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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for bootstrap bounds

The paper derives upper bounds on eigenvalues of Laplace-Beltrami operator on hyperbolic surfaces.

problem Finding upper bounds on eigenvalues of Laplace-Beltrami operator on hyperbolic surfaces.
method Using spectral decompositions and consistency conditions derived from quadruple overlap integrals in terms of triple overlap integrals.
result Derives upper bounds on eigenvalues, nearly saturated by the Bolza surface.

We investigate the use of bootstrapping in the bandit setting. We first show that the commonly used non-parametric bootstrapping (NPB) procedure can be provably inefficient and establish a near-linear lower bound on the regret incurred by it under the bandit model with Bernoulli rewards. We show that NPB with an approp…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves confidence intervals for LSA with multiplier bootstrap.

problem Improving confidence intervals for parameter estimation in LSA.
method Berry-Esseen bound for multivariate normal approximation and multiplier bootstrap.
result Valid confidence intervals for parameter estimation in LSA.

Paper develops Gaussian approximations and bootstrap for federated LSA with trade-off bounds.

problem Analyzing convergence rates and trade-offs in federated linear stochastic approximation.
method Established Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated LSA, developed multiplier bootstrap for inference.
result First federated Gaussian approximations with explicit trade-off terms and non-asymptotic validity guarantees.

A distributed bootstrap method for high-dimensional data reduces communication rounds efficiently.

problem Simultaneous inference on massive, high-dimensional data stored across many machines.
method Distributed bootstrap based on de-biased lasso with efficient cross-validation tuning.
result Theoretical lower bound on communication rounds τminτ_{\min} for statistical accuracy and efficiency.

The paper proposes a method to calibrate evidential clustering using bootstrapped finite mixture models.

problem Representing uncertainty in cluster membership using Dempster-Shafer mass functions.
method Constructing Dempster-Shafer mass functions by bootstrapping finite mixture models, computing confidence intervals, and calibrating the evidential partition.
result The proposed method calibrates the evidential partition such that the belief and plausibility degrees approximate the true probabilities with high confidence.

New stability theorem for hyperbolic metrics without volume bounds.

problem Stability of finite volume hyperbolic metrics without upper volume bounds.
method Abstract axiomatic framework and bootstrap argument to extend stability result.
result Weaker exponential control of the metric allows for a broader application of the stability theorem.

Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration inequalities, which thus lead to over-exploration. In this paper, we propose a n…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper derives convergence rates and confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.

problem Analyzing convergence rates and constructing confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
method Derives non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds and multiplier block bootstrap procedure.
result Provides O(n1/4)\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/4}) convergence rates and guarantees consistent inference.

A neural network estimates sampling distributions for hard problems where classical methods fail.

problem Bootstrap failure in estimating sampling distributions for specific statistics.
method Neural network trained on simulated datasets using pinball loss.
result Neural network attains 95% nominal coverage and 97% improvement over classical methods on four bootstrap-failure problems.

Paper improves CLT and bootstrap approximations for LSA with decreasing step size.

problem Improving normal approximation and bootstrap methods for LSA with decreasing step sizes.
method Refined Berry-Esseen bounds and multiplier bootstrap procedure for LSA.
result Approximation rates up to 1/n1/\sqrt{n} for LSA rescaled error distribution.

This study presents two new algorithms for solving linear stochastic bandit problems. The proposed methods use an approach from non-parametric statistics called bootstrapping to create confidence bounds. This is achieved without making any assumptions about the distribution of noise in the underlying system. We present…

2016-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes a small set of centroid points to approximate bootstrap distribution.

problem Computational inefficiency of standard bootstrap methods in large-scale machine learning.
method Explicitly optimizes a small set of high quality centroid points to approximate the ideal bootstrap distribution.
result Accurately estimates uncertainty with a small number of bootstrap centroids, outperforming i.i.d. sampling.

Improved diffusion models for generative tasks without dimensionality constraints.

problem Sample complexity bounds for learning score functions in diffusion models.
method Dimension-free sample complexity bounds, martingale-based error decomposition, variance reduction technique (Bootstrapped Score Matching).
result Achieved a double exponential improvement in sample complexity over prior results.

Method captures shared information across many views robustly.

problem Modeling hundreds of views per event and learning robust embeddings without view knowledge.
method View bootstrapping using multi-view correlation and matrix concentration theory.
result View bootstrapping captures shared information across many views robustly.

AR-Sieve Bootstrap improves Random Forest time series prediction accuracy.

problem Inaccurate time series prediction due to inadequate resampling methods.
method Combines Random Forest with AR-Sieve Bootstrap for better resampling.
result AR-Sieve Bootstrap leads to more accurate predictions compared to other methods.

