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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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207413620826 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for causal settings

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

Invariant Causal Set Covering Machines avoid spurious associations.

problem Learning algorithms for rule-based models are vulnerable to spurious associations.
method Building on invariant causal prediction, propose Invariant Causal Set Covering Machines for conjunctions/disjunctions of binary-valued rules.
result The method can identify causal parents of a variable of interest in polynomial time.

New causal models perform poorly when evaluated on biased training sets.

problem Sample selection bias affects the evaluation of causal models' prediction performance.
method Re-evaluated prediction performance of causal models on a genetic perturbation data set, proposing a less-biased evaluation set.
result Causal models have similar or worse performance when evaluated on a less-biased set compared to standard association-based estimators.

MO-CBO optimizes multiple outcomes in causal systems with minimal data.

problem Optimizing multiple outcomes in causal systems with limited data.
method Decomposes MO-CBO into multi-objective optimization tasks and uses relative hypervolume improvement for sequential intervention balancing.
result MO-CBO outperforms traditional multi-objective Bayesian optimization in causal settings.

Optimizes intervention design for causal discovery using integer programming.

problem Identifying causal structures from observational data due to confounding variables.
method Uses integer programming to design minimal intervention sets for causal structure identifiability.
result Provides exact and modular solutions adaptable to various experimental settings and constraints.

CIB compresses variables causally, preserving key causal interactions.

problem Constructing causal variable abstractions in complex systems.
method Causal Information Bottleneck (CIB) method, extending IB to include causal structures.
result CIB produces causally interpretable abstractions that accurately capture causal relations.

Bayesian method identifies causal sets across populations without graph knowledge.

problem Transporting causal information across populations without causal graph knowledge.
method Combines observational and experimental data to identify s-admissible backdoor sets.
result Proves asymptotic convergence and corrects transportability bias in simulations.

We give an up-to-date perspective with a general overview of the theory of causal properties, the derived causal structures, their classification and applications, and the definition and construction of causal boundaries and of causal symmetries, mostly for Lorentzian manifolds but also in more abstract settings.

2005-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we aim to develop a unified view of causal and non-causal feature selection methods. The unified view will fill in the gap in the research of the relation between the two types of methods. Based on the Bayesian network framework and information theory, we first show that causal and non-causal feature sel…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We show a general theorem of existence of temporal foliations in a general causal set, under mild constraints. Then we study automorphisms of infinite causal sets (which satisfy further requirements) and show that they fall under one of two types: 1) Automorphims that induce automorphisms of spacelike hypersurfaces in …

2015-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

An important question that discrete approaches to quantum gravity must address is how continuum features of spacetime can be recovered from the discrete substructure. Here, we examine this question within the causal set approach to quantum gravity, where the substructure replacing the spacetime continuum is a locally f…

2006-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a new method of discovering causal relationships in temporal data based on the notion of causal compression. To this end, we adopt the Pearlian graph setting and the directed information as an information theoretic tool for quantifying causality. We introduce chain rule for directed information and use it to…

2016-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.

problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.

Identifies causal effects in LiNGAM models with latent variables.

problem Identifying causal effects in LiNGAM models with latent confounders.
method Complete graphical characterization and efficient algorithms for certification. RICA adaptation for estimation.
result Efficient algorithms and RICA adaptation for estimating causal effects.

A new algorithm for robust causal discovery in small sample sizes.

problem Limited data leads to weak conditional independence tests in causal discovery.
method Proposes a kk-PC algorithm that bounds conditioning set size for robust causal discovery.
result The kk-PC algorithm enables more robust causal discovery in small sample sizes.

New method identifies causal variables from partially observed data.

problem Learning from unpaired observations with instance-dependent partial observability.
method Proposes two methods enforcing sparsity in the inferred representation.
result Establishes two identifiability results for linear and piecewise linear mixing functions.

We describe, in the general setting of closed cone fields, the set of causal functions which can be approximated by smooth Lyapunov. We derive several consequences on causality theory. Dans le contexte général des champs de cones fermés, on décrit l'ensemble des fonctions causales qui peuvent être approchées par des fo…

2017-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study efficient algorithms for identifying minimum interventional sets to learn causal relationships.

problem Identify the smallest set of interventions to learn causal relationships between a subset of edges.
method Develop algorithms for subset verification and search problems under assumptions of faithfulness, causal sufficiency, and ideal interventions.
result For subset verification, an efficient algorithm is provided to compute a minimum sized interventional set.

Deep learning aids causal inference in complex settings.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in non-linear, time-varying, and encoded confounders.
method Intuitive introduction to deep learning and causal inference, focusing on observational data.
result Maximizes accessibility to causal inference through deep learning.

Paper characterizes and represents pairwise causal background knowledge for improved causal inference.

problem Improving causal inference by handling pairwise causal constraints.
method Graphical characterization, direct causal clause (DCC), unified representation, MPDAG, polynomial-time algorithms.
result Pairwise causal background knowledge uniquely decomposes into MPDAG and DCCs, improving causal effect identification.

