BioFinBERT analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.
problem Analyzing sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.
method Finetuning BioBERT on financial datasets to create BioFinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result BioFinBERT accurately analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.
New framework predicts earnings announcements using press release content, surpassing earnings surprises.
problem Predicting stock returns based on earnings press releases.
method Compared traditional and BERT-based embeddings of press releases, finding content as informative as earnings surprises.
result FinBERT yields highest predictive power for earnings announcement returns.
Biotech IPOs in Q1 2021: advanced degrees, clinical trials, and IP key.
problem Identifying traits of biotech startups that go public.
method Database of biotech IPOs, analysis of leadership, technology, clinical trials, and financing.
result Advanced degrees, clinical trials, and IP are important for biotech startups.
Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.
Python models predict stock sentiment for market-beating returns.
problem Predicting public sentiment for stock trading.
method Crowd-sourced labeled data, trained and evaluated various models.
result Best models predict market-beating returns from public sentiment.
In this paper, we propose an innovative investment framework incorporating asset allocation and class diversification oriented specifically for the biotechnology industry. With growing interests and capitalization in multiple biotech markets, investors require a more dynamic method of managing their assets within indiv…
Media tone around earnings announcements predicts stock returns.
problem Determining if media tone around earnings announcements provides useful information for stock prices.
method Conducted an event study on media tone around earnings announcements for nonfinancial S&P 500 firms.
result Media tone around earnings announcements predicts abnormal stock returns.
Large financial dataset tracks FOMC communications and their impact.
problem Understanding how FOMC communications influence financial markets.
method Constructed a large annotated dataset of FOMC speeches, minutes, and transcripts. Developed a hawk-dove classification task. Evaluated various models on the dataset and used RoBERTa-large for monetary policy stance measurement.
result Monetary policy stance measures derived from FOMC documents predict market performance.
New tool uses computer vision to assess FOMC press conference complexity and its impact on equity returns.
problem Understanding the impact of FOMC press conferences on financial markets.
method Developed a measure of discussion complexity using video images and deep learning algorithms.
result Complex discussions during press conferences are associated with higher equity returns and lower volatility.
TBIP uses texts to quantify lawmakers' political positions.
problem Quantifying lawmakers' political positions from speeches, tweets, etc.
method Unsupervised probabilistic topic model analyzing texts.
result TBIP separates lawmakers by party and infers ideal points close to vote-based.
On June 26th, 2004, Central bank governors and the heads of bank supervisory authorities in the Group of Ten (G10) countries issued a press release and endorsed the publication of "International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: a Revised Framework", the new capital adequacy framework commonly k…
This contains a list of (mostly very minor) corrections to the book Introduction to Symplectic Topology, Clarendon Press, Oxford, (1995), together with rewritten versions of two lemmas and some additional comments.
Privacy is enhanced by synthetic data release even with unlimited data.
problem Improving privacy guarantees for synthetic data release.
method Analyzing a bounded-parameter assumption to show privacy amplification persists with unlimited synthetic records.
result Privacy amplification is possible even with an unbounded number of synthetic records.
This paper has three parts. The first part is a general introduction to rigidity and to rigid actions of mapping class group actions on various spaces. In the second part, we describe in detail four rigidity results that concern actions of mapping class groups on spaces of foliations and of laminations, namely, Thursto…
This paper is a review of the book "Knots" by Alexei Sossinsky. The review includes a short personal history of knot theory at the end of the twentieth century.
New algorithm maintains privacy while improving model performance in selective release.
problem Privacy degradation and slow convergence in DPSGD.
method Differentially Private Selective Release based on Clipped Gradients (DPSR-CG).
result Maintains strict privacy guarantees while achieving exceptional model performance.
A new method for releasing AI workflows to avoid premature incorrect results.
problem Statistical challenges in releasing AI workflows with adaptive scoring.
method Wrapper that calibrates and accumulates evidence from high-scoring failures.
result Reduces premature incorrect release while still releasing on moderate evidence.
