Causal discovery from data affected by latent confounders is an important and difficult challenge. Causal functional model-based approaches have not been used to present variables whose relationships are affected by latent confounders, while some constraint-based methods can present them. This paper proposes a causal f…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “causal direction”
Identification of causal direction between a causal-effect pair from observed data has recently attracted much attention. Various methods based on functional causal models have been proposed to solve this problem, by assuming the causal process satisfies some (structural) constraints and showing that the reverse direct…
The discovery of causal relationships is a fundamental problem in science and medicine. In recent years, many elegant approaches to discovering causal relationships between two variables from observational data have been proposed. However, most of these deal only with purely directed causal relationships and cannot det…
New algorithms improve causal direction inference accuracy using parallel ensemble methods.
problem Stability of causal direction inference results from observational data.
method Parallel ensemble frameworks to map and improve inference accuracy.
result Significant improvement in accuracy of causal direction inference.
Paper characterizes and represents pairwise causal background knowledge for improved causal inference.
problem Improving causal inference by handling pairwise causal constraints.
method Graphical characterization, direct causal clause (DCC), unified representation, MPDAG, polynomial-time algorithms.
result Pairwise causal background knowledge uniquely decomposes into MPDAG and DCCs, improving causal effect identification.
New method identifies valid IVs for bi-directional MR with invalid instruments.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with invalid instruments and unmeasured confounding.
method Theoretical investigation and cluster fusion-like method to discover valid IV sets.
result Theoretical demonstration and experimental validation of the method's effectiveness.
Study on merging predictors in causal and anticausal directions using CMAXENT.
problem Comparing merging predictors in causal and anticausal directions.
method Using CMAXENT as inductive bias, study differences in merging predictors.
result CMAXENT solution reduces to logistic regression in causal direction and LDA in anticausal direction.
Local discovery method uncovers direct unfairness in complex systems.
problem Identifying causal pathways of unfairness in complex domains.
method Local discovery for direct discrimination (LD3) method.
result LD3 returns a valid adjustment set (VAS) for assessing unfairness.
We fully develop the concept of causal symmetry introduced in Class. Quant. Grav. 20 (2003) L139. A causal symmetry is a transformation of a Lorentzian manifold (V,g) which maps every future-directed vector onto a future-directed vector. We prove that the set of all causal symmetries is not a group under the usual comp…
Paper constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
problem Unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
method Constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
result Examples of unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
New method identifies causal parameters in tree-shaped linear models using cycles.
problem Identifying causal parameters from correlations in tree-shaped linear models.
method Investigates tree-shaped linear models, uses missing cycles to identify causal parameters, solves quadratic equations.
result Shows how missing cycles can be combined to obtain a unique solution for causal parameters.
Causal reasoning has been an indispensable capability for humans and other intelligent animals to interact with the physical world. In this work, we propose to endow an artificial agent with the capability of causal reasoning for completing goal-directed tasks. We develop learning-based approaches to inducing causal kn…
In this work we define and study the relations between Lorentzian Manifolds given by the diffeomorphisms which map causal future directed vectors onto causal future directed vectors. This class of diffeomorphisms, called proper causal relations, contains as a subset the well-known group of conformal relations and are d…
This paper establishes the existence of observable footprints that reveal the "causal dispositions" of the object categories appearing in collections of images. We achieve this goal in two steps. First, we take a learning approach to observational causal discovery, and build a classifier that achieves state-of-the-art …
We introduce a new family of graphical models that consists of graphs with possibly directed, undirected and bidirected edges but without directed cycles. We show that these models are suitable for representing causal models with additive error terms. We provide a set of sufficient graphical criteria for the identifica…
Causal symmetriesmath-ph
We define a new type of transformation for Lorentzian manifolds characterized by mapping every causal future-directed vector onto a causal future-directed vector. The set of all such transformations, which we call causal symmetries, has the structure of a submonoid. Some of their properties are investigated and we give…
Identifying causal direction in location-scale noise models with hidden variables
problem Causal discovery in location-scale noise models with hidden variables
method ADMGs satisfying a bow-free condition
result First identifiability result for causally insufficient models beyond noise additivity
Direct learning framework for integrating multi-source causal data.
problem Conditional average treatment effects inference from heterogeneous data.
method Direct learning framework, double robustness, causal information-aware weighting function.
result Effective causal data fusion in both homogeneous and heterogeneous scenarios.
