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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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162324485647 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for categorical time series

nTreeClus clusters categorical sequences using tree-based learners and k-mers.

problem Challenges in clustering categorical and sequential data.
method nTreeClus uses Tree-based Learners, k-mers, and autoregressive models for categorical time series.
result nTreeClus outperformed baseline methods in various validation metrics.

Three bootstrap tests compare categorical time series generating processes.

problem Testing equality of generating processes in categorical time series.
method Proposes three tests using dissimilarity measures and bootstrap methods.
result Advantages and disadvantages of each bootstrap method discussed.

ForecastGAN improves multi-horizon time series forecasting by integrating numerical and categorical features.

problem Limited performance of existing approaches in short-term and long-term forecasting.
method Decomposition, model selection, adversarial training.
result ForecastGAN consistently outperforms state-of-the-art transformer models for short-term forecasting.

This study improves cryptocurrency price forecasting using time series categorization and deep learning.

problem Accurate prediction of cryptocurrency prices is challenging due to limited data and diverse behaviors.
method The approach involves categorizing financial time series, creating deep learning models for each category, and combining data from other cryptocurrencies to increase training data.
result The method increases prediction accuracy by learning each subseries category with similar behavior and combining data from other cryptocurrencies.

ERAPS builds prediction sets for time-series data.

problem Uncertainty quantification in complex machine learning methods for time-series data.
method ERAPS is an ensemble-based framework for constructing prediction sets for time-series data, allowing unknown dependencies within features and responses.
result ERAPS demonstrates valid marginal and conditional coverage and yields smaller prediction sets than competing methods.

We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented as a data set of three-dimensional points, each point is defined by three varia…

2015-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved time series classification with imputed data using label-guided forest-based methods.

problem Missing data in time series data.
method Label-guided imputation using forest-based proximity measures.
result Imputation leads to higher classification accuracies, even with imputed values differing from true values.

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which may difficult the application of machine learning techniques to extract informat…

2019-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examines how discretization improves neural forecasting models.

problem Improving predictive performance of neural forecasting models.
method Empirical investigation of data binning techniques on various neural forecasting architectures.
result Data binning almost always improves forecasting accuracy, but the type of binning is less important.

Paper establishes a comprehensive benchmark for ECG time-series analysis.

problem Incomplete understanding of ECG signal properties and limitations in evaluation metrics.
method Categorization of downstream applications, identification of limitations, introduction of a novel metric, benchmarking of time-series models.
result Validation of the effectiveness of the proposed metric and model architecture.

Study categorizes time series anomaly detection metrics based on evaluation challenges.

problem Challenges in evaluating time series anomaly detection due to diverse application objectives and metric assumptions.
method Problem-oriented framework categorizing metrics into six dimensions based on evaluation challenges.
result Quantifies each metric's discriminative ability and reveals limitations of widely used metrics.

This paper reviews self-supervised learning methods for time series anomaly detection.

problem Challenges in traditional unsupervised methods for time series anomaly detection.
method Self-supervised learning techniques for time series anomaly detection.
result Enhanced performance of anomaly detectors through self-supervised learning.

Unified discrete diffusion for categorical data simplifies training and sampling.

problem Training and sampling in discrete diffusion models for categorical data.
method Mathematical simplifications and elegant unification of discrete-time and continuous-time discrete diffusion.
result Unified Simplified Discrete Denoising Diffusion (USD3) outperforms SOTA baselines.

Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial problems, with better prediction than machine learning methods. Moreover, many resea…

2019-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper brings deep learning at the forefront of research into Time Series Classification (TSC). TSC is the area of machine learning tasked with the categorization (or labelling) of time series. The last few decades of work in this area have led to significant progress in the accuracy of classifiers, with the state …

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This work concludes a series of four papers on the foundational theory of orbifolds and stacks. We apply the abstract theory, developed in its predecessors, to orbifolds derived from manifolds. Specifically, we show how the very concrete topological base spaces associated to such orbifolds can be described and manipula…

1995-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey of diffusion models for time series forecasting.

problem Lack of systematic taxonomy for diffusion models in time series forecasting.
method Introduction and review of standard diffusion models, their variants, and their adaptation to time series tasks.
result Provides a comprehensive categorization and summary of diffusion models for time series forecasting.

MSIN model discovers relevant financial news for time series data.

problem Discovering relevant textual stories associated with numerical time series data.
method Joint learning of time series and text data using MSIN model.
result MSIN achieves up to 84.9% and 87.2% in recalling ground truth articles for two stock time series.

A nonparametric Bayesian sparse graph linear dynamical system (SGLDS) is proposed to model sequentially observed multivariate data. SGLDS uses the Bernoulli-Poisson link together with a gamma process to generate an infinite dimensional sparse random graph to model state transitions. Depending on the sparsity pattern of…

2018-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Adversarial Net (GAN) has been proven to be a powerful machine learning tool in image data analysis and generation. In this paper, we propose to use Conditional Generative Adversarial Net (CGAN) to learn and simulate time series data. The conditions can be both categorical and continuous variables containing…

2019-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g. user behavior traces). We simplify the idea of capturing these patterns by hierarc…

2017-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for optimizing models with categorical variables using diffusion.

problem Optimizing models with categorical variables, especially in discrete distributions.
method Introducing ReDGE, a diffusion-based soft reparameterization method for categorical distributions.
result ReDGE consistently matches or outperforms existing gradient-based methods in experiments.

Analyzes how economic policies affect wealth distribution in Bitcoin token economy.

problem Impact of economic policies on wealth distribution in token economies.
method Eliminated noise in wealth distribution data using macroeconomic and microeconomic time series. Causality analysis between BIPs and wealth distribution data.
result Proposed a structure for economic policy taxonomy in token economies.

Paper finds linear laws in Bitcoin price changes, aiding anomaly detection.

problem Detecting anomalies in Bitcoin price changes.
method Time embedding of autocorrelation function, binary series generation, stepped time windows.
result Linear laws became more complex before major market events, suggesting price manipulation.

The paper defines and studies the category of Z-graded manifolds, including their intrinsic structure and formal properties.

problem Understanding the categorical properties and intrinsic structure of Z-graded manifolds.
method Describing local models, explaining formality, and formulating analogues of theorems.
result Proper definitions of objects and morphisms in the category of Z-graded manifolds, and formulation of Batchelor's theorem.

Unified review of methods for inferring non-stationary process parameters.

problem Inferring parameters of non-stationary processes without a known model.
method Unified review and categorization of algorithms for Parameter Inference from a Non-stationary Unknown Process (PINUP).
result Simple statistical features can perform well on non-stationary systems, highlighting gaps in existing methods.

Local-HDP learns independent topics for each 3D object category in real-time.

problem Learning independent topics for each 3D object category in real-time.
method Local-Hierarchical Dirichlet Process (Local-HDP) with online variational inference.
result Local-HDP outperforms other approaches in accuracy, scalability, and memory efficiency.