Research identifies risks in selecting project managers for civil engineering projects.
problem Lack of awareness of project manager selection criteria and associated risks.
method Combined ANP-FMEA approach for risk analysis.
result ANP-FMEA model identifies more significant risks than traditional FMEA.
The paper develops a method to discover causal relations and predict material laws with uncertainty quantification.
problem Discovering causal relations and predicting material laws with uncertainty in civil engineering applications.
method The paper develops a causal discovery algorithm to infer causal relations among time-history data. It uses a deep neural network with dropout layers for uncertainty quantification and propagates predictions through a causal graph.
result The method accurately predicts material laws and quantifies uncertainty, as demonstrated in two numerical examples.
Paper proposes a holistic optimization for civil structures considering uncertainties.
problem Designing civil structures requires integration of material and structural design.
method Holistic optimization combining concrete mixture design and structural simulations.
result Inverted workflow allows consideration of new mixtures and uncertainties.
Can engineering neural networks be approached in a disciplined way similar to how engineers build software for civil aircraft? We present nn-dependability-kit, an open-source toolbox to support safety engineering of neural networks for autonomous driving systems. The rationale behind nn-dependability-kit is to consider…
Proposes efficient algorithm for system-level I&M decisions under uncertainty.
problem Optimal management strategies for deteriorating civil engineering systems.
method Factored partially observable Markov decision process with Bayesian networks and DDMAC reinforcement learning.
result DDMAC policies offer substantial benefits over heuristic approaches in system-level cost optimization.
Generative Adversarial Networks create synthetic data for structural damage detection.
problem Data scarcity in structural damage detection.
method 1-D Wasserstein Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks (1-D WDCGAN-GP) for synthetic data generation.
result Generated synthetic data improves damage detection accuracy in 1-D Deep Convolutional Neural Networks.
This article derives prognostic expressions for the evolution of globally aggregated economic wealth, productivity, inflation, technological change, innovation and growth. The approach is to treat civilization as an open, non-equilibrium thermodynamic system that dissipates energy and diffuses matter in order to sustai…
Study defines and optimizes bank reliability using LR and PSO.
problem Lack of reliability concept in financial services.
method Logistic Regression (LR) for initial estimation, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for optimization.
result Optimal financial ratios maximize bank reliability.
Territorial control is a key aspect shaping the dynamics of civil war. Despite its importance, we lack data on territorial control that are fine-grained enough to account for subnational spatio-temporal variation and that cover a large set of conflicts. To resolve this issue, we propose a theoretical model of the relat…
A machine learning surrogate model predicts earthquake-induced building responses.
problem Expensive FE model simulations for earthquake damage estimation.
method SVD-based earthquake characterization and machine learning model training.
result Deep neural network provides most accurate predictions of building responses.
An increasing amount of civil engineering applications are utilising data acquired from infrastructure instrumented with sensing devices. This data has an important role in monitoring the response of these structures to excitation, and evaluating structural health. In this paper we seek to monitor pedestrian-events (su…
Paper examines how adversarial ML attacks and defenses impact civil liberties and human rights.
problem Impact of adversarial machine learning on civil liberties and human rights.
method Uses insights from STS, anthropology, and human rights literature.
result Adversarial defenses can be used to suppress dissent and limit investigation of ML systems.
Shapelet transform improves time series classification for earthquake, wind, and wave events.
problem Autonomous detection of specific events from large time series datasets in civil engineering.
method Shapelet transform for local similarity in time series subsequences, combined with machine learning.
result Shapelet transform yields a new feature representation for time series signals in civil engineering.
New method models stopping times that can be equal with non-zero probability.
problem Standard stopping time models assume conditional independence, limiting flexibility.
method Modified Cox construction with bivariate exponential distribution.
result Created a family of stopping times that can be equal with positive probability.
Long-range climate forecasts use integrated assessment models to link the global economy to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper evaluates an alternative economic framework outlined in part 1 of this study (Garrett, 2014) that approaches the global economy using purely physical principles rather than explicitly resolve…
This paper reviews traditional and modern methods for detecting structural damage using vibrations.
problem Early warning of structural damage to maintain civil structures.
method Vibration-based methods and ML/DL algorithms.
result ML and DL algorithms show superior performance in detecting structural damage.