CASTLE learns causal DAG to improve model generalization.
problem Improving model generalization to out-of-sample data.
method CASTLE learns causal relationships via adjacency matrix embedded in neural network input layers, reconstructing only causal features.
result CASTLE leads to better out-of-sample predictions compared to other regularizers.
A novel framework infers causal direction from symbolic sequences using pattern entropy.
problem Challenges in discovering causal direction from temporal symbolic data.
method Dictionary Based Pattern Entropy () framework integrating AIT and Shannon Information Theory.
result Minimizing pattern level uncertainty yields a robust framework for causal discovery.
Paper proves causal direction can be inferred from data with limited randomness.
problem Inferring causal direction from observational data with limited randomness.
method Entropy measurement and structural causal models.
result Causal direction is identifiable for most causal models with limited entropy.
We propose a method to learn causal response representations through direct effect analysis.
problem Uncovering direct causal effects in complex, multivariate settings.
method Our method bridges conditional independence testing with causal representation learning, formulating an optimisation problem to maximise evidence against conditional independence.
result The largest eigenvalue distribution can be bounded by an -distribution, providing testable conditional independence.
Local causal structure learning aims to discover and distinguish direct causes (parents) and direct effects (children) of a variable of interest from data. While emerging successes have been made, existing methods need to search a large space to distinguish direct causes from direct effects of a target variable \emph{T…
Causal Compressionstat.ML
We propose a new method of discovering causal relationships in temporal data based on the notion of causal compression. To this end, we adopt the Pearlian graph setting and the directed information as an information theoretic tool for quantifying causality. We introduce chain rule for directed information and use it to…
This paper analyzes the direction of the causality between crude oil, gold and stock markets for the largest economy in the world with respect to such markets, the US. To do so, we apply non-linear Granger causality tests. We find a nonlinear causal relationship among the three markets considered, with the causality go…
A framework infers causal direction from symbolic sequences using compression measures.
problem Inferring causal direction from two observed discrete symbolic sequences.
method Lossless compressors for inferring context-free grammars (CFGs) and quantifying compression extent.
result Grammar inferred from one sequence better compresses the other sequence, indicating causal direction.
New framework detects directional influence in multivariate time series.
problem Detecting directional influence in multivariate time series.
method Order-constrained spectral non-invariance.
result Unique diagnostic functional for directional influence.
Structural restrictions in local causal discovery: identifying direct causes of a target variablestat.ME
We identify direct causes of a target variable from observational data without full DAG identifiability.
problem Learning direct causes of a target variable from observational data.
method Developed algorithms under relaxed identifiability assumptions for one environment without interventions.
result Identifiable set of direct causes from observational data under specific assumptions.
We consider learning the possible causal direction of two observed variables in the presence of latent confounding variables. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate causal direction assuming linear or some type of nonlinear relationship and no latent confounders. However, the estimation resul…
DAG-FM discovers causal relationships from heterogeneous data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from heterogeneous causal mechanisms.
method DAG-FM uses two specialized Transformer-based sub-modules and a robust tabular interaction block to model complex row-column interactions.
result DAG-FM achieves state-of-the-art performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Autoregressive flow models can perform causal discovery and inference tasks.
problem Causal inference tasks such as causal discovery and interventional predictions.
method Using autoregressive flow models to estimate causal directions and make predictions.
result Autoregressive flows can accurately perform causal inference tasks without restrictive assumptions.
Causal Autoregressive Flowsstat.ML
Causal autoregressive flows enable accurate causal inference and prediction.
problem Causal discovery and interventional predictions in machine learning.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows with fixed variable orderings.
result Causal models derived from autoregressive flows are identifiable and allow for accurate interventional and counterfactual predictions.