The paper provides rigorous guarantees for m-out-of-n bootstrap estimators of sample quantiles.

problem Lack of parameter-free guarantees for robust inference with heavy-tailed data.
method Central limit theorem and Edgeworth expansion for m-out-of-n bootstrap estimators of sample quantiles.
result Established rigorous guarantees for the soundness of m-out-of-n bootstrap estimators of sample quantiles.

We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where p<np<n but p/np/n is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist performance requirement: can the bootstrap give us good confidence intervals fo…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New bootstraps improve speed and accuracy for graph count functionals.

problem Efficiently counting subgraphs in large graphs.
method Developed two types of multiplier bootstraps: a fast, approximate linear one and a quadratic one for denser graphs.
result Both bootstraps provide valid inference and higher-order accuracy under different graph sparsity conditions.

The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.

problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.

Three bootstrap tests compare categorical time series generating processes.

problem Testing equality of generating processes in categorical time series.
method Proposes three tests using dissimilarity measures and bootstrap methods.
result Advantages and disadvantages of each bootstrap method discussed.

Paper explores using bootstrap methods to improve SGD's stability and robustness.

problem Improving the stability and robustness of SGD.
method Investigates empirical bootstrap approaches for SGD from algorithmic stability and statistical robustness perspectives.
result Demonstrates construction of purely distribution-free confidence intervals using bootstrap SGD.

Bootstrap method for Markov chains in reinforcement learning.

problem Distributional consistency in finite controlled Markov chains with unknown control policies.
method Model-based bootstrap with novel LLN and CLT for visitation counts and transition increments.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals for value and QQ-functions in offline RL.

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding computationally. While variants such as subsampling and the mm out o…

2011-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves confidence intervals and variance estimation for deep learning models.

problem Improving confidence intervals and variance estimation in deep learning models.
method Residual-based framework for conditional variance estimation; robust bootstrap procedure for confidence intervals.
result First non-asymptotic bounds for variance estimation using ReLU networks.

A new method boosts exploration in bandit algorithms, reducing regret.

problem Improving exploration in bandit algorithms with bounded or unbounded rewards.
method Residual Bootstrap Exploration (ReBoot) method that injects data-driven randomness.
result Proves logarithmic regret in Gaussian multi-armed bandits with appropriate variance inflation.

This work explores adaptations of successful multi-armed bandits policies to the online contextual bandits scenario with binary rewards using binary classification algorithms such as logistic regression as black-box oracles. Some of these adaptations are achieved through bootstrapping or approximate bootstrapping, whil…

2018-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Validates network bootstraps for uncertainty quantification in network visualisation.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in network embeddings when only a single observation is available.
method Statistical indistinguishable embeddings using k-nearest neighbour smoothing, validated by an exchangeable network test.
result Proposes a principled, distribution-free network bootstrap that passes the exchangeable network test.

New DP bootstrap method for statistical inference with improved privacy and accuracy.

problem Lack of general techniques for conducting statistical inference under differential privacy.
method DP bootstrap procedure to infer sampling distribution and construct confidence intervals.
result DP bootstrap estimates provide consistent point estimates and asymptotically valid standard CIs.

A new bootstrapping method reduces key sizes and runtime in FHE.

problem Large plaintext evaluation in FHE increases bootstrapping complexity.
method New polynomial vector representation and monic monomial permutation matrices.
result Polynomial factor improvement in key size and constant factor in runtime.

Cross validation (CV) and the bootstrap are ubiquitous model-agnostic tools for assessing the error or variability of machine learning and statistical estimators. However, these methods require repeatedly re-fitting the model with different weighted versions of the original dataset, which can be prohibitively time-cons…

2019-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets, the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding. As an alternative, we present the Bag of Little Bootstraps (BLB), a new procedure which incorporates fea…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm improves stochastic linear bandit performance using residual bootstrap.

problem Improving performance in stochastic linear bandit problems.
method Residual bootstrap exploration to estimate mean reward and pull the arm with the highest estimate.
result Proposed algorithm exttt{LinReBoot} achieves high-probability sub-linear regret under mild conditions.

Paper improves bootstrapping for off-policy reinforcement learning inference.

problem Improving bootstrapping for off-policy reinforcement learning inference.
method Proposes a bootstrapping FQE method for off-policy statistical inference and a subsampling procedure to improve runtime.
result Asymptotically efficient and distributionally consistent bootstrapping FQE method for off-policy inference.