Automates phased release strategy to balance risk and speed.
problem Balancing risk and speed in phased product releases.
method Formalizes as constrained batched bandit problem, uses adaptive Bayesian approach.
result Proposes algorithm that determines optimal release percentages.
User releases data to service provider while balancing privacy and utility.
problem Balancing user privacy and service utility in data release.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process (MDP) and solved using deep reinforcement learning (RL).
result Achieved a trade-off between revealing useful information and protecting sensitive data.
GPCCA integrates multi-modal data with missing values, improving clustering accuracy.
problem Integrating and analyzing multi-modal data with missing values and partial observations.
method Generalized Probabilistic Canonical Correlation Analysis (GPCCA) for unsupervised multi-modal data integration and dimensionality reduction.
result GPCCA outperforms existing methods in capturing essential patterns across modalities and provides robust low-dimensional embeddings.
GRAND ensures node-level differential privacy for network data.
problem Lack of node-level differential privacy for network data.
method Proposes GRAND, the first mechanism for releasing networks with node-level differential privacy and preserving structural properties.
result GRAND releases networks while ensuring node-level differential privacy and preserving structural properties.
In engineering applications almost all processes are described with the help of models. Especially forming machines heavily rely on mathematical models for control and condition monitoring. Inaccuracies during the modeling, manufacturing and assembly of these machines induce model uncertainty which impairs the controll…
New algorithms improve privacy-preserving data release using external predictions.
problem Privacy-preserving data release with improved utility using external information.
method Learning-augmented algorithms for multiple quantile release.
result Error guarantees scale with prediction quality, almost recovering state-of-the-art guarantees.
We lay theoretical foundations for new database release mechanisms that allow third-parties to construct consistent estimators of population statistics, while ensuring that the privacy of each individual contributing to the database is protected. The proposed framework rests on two main ideas. First, releasing (an esti…
Predict stock price movements using financial data and news articles with LLMs.
problem Predicting stock price movements using financial data and news articles.
method Combining financial data and news articles, employing pre-trained LLMs, and using retrieval augmentation techniques.
result Predicted stock price movements with a weighted F1-score of 58.5% and 59.1%.
This study improves valuation of post-revenue biopharmaceutical assets using Pfizer's data.
problem Accurate valuation of post-revenue drug assets in biotech and pharma.
method Historical sales data analysis to forecast future sales and calculate Net Present Value.
result Demonstrates a method for more informed investment decisions in biotech and pharma.
Recent academic work has developed a method to determine, in real time, if a given stock is exhibiting a price bubble. Currently there is speculation in the financial press concerning the existence of a price bubble in the aftermath of the recent IPO of LinkedIn. We analyze stock price tick data from the short lifetime…
A new method for private query release using Johnson-Lindenstrauss projection.
problem Private release of query answers with minimal privacy loss.
method Random projection of query answers to a lower dimension, followed by noise addition.
result Optimal worst-case sample complexity for answering a workload of k queries.
Traditionally it had been a problem that researchers did not have access to enough spatial data to answer pressing research questions or build compelling visualizations. Today, however, the problem is often that we have too much data. Spatially redundant or approximately redundant points may refer to a single feature (…
We introduce GraSPy, a Python library devoted to statistical inference, machine learning, and visualization of random graphs and graph populations. This package provides flexible and easy-to-use algorithms for analyzing and understanding graphs with a scikit-learn compliant API. GraSPy can be downloaded from Python Pac…
This paper provides a method for noise-calibrated inference from DP synthetic data.
problem Inference from DP synthetic data is often miscalibrated and lacks principled uncertainty quantification.
method Release DP sufficient statistics, perform noise-calibrated likelihood-based inference, and optional synthetic data generation.
result Asymptotic normality and valid confidence intervals for the plug-in DP MLE.
A tribute to Norbert A'Campo's life and mathematics.
problem None explicitly stated in the abstract.
method None explicitly stated in the abstract.
result No specific key result mentioned.
Study shows monetary policy impacts digital assets like BTC and ETH.
problem Impact of monetary policy on digital assets and DeFi.
method Event study regressions and high-frequency price analysis.
result Monetary policy surprises negatively affect BTC and ETH but not other digital assets.