Discovering causal relations among observed variables in a given data set is a major objective in studies of statistics and artificial intelligence. Recently, some techniques to discover a unique causal model have been explored based on non-Gaussianity of the observed data distribution. However, most of these are limit…

2014-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

b-LOAD extends local causal discovery with prior knowledge, improving causal effect estimation.

problem Local causal discovery struggles in data-scarce settings due to uncertainty and incomplete neighborhoods.
method b-LOAD incorporates prior knowledge directly into local structure learning, using Meek's rules to refine discovery.
result b-LOAD refines the admissible equivalence class and enlarges identifiable causal queries, improving causal effect estimation.

Identifies causal effects in partially directed acyclic graphs with observed variables.

problem Identifying conditional causal effects in graphs with background knowledge and observed variables.
method Three results: identification formula, do calculus generalization, and algorithm completeness.
result Complete algorithm for identifying conditional effects in MPDAGs.

Study functional confounders in causal inference, enabling estimable effects.

problem Causal inference challenges with functional confounders violating positivity.
method Functional interventions, functional positivity, gradient fields, Level-set Orthogonal Descent Estimation (LODE).
result Valid causal effect estimation under certain conditions.

A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.

problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.

New approach reveals causal and probabilistic relationships from equations.

problem Understanding causal and probabilistic relationships from sets of equations.
method Simon's causal ordering algorithm and Markov ordering graph construction.
result Implied conditional independences and causal relations without solving equations.

New method detects bias in AI models that generate data.

problem Detecting bias in AI models that generate data.
method Formalized causal fairness in generative AI, derived new decomposition results, established identification conditions, and introduced efficient estimators.
result Demonstrated the value of new methodology in analyzing bias in large language models.

Paper identifies and estimates CAPCEs in continuous treatment settings.

problem Estimating heterogeneous causal effects of continuous treatments.
method Instrumental variable approach to identify CAPCEs under weaker conditions.
result Developed three families of CAPCE estimators with statistical properties analyzed.

Kernel measures similarity of nonlinear causal structures in heterogeneous populations.

problem Learning causal structure in populations with diverse underlying structures.
method Distance covariance-based kernel for measuring similarity of causal structures.
result Kernel enables clustering of homogeneous subpopulations for causal structure learning.

Based on the recent work \cite{PII} we put forward a new type of transformation for Lorentzian manifolds characterized by mapping every causal future-directed vector onto a causal future-directed vector. The set of all such transformations, which we call causal symmetries, has the structure of a submonoid which contain…

2003-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified approach to causal representation learning using invariance principles.

problem Identifying latent causal variables from high-dimensional observations.
method Guiding identification of causal variables with invariance principles rather than causal hierarchies.
result Unified method that mixes causal and non-causal assumptions improves treatment effect estimation.

Method estimates causal effects from combined interventional and observational data.

problem Estimating causal effects from unobserved confounders.
method Causal reduction method replacing latent confounders with a single latent confounder.
result Improves estimation accuracy from combined data without observing all confounders.

Causal discovery predicts unobserved joint statistics from observed data.

problem Inferring properties of unobserved joint distributions from observed data.
method Infer causal models from observed data to predict statistical properties of unobserved sets.
result Sparse causal graphs can be more useful than dense ones in predicting unobserved joint distributions.

We consider the problem of learning a causal graph over a set of variables with interventions. We study the cost-optimal causal graph learning problem: For a given skeleton (undirected version of the causal graph), design the set of interventions with minimum total cost, that can uniquely identify any causal graph with…

2017-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms for causal bandits without knowing the graph structure.

problem Causal bandit problems with unknown graph structure.
method Developed novel causal bandit algorithms for causal trees, forests, and general graphs without prior knowledge of the causal graph.
result Regret guarantees significantly improved over standard MAB algorithms under mild conditions.

ACI uses Bayesian data assimilation to trace causes from effects in complex systems.

problem Capturing instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems.
method Assimilative causal inference (ACI) leverages Bayesian data assimilation to trace causes backward from observed effects.
result ACI provides online tracking of causal roles that may reverse intermittently and reveals how far effects propagate.

Study investigates duality and dual optimizers for various transport problems.

problem Existence and characterization of dual optimizers for adapted transport problems.
method Minimal assumptions, including causal and bicausal settings, are considered.
result No-arbitrage assumption leads to multicausal couplings and equivalent robust superhedging price computation.

SNAP efficiently identifies causal effects without needing full graph learning.

problem Efficiently estimating causal effects on a subset of variables.
method Sequential Non-Ancestor Pruning (SNAP) framework.
result SNAP reduces independence tests and computation time without sacrificing causal effect estimations.

A new method selects covariates for causal effect estimation without strong assumptions.

problem Estimating causal effects without global causal structure learning and strong assumptions.
method Local covariate selection method that avoids pretreatment and causal sufficiency assumptions.
result The method achieves accurate causal effect estimation with improved computational efficiency.