Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

61121182242 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for causal interpretation

Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.

problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.

This paper explores causal analysis in machine learning for better interpretability.

problem The lack of causality in traditional interpretable machine learning models.
method An overview of causal approaches for interpretable machine learning.
result Causal analysis improves the interpretability of machine learning models.

Causal Bayesian networks interpret actions as interventions to connect models to real-world outcomes.

problem Connecting causal model predictions to real-world outcomes.
method Formal framework to interpret actions as interventions and prove impossibility results.
result No non-circular interpretation exists that satisfies natural desiderata without violating some.

Dagma-DCE improves causal discovery with interpretable measures and open-source code.

problem Arbitrary proxy measures of causal strength in non-parametric causal discovery.
method Uses weighted adjacency matrices based on an interpretable measure of causal strength.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in simulated datasets.

TRAM-DAG models bridge interpretability and flexibility in causal modeling.

problem Modeling causal relationships in diverse data types while maintaining interpretability.
method Using transformation models (TRAMs) within structural causal models (SCMs) to handle various data types and maintain interpretability.
result TRAM-DAG models achieve equal or superior performance in causal queries across different levels of the causal hierarchy.

Interpretable model for Granger causality using neural networks.

problem Inferring Granger causality in complex dynamical systems.
method Extension of self-explaining neural networks for multivariate Granger causality.
result Framework performs on par with baseline methods and better at inferring interaction signs.

Develops methods for making deep learning models more interpretable by answering counterfactual questions.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models, especially in high-stakes applications.
method Introduces causal interpretability, a framework for building models that are causally interpretable by design.
result Identifies a fundamental tradeoff between causal interpretability and predictive accuracy.

Interpretable framework evaluates structure learning methods for causal discovery from observational data.

problem Evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption violations in causal discovery.
method Six-dimensional evaluation metric (DOS) tailored for causal discovery.
result Amortized causal discovery delivers results with high proximity to the optimal solution.

LLM4Causal democratizes causal reasoning via fine-tuned LLMs.

problem Limited capability of LLMs in causal inference and interpretation.
method Fine-tuning an open-source LLM for causal tasks, proposing datasets for instruction tuning.
result LLM4Causal delivers end-to-end solutions for causal problems and interprets results easily.

New framework optimizes decisions under uncertainty considering causal and continuous data.

problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain distributions with causal and continuous data structures.
method Developed a framework using Causal Sinkhorn DRO with Soft Regression Forest decision rules.
result Framework provides interpretable and tractable decision rules for optimizing under uncertainty.

CRL uses causality to build interpretable AI models from complex data.

problem Interpreting deep neural networks' implicit representations.
method Causal representation learning (CRL) synthesizing latent variable models, causal graphical models, and nonparametric statistics.
result CRL can improve interpretability of generative AI models.

SENA-discrepancy-VAE interprets latent causal factors in biological pathways.

problem Interpreting latent causal factors in biological pathways.
method SENA-discrepancy-VAE, a model based on discrepancy-VAE, that produces interpretable latent causal factors.
result Sena-discrepancy-VAE achieves comparable predictive performance with non-interpretable counterparts while providing biologically meaningful causal factors.

New method interprets deep learning for causal effects, separating prognostic and moderating covariates.

problem Estimating individual causal/treatment effects under confounders.
method Deep counterfactual learning architecture for estimating CATE with interpretable score functions.
result Demonstrated improved interpretability and quantification of uncertainty in CATE estimation.

Paper proposes forecast-necessity testing for accurate causal interpretation in nonlinear time-series models.

problem Misinterpretation of causal scores from nonlinear models as regression coefficients.
method Systematic edge ablation and forecast comparison to evaluate causal necessity.
result Causal relationships with similar scores can differ in their necessity for accurate prediction.

BICauseTree improves causal effect estimation by identifying clusters and balancing treatment allocation.

problem Improving interpretability and transparency in causal effect models from observational data.
method Hierarchical bias-driven stratification using decision trees with a customized objective function.
result BICauseTree provides interpretable causal effect estimation and is comparable to existing methods.

In application domains such as healthcare, we want accurate predictive models that are also causally interpretable. In pursuit of such models, we propose a causal regularizer to steer predictive models towards causally-interpretable solutions and theoretically study its properties. In a large-scale analysis of Electron…

2017-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

BRACE generates efficient counterfactual explanations by integrating causal reasoning.

problem Challenges in traditional counterfactual explanations, especially neglecting causal relationships.
method Backtracking counterfactuals with causal reasoning.
result Our method provides deeper insights into model outputs and is computationally efficient.

Framework identifies causal factors of climate change using correlations and machine learning.

problem Understanding socioeconomic factors influencing carbon emissions and climate change.
method Three-step framework: correlation analysis, causal discovery, LLM interpretations.
result Adaptable solutions for data-driven policy-making and strategic decision-making.

