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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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17355269 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for budget revenues

'There is no terror in the bang, only is the anticipation of it' - Alfred Hitchcock. Yet there is everything in correctly anticipating the bang a movie would make in the box-office. Movies make a high profile, billion dollar industry and prediction of movie revenue can be very lucrative. Predicted revenues can be used …

2018-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study estimates long-term effects of online advertising mechanisms on user behavior and revenue.

problem Estimating long-term treatment effects in online advertising systems.
method Modeling treatment effects as a stopped random walk, using experimental design, and statistical methods.
result Confidence intervals for long-term treatment effects constructed using statistical techniques.

This paper optimizes multi-channel sequential advertising to maximize cumulative revenue.

problem Maximizing cumulative revenue in multi-channel sequential advertising under a budget constraint.
method Formulated as a dynamic knapsack problem, proposed a bilevel optimization framework with action space reduction.
result Significantly improved cumulative revenue compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Online advertising in E-commerce platforms provides sellers an opportunity to achieve potential audiences with different target goals. Ad serving systems (like display and search advertising systems) that assign ads to pages should satisfy objectives such as plenty of audience for branding advertisers, clicks or conver…

2019-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a new AED framework for multi-metric experiments with fixed budget.

problem Statistical power challenges in testing multiple metrics simultaneously.
method Two-phase structure: adaptive exploration followed by validation. SHRVar algorithm with relative-variance-based sampling.
result Achieves provable error probability that decreases exponentially.

This paper optimizes revenue and resource balance in network revenue management.

problem Maximizing revenue while ensuring fair resource consumption across different suppliers.
method Introduces a regularized revenue objective and a primal-dual UCB algorithm for continuous prices and balancing.
result Achieves a worst-case regret of O~(N5/2T)\widetilde O(N^{5/2}\sqrt{T}) for revenue maximization and balancing.

Germany's tax admin costs likely exceed 20% of total revenue, requiring system improvement.

problem High tax administrative costs in Germany and other jurisdictions.
method Statistical data, surveys, and a novel approach to measure total administrative cost as a percentage of total tax revenue.
result Germany's 2021 tax administrative costs likely exceeded 20% of total tax revenue.

The paper proposes a new method for product recommendation that considers revenue contributions and user similarity.

problem High dimensionality and sparsity in user-item data, especially in terms of revenue contributions.
method The approach encodes revenue contributions in the user-item matrix and computes customer similarity using suitable distance measures.
result The method segments users based on revenue-based similarity and supports recommendations aligned with profitability objectives.

Improved algorithms solve multi-period multi-class packing problems with bandit feedback.

problem Optimizing item packing under budget constraints with class-dependent rewards and bandit feedback.
method Developed a new estimator and a closed-form bandit policy for linear contextual multi-class multi-period packing problems.
result The proposed policy achieves sublinear regret in non-degenerate contexts, significantly outperforming benchmarks.

This study improves valuation of post-revenue biopharmaceutical assets using Pfizer's data.

problem Accurate valuation of post-revenue drug assets in biotech and pharma.
method Historical sales data analysis to forecast future sales and calculate Net Present Value.
result Demonstrates a method for more informed investment decisions in biotech and pharma.

Proposes balancing revenue and environmental impact in assortment planning.

problem Maximizing revenue while considering environmental impact in retail assortment planning.
method Multi-objective optimization using Higg Material Sustainability Index.
result Shows it's possible to have lower environmental impact without significant revenue loss.

The study uses historical revenue data to forecast music catalog cashflows and multipliers.

problem Valuation of music catalogs based on historical revenue data.
method Risk-neutral approach using discounted cashflows formula.
result Ask prices are close to multipliers justified by median song cashflows, while best bids are near multipliers justified by bottom decile cashflows.

The paper explores fairness, welfare, and equity in personalized pricing across various applications.

problem Interplay of fairness, welfare, and equity in personalized pricing based on customer features.
method Comprehensive literature review and observational metrics without underlying valuation distribution assumptions.
result Personalized pricing can expand access, improve welfare, and increase revenue or budget utilization.

