Optimal posterior distributions improve SVM classifiers and parameter selection.
problem Improving SVM classifiers and selecting optimal regularization parameters.
method PAC-Bayesian approach with optimal posterior identification for stochastic classifiers.
result Optimal posteriors yield tight risk bounds and improved SVM performance.
Estimates class posterior probabilities without using scores from classifiers.
problem Estimating class posterior probabilities for new points in classification tasks.
method Varying prior probabilities to derive the ratio of pdf's at point x, directly determining class posterior probabilities.
result A method to estimate posterior probabilities without relying on classification scores.
Transfer learning assumes classifiers of similar tasks share certain parameter structures. Unfortunately, modern classifiers uses sophisticated feature representations with huge parameter spaces which lead to costly transfer. Under the impression that changes from one classifier to another should be ``simple'', an effi…
Study compares chi-squared divergence and KL-divergence posteriors for PAC-Bayesian bounds.
problem Investigates optimal posteriors for PAC-Bayesian bounds using chi-squared divergence.
method Analyzes bounds for three distance functions, derives FP equations for computation.
result Chi-squared divergence based posteriors have weaker bounds and worse test errors.
New framework tackles DG under posterior drift, where optimal classifier varies by domain.
problem Generalizing from multiple domains with varying optimal classifiers.
method Decision-theoretic framework for DG under posterior drift.
result Optimal classifier can vary significantly across domains, challenging existing DG approaches.
Study generalization of voting classifiers using margin-based bounds.
problem Understanding the generalization of ensemble classifiers like voting.
method Proved margin-based generalization bounds using PAC-Bayes theory and Dirichlet posteriors.
result Provided state-of-the-art guarantees on classification tasks.
SDG uses optimal control to improve classifier guidance in low-density regions.
problem Inefficient guidance in low-density regions of posterior distributions.
method Integrates stochastic optimal control with Stein variational inference to compute the steepest descent direction.
result SDG improves guidance in low-density regions, outperforming standard methods.
Proposes a method to quantify uncertainty in deterministic image classifiers.
problem Uncertainty in deterministic image classifiers.
method Introduces Wellington Posterior for inductive transfer from scenes.
result Validates Wellington Posterior using various methods.
Bayesian method classifies actin cytoskeleton networks using topological data.
problem Classifying the structure of biological networks, especially actin cytoskeleton networks.
method Transform actin cytoskeleton networks into persistence diagrams, quantify variability with Bayesian framework, estimate posterior distributions.
result Bayesian framework successfully classifies actin filament networks, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
DeepCCG adapts classifiers to representation shifts in one step.
problem Adapting classifiers to shifts in continuous representation.
method Empirical Bayesian approach using class conditional Gaussian classifier and KL divergence for selection.
result DeepCCG reduces performance change due to representation shifts.
The paper compares one-hot encoding to Naïve Bayes for categorical variables.
problem Incorrect one-hot encoding affects Naïve Bayes performance.
method Mathematical and experimental analysis of PoB vs. categorical Naïve Bayes.
result Posterior probabilities are usually greater in the PoB case, but agree on the maximum a posteriori class label.
Focal loss improves classification but not class-posterior probability estimation.
problem Improving class-posterior probability estimation from focal loss.
method Proved classification-calibration and derived a transformation to recover true class-posterior probabilities.
result A transformation of the confidence score from focal loss minimization allows recovery of true class-posterior probabilities.
CP-GAN generates images selectively conditioned on class specificity, capturing between-class relationships.
problem Generating images selectively conditioned on class specificity in class-overlapping data.
method Proposed Classifier's Posterior GAN (CP-GAN) that redesigns generator input and objective function for class-overlapping data.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of CP-GAN using both controlled and real-world class-overlapping data.
In this study, we present a multi-class graphical Bayesian predictive classifier that incorporates the uncertainty in the model selection into the standard Bayesian formalism. For each class, the dependence structure underlying the observed features is represented by a set of decomposable Gaussian graphical models. Emp…
L-C2ST improves local diagnostics for SBI approximations.
problem Evaluating trustworthiness of posterior approximations in SBI.
method Local evaluation of posterior estimators at any observation.
result Offers better statistical power and interpretability.
The study quantifies decision-making risks from suboptimal classifiers and proposes methods to reduce these risks.
problem Excess risk in decision-making from suboptimal probabilistic classifiers.
method Analytical expressions and upper/lower bounds for excess risk, calibration curve estimation, grouping loss estimator.
result Identifies regimes where recalibration alone or post-training is more effective.