CIB compresses variables causally, preserving key causal interactions.

problem Constructing causal variable abstractions in complex systems.
method Causal Information Bottleneck (CIB) method, extending IB to include causal structures.
result CIB produces causally interpretable abstractions that accurately capture causal relations.

CauSTream forecasts streamflow by integrating causal graphs for better interpretability.

problem Streamflow forecasting lacks interpretability and generalization due to fixed causal models.
method CauSTream learns causal graphs for meteorological forcings and routing dependencies.
result CauSTream outperforms existing methods, especially at longer forecast windows.

New model predicts energy prices under different scenarios.

problem Complex causal relationships in energy markets with continuous regime changes.
method Augmented Time Series Structural Causal Models (ATSCM) integrating neural causal discovery.
result Enables novel counterfactual queries in energy markets.

DCRL learns causal relationships from mixed-type discrete data.

problem Challenges in learning causal relationships from discrete, mixed-type data.
method Generative framework modeling directed acyclic graph and sparse bipartite graph, flexible measurement models for different types of data.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal structure from observed data distribution.

Unified approach to learn interpretable concepts from data.

problem Building interpretable machine learning models and highly-performing foundation models.
method Relating causal representation learning and foundation models, defining concepts and proving their recoverability.
result Provable recovery of human-interpretable concepts from diverse data.

Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We interpret black box predictive models using causal attribution.

problem Interpreting models trained using machine learning in high-stakes applications.
method Estimate causal effects of model inputs on output using observational data.
result Effective interpretation of black box predictive models via causal attribution.

A fundamental goal in network neuroscience is to understand how activity in one region drives activity elsewhere, a process referred to as effective connectivity. Here we propose to model this causal interaction using integro-differential equations and causal kernels that allow for a rich analysis of effective connecti…

2017-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

CI-GNN uses GNNs to diagnose psychiatric disorders by identifying causally relevant brain regions.

problem Leveraging GNNs for psychiatric diagnosis requires interpretable models to understand decision-making.
method CI-GNN integrates Granger causality into GNNs to identify causally relevant subgraphs.
result CI-GNN provides more reliable and concise explanations of psychiatric diagnoses.

Tree-Query uses LLMs to discover causal relationships in a transparent, interpretable manner.

problem Error propagation in classical causal discovery methods and opaque, confidence-free behavior of recent LLM-based causal oracles.
method Tree-Query is a tree-structured, multi-expert LLM framework that reduces causal discovery to queries about backdoor paths and dependencies.
result Tree-Query provides interpretable judgments with robustness-aware confidence scores and improves structural metrics over LLM baselines.

We analyze disentangled representations under a causal generative process, proposing new metrics and datasets.

problem Addressing fairness and interpretability through disentangled representations with a causal perspective.
method Work under a causal generative process, proposing new metrics and datasets to study disentanglement.
result Proposed metrics capture the desiderata of disentangled causal process.

CRE discovers interpretable subgroups with heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Identifying subgroups with notable treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Causal Rule Ensemble (CRE) using an ensemble-of-trees approach.
result CRE offers interpretable decision rules and high stability in subgroup discovery.

Survey on principles and challenges of interpretable machine learning.

problem Improving machine learning models' interpretability for high-stakes decisions.
method Identification and analysis of 10 technical challenges in interpretable machine learning.
result Identification of 10 technical challenges in interpretable machine learning.

Aggregation challenges causal interpretation of IV estimators.

problem Aggregation of fine-grained components into an aggregate treatment variable.
method Characterization of conditions for identifying aggregate causal effects.
result Standard IV estimators cannot identify aggregate causal effects due to ambiguous dependencies.

Shapley value improves model interpretation but not causal inference.

problem Improving model interpretability without losing predictive power.
method Analyzed Shapley value in Bayesian networks, linking it to conditional independence.
result Eliminating high Shapley value variables does not harm predictive performance, but low Shapley value variables can.

New framework learns interaction rules from animal trajectories.

problem Challenges in extracting interaction rules from animal movement data.
method Augmented behavioral models with neural networks and theory-guided regularization.
result Improved performance over baselines and novel biological insights.

Matched Machine Learning combines machine learning and matching for causal inference.

problem Non-interpretable methods for causal inference.
method Combines machine learning and matching for interpretable causal inference.
result Performs as well as black-box machine learning methods and better than existing matching methods.

New methods predict language model out-of-distribution behaviors using causal mechanisms.

problem Predicting how language models behave on unseen data.
method Two methods: counterfactual simulation and value probing.
result Both methods achieve high AUC-ROC and outperform causal-agnostic approaches in out-of-distribution settings.

A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.

problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.

Many questions in Data Science are fundamentally causal in that our objective is to learn the effect of some exposure, randomized or not, on an outcome interest. Even studies that are seemingly non-causal, such as those with the goal of prediction or prevalence estimation, have causal elements, including differential c…

2018-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