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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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255176101 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for business analytics

This paper introduces TDA and TSI for better business analytics.

problem Nonlinear, multi-scale business datasets under-represented by traditional tools.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and Topological Stability Index (TSI).
result TSI reveals structural variability in business data.

Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.

problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.

Paper proposes a new method for learning business process representations.

problem Challenges in capturing all useful information in business process data.
method Combines Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networks for representation learning.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the approach through visualization and multiple process prediction tasks.

Study improves document processing in banking with multimodal analytics.

problem Raising operational efficiency in banking through document-intensive processes.
method Comparative analysis of text classifiers and multimodal model (LayoutXLM) on company register extracts.
result Incorporating layout information in a model substantially increases performance.

A microscopic model of aggregation and fragmentation is introduced to investigate the size distribution of businesses. In the model, businesses are constrained to comply with the market price, as expected by the customers, while customers can only buy at the prices offered by the businesses. We show numerically and ana…

2000-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The study optimizes supply chain management through a dice-based model to predict cleaner production.

problem Uncertainty in supply chain management and economic predictions.
method A 4-component SC module (environmental, demand, economic, social uncertainties) ranked by weight, using Analytical Hierarchical Process and optimization of a weighted cost function.
result Identifies conditions validating the sustainability of a business venture and optimizes market uncertainty.

We present a preferential attachment growth model to obtain the distribution P(K)P(K) of number of units KK in the classes which may represent business firms or other socio-economic entities. We found that P(K)P(K) is described in its central part by a power law with an exponent φ=2+b/(1b)φ=2+b/(1-b) which depends on the probabil…

2006-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making predictions about the future state of an ongoing business process instance, for…

2019-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We formulate banks' capital optimization problem as a classic mean variance optimization, by leveraging an accurate linear approximation to the Shapely or Constrained Aumann-Shapley (CAS) allocation of max or nested max cost functions. This reduced form formulation admits an analytical solution, to the optimal leverage…

2019-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes systemic risk in an insurance model with multiple business lines and heterogeneous claims.

problem Analyzing systemic risk in a multi-dimensional insurance model with heterogeneous claims.
method A multi-dimensional Lévy process-based renewal risk model with pairwise asymptotic independence (PAI).
result Asymptotic formulas for tail probabilities and systemic risk measures are derived.

Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable. But the small number of available observations and small number of economies mean …

2008-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We study a credit risk model which captures effects of economic interactions on a firm's default probability. Economic interactions are represented as a functionally defined graph, and the existence of both cooperative, and competitive, business relations is taken into account. We provide an analytic solution of the mo…

2005-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A microscopic approach to macroeconomic features is intended. A model for macroeconomic behavior under heterogeneous spatial economic conditions is reviewed. A birth-death lattice gas model taking into account the influence of an economic environment on the fitness and concentration evolution of economic entities is nu…

2004-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

SmallML predicts customer churn for SMEs with small data, improving accuracy by 24.2 points.

problem AI exclusion of SMEs due to data scale mismatch.
method Bayesian transfer learning with hierarchical pooling and conformal prediction.
result 96.7% AUC on 100 obs SMEs, 24.2 point improvement over logistic regression.

Paper establishes a formula linking model performance to insurance loss ratio.

problem Improving model performance does not always lead to proportional improvements in loss ratio.
method Derives a closed-form formula connecting Pearson correlation to expected loss ratio.
result Model improvements have diminishing marginal returns in reducing loss ratio.

This paper deals with the explicit design of strategy formulations to make the best strategic choices from a conventional matrix form of representing strategic choices. The explicit strategy formulation is an analytical model which is targeted to provide a mathematical strategy framework to find the best moment for str…

2019-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Having the right assortment of shipping boxes in the fulfillment warehouse to pack and ship customer's online orders is an indispensable and integral part of nowadays eCommerce business, as it will not only help maintain a profitable business but also create great experiences for customers. However, it is an extremely …

2018-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph database outperforms in filtering ESG stocks efficiently.

problem Efficiently filtering ESG stocks from large lists of equities.
method Compared SQL, No-SQL, and graph databases; used Python for database interactions; collected data from stock price and financial news.
result Graph database is more efficient for ESG stock filtering.

Large corporate credit models may be adapted for small business risk assessment.

problem Limited data and lack of credit analysts for small businesses.
method Adapting large corporate credit risk models for small businesses.
result Adapted models can predict small business credit risk effectively.

We analyse four consecutive cycles observed in the USA for employment and inflation. They are driven by three oil price shocks and an intended interest rate shock. Non-linear coupling between the rate equations for consumer products as prey and consumers as predators provides the required instability, but its natural d…

2012-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.

problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.

Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.

problem Optimizing business expansion under exposure constraints and opportunity costs.
method Formulated as a novel stochastic control problem combined with optimal stopping time, derived an explicit solution for exponential utility.
result Firms are incentivized to expand but may wait due to opportunity costs and other factors.

Futures trading is the core of futures business, and it is considered as one of the typical complex systems. To investigate the complexity of futures trading, we employ the analytical method of complex networks. First, we use real trading records from the Shanghai Futures Exchange to construct futures trading networks,…

2010-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Endogenous business cycles explain higher comovement across countries.

problem Standard models struggle to explain high comovement in business cycles across countries.
method Developed a demand-driven reduced-form model with strategic complementarities and international trade linkages.
result Combining endogenous business cycles with exogenous shocks matches empirical comovement levels.

Machine learning predicts US and EuroZone business cycles with high accuracy.

problem Predicting the business cycle phases in US and EuroZone.
method Three machine learning approaches were compared: Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) achieved the best results.
result MLR achieved 65.25% accuracy for EuroZone and 75% for US in predicting business cycle phases.

The study uses CoDa to analyze family business financial ratios, highlighting methodological issues.

problem Asymmetry, non-normality, and non-linearity in financial ratios of family businesses.
method Compositional data analysis (CoDa) and classical analysis strategies.
result Results are sensitive to the methodology used, emphasizing the need for appropriate methodologies.

Study examines how business units can benefit from group cohesion under regulatory constraints.

problem Regulatory constraints limit business units' ability to form a single cohesive group.
method Defined and analyzed cohesive risk measures to minimize capital costs.
result Cohesive risk measures allow groups to achieve minimal capital costs without altering individual liabilities.