A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Simpler model outperforms state-of-the-art for disaggregating census data.
The paper evaluates various forecasting methods for inflation, finding ML models superior.
New framework for interpreting disaggregated fairness evaluations using causal models.
SureMap estimates model performance across subpopulations efficiently.
Paper proposes a novel optimization method for disaggregating smart meter data.
Non-intrusive load monitoring or energy disaggregation involves estimating the power consumption of individual appliances from measurements of the total power consumption of a home. Deep neural networks have been shown to be effective for energy disaggregation. In this work, we present a deep neural network architectur…
As the issue of freshwater shortage is increasing daily, it is critical to take effective measures for water conservation. According to previous studies, device level consumption could lead to significant freshwater conservation. Existing water disaggregation methods focus on learning the signatures for appliances; how…
2020 Census uses more noise to protect privacy than needed, improving data accuracy.
We propose a clustering-based iterative algorithm to solve certain optimization problems in machine learning, where we start the algorithm by aggregating the original data, solving the problem on aggregated data, and then in subsequent steps gradually disaggregate the aggregated data. We apply the algorithm to common m…
New LSTM model predicts disaggregated electricity loads accurately.
From its creation in 1989 through subsequent extensions, the widely-used "SnapPea census" now aims to represent all cusped finite-volume hyperbolic 3-manifolds that can be obtained from <= 8 ideal tetrahedra. Its construction, however, has relied on inexact computations and some unproven (though reasonable) assumptions…
Energy is a limited resource which has to be managed wisely, taking into account both supply-demand matching and capacity constraints in the distribution grid. One aspect of the smart energy management at the building level is given by the problem of real-time detection of flexible demand available. In this paper we pr…
Minimal triangulations for 229 hyperbolic census knots discovered.
This paper addresses the energy disaggregation problem, i.e. decomposing the electricity signal of a whole home to its operating devices. First, we cast the problem as a dictionary learning (DL) problem where the key electricity patterns representing consumption behaviors are extracted for each device and stored in a d…
Following on from work of Dunfield, we determine the fibred status of all the unknown hyperbolic 3-manifolds in the cusped census. We then find all the fibred hyperbolic 3-manifolds in the closed census and use this to find over 100 examples each of closed and cusped virtually fibred non-fibred census 3-manifolds, incl…
Efficiently calculates privacy guarantees for 2020 Census data.
Census of 10-tetrahedra hyperbolic 3-manifolds with 150,730 new examples.
Deep neural network improves NILM with attention mechanism.
tempdisagg transforms low-frequency data into high-frequency estimates.
Improved surname geocoding and name supplements enhance race imputation accuracy.
New algorithm extracts device profiles for short-term power predictions in commercial buildings.
PREMA recovers detailed data from aggregated views.
We call a 3-manifold Platonic if it can be decomposed into isometric Platonic solids. Generalizing an earlier publication by the author and others where this was done in case of the hyperbolic ideal tetrahedron, we give a census of hyperbolic Platonic manifolds and all of their Platonic tessellations. For the octahedra…
This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not only the individual system characteristics but also the pair-wise causal dependen…
Through computer enumeration with the aid of topological results, we catalogue all 18 closed non-orientable P^2-irreducible 3-manifolds that can be formed from at most eight tetrahedra. In addition we give an overview as to how the 100 resulting minimal triangulations are constructed. Observations and conjectures are d…
We propose a new framework for single-channel source separation that lies between the fully supervised and unsupervised setting. Instead of supervision, we provide input features for each source signal and use convex methods to estimate the correlations between these features and the unobserved signal decomposition. We…
Review and compare sorting model selection methods for preference disaggregation.
We identify a duplicate pair in the well-known Callahan-Hildebrand-Weeks census of cusped finite-volume hyperbolic 3-manifolds. Specifically, the six-tetrahedron non-orientable manifolds x101 and x103 are homeomorphic.
Develops algorithm to reduce real-world inequality.
Understanding how housing values evolve over time is important to policy makers, consumers and real estate professionals. Existing methods for constructing housing indices are computed at a coarse spatial granularity, such as metropolitan regions, which can mask or distort price dynamics apparent in local markets, such…
In this paper we study the manifolds in the census of "small" 3-manifolds as available in SnapPy. We compare our results with the statistics of random 3-manifolds obtained using the Dunfield Thurston and Rivin models.
We call a cusped hyperbolic 3-manifold tetrahedral if it can be decomposed into regular ideal tetrahedra. Following an earlier publication by three of the authors, we give a census of all tetrahedral manifolds and all of their combinatorial tetrahedral tessellations with at most 25 (orientable case) and 21 (non-orienta…
Flexible models predict US Census survey response rates.
A new deep learning method for energy disaggregation.
In this work we present a complete (no misses, no duplicates) census for closed, connected, orientable and prime 3-manifolds induced by plane graphs with a bipartition of its edge set (blinks) up to edges. Blinks form a universal encoding for such manifolds. In fact, each such a manifold is a subtle class of blin…
Study examines equity in post-Snow Uri recovery, finds disparities.
The US Census Bureau corrupts data to protect privacy, but we show how to clean and analyze it effectively.
A new method improves AI fairness assessment by estimating performance across intersectional subgroups.
Though distribution system operators have been adding more sensors to their networks, they still often lack an accurate real-time picture of the behavior of distributed energy resources such as demand responsive electric loads and residential solar generation. Such information could improve system reliability, economic…
We combine fine-grained spatially referenced census data with the vote outcomes from the 2016 US presidential election. Using this dataset, we perform ecological inference using distribution regression (Flaxman et al, KDD 2015) with a multinomial-logit regression so as to model the vote outcome Trump, Clinton, Other / …
The article confirms two quasi-alternating surgeries for 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
Novel approach uses Gaussian processes to estimate conflict trends.
Algorithm finds knot friends in 3-manifolds.
New method finds large counterexamples by selectively exploring triangulations.
New datasets improve fairness research by revealing UCI Adult's limitations.
A well-known question asks whether any two non-isometric finite volume hyperbolic 3-manifolds are distinguished from each other by the finite quotients of their fundamental groups. At present, this has been proved only when one of the manifolds is a once-punctured torus bundle over the circle. We give substantial compu…
We use a large census of hyperbolic 3-manifolds to experimentally investigate a conjecture of Neumann regarding the Bloch Group. We present an augmented census including, for feasible invariant trace fields, explicit manifolds (associated to that field) that appear to generate the Bloch group of that field. We also mak…
This is a collection of notes on embedding problems for 3-manifolds. The main question explored is `which 3-manifolds embed smoothly in the 4-sphere?' The terrain of exploration is the Burton/Martelli/Matveev/Petronio census of triangulated prime closed 3-manifolds built from 11 or less tetrahedra. There are 13766 mani…