Paper improves candlestick classification model's resistance to adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial attacks on deep learning models for candlestick classification.
method Constructs perturbed examples to enhance model robustness.
result Boosted stability of DL models for candlestick classification.
Candlesticks are graphical representations of price movements for a given period. The traders can discovery the trend of the asset by looking at the candlestick patterns. Although deep convolutional neural networks have achieved great success for recognizing the candlestick patterns, their reasoning hides inside a blac…
Paper develops new spot regression estimators using candlesticks for asset pricing.
problem Estimation of spot betas in asset pricing and risk management.
method Develops a new estimation and inference framework for spot regressions using high-frequency candlesticks.
result The proposed candlestick-based estimators reduce estimation risk and achieve higher power in hypothesis testing.
Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic factors. This work explores the predictability in the stock market using Deep Convolu…
Proposes a method to generate high-quality candlestick data for financial trading.
problem Lack of labeled financial trading data.
method Modified Local Search Attack Sampling method for candlestick data augmentation.
result Generated high-quality data that are hard to distinguish by humans.
Martingale Doppelgänger-Eval benchmarks VLMs on candlestick evidence vs. trend extrapolation
problem Auditing whether VLMs use chart evidence or trend extrapolation
method Proving formal limitations and designing controlled mechanisms
result Identifying regression coefficients for evidence vs. trend
Stock prediction has always been attractive area for researchers and investors since the financial gains can be substantial. However, stock prediction can be a challenging task since stocks are influenced by a multitude of factors whose influence vary rapidly through time. This paper proposes a novel approach (Word2Vec…
The art of systematic financial trading evolved with an array of approaches, ranging from simple strategies to complex algorithms all relying, primary, on aspects of time-series analysis. Recently, after visiting the trading floor of a leading financial institution, we noticed that traders always execute their trade or…
The study uses stock market indicators to forecast COVID-19 cases.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 for resource allocation.
method Reinterpreting daily cases as candlesticks and applying stock market indicators.
result The stock market indicators show statistical significance in predicting COVID-19 cases.
Study tests five popular trading signal families and finds four refuted, one inconclusive, and one not refuted.
problem Testing the viability of five popular trading signal families for generating a positive edge.
method Statistical edge testing, economic viability assessment, and finite-bankroll survival under leverage using exposure-matched benchmarks, stationary-bootstrap confidence intervals, and hierarchical Benjamini-Yekutieli control.
result Four out of five signal families are refuted, one is inconclusive, and one is not refuted.
This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.
problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.
MM-DREX adapts LLM experts for financial trading via dynamic routing.
problem Challenges of non-stationary financial markets and static expert designs.
method MM-DREX uses a VLM-powered dynamic router to allocate expert weights and designs heterogeneous trading experts.
result Significantly outperforms 15 baselines across key metrics.
Study integrates deep learning with financial data for improved trading strategies.
problem Enhancing predictive performance in algorithmic trading and portfolio optimization.
method Developed embedding techniques to treat limit order book snapshots as image-based input channels.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in high-frequency trading algorithms.
We propose a novel investment decision strategy (IDS) based on deep learning. The performance of many IDSs is affected by stock similarity. Most existing stock similarity measurements have the problems: (a) The linear nature of many measurements cannot capture nonlinear stock dynamics; (b) The estimation of many simila…
Dynamics of the major USA market indices DJIA, S&P, Nasdaq, and NYSE is analyzed from the point of view of the random walking problem with two-step correlations of the market moves. The parameters characterizing the stochastic dynamics are determined empirically from the historical quotes for the daily, weekly, and mon…
FinVision uses LLM agents to predict stock markets by processing various financial data types.
problem Challenges in integrating diverse financial data for accurate stock market prediction.
method Multi-agent framework with LLMs specialized in different financial data types and a reflection module.
result The reflection module enhances decision-making capabilities for financial trading.
MountainLion uses LLMs to interpret financial data and generate investment strategies.
problem Challenges in integrating heterogeneous data for financial trading.
method Multi-modal LLM-based agents that process textual and visual data.
result Improves returns and investor confidence through interpretable investment framework.