The inequality of wealth distribution is a universal phenomenon in the civilized nations, and it is often imputed to the Matthew effect, that is, the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Some philosophers unjustified this phenomenon and tried to put the human civilization upon the evenness of wealth. Noticing the f…
The paper proposes a method to model non-smooth functions using clustering, classification, and Gaussian process modeling.
problem Modeling discontinuities and non-smoothness in expensive computational models.
method Three-stage approach combining clustering, classification, and Gaussian process modeling.
result The approach successfully models discontinuities and non-smoothness in various functions.
Bayesian inference of discrete component states in civil infrastructures using PGMs and GNNs.
problem Inferring discrete states of civil infrastructure components from measurable responses is an ill-posed inverse problem.
method The study proposes a novel Bayesian inversion paradigm based on Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). PGMs are used to model the problem, with parameters learned from data and structural topology prior. Inference is accomplished by GNNs, and a graph property-based training strategy is developed.
result The proposed framework effectively solves the challenges of inferring the posterior PDF for discrete variables in high-dimensional problems.
While modern day web applications aim to create impact at the civilization level, they have become vulnerable to adversarial activity, where the next cyber-attack can take any shape and can originate from anywhere. The increasing scale and sophistication of attacks, has prompted the need for a data driven solution, wit…
The high structural deficient rate poses serious risks to the operation of many bridges and buildings. To prevent critical damage and structural collapse, a quick structural health diagnosis tool is needed during normal operation or immediately after extreme events. In structural health monitoring (SHM), many existing …
For those concerned with the long-term value of their accounts, it can be a challenge to plan in the present for inflation-adjusted economic growth over coming decades. Here, I argue that there exists an economic constant that carries through time, and that this can help us to anticipate the more distant future: global…
Quantum computing improves copula-based risk aggregation models.
problem Improving quantum models for copula-based risk aggregation.
method Applied Quantum Circuit Born Machine (QCBM) to trapped ion quantum computers, introduced annealing-inspired strategy.
result Quantum models yield comparable or better predictions in risk aggregation tasks.
First-best climate policy is a uniform carbon tax which gradually rises over time. Civil servants have complicated climate policy to expand bureaucracies, politicians to create rents. Environmentalists have exaggerated climate change to gain influence, other activists have joined the climate bandwagon. Opponents to cli…
Study predicts social relationships using triadic influence from social networks.
problem Difficulty in quantifying social relationships and their dynamics.
method Real social networks of 13 schools, neural networks, high-dimensional embedding.
result Triadic influence achieves highest accuracy in predicting student relationships.
When machine learning systems fail because of adversarial manipulation, how should society expect the law to respond? Through scenarios grounded in adversarial ML literature, we explore how some aspects of computer crime, copyright, and tort law interface with perturbation, poisoning, model stealing and model inversion…
This work analyzes fairness-accuracy trade-offs using causal methods.
problem Discriminatory behavior in machine learning systems based on sensitive characteristics.
method Introduces path-specific excess loss (PSEL) and causal fairness/utility ratio to quantify trade-offs.
result Shows how enforcing fairness constraints can reduce discrimination while increasing loss.
The July Revolution in Bangladesh was fueled by state violence, which paradoxically strengthened the movement.
problem Understanding how state repression can paradoxically lead to increased mobilization during civil resistance.
method Mixed-methods approach combining qualitative narrative and quantitative analysis using machine learning and statistical modeling.
result The July Revolution was driven by a contingent, non-linear backfire effect triggered by specific catalytic moral shocks and accelerated by the viral reaction to state brutality.
EKH adds metrics to knot theory, enabling more detailed analysis.
problem Lack of quantitative data in knot theory.
method Integrates metric into knot theory with evolutionary Khovanov homology (EKH).
result EKH reveals non-trivial knot invariants at appropriate scales.
HSBC grew from colonial China through wars, surviving unethical practices.
problem Ethical and historical controversies surrounding HSBC's early operations.
method Analyzing HSBC's growth and survival through historical context and legal practices.
result HSBC's resilience and success were partly due to unethical practices like opium trade.
HSBC grew from Hong Kong to global dominance despite political upheavals.
problem Surviving and growing in hostile political environments.
method Inorganic growth, leveraging deregulation, and strategic acquisitions.
result HSBC became a global banking behemoth despite political challenges.
