ANN, RF, SVM).
result SVM showed better accuracy (98.23%).
The study evaluates AI model performance measures for medical use.
problem Selecting appropriate performance measures for AI models in medical practice.
method Assessed 32 performance measures across five domains for binary outcomes.
result 17 measures are both proper and reflect decision-analytic performance.
We study the problem of privacy-preserving machine learning (PPML) for ensemble methods, focusing our effort on random forests. In collaborative analysis, PPML attempts to solve the conflict between the need for data sharing and privacy. This is especially important in privacy sensitive applications such as learning pr…
DWTS uses observational data to improve clinical trial efficiency.
problem Lack of definitive conclusions from randomized clinical trials due to insufficient patient cohorts and confounding biases.
method DWTS combines observational data with randomized clinical trials using Doubly Debiased LASSO (DDL) to identify reliable covariates.
result DWTS reduces cumulative regret in clinical trials compared to standard methods.
Clinical decision making is challenging because of pathological complexity, as well as large amounts of heterogeneous data generated as part of routine clinical care. In recent years, machine learning tools have been developed to aid this process. Intensive care unit (ICU) admissions represent the most data dense and t…
Study benchmarks contextual bandit algorithms for precision oncology using in vitro data.
problem Designing effective protocols for individual treatment assignment in precision oncology.
method Proposed a benchmark dataset of in vitro drug responses to evaluate contextual bandit algorithms.
result Bayesian bandit algorithms performed better than a rule-based baseline in minimizing regret.
Logistic regression (LR) is widely used in clinical prediction because it is simple to deploy and easy to interpret. Nevertheless, being a linear model, LR has limited expressive capability and often has unsatisfactory performance. Generalized additive models (GAMs) extend the linear model with transformations of input…
Study investigates XAI methods in clinical gait analysis.
problem Limited understanding of machine learning models in healthcare.
method XAI methods, specifically Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP), to explain ML predictions.
result Explanations from LRP show promising statistical and clinical relevance.
Natural language processing predicts ICU readmissions with 74.8% accuracy.
problem Early detection of ICU readmissions to improve patient outcomes and reduce costs.
method Natural language processing of discharge summaries, machine learning classifiers, UMLS standardization.
result Best configuration achieved an AUC of 0.748 for predicting ICU readmissions.
In both the fields of computer science and medicine there is very strong interest in developing personalized treatment policies for patients who have variable responses to treatments. In particular, I aim to find an optimal personalized treatment policy which is a non-deterministic function of the patient specific cova…
Objective: A clinical decision support tool that automatically interprets EEGs can reduce time to diagnosis and enhance real-time applications such as ICU monitoring. Clinicians have indicated that a sensitivity of 95% with a specificity below 5% was the minimum requirement for clinical acceptance. We propose a highper…
Novel IRL method identifies suboptimal medical decisions in ICU data.
problem Identifying suboptimal medical decisions in clinical settings.
method Incorporates Inverse Reinforcement Learning with a pruning step to identify and remove suboptimal actions.
result Pruning step effectively identifies clinical priorities and values from suboptimal data.
Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.
problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.
Paper detects bias in AI medical models using CART.
problem Ensuring fairness in AI medical decision support systems.
method Uses Classification and Regression Trees (CART) algorithm to identify bias.
result Validated the CART approach in both synthetic and real-world data.
A clinical Meta-Dataset from TCGA for multi-task learning.
problem Clinical decision making requires considering multiple factors; current benchmarks lack consistency and variety.
method Developed a Meta-Dataset with 174 tasks from TCGA, using regression and neural networks.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of predicting multiple clinical variables from gene expression data.
Early hospital mortality prediction is critical as intensivists strive to make efficient medical decisions about the severely ill patients staying in intensive care units. As a result, various methods have been developed to address this problem based on clinical records. However, some of the laboratory test results are…
AACE learns treatment policies from EHRs using annotations to improve accuracy.
problem Learning treatment policies from multimodal EHRs with bias and inefficiency.
method Annotation-assisted coarsened effects (AACE) method.
result AACE outperforms existing methods in predicting treatment benefit from multimodal EHRs.
Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically rely on logistic regression. One reason for this is that existing machine learning…
New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.
problem Variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare, leading to unreliable treatment decisions.
method Proposed evaluation framework using empirical prediction interval width and empirical decision flip rate diagnostics.
result Randomness in optimization and initialization can lead to substantial individual-level variability in risk estimates, affecting clinical decisions.
With the improvement of medical data capturing, vast amount of continuous patient monitoring data, e.g., electrocardiogram (ECG), real-time vital signs and medications, become available for clinical decision support at intensive care units (ICUs). However, it becomes increasingly challenging to model such data, due to …
TrialGraph uses graph machine learning to improve clinical trial design and predict side effects.
problem Complexity and cost in clinical trials hinder drug development.
method Curated clinical trial data set converted to graph-structured formats, applied graph machine learning algorithms.
result MetaPath2Vec algorithm performed exceptionally well, improving prediction accuracy.
Survival analysis is a fundamental tool in medical research to identify predictors of adverse events and develop systems for clinical decision support. In order to leverage large amounts of patient data, efficient optimisation routines are paramount. We propose an efficient training algorithm for the kernel survival su…
Pairwise ranking aligns subjective clinical evaluations with objective indicators.
problem Aligning subjective clinical evaluations with objective indicators for improved diagnosis.
method Pairwise ranking methods to align subjective evaluations with objective indicators.
result The resulting score improves classification accuracy and provides a nuanced severity assessment.
PO-Flow models potential and counterfactual outcomes for personalized treatment decisions.
problem Predicting individualized treatment effects from observational data.
method Continuous normalizing flow (CNF) framework for causal inference.
result Unified approach to potential outcome prediction, treatment effect estimation, and counterfactual prediction.
Develops a machine learning model to predict ALS progression and assistive device use.
problem Challenges in predicting clinically meaningful milestones in ALS.
method Integrates longitudinal ALSFRS-R trajectories with survival modeling.
result Generates individualized survival curves and predicts wheelchair-free survival.
Unified Bayesian framework improves clinical trial hypothesis testing.
problem Lack of transparency and inability to quantify evidence in traditional P-values.
method Interval null hypothesis framework combined with Bayes factor-based tests.
result Bayesian interval hypothesis testing ensures frequentist error control and interpretability.