Recent studies have suggested that the cognitive process of the human brain is realized as probabilistic inference and can be further modeled by probabilistic graphical models like Markov random fields. Nevertheless, it remains unclear how probabilistic inference can be implemented by a network of spiking neurons in th…
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arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,878 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “binary Markov model”
Method learns all edges and link parameters globally for binary pairwise Markov models.
problem Learning sparse Ising models with sparsity assumption.
method l1-regularized logistic regression for simultaneous estimation of all edges and link parameters.
result Numerical experiments show the advantage of the simultaneous estimation method.
Estimates binary labels from dependent data using Markov Random Fields.
problem Statistical estimation from dependent data across spatial, temporal, and social domains.
method Modeling dependencies as Markov Random Fields and providing efficient estimation algorithms.
result Statistically efficient estimation rates for Ising models from a single sample.
Modified Metropolis algorithm ensures convergence for multivariate binary distributions with fixed-order updates.
problem Infeasibility of standard Metropolis algorithm for multivariate binary distributions with fixed-order updates.
method Proposed a modified Metropolis transition operator ensuring irreducibility and convergence.
result Ensures convergence to the limiting distribution in multivariate binary case with fixed-order updates.
The generic identification problem is to decide whether a stochastic process is a hidden Markov process and if yes to infer its parameters for all but a subset of parametrizations that form a lower-dimensional subvariety in parameter space. Partial answers so far available depend on extra assumptions on the pro…
New method estimates hidden binary mixture model centers efficiently.
problem Estimating centers in high-dimensional binary mixture models with hidden Markov structure.
method Proposes a minimax optimal procedure and an adaptive variant.
result Achieves optimal rate of order .
We have developed a statistical technique to test the model assumption of binary regime switching extension of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model by proposing a new discriminating statistics. Given a time series data, we have identified an admissible class of the regime switching candidate models for the statist…
The Bouncy Particle Sampler is a novel rejection-free non-reversible sampler for differentiable probability distributions over continuous variables. We generalize the algorithm to piecewise differentiable distributions and apply it to generic binary distributions using a piecewise differentiable augmentation. We illust…
We consider active maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference problem for Hidden Markov Models (HMM), where, given an initial MAP estimate of the hidden sequence, we select to label certain states in the sequence to improve the estimation accuracy of the remaining states. We develop an analytical approach to this problem for…
The pseudo-likelihood method is one of the most popular algorithms for learning sparse binary pairwise Markov networks. In this paper, we formulate the regularized pseudo-likelihood problem as a sparse multiple logistic regression problem. In this way, many insights and optimization procedures for sparse logistic…
BEGIN network models binary data without parametric assumptions.
problem Conditional independence in non-parametric families of binary data.
method BEGIN network models binary data using sparse linear representations and block factorizations.
result BEGIN network captures conditional independence for arbitrary binary and multinomial variables.
Proposes a differentiable structure learning framework for general binary data.
problem Limitations of existing methods in discrete data structure learning.
method Formulates a differentiable optimization task for arbitrary dependencies in general discrete models.
result Establishes identifiability of complete set of compatible parameters and structures under mild assumptions.
We consider the problem of learning the structure of Ising models (pairwise binary Markov random fields) from i.i.d. samples. While several methods have been proposed to accomplish this task, their relative merits and limitations remain somewhat obscure. By analyzing a number of concrete examples, we show that low-comp…
Markov's theorem classifies the worst irrational numbers with respect to rational approximation and the indefinite binary quadratic forms whose values for integer arguments stay farthest away from zero. The main purpose of this paper is to present a new proof of Markov's theorem using hyperbolic geometry. The main ingr…
We consider the problem of learning the structure of Ising models (pairwise binary Markov random fields) from i.i.d. samples. While several methods have been proposed to accomplish this task, their relative merits and limitations remain somewhat obscure. By analyzing a number of concrete examples, we show that low-comp…
The technological applications of hidden Markov models have been extremely diverse and successful, including natural language processing, gesture recognition, gene sequencing, and Kalman filtering of physical measurements. HMMs are highly non-linear statistical models, and just as linear models are amenable to linear a…
Markov-Chain Monte Carlo Approximation of the Ideal Observer using Generative Adversarial Networkseess.SP
New method approximates Ideal Observer using GANs and MCMC.
problem Intractable computation of Ideal Observer test statistic.
method Applying MCMC to SOMs learned by GANs.
result Extends applicability of MCMC for IO performance.