New method computes discriminative classifiers from generative models.
problem Discriminative vs generative classifiers are often seen as distinct, but this work shows they can be equivalent.
method General theoretical result showing generative classifiers can be computed discriminatively.
result Bayesian Maximum Posterior classifier from generative models matches discriminative classifier definition.
Conformal C2ST turns weak classifiers into reliable two-sample tests.
problem Determining if two distributions are identical using weak classifiers.
method Developed conformal variants of the C2ST to convert any classifier scores into reliable p-values.
result Even weak classifiers can yield powerful and reliable two-sample tests.
Bayesian neural networks improve performance at finite temperature.
problem Improving generalization in neural network classifiers.
method Sampling from finite temperature distributions derived from the posterior.
result Optimal performance achieved at non-zero temperature values.
The paper analyzes recalibration methods for binary classifiers under distribution shift.
problem Recalibrating binary classifiers to match a target prior probability.
method Analysis of distribution shift assumptions and proposal of new recalibration methods.
result QMM methods provide conservative results for risk weights functions.
This paper distills Bayesian posterior expectations for deep neural networks.
problem Improving deep neural network performance and uncertainty quantification.
method Develops a framework for distilling expectations from Bayesian posterior distributions using Monte Carlo samples.
result The framework successfully distills posterior predictive distribution and expected entropy.
ABC method uses machine learning for likelihood-free inference.
problem Statistical inference in simulator-based models with intractable likelihoods.
method Direct comparison of empirical distributions via KL divergence estimator and contrastive learning.
result Asymptotic normality of ABC posterior distributions with properly scaled exponential kernel.
Proposes a new method for conformal prediction under covariate shift with posterior drift.
problem Improving classification performance in target domains with limited training data.
method Weighted conformal classifier that leverages source and target samples.
result Demonstrates favorable asymptotic properties and practical utility.
LC-CRFs are equivalent to HMMs, and MPM/MAP classifiers can be reformulated as CRFs.
problem Comparing and reformulating HMMs and CRFs.
method Demonstrating equivalence and reformulation of classifiers.
result LC-CRFs are equivalent to HMMs, and MPM/MAP classifiers can be reformulated as CRFs.
EG-LF-MCMC infers posterior densities without likelihoods.
problem Posterior inference for models with intractable likelihoods.
method Two-phase approach: error recording and classification for MCMC.
result EG-LF-MCMC provides approximate posterior densities efficiently.
Combines MALA and Adam for efficient uncertainty quantification in deep learning.
problem Uncertainty estimation in deep neural networks.
method Integrates Metropolis Adjusted Langevin Algorithm (MALA) with momentum-based optimization (Adam) for efficient sampling from posterior distributions.
result The algorithm approximates the Gibbs posterior in total variation distance and efficiently quantifies epistemic uncertainty.
Paper studies transfer learning for nonparametric classification, establishing rates and proposing adaptive classifiers.
problem Transfer learning in nonparametric classification under different distributions.
method Established minimax rates and proposed adaptive classifiers based on weighted K-NN approach.
result Data-driven adaptive classifier achieves near-optimal rates over various parameter spaces.
Funnelling improves cross-lingual text classification accuracy.
problem Classifying documents in multiple languages more accurately than individual language classifiers.
method A two-tier classification system using posterior probabilities from language-dependent classifiers.
result Funnelling significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multilingual text classification.
Characterizes uncertainty in high-dimensional linear classification models.
problem Assessing uncertainty in high-dimensional linear classification models.
method Approximate message passing algorithm for posterior marginals, closed-form formula for joint statistics.
result Closed-form formula for joint statistics between logistic classifier, Bayesian uncertainty, and ground-truth probit uncertainty.
We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we employ posterior distributions over models, thus taking into account in a princi…
Discriminative classifier for compositional data using hierarchical mixture of Generalized Dirichlet models.
problem Classifying compositional data, especially in spam detection and color space identification.
method Hierarchical mixture of discriminative Generalized Dirichlet classifiers, using variational approximation for parameter learning.
result First time a variational upper-bound for Generalized Dirichlet mixture is proposed in literature.