For any business, planning is a continuous process, and typically business-owners focus on making both long-term planning aligned with a particular strategy as well as short-term planning that accommodates the dynamic market situations. An ability to perform an accurate financial forecast is crucial for effective plann…

2016-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves bidding price prediction for ancillary services markets, boosting revenues.

problem Volatility in renewable energy sources affects grid stability and revenue optimization.
method Machine learning models (SVR, DT, k-NN) and offset adjustment for pay-as-bid markets.
result The proposed approach increases potential revenues by 27.43% to 37.31% compared to baseline models.

In markets for online advertising, some advertisers pay only when users respond to ads. So publishers estimate ad response rates and multiply by advertiser bids to estimate expected revenue for showing ads. Since these estimates may be inaccurate, the publisher risks not selecting the ad for each ad call that would max…

2015-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This work studies learning curves for revenue maximization algorithms.

problem Understanding the performance of revenue-maximizing algorithms as they learn from more data.
method Initiates the study of learning curves for revenue maximization, providing a near-complete characterization of their rate of decay.
result Learning curves for revenue maximization can decay arbitrarily slowly or almost exponentially fast, depending on the distribution and optimal revenue.

A new RL approach optimizes reserve prices in multi-phase auctions, reducing revenue regret.

problem Optimizing reserve prices in multi-phase second-price auctions with noisy and potentially untruthful bidders.
method Combines RL techniques with buffer periods, a novel algorithm, and LSVI-UCB extension.
result Achieves optimal revenue regret under known and unknown noise conditions.

In order for an e-commerce platform to maximize its revenue, it must recommend customers items they are most likely to purchase. However, the company often has business constraints on these items, such as the number of each item in stock. In this work, our goal is to recommend items to users as they arrive on a webpage…

2019-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper shows re-solving heuristics have constant regret for price-based revenue management.

problem Optimal pricing policies for revenue management with time constraints.
method Proves re-solving heuristics have O(1)O(1) regret compared to optimal policies.
result Improved regret bound to O(1)O(1) from O(lnT)O(\ln T), complemented by Ω(lnT)Ω(\ln T) gap with fluid model.

DeepCausalMMM models marketing impacts using deep learning and causal inference.

problem Traditional MMM approaches struggle with non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns.
method Combines deep learning, causal inference, and marketing science. Uses GRUs for temporal patterns and DAG structure for channel dependencies.
result Captures non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns in marketing impacts.

The paper tackles revenue management with time-varying demand using posterior sampling.

problem Maximizing revenue in real-time applications with unknown and time-varying demand.
method Episodic generalization of RM problem, posterior sampling algorithm for linear programming optimization.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms other methods and is comparable to the optimal policy in hindsight.

New method for probabilistic modeling of integer submodular functions.

problem Lack of probabilistic modeling for integer submodular functions.
method Proposed Generalized Multilinear Extension and block-coordinate ascent algorithm.
result Demonstrated effectiveness and viability on real-world datasets.

OTT services are replacing traditional telecom services, affecting revenue streams.

problem OTT services are reducing traditional telecom revenue streams.
method Quantitative analysis of mobile user trends and revenue changes.
result OTT services are becoming more prevalent and impacting telecom revenue.

Contextual bandit framework improves revenue optimization in securities lending market.

problem Optimizing revenue for agent lenders in a dynamic securities lending market.
method Utilized contextual bandit frameworks to address dynamic pricing problems in an e-commerce-like securities lending market.
result Contextual bandit approach consistently outperforms traditional methods by at least 15% in total revenue generated.

In recent years, RTB(Real Time Bidding) becomes a popular online advertisement trading method. During the auction, each DSP(Demand Side Platform) is supposed to evaluate current opportunity and respond with an ad and corresponding bid price. It's essential for DSP to find an optimal ad selection and bid price determina…

2017-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Triangle fees adjust fees based on trade size and price movement, improving price accuracy and revenue.

problem Price staleness and low fee revenue in AMMs.
method Decreasing marginal fees proportional to price movement, creating incentives for price accuracy.
result Triangle fees strictly improve the Pareto frontier of price accuracy versus losses.

Proposes a variational autoencoder for long-term customer revenue forecasting.

problem Predicting long-term customer revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data.
method Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with flexible latent representation.
result Improves upon latest benchmarks in multiple real-world datasets.