We consider sequential decision making problems for binary classification scenario in which the learner takes an active role in repeatedly selecting samples from the action pool and receives the binary label of the selected alternatives. Our problem is motivated by applications where observations are time consuming and…
The training of stochastic neural network models with binary () weights and activations via continuous surrogate networks is investigated. We derive new surrogates using a novel derivation based on writing the stochastic neural network as a Markov chain. This derivation also encompasses existing variants of the s…
We establish upper bounds for the minimal number of hidden units for which a binary stochastic feedforward network with sigmoid activation probabilities and a single hidden layer is a universal approximator of Markov kernels. We show that each possible probabilistic assignment of the states of output units, given t…
Learning the undirected graph structure of a Markov network from data is a problem that has received a lot of attention during the last few decades. As a result of the general applicability of the model class, a myriad of methods have been developed in parallel in several research fields. Recently, as the size of the c…
Paper introduces DMPMs for efficient discrete data generation with sharp convergence bounds.
problem Efficient generation of discrete data with theoretical guarantees.
method Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs) operating in bit space with time-reversal process.
result Sharp convergence bounds established under minimal assumptions, competitive performance in discrete data generation.
The Gibbs sampler is a particularly popular Markov chain used for learning and inference problems in Graphical Models (GMs). These tasks are computationally intractable in general, and the Gibbs sampler often suffers from slow mixing. In this paper, we study the Swendsen-Wang dynamics which is a more sophisticated Mark…
Proposes a method to estimate time-dependent probability density functions using binary classifiers.
problem Estimating time-dependent probability density functions of stochastic processes.
method Trains a time-dependent binary classifier to discriminate between realizations of a stochastic process at two nearby time instants.
result Explicitly models and accurately reconstructs complex time-dependent, multi-modal, and near-degenerate densities.
Paper uses RL to optimize bit-flipping decoding for binary codes.
problem Improving bit-flipping decoding for binary linear codes.
method Mapped iterative decoding algorithms to MDPs for reinforcement learning.
result Learned BF decoders offer performance-complexity trade-offs and near-optimal performance.
A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables at time as the shape parameters of those at time , which are linked …
We propose a relaxation-based approximate inference algorithm that samples near-MAP configurations of a binary pairwise Markov random field. We experiment on MAP inference tasks in several restricted Boltzmann machines. We also use our underlying sampler to estimate the log-partition function of restricted Boltzmann ma…
The Mondrian process represents an elegant and powerful approach for space partition modelling. However, as it restricts the partitions to be axis-aligned, its modelling flexibility is limited. In this work, we propose a self-consistent Binary Space Partitioning (BSP)-Tree process to generalize the Mondrian process. Th…
Max-min margin Markov networks improve consistency in structured prediction.
problem Statistical inconsistency in max-margin methods for structured prediction.
method Defining a max-min margin formulation to overcome statistical inconsistency.
result Proves consistency and provides an explicit algorithm with finite sample generalization bounds.
Bayesian method models binary response and covariates for two groups, estimating causal relationships.
problem Estimating causal relationships between binary response and covariates in observational data.
method Gaussian DAG-probit model with MCMC sampling for posterior distribution estimation.
result Validated method on simulated and real datasets, showing value of grouping variable in causality.
Bayesian learning in undirected graphical models|computing posterior distributions over parameters and predictive quantities is exceptionally difficult. We conjecture that for general undirected models, there are no tractable MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) schemes giving the correct equilibrium distribution over param…
Extends linear MDP to handle nonlinear rewards.
problem Restrictive linear MDP assumption limits real-world applicability.
method Proposes Generalized Linear MDP (GLMDP) with GLMs for rewards.
result Develops offline RL algorithms achieving suboptimality guarantees.
The paper proposes a method to learn structured representations from unlabeled data using mutual information maximization.
problem Learning structured representations from unlabeled data.
method Adversarial maximization of mutual information between a structured latent variable and a target variable.
result The proposed method outperforms current baselines in document hashing and yields highly compressed interpretable representations.
Efficiently identifies important variables in binary outcomes using variational Bayes.
problem Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes with computational challenges.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approximation with closed-form updates and efficient inference algorithm.
result Successfully identifies important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC.
Paper finds linear laws in Bitcoin price changes, aiding anomaly detection.
problem Detecting