A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Advice-efficient prediction with expert advice (in analogy to label-efficient prediction) is a variant of prediction with expert advice game, where on each round of the game we are allowed to ask for advice of a limited number M out of N experts. This setting is especially interesting when asking for advice of ever…
In a binary classification problem the feature vector (predictor) is the input to a scoring function that produces a decision value (score), which is compared to a particular chosen threshold to provide a final class prediction (output). Although the normal assumption of the scoring function is important in many applic…
We study the multiclass online learning problem where a forecaster makes a sequence of predictions using the advice of n experts. Our main contribution is to analyze the regime where the best expert makes at most b mistakes and to show that when b=o(log4n), the expected number of mistakes made by the optima…
Training deep reinforcement learning agents complex behaviors in 3D virtual environments requires significant computational resources. This is especially true in environments with high degrees of aliasing, where many states share nearly identical visual features. Minecraft is an exemplar of such an environment. We hypo…
Over the last few years, there has been growing interest in learning models for physically grounded language understanding tasks, such as the popular blocks world domain. These works typically view this problem as a single-step process, in which a human operator gives an instruction and an automated agent is evaluated …
Conventional learning with expert advice methods assumes a learner is always receiving the outcome (e.g., class labels) of every incoming training instance at the end of each trial. In real applications, acquiring the outcome from oracle can be costly or time consuming. In this paper, we address a new problem of active…
Sparse reward is one of the most challenging problems in reinforcement learning (RL). Hindsight Experience Replay (HER) attempts to address this issue by converting a failed experience to a successful one by relabeling the goals. Despite its effectiveness, HER has limited applicability because it lacks a compact and un…
We provide the first algorithm for online bandit linear optimization whose regret after T rounds is of order sqrt{Td ln N} on any finite class X of N actions in d dimensions, and of order d*sqrt{T} (up to log factors) when X is infinite. These bounds are not improvable in general. The basic idea utilizes tools from con…
Recently, deep models have been successfully applied in several applications, especially with low-level representations. However, sparse, noisy samples and structured domains (with multiple objects and interactions) are some of the open challenges in most deep models. Column Networks, a deep architecture, can succinctl…
Study shows LLM-advisors match human performance in eliciting preferences but struggle with conflicting needs and trust.
problem How do LLM-advisors perform in complex financial domains where domain expertise is crucial?
method Lab-based user study with 64 participants, focusing on three challenges: preference elicitation, personalized guidance, and relationship building.
result LLM-advisors can match human performance in preference elicitation but struggle with conflicting needs and trust issues.
Recently, deep models have had considerable success in several tasks, especially with low-level representations. However, effective learning from sparse noisy samples is a major challenge in most deep models, especially in domains with structured representations. Inspired by the proven success of human guided machine l…
We prove non-asymptotic lower bounds on the expectation of the maximum of d independent Gaussian variables and the expectation of the maximum of d independent symmetric random walks. Both lower bounds recover the optimal leading constant in the limit. A simple application of the lower bound for random walks is an (…
Many currently deployed Reinforcement Learning agents work in an environment shared with humans, be them co-workers, users or clients. It is desirable that these agents adjust to people's preferences, learn faster thanks to their help, and act safely around them. We argue that most current approaches that learn from hu…
Generalized algorithm for translation and scale-invariant prediction.
problem Sequential prediction with expert advice, focusing on translation and scale invariance.
method Designing a generalized online algorithm using the universal prediction perspective to compete against a generic class of expert selection strategies.
result No preliminary knowledge of loss sequences is required; performance bounds are stable under arbitrary scalings and translations.
In the framework of prediction with expert advice, we consider a recently introduced kind of regret bounds: the bounds that depend on the effective instead of nominal number of experts. In contrast to the Normal- Hedge bound, which mainly depends on the effective number of experts but also weakly depends on the nominal…
The leaderboard in machine learning competitions is a tool to show the performance of various participants and to compare them. However, the leaderboard quickly becomes no longer accurate, due to hack or overfitting. This article gives two pieces of advice to prevent easy hack or overfitting. By following these advice,…
We consider an original problem that arises from the issue of security analysis of a power system and that we name optimal discovery with probabilistic expert advice. We address it with an algorithm based on the optimistic paradigm and on the Good-Turing missing mass estimator. We prove two different regret bounds on t…
A key challenge in online learning is that classical algorithms can be slow to adapt to changing environments. Recent studies have proposed "meta" algorithms that convert any online learning algorithm to one that is adaptive to changing environments, where the adaptivity is analyzed in a quantity called the strongly-ad…
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.
problem Lack of consistent and specific financial advisor expertise in personalized investment advice.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, holdings transitions, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and grounded manager interpretation than generic baselines.
In some reinforcement learning problems an agent may be provided with a set of input policies, perhaps learned from prior experience or provided by advisors. We present a reinforcement learning with policy advice (RLPA) algorithm which leverages this input set and learns to use the best policy in the set for the reinfo…