Study evaluates and compares traditional and causal machine learning methods for estimating direct price effects of environmental amenities.
problem Estimating direct price effects of environmental amenities in housing markets.
method Empirical Monte Carlo simulation to compare traditional regression and causal machine learning approaches.
result Causal Machine Learning (CML) methods, particularly causal forest DID, perform comparably to generalized DID in most scenarios.
New method recovers causal networks from short time-series data.
problem Inferring causal relationships from short time-series data in complex systems.
method Large-scale Nonlinear Granger Causality (lsNGC) approach.
result Captures meaningful interactions from limited observational data.
Study evaluates how noise affects ANMs' ability to identify causal directions.
problem Challenges in identifying causal relationships in bivariate cases with noise.
method Empirical study using Regression with Subsequent Independence Test (RESIT) on various ANM models.
result ANMs can fail to identify true causal directions for certain noise levels.
Paper proposes methods to learn DAGs from partial orderings.
problem Learning DAGs from partial orderings is challenging.
method General estimation framework and efficient algorithms for low- and high-dimensional problems.
result Efficient estimation of DAGs from partial orderings is possible.
Causal symmetriesgr-qc
Based on the recent work \cite{PII} we put forward a new type of transformation for Lorentzian manifolds characterized by mapping every causal future-directed vector onto a causal future-directed vector. The set of all such transformations, which we call causal symmetries, has the structure of a submonoid which contain…
The paper shows that relaxing assumptions about causal graphs can lead to exponentially large equivalence classes.
problem The size of Markov equivalence classes under relaxed assumptions.
method Analytical proofs for three settings: sparse random directed acyclic graphs, uniformly random acyclic directed mixed graphs, and uniformly random directed cyclic graphs.
result Exponentially large lower bounds for the expected size of Markov equivalence classes.
CAT method learns causal structure of directed trees efficiently.
problem Learning causal structure from directed trees.
method Chu-Liu-Edmonds algorithm for fast and scalable structure learning.
result Consistency in asymptotic regime with vanishing identifiability gap for Gaussian errors.
Proposes a new CBO method without known causal graphs.
problem Optimizing outcomes with unknown causal graphs.
method New CBO method focusing on direct causal parents, learning Bayesian posterior over them.
result Empirical validation and competitive performance with GP approximation.
Study relaxes identification assumptions for natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
problem Identifying causal direct effects under unmeasured confounding.
method Developed relaxed conditions for identifying natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
result Identified natural direct effect under unmeasured confounding conditions.
BayesMR estimates causal effects and directionality from genetic data.
problem Challenges in finding good genetic instruments and estimating causal effects.
method Bayesian Mendelian randomization approach that accounts for pleiotropy and reverse causation.
result BayesMR provides a posterior distribution over causal effects and uncertainty.
TRA detects causal direction from bivariate data using geometric shapes.
problem Inferring causal direction from observational data is challenging and unreliable.
method TRA compares rank-based copula-standardized residual clouds to detect causal direction.
result TRA is robust and superior in detecting causal direction across various scenarios.
DEDACT breaks down feature importance into direct and associative components.
problem Lack of clear distinction between direct and associative feature importance.
method DEDACT framework to decompose direct and associative importance measures.
result Provides insight into sources of prediction-relevant information and feature pathways.
CCHM algorithm learns BN structure with latent variables, improving causal effect measurement.
problem Latent variables cause spurious relationships in BN structure learning.
method Hybrid approach combining constraint-based and score-based learning, incorporating do-calculus.
result CCHM outperforms state-of-the-art in reconstructing true BN structure.
New assumptions help identify causal relationships in data.
problem Challenges in identifying causal relationships from observational data.
method Introduced typed directed acyclic graphs to constrain causal relationships.
result The proposed assumptions lead to significant gains in causal graph identification.
A new method for identifying causal directions in complex systems.
problem Identifying causal relationships in nonlinear systems with limited data.
method Sequential edge orientation approach using pairwise additive noise model.
result The method can recover true causal DAGs under nonlinear additive noise models.
Reasoning based on causality, instead of association has been considered as a key ingredient towards real machine intelligence. However, it is a challenging task to infer causal relationship/structure among variables. In recent years, an Independent Mechanism (IM) principle was proposed, stating that the mechanism gene…