The paper derives a formula for factorizing categorical data to improve Bayes classifiers.
problem Improving the accuracy of Bayes classifiers by effectively factoring multidimensional data.
method Derives an explicit formula for calculating the marginal likelihood of a factorized categorical dataset.
result The derived formula can be used to select the best factorization for constructing a Bayes classifier.
New method estimates grouping loss in neural networks to improve confidence scores.
problem Improving confidence scores in neural networks to reflect true posterior probabilities.
method Proposed an estimator to approximate the grouping loss.
result Modern neural networks exhibit grouping loss, especially in distribution shifts.
New method corrects skewed confidence for PbN classification.
problem Weakly supervised binary classification with biased negative data.
method Corrects skewed confidence in negative data to improve classifier.
result Reduces distortion in posterior probability for PbN classification.
A new method for unsupervised domain adaptation using Gaussian processes.
problem Reducing target domain error by aligning input and output distributions.
method Max-margin Gaussian process approach to achieve hypothesis consistency.
result Our method effectively minimizes maximum discrepancy and maximizes margins.
This paper analyzes kNN convergence over feature transformations.
problem The curse of dimensionality affects kNN performance in transformed feature spaces.
method Developed a novel analysis on kNN convergence rates over transformed features, linking properties of the transformed space to raw feature space.
result Theoretical analysis explains why some feature transformations are better for kNN.
Posterior conformal prediction improves prediction interval validity for subgroups.
problem Marginal and conditional prediction interval validity for subgroups.
method Modeling conditional nonconformity score distribution as a mixture of cluster distributions.
result PCP produces tighter prediction intervals, especially for well-represented clusters.
Differentially private statistical inference using β-divergence.
problem Achieving differential privacy without altering data generation.
method Sampling from a generalised posterior minimizing β-divergence. result More precise inference with broader applicability.
Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.
problem Ensemble pre-trained and lightly-finetuned foundation models for improved classification performance.
method Introduces trainable linear classifiers and computationally cheaper model averaging scheme (OMA).
result Ensembled models can better predict on various datasets.
Efficient classifier error estimation without re-training.
problem Estimating classifier error without re-training.
method Generalized resubstitution based on empirical measures.
result Consistent and asymptotically unbiased error estimation.
Usually one compares the accuracy of two competing classifiers via null hypothesis significance tests (nhst). Yet the nhst tests suffer from important shortcomings, which can be overcome by switching to Bayesian hypothesis testing. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model which jointly analyzes the cross-validation res…
Bayesian inference improved with classifier-based misspecification detection and tempering.
problem Model misspecification in Bayesian inference leads to overly concentrated posteriors.
method Probabilistic classifiers trained on simulated vs. observed data to estimate model misspecification and tempering level.
result Estimation of negative KL divergence provides useful diagnostic and update method.
CoLT assesses neural posterior estimates by detecting discrepancies across conditioning inputs.
problem Validating neural posterior estimates from limited data.
method Conditional Localization Test (CoLT) learns a localization function to detect strong deviations.
result CoLT provides rigorous guarantees and practical scalability for comparing true and neural posterior distributions.
C2VAE learns disentangled and coupled representations without prior knowledge.
problem Learning disentangled and coupled representations in latent space.
method Introduces C2VAE, a self-supervised VAE that factorizes posterior and uses Gaussian copula for dependencies. result Demonstrates strong effect in enhancing disentangled representation learning.
New method certifies deep graph classifiers with tighter risk bounds.
problem Certifying the reliability of deep graph classifiers.
method Linearized deep assignment flows with random initial conditions, using PAC-Bayes risk certification.
result Computes tighter out-of-sample risk certificates efficiently.
Exact learning improves naive Bayes classifier performance for small samples.
problem Improving naive Bayes classifier performance with small sample sizes.
method Proposes an exact learning augmented naive Bayes classifier (ANB) that ensures a class variable with no parents.
result The proposed ANB method outperforms other methods in comparison experiments.
We show that Entropy-SGD (Chaudhari et al., 2017), when viewed as a learning algorithm, optimizes a PAC-Bayes bound on the risk of a Gibbs (posterior) classifier, i.e., a randomized classifier obtained by a risk-sensitive perturbation of the weights of a learned classifier. Entropy-SGD works by optimizing the bound's p…
We propose an empirical Bayes estimator based on Dirichlet process mixture model for estimating the sparse normalized mean difference, which could be directly applied to the high dimensional linear classification. In theory, we build a bridge to connect the estimation error of the mean difference and the misclassificat…