Kronos improves financial time series analysis with a pre-trained model.
problem Limited application of large-scale models to financial candlestick data.
method Unified, scalable pre-training framework for financial K-line modeling.
result Kronos excels in financial tasks like price forecasting and volatility prediction.
LSTM and gradient boosting models fail to outperform random chance in predicting MNQ futures.
problem Predicting intraday direction in MNQ futures using LSTM and gradient boosting.
method Comparing LSTM and gradient boosting models on 944 trading days of MNQ futures data.
result No model achieves statistically significant accuracy above random chance.
PreBit predicts Bitcoin price movements using social media and financial data.
problem Predicting extreme price movements of Bitcoin due to its volatility and speculative trading.
method Hybrid model combining FinBERT embeddings of Twitter content with candlestick data and technical indicators.
result The hybrid model can predict significant market movements with a profitable trading strategy.
This study improves stock price prediction using multimodal data.
problem Improving financial asset price forecasting accuracy.
method Combining candlestick time series and textual news flow data using LSTM and pre-trained models.
result Textual modality reduces MAPE by 55%.
AI models failed to profitably predict cryptocurrency extrema on Binance Spot.
problem Tackling the profitability of candle-based machine learning models for short-term cryptocurrency trading.
method Scripted fixed-seed model runs and deterministic simulators with human supervision.
result Strongest evidence found negative, with models underperforming buy-and-hold strategies.
Dual-stage sEMG classification improves gesture recognition accuracy.
problem Improving accuracy in hand gesture recognition from sEMG signals.
method Dual-stage classification approach: first stage groups similar activities, second stage classifies within groups.
result Dual-stage classification yields significantly higher accuracy than single-stage approach.
A novel method for classification with rejection using ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.
problem Avoid risky misclassification in error-critical applications.
method Learning an ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.
result Improved classification accuracy and flexibility in loss selection.
The number of possible methods of generalizing binary classification to multi-class classification increases exponentially with the number of class labels. Often, the best method of doing so will be highly problem dependent. Here we present classification software in which the partitioning of multi-class classification…
Sequence classification is an important data mining task in many real world applications. Over the past few decades, many sequence classification methods have been proposed from different aspects. In particular, the pattern-based method is one of the most important and widely studied sequence classification methods in …
New NHCAs improve multi-category classification efficiency.
problem Efficient multi-category classification for real-world problems.
method Twin SVM (TWSVM), Generalized eigenvalue proximal SVM (GEPSVM), Regularized GEPSVM (RegGEPSVM), and Improved GEPSVM (IGEPSVM) with OAA, BT, and TDS approaches.
result TDS-TWSVM outperforms other methods in classification accuracy.
Classification outperforms regression in portfolio construction, yielding higher Sharpe ratios.
problem Determining which machine learning approach (classification vs. regression) is more effective for portfolio construction.
method Used stacking ensemble of gradient boosted tree, random forest, and neural network models.
result Classification yields higher Sharpe ratios and economically significant alphas compared to regression.
C-HMCNN(h) improves HMC classification by leveraging class hierarchy.
problem Hierarchical multi-label classification with class hierarchy constraints.
method Exploits class hierarchy to produce coherent predictions for multi-label classification.
result C-HMCNN(h) outperforms state-of-the-art models in HMC classification.
Advances few-shot classification by treating it as supervised learning and proposing new training techniques.
problem Formulating the ability of humans to learn from limited data in machine learning.
method Formulated few-shot classification as a supervised learning problem and introduced multi-episode and cross-way training techniques.
result Proposed training strategies accelerate the training process without accuracy loss.
We study realizations of Lie algebras by vector fields. A correspondence between classification of transitive local realizations and classification of subalgebras is generalized to the case of regular local realizations. A reasonable classification problem for general realizations is rigorously formulated and an algori…
New approach improves classification guarantees by focusing on direction rather than regression risk.
problem Improving classification guarantees in binary classification problems.
method Establishing a geometric distinction between classification and regression, leveraging scale invariance.
result Improved guarantees for classification risk compared to regression risk.
