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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for boosted tree ensembles

This study extends verifiable learning to boosted tree ensembles, enabling efficient security verification.

problem Efficiently verifying the robustness of boosted tree ensembles against norm-based attackers.
method Formal verification of robustness for large-spread boosted tree ensembles, considering LL_\infty-norm and pseudo-polynomial time for LpL_p-norm verification.
result Polynomial time verification for LL_\infty-norm attackers, NP-hard for other norms, and pseudo-polynomial time for LpL_p-norm verification.

Tree ensembles such as random forests and boosted trees are accurate but difficult to understand, debug and deploy. In this work, we provide the inTrees (interpretable trees) framework that extracts, measures, prunes and selects rules from a tree ensemble, and calculates frequent variable interactions. An rule-based le…

2014-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Classifier evasion consists in finding for a given instance xx the nearest instance xx' such that the classifier predictions of xx and xx' are different. We present two novel algorithms for systematically computing evasions for tree ensembles such as boosted trees and random forests. Our first algorithm uses a Mixe…

2015-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Tree ensembles are flexible predictive models that can capture relevant variables and to some extent their interactions in a compact and interpretable manner. Most algorithms for obtaining tree ensembles are based on versions of boosting or Random Forest. Previous work showed that boosting algorithms exhibit a cyclic b…

2017-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A hybrid strategy forecasts short-term loads using Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting.

problem Lack of effective short-term load forecasting methods.
method Hybrid strategy integrating four different inference models: tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB).
result Demonstrates effectiveness of hybrid strategy on real datasets.

agtboost speeds up gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment.

problem Speeding up and simplifying gradient tree boosting computations.
method Adaptive gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment and feature importance.
result Significant decrease in computation time and simplification of model complexity.

Tree ensembles, such as random forest and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance, whereas their interpretability is critically limited. In this paper, we propose a post processing method that improves the model interpretability of tree ensembles. After learning a complex tree ensembles in a s…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a method to build a neural network that is similar to an ensemble of decision trees. We first illustrate how to convert a learned ensemble of decision trees to a single neural network with one hidden layer and an input transformation. We then relax some properties of this network such as thresh…

2019-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves prediction rule ensembles using model-based data generation.

problem Improving the sparsity and predictive accuracy of prediction rule ensembles.
method The authors use surrogate models to train Lasso regression with data generated by a boosted decision tree ensemble, improving PRE performance.
result The use of surrogacy models can substantially improve the sparsity of PRE while retaining predictive accuracy.

We introduce a novel boosting algorithm called `KTBoost' which combines kernel boosting and tree boosting. In each boosting iteration, the algorithm adds either a regression tree or reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression function to the ensemble of base learners. Intuitively, the idea is that discontinuous …

2019-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This research tackles uncertainty in gradient boosting models using ensemble methods.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient boosting models for high-risk applications.
method Probabilistic ensemble-based framework for gradient boosting classification and regression models.
result Ensembles of gradient boosting models detect anomalous inputs but have limited ability to improve total uncertainty.

VisRuler simplifies decision extraction from bagged and boosted trees.

problem Complexity and lack of interpretability in ensemble models.
method Visual analytics tool for selecting robust models, important features, and essential decisions.
result Users successfully extracted and explained decisions from ensemble models.

New methods improve tree ensemble models by compressing them while maintaining accuracy.

problem Theoretical understanding and practical compression of tree ensembles like random forests and gradient boosting machines.
method Spectral perspective on tree ensembles, deriving minimax rates and developing compression schemes.
result Leading eigenfunctions/singular vectors capture dominant predictive directions, leading to smaller, competitive models.

