A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study classifies mappings of bivariate normal densities, revealing three types with distinct geometric and statistical properties.
Modeling stock returns and volatility using a bivariate gamma generalized Laplace law.
We collect well known and less known facts about the bivariate normal distribution and translate them into copula language. In addition, we prove a very general formula for the bivariate normal copula, we compute Gini's gamma, and we provide improved bounds and approximations on the diagonal.
A new Heckman selection model uses a bivariate contaminated normal distribution for more accurate data analysis.
The modelling of empirically observed data is commonly done using mixtures of probability distributions. In order to model angular data, directional probability distributions such as the bivariate von Mises (BVM) is typically used. The critical task involved in mixture modelling is to determine the optimal number of co…
The seemingly disjoint problems of count and mixture modeling are united under the negative binomial (NB) process. A gamma process is employed to model the rate measure of a Poisson process, whose normalization provides a random probability measure for mixture modeling and whose marginalization leads to an NB process f…
A new class of bivariate distributions is introduced that extends the Generalized Marshall-Olkin distributions of Li and Pellerey (2011). Their dependence structure is studied through the analysis of the copula functions that they induce. These copulas, that include as special cases the Generalized Marshall-Olkin copul…
We show that gamma distributions provide models for departures from randomness since every neighbourhood of an exponential distribution contains a neighbourhood of gamma distributions, using an information theoretic metric topology. We derive also the information geometry of the 3-manifold of McKay bivariate gamma dist…
Develops a new bivariate process for energy markets with improved simulation methods.
A surface with boundary is randomly generated by gluing polygons along some of their sides. We show that its genus and number of boundary components asymptotically follow a bivariate normal distribution.
InClass nets use neural networks to estimate CIMMs without assuming fixed parameters.
The paper introduces a new model to correct bias in treatment effect estimates due to sample selection.
SkewD robustly discovers causal relationships in skewed noise models.
GPDFlow models extreme threshold exceedance with flexible dependence using normalizing flows.
Develops a Bayesian method for causal inference with partly censored time-to-event data.
Under a generalized skew normal distribution we consider the problem of European option pricing. Existence of the martingale measure is proved. An explicit expression for a given European option price is presented in terms of the cumulative distribution function of the univariate skew normal and the bivariate standard …
Understanding proper distance measures between distributions is at the core of several learning tasks such as generative models, domain adaptation, clustering, etc. In this work, we focus on mixture distributions that arise naturally in several application domains where the data contains different sub-populations. For …
Paper simplifies data carving inference with a parametric distribution.
PCA is often used in anomaly detection and statistical process control tasks. For bivariate data, we prove that the minor projection (the least varying projection) of the PCA-rotated data is the most sensitive to distributional changes, where sensitivity is defined by the Hellinger distance between distributions before…
We address the problem of distinguishing cause from effect in bivariate setting. Based on recent developments in nonlinear independent component analysis (ICA), we train nonparametrically general nonlinear causal models that allow non-additive noise. Further, we build an ensemble framework, namely Causal Mosaic, which …
We develop a general method for estimating a finite mixture of non-normalized models. Here, a non-normalized model is defined to be a parametric distribution with an intractable normalization constant. Existing methods for estimating non-normalized models without computing the normalization constant are not applicable …
The paper models Gasoil options using Brent benchmarks, improving volatility estimation.
Improved VB algorithm for NIG mixtures outperforms Gaussian mixtures for non-Gaussian data.
The thesis models financial returns using mixtures of generalized normal distributions.
New methods optimize sums of bivariate functions on finite domains.
Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is made using a novel pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler for normalized comp…
A new CoVaR framework integrates expert views using entropy pooling.
Parameter estimation for model-based clustering using a finite mixture of normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distributions is achieved through variational Bayes approximations. Univariate NIG mixtures and multivariate NIG mixtures are considered. The use of variational Bayes approximations here is a substantial departure fr…
We define parametrized cobordism categories and study their formal properties as bivariant theories. Bivariant transformations to a strongly excisive bivariant theory give rise to characteristic classes of smooth bundles with strong additivity properties. In the case of cobordisms between manifolds with boundary, we pr…
Constructs bivariate quantiles using vine copulas for multivariate analysis.
Proposes a new model for clustering with heavier tails.
Local asymptotic minimax risk bounds in a locally asymptotically mixture of normal family of distributions have been investigated under asymmetric loss functions and the asymptotic distribution of the optimal estimator that attains the bound has been obtained.
Proposes bivariate DeepKriging for efficient wind field prediction.
A new model combines normalizing flows with mixture components for better density estimation.
Flexible models cluster RNA sequencing data.
Study calculates tail risk for various mixture distributions.
The rebmix package provides R functions for random univariate and multivariate finite mixture model generation, estimation, clustering and classification. The paper is focused on multivariate normal mixture models with unrestricted variance-covariance matrices. The objective is to show how to generate datasets for a kn…
In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of latent variables that gives us the possibility to handle sensitivity of model to out…
A new tree model, GRST, improves option pricing without log-normality assumptions.
Normalizing flows improve density estimation from noisy data.
Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a popular framework in the fields of statistics and machine learning for modeling heterogeneity in data for regression, classification and clustering. MoE for continuous data are usually based on the normal distribution. However, it is known that for data with asymmetric behavior, heavy tail…
Study uses a bivariate model to price crude oil futures.
Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected shortfall when the univariate marginals are known exactly and additional expert inf…
Enhances GPLVM for multi-view data with scalable latent representation learning.
Enhances U-statistics for semi-supervised datasets using unlabeled data.
DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.
In this study, a numerical quadrature for the generalized inverse Gaussian distribution is derived from the Gauss-Hermite quadrature by exploiting its relationship with the normal distribution. The proposed quadrature is not Gaussian, but it exactly integrates the polynomials of both positive and negative orders. Using…
In this paper we consider a family of Dirac-type operators on fibration equivariant with respect to an action of an etale groupoid. Such a family defines an element in the bivariant theory. We compute the action of the bivariant Chern character of this element on the image of Connes' map in the cyclic…