Study selective classification with halfspaces, achieving error bounds under Gaussian distributions.
problem Modeling relationships in subsets of data defined by selection rules.
method Sparse linear classifiers for subsets defined by halfspaces, focusing on Gaussian feature distributions.
result First PAC-learning algorithm for homogeneous halfspace selectors with error guarantee $\bigO*{\sqrt{\mathrm{opt}}}$.
A new network-based high-level data classification method using betweenness centrality.
problem Traditional data classification techniques focus on physical features, while high-level classification considers semantic meaning.
method Proposes a network-based high-level classification technique using betweenness centrality.
result Competent classification performance in nine real datasets compared to traditional models.
This thesis evaluates text-based vs audio-based classification of mental health interviews.
problem Classifying psychiatric illness using text-based methods.
method Design and evaluate a text classification network on mental health interviews, using belabBERT.
result Text-based classification is a strong alternative to audio-based methods.
Study on error probability for classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
problem Error probability in classification of heavy-tailed renewal processes.
method Asymptotic expressions for Bhattacharyya bound on misclassification error probabilities.
result Obtained asymptotic expressions for misclassification error probabilities.
Directly compute classification by learning features with class scores.
problem Classification efficiency and accuracy on various datasets.
method PCA for feature encoding, supervised learning model with encoder-decoder structure.
result Effective classification performance on multiple datasets.
This review explores resampling techniques for imbalanced binary classification.
problem Imbalanced classes lead to poor prediction results in classification.
method Classical, cost-sensitive, and Neyman-Pearson paradigms with resampling techniques and classification methods.
result Complex dynamics among resampling techniques, base methods, metrics, and imbalance ratios.
Conventional techniques for supervised classification constrain the classification rules considered and use surrogate losses for classification 0-1 loss. Favored families of classification rules are those that enjoy parametric representations suitable for surrogate loss minimization, and low complexity properties suita…
Text classification on drug SMILES strings yields competitive drug type classification results.
problem Classifying drug types using conventional text classification methods.
method Treated drug SMILES as sentences and applied basic NLP methods for classification.
result Competitive drug type classification results achieved.
Paper proposes fully Bayesian approach for RVM classification, improving accuracy especially in imbalanced data.
problem Difficulty in conducting RVM classification due to lack of closed-form solution for weight parameter posterior.
method Proposes Generic Bayesian and Fully Bayesian approaches with hierarchical hyperprior structure.
result Improves classification performance, especially in imbalanced data.
Scientists have used many different classification methods to solve the problem of music classification. But the efficiency of each classification is different. In this paper, we propose two compared methods on the task of music style classification. More specifically, feature extraction for representing timbral textur…
This work bounds classification error in machine learning for low Bayes error conditions.
problem Understanding the error mismatch between Bayes error and model-based classification error.
method Applying classification error bounds to study the relationship with Kullback-Leibler divergence and proposing a linear approximation for low Bayes error conditions.
result A linear approximation of the classification error bound for low Bayes error conditions is proposed.
Proposes an angle-based framework for multicategory cost-sensitive classification.
problem Cost-sensitive multicategory classification challenges.
method Angle-based cost-sensitive classification framework without sum-to-zero constraint.
result Proposed boosting algorithms yield competitive classification performances.
Optimal fuzzy classification aggregation functions are weighted means.
problem Characterizing optimal fuzzy classification aggregation functions.
method Proving optimality of weighted arithmetic means for fuzzy classification.
result Optimal fuzzy classification aggregation functions are weighted means.
Set classification problems arise when classification tasks are based on sets of observations as opposed to individual observations. In set classification, a classification rule is trained with N sets of observations, where each set is labeled with class information, and the prediction of a class label is performed a…
Interactive tool helps choose and understand classification metrics.
problem Common metrics for binary classification have limitations.
method Graphical application to visualize and explore evaluation metrics.
result Promotes careful attention to interpretation of metrics.
Complete classification of symmetric spaces actions.
problem Classifying symmetric spaces actions.
method Isometric cohomogeneity-one actions classification.
result Classification completed for all symmetric spaces of noncompact type.