New algorithm corrects bias in LDP-released data for better analysis.
problem Bias in data released under Local Differential Privacy (LDP).
method Inverse Weierstrass Private Stochastic Gradient Descent (IWP-SGD).
result Converges to true population risk minimizer at O(1/n) rate. Releasing full data records is one of the most challenging problems in data privacy. On the one hand, many of the popular techniques such as data de-identification are problematic because of their dependence on the background knowledge of adversaries. On the other hand, rigorous methods such as the exponential mechanis…
We propose a novel computational strategy for de novo design of molecules with desired properties termed ReLeaSE (Reinforcement Learning for Structural Evolution). Based on deep and reinforcement learning approaches, ReLeaSE integrates two deep neural networks - generative and predictive - that are trained separately b…
The identification of sources of advection-diffusion transport is based usually on solving complex ill-posed inverse models against the available state- variable data records. However, if there are several sources with different locations and strengths, the data records represent mixtures rather than the separate influ…
AI and HPC help screen millions of molecules for SARS-CoV-2 treatments.
problem Finding effective treatments for SARS-CoV-2.
method AI and HPC enable screening of large molecule datasets.
result Data release of 23 datasets with 4.2 billion molecules.
Weather balloons deploy sensors to collect stratospheric data.
problem Limited data collection in the stratosphere.
method Modeling forecast deviation as a Gaussian process to determine sensor release times; novel hardware system for optimal sensor release.
result Data engineering framework effectively collects stratospheric data through real flights and simulations.
This paper documents the release of the ELKI data mining framework, version 0.7.5. ELKI is an open source (AGPLv3) data mining software written in Java. The focus of ELKI is research in algorithms, with an emphasis on unsupervised methods in cluster analysis and outlier detection. In order to achieve high performance a…
The study provides a practical strategy for pricing and hedging equity-release mortgages guarantees.
problem Pricing and hedging the No-Negative-Equity-Guarantee in incomplete markets.
method Discrete-time model, Excess-of-Loss reinsurance, numerical illustrations.
result Superhedge cost decreases with more lives in the portfolio, making it more realistic.
Differential privacy of Gaussian process posterior sampling
problem Privacy of posterior sample paths from Gaussian process
method Intrinsic randomness yields DP guarantees
result Intrinsic randomness yields DP guarantees
What makes a paper independently reproducible? Debates on reproducibility center around intuition or assumptions but lack empirical results. Our field focuses on releasing code, which is important, but is not sufficient for determining reproducibility. We take the first step toward a quantifiable answer by manually att…
This work addresses privacy issues in IoT data sharing by balancing information disclosure and user privacy.
problem Balancing privacy and utility in time-series data sharing from IoT devices.
method Formulated as POMDPs, solved using A2C DRL, evaluated with synthetic and real data.
result Proposed policies achieve a good balance between privacy and utility.
Additive noise protects privacy in releasing datasets for SVM classification.
problem Maintaining privacy in releasing datasets for SVM classification.
method Additive noise applied to obfuscate the dataset, optimizing privacy and utility measures.
result Optimal noise distribution ensures close classifier performance between original and obfuscated datasets, achieving local differential privacy.
The goal of this book is to characterize algebraically the closed 4-manifolds that fibre nontrivially or admit geometries in the sense of Thurston, or which are obtained by surgery on 2-knots, and to provide a reference for the topology of such manifolds and knots. The first chapter is purely algebraic. The rest of the…
In a unified framework we study equilibrium in the presence of an insider having information on the signal of the firm value, which is naturally connected to the fundamental price of the firm related asset. The fundamental value itself is announced at a future random (stopping) time. We consider two cases. First when t…
Three new oracle-efficient algorithms for private synthetic data release.
problem Constructing private synthetic data that preserves statistical query answers.
method Oracle-efficient algorithms using optimization oracles for differential privacy.
result Better accuracy in large workload and high privacy regime compared to state-of-the-art.