We propose to use boosted regression trees as a way to compute human-interpretable solutions to reinforcement learning problems. Boosting combines several regression trees to improve their accuracy without significantly reducing their inherent interpretability. Prior work has focused independently on reinforcement lear…

2018-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this advantage. The first improvement extends the boosting formalism from scalar-val…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

In machine learning ensemble methods have demonstrated high accuracy for the variety of problems in different areas. Two notable ensemble methods widely used in practice are gradient boosting and random forests. In this paper we present InfiniteBoost - a novel algorithm, which combines important properties of these two…

2017-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Credit scoring plays a vital role in the field of consumer finance. Survival analysis provides an advanced solution to the credit-scoring problem by quantifying the probability of survival time. In order to deal with highly heterogeneous industrial data collected in Chinese market of consumer finance, we propose a nonp…

2019-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Shallow trees in ensemble models make models more interpretable and sometimes better.

problem Lack of transparency in high-performing tree ensemble models.
method Developed an interpretation algorithm to convert tree ensembles into functional ANOVA representations. Proposed strategies to enhance interpretability.
result Shallow trees in ensemble models can lead to better generalization performance and improved interpretability.

Boosted ensemble of decision tree (DT) classifiers are extremely popular in international competitions, yet to our knowledge nothing is formally known on how to make them \textit{also} differential private (DP), up to the point that random forests currently reign supreme in the DP stage. Our paper starts with the proof…

2020-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

TREX explains tree ensembles by identifying key training examples.

problem Identifying which training examples most influence tree ensemble predictions.
method TREX builds a surrogate model using a kernel that captures tree ensemble structure, approximating the original model.
result TREX provides accurate and effective explanations for tree ensembles.

HATT improves online decision tree ensembles by using a more eager splitting strategy.

problem Improving the efficiency of online decision tree ensembles.
method Replacing Hoeffding Tree's split strategy with HATT, which uses the Hoeffding Test for candidate splits.
result HATT outperforms Hoeffding Tree in online bagging and boosting ensembles, as shown by significant performance improvements in various testbenches.

Technology and collaboration enable dramatic increases in the size of psychological and psychiatric data collections, but finding structure in these large data sets with many collected variables is challenging. Decision tree ensembles like random forests (Strobl, Malley, and Tutz, 2009) are a useful tool for finding st…

2015-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm infers sampling distribution from i.i.d. samples without supervision.

problem Learning probability distributions from unlabeled data.
method Unsupervised tree boosting using additive tree ensembles and new distributional operations.
result Algorithm outperforms deep learning in multivariate density estimation.

New methods improve prediction performance and reduce computation time in boosting and random forest models.

problem Improving prediction performance and reducing computation time in boosting and random forest models.
method Random tree depth injection approach for Boosting and Random Forests.
result The new methods can improve prediction performance and reduce computation time by up to 40%.

Tree ensembles like RF and GBT can be seen as kernels, improving regression and classification performance.

problem Improving kernel methods for tree ensemble based models.
method Investigation of RF and GBT kernels in simulation and real data.
result RF and GBT kernels are competitive to their respective ensembles in higher dimensions, particularly with noisy features.

The study investigates kernel-target alignment in tree ensemble kernels.

problem The degree of kernel-target alignment affects the performance of tree ensemble kernels in kernel learning.
method Eigenanalysis of the kernel matrix and sensitivity analysis via landmark learning.
result Good performance of tree ensemble kernels is associated with strong kernel-target alignment.

FAST-DAD distills complex ensemble models into faster, more accurate individual models.

problem Deploying complex AutoML ensemble predictors on tabular data is slow, large, and opaque.
method Data augmentation strategy based on Gibbs sampling from a self-attention pseudolikelihood estimator.
result FAST-DAD distillation produces significantly better individual models than standard training.

Enhanced Random Forests outperform XGBoost across binary classification datasets.

problem Improving performance of Random Forests in binary classification.
method Adaptive sample and model weighting, iterative algorithm for sample weights, personalized tree weighting schemes.
result Significantly outperforms XGBoost across 15 binary classification datasets.

Understanding how "black-box" models arrive at their predictions has sparked significant interest from both within and outside the AI community. Our work focuses on doing this by generating local explanations about individual predictions for tree-based ensembles, specifically Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDTs). G…

2019-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Integrates differentiable decision trees into neural networks for faster training and inference.

problem Combining differentiability and conditional computation in tree ensembles for neural networks.
method Sparse activation function and specialized forward/backward propagation algorithms for efficient training and inference.
result 10x speed-ups and 20x reduction in parameters compared to existing methods, while maintaining performance.