This review discusses challenges and solutions for AI in chemical engineering.
problem Challenges in applying classical machine learning to chemical engineering data.
method Identifying four data characteristics and discussing their applications and solutions.
result Current research extends data science and machine learning to handle chemical engineering data challenges.
Optimal engine operation during a transient driving cycle is the key to achieving greater fuel economy, engine efficiency, and reduced emissions. In order to achieve continuously optimal engine operation, engine calibration methods use a combination of static correlations obtained from dynamometer tests for steady-stat…
Paper uses deep reinforcement learning for better control of rocket engines during start-up phases.
problem Lack of optimal control during transient phases of liquid rocket engines.
method Deep reinforcement learning approach for optimal control of a gas-generator engine's continuous start-up phase.
result Deep reinforcement learning controller achieves highest performance and minimal computational effort.
Paper proposes verifier engineering for improving foundation models.
problem Challenges in providing effective supervision signals for foundation models.
method Leverages automated verifiers to perform verification tasks and deliver feedback.
result Verifier engineering can enhance foundation models' capabilities.
Engine predicts real-time air quality with high resolution.
problem Real-time prediction of air pollutants for health monitoring.
method Combines official data, models, land cover, traffic data for high-resolution predictions.
result Engine produces predictions with resolution of a few dozen meters.
New metrics quantify implementation risk in portfolio backtesting, revealing systematic differences in engine implementations.
problem Systematic divergence in backtested portfolio metrics due to differences in engine implementations.
method Formalized implementation risk, proposed four metrics, executed 15 strategies through five engines, analyzed source-code defects.
result Implementation risk introduces measurable ambiguity in performance attribution, but does not alter investment decisions.
China integrates ESG into corporate strategy for sustainable growth.
problem Corporate focus on short-term financial metrics.
method Deep integration of ESG principles into corporate culture and strategy.
result Companies are expected to fulfill social responsibilities and create long-term value.
Blockchain technology shows significant results and huge potential for serving as an interweaving fabric that goes through every industry and market, allowing decentralized and secure value exchange, thus connecting our civilization like never before. The standard approach for asset value predictions is based on market…
Predicts coherence from quantum heat engine noise using machine learning.
problem Predicting coherence in quantum heat engines from nonequilibrium fluctuations.
method Developed a machine learning protocol using K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) model.
result Machine learning successfully predicts coherence from quantum heat engine noise.
A growing interest has been witnessed recently from both academia and industry in building nearest neighbor search (NNS) solutions on top of full-text search engines. Compared with other NNS systems, such solutions are capable of effectively reducing main memory consumption, coherently supporting multi-model search and…
Automated feature engineering improves interpretable models without manual work.
problem Lack of interpretability in complex models causes trust and stability issues.
method Use elastic black-box models to create simpler, interpretable glass-box models.
result Extracted features from complex models improve linear model performance.
SAFE automates feature engineering for industrial tasks efficiently and scalably.
problem Efficiency and scalability of automatic feature engineering methods for industrial tasks.
method SAFE (Scalable Automatic Feature Engineering) method, which provides excellent efficiency and scalability.
result SAFE method provides prominent efficiency and competitive effectiveness in industrial tasks.
In recent years several trading platforms appeared which provide a backtest engine to calculate historic performance of self designed trading strategies on underlying candle data. The construction of a correct working backtest engine is, however, a subtle task as shown by Maier-Paape and Platen (cf. arXiv:1412.5558 [q-…
Paper discusses challenges in deploying ML models for structural engineering.
problem Challenges in deploying machine learning models for structural engineering applications.
method Illustrates challenges through two examples, focusing on model overfitting, underspecification, training data representativeness, variable omission bias, and cross-validation.
result Highlights the importance of rigorous model validation techniques.
Factor Engine simplifies financial factor computation and analysis in Python.
problem Efficient computation and analysis of financial factors.
method Modular, extensible Python library with decorators, integrates with data science ecosystem.
result Mispricing factors computed by Factor Engine and Stata implementation are highly similar.
Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones often causes major destruction to human civilization due to short response time. It is an important yet challenging task to accurately predict this kind of extreme weather event in advance. Traditionally, meteorologists tackle the task with human-driven feature extraction…
Automation engineering is the task of integrating, via software, various sensors, actuators, and controls for automating a real-world process. Today, automation engineering is supported by a suite of software tools including integrated development environments (IDE), hardware configurators, compilers, and runtimes. The…