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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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61123184245 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for chi-square inference

SBI provides more accurate pole positions than chi-squared minimization in model misspecification.

problem Accurate pole position estimation in pi-pi scattering models.
method Simulation Based Inference (SBI) method compared to chi-squared minimization.
result SBI leads to more robust predictions of pole positions in models of pi-pi scattering.

Develops an empirical likelihood framework for random forests and ensembles.

problem Quantifying the statistical uncertainty of random forests and ensembles.
method Empirical likelihood framework exploiting the incomplete UU-statistic structure of ensemble predictions.
result Modified empirical likelihood statistic achieves accurate coverage and practical reliability.

The transition probability of a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process can be represented by a non-central chi-square density. First we prove a new representation for the central chi-square density based on sums of powers of generalized Gaussian random variables. Second we prove Marsaglia's polar method extends to this distributio…

2008-02-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops inference methods for high-dimensional multi-task regression with row-sparse coefficients.

problem Inference for high-dimensional multi-task regression with unknown coefficient matrix under row-sparsity.
method Proposes chi-square and normal inference methodologies using MT Lasso with de-biasing scheme and interaction matrix.
result Derives asymptotic normal and chi-square distribution results for valid confidence intervals and ellipsoids.

Four new methods for computing generalized chi-square distribution.

problem Computing the generalized chi-square distribution accurately and efficiently.
method Two exact and two approximate methods, with software for cdf, pdf, and inverse cdf.
result Comparison of methods' accuracy and speed, identifying best for different cases.

Distance correlation has gained much recent attention in the data science community: the sample statistic is straightforward to compute and asymptotically equals zero if and only if independence, making it an ideal choice to discover any type of dependency structure given sufficient sample size. One major bottleneck is…

2019-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops approximations for Pearson's chi-square statistic and applies them to confidence intervals.

problem Finding confidence intervals for strictly convex functions of discrete distribution weights.
method Non-asymptotic local normal approximation for multinomial probabilities, deriving bounds and coupling inequalities.
result Developed methods to find confidence intervals for negative entropy of discrete distributions.

LMC algorithm converges to target in Chi-squared and Renyi divergence.

problem Sampling from target distribution using LMC with strong dissipativity and smoothness conditions.
method LMC algorithm with strong dissipativity and first-order smoothness, initialized with Gaussian.
result LMC reaches ε-neighborhood of target in Chi-squared and Renyi divergence in O(λ²dε⁻¹) steps.

USP test improves on Pearson's chi-squared and GG-test for independence.

problem Deficiencies in Pearson's chi-squared and GG-test for independence.
method USP test based on UU-statistic estimator of population dependence measure.
result USP test controls size, handles small cell counts, and detects minimal violations of independence.

Study compares chi-squared divergence and KL-divergence posteriors for PAC-Bayesian bounds.

problem Investigates optimal posteriors for PAC-Bayesian bounds using chi-squared divergence.
method Analyzes bounds for three distance functions, derives FP equations for computation.
result Chi-squared divergence based posteriors have weaker bounds and worse test errors.

New SQ lower bounds for NGCA without requiring chi-squared condition.

problem Proving SQ hardness for NGCA under moment-matching conditions.
method General SQ lower bound methodology applied to NGCA under moment-matching conditions.
result Proved near-optimal SQ lower bounds for NGCA without chi-squared condition.

Network data is prevalent in many contemporary big data applications in which a common interest is to unveil important latent links between different pairs of nodes. Yet a simple fundamental question of how to precisely quantify the statistical uncertainty associated with the identification of latent links still remain…

2019-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient ANN search for sparse embeddings in ads targeting.

problem Efficiently searching near neighbors in sparse data for applications like ads targeting.
method Graph-based ANN algorithms (HNSW, chi-square two-tower model, Sign Cauchy Projections).
result Sparse embeddings and ANN algorithms improve efficiency in EBR applications.

Proposes a method for valid inference in GPLSIMs with longitudinal data.

problem Challenges in longitudinal data inference due to within-subject correlation and unstable variance estimation.
method Profile estimating-equation approach using spline approximation and block empirical likelihood.
result Block empirical likelihood ratio statistic with Wilks-type chi-square limit for joint inference.

Study tests uniformity of categorical data against missing-ball alternatives, finding chi-squared test outperforms.

problem Testing uniformity of categorical data against missing-ball alternatives.
method Characterizes minimax risk, uses collisions and chi-squared test, reduces to structured subset of alternatives.
result Minimax test outperforms chi-squared test under least favorable alternative.

EL framework certifies and flags bias in ML models without distributional assumptions.

problem Systematic performance disparities across sensitive subpopulations in ML models.
method Empirical likelihood-based approach for non-parametric fairness auditing.
result EL framework outperforms bootstrap methods in certification and subpopulation discovery.

PQMass assesses generative model quality using chi-squared tests.

problem Assessing the quality of generative models without density assumptions.
method Divides sample space into regions, applies chi-squared tests to p-values.
result Effectively assesses generative model quality, novelty, and diversity.

A test for neural networks identifies genetic associations.

problem Testing complex associations in neural networks.
method Sieve quasi-likelihood ratio test for neural networks with one hidden layer.
result The test statistic has an asymptotic chi-squared distribution.

We study the information content of nuclear masses from the perspective of global models of nuclear binding energies. To this end, we employ a number of statistical methods and diagnostic tools, including Bayesian calibration, Bayesian model averaging, chi-square correlation analysis, principal component analysis, and …

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Zigzag sampling algorithm efficiently samples from strongly log-concave distributions with low computational cost.

problem Sampling from strongly log-concave distributions efficiently and with low computational complexity.
method Zigzag sampling algorithm with warm start assumption, focusing on gradient evaluations.
result Achieves ε error in chi-square divergence with computational cost of O(κ²d^(1/2)(log(1/ε))^(3/2)) gradient evaluations.

Transformers learn to adapt to different task difficulties and resist distribution shifts.

problem Understanding and optimizing a Transformer's performance across various task difficulties and distribution shifts.
method Analyzing a pretrained Transformer on a mixture distribution of tasks, proving optimal convergence rates.
result Transformers achieve optimal convergence rates on tasks of specific difficulty levels, robust to distribution shifts.

Paper develops methods for inference on time series data using neural networks and sieves.

problem Inference on time series data with nonparametric conditional moment restrictions.
method GN-QLR based inference using general nonlinear sieves and multilayer neural networks.
result Optimally weighted GN-QLR statistic is asymptotically Chi-square distributed.

AES scheme improves Bermudan and American option pricing for Heston models.

problem Pricing Bermudan and American options under Heston models efficiently.
method AES scheme using non-central chi-square distribution for variance process.
result AES achieves higher accuracy and computational efficiency for Bermudan options.

Improved Bayesian analysis for SVM models using a mixture sampler.

problem Efficient simulation-based analysis of stochastic volatility in mean models.
method Developed a generalized mixture sampler for SVM models, approximating non-central chi-squared distributions as mixtures of normal distributions.
result The proposed method outperforms other volatility models based on marginal likelihoods in empirical studies.

A goodness-of-fit test for DCSBM improves scalability and power for large sparse networks.

problem Testing goodness-of-fit for degree-corrected stochastic block models (DCSBM) in large sparse networks.
method Proposes an adjusted chi-square test statistic for multinomial distributions, adjusted for degree-corrected networks, and applies it to compressed adjacency matrices.
result The test statistic converges in distribution under null, and is consistent in recovering the number of communities.

Study robust hypothesis testing under Hellinger distance, proving lower bounds and providing tests.

problem Testing close variants of specified distributions robustly to Hellinger distance.
method Lower bound on slack factor, testing with Hellinger balls, symmetric chi-squared distance analysis.
result Lower bound on slack factor quantifies robustness under misspecification.

This paper provides performance guarantees for neural estimation of statistical distances.

problem Developing performance guarantees for neural estimation of statistical distances.
method Non-asymptotic error bounds using function approximation theorems and empirical process theory.
result Established a fundamental tradeoff between approximation and estimation errors in neural estimation of statistical distances.

A test for comparing networks using stochastic block models.

problem Determining if two network datasets come from the same model.
method Adopting stochastic block models, the study introduces an efficient algorithm to match estimated network parameters and develops a powerful test.
result The test is consistent and asymptotically follows a chi-squared distribution.

The paper tackles fair representation learning by smoothing feature mappings.

problem Legal liability for discriminatory use of data by organizations.
method Mapping features to a fair representation space, certifying fairness through chi-squared mutual information.
result Smoothing representation distribution provides generalization guarantees of fairness and maintains accuracy for downstream tasks.

A new method optimizes robustness measures under input uncertainty using randomized Gaussian process upper confidence bound.

problem Optimizing robustness measures under input uncertainty.
method Randomized robustness measure GP-UCB (RRGP-UCB) that samples β from a chi-squared-based distribution.
result RRGP-UCB provides tight bounds on expected regret.

This paper tests the multivariate normality of node degrees in Erdős-Rényi graphs.

problem Testing the multivariate normality of node degrees in Erdős-Rényi graphs.
method Chi-square goodness of fit test, Anderson-Darling test, CDF comparison, maximum likelihood estimation.
result The degrees of nodes in Erdős-Rényi graphs do not follow a multivariate normal distribution, but the approximation is valid for large values of n and p.

Proposes DR-ME test for interpretable distributional treatment effects.

problem Detects invisible differences in treatment effects on distributional outcomes.
method Semiparametrically efficient finite-location test using kernel witnesses and orthogonal features.
result DR-ME reveals causal-discrepancy coordinates and has noncentral chi-square local power.

RENAL test evaluates generative models for time series data.

problem Evaluating generative models for time series data is challenging.
method RENAL test uses recurrent neural networks to transform time series into conditionally independent data pairs for goodness-of-fit testing.
result RENAL test outperforms existing methods in evaluating generative models for time series data.

New model-free DR-RL algorithm with finite sample complexity.

problem Limited model-free DR-RL methods with convergence guarantees or sample complexities.
method Integrates Multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) technique with threshold mechanism.
result First model-free DR-RL approach with finite sample complexity for total variation and Chi-square divergence.

Group Shapley evaluates feature groups in business data, improving explainability in AI.

problem Evaluating the importance of feature groups in business and economic data.
method Developed Group Shapley and a significance testing procedure based on chi-square approximation.
result Market-related variables are identified as the most influential feature group.

Neural networks estimate statistical divergences with performance guarantees.

problem Estimating statistical divergences with theoretical performance guarantees.
method Parametrizing empirical variational form by a neural network and optimizing over parameter space.
result Established non-asymptotic absolute error bounds for neural estimators of four f\mathsf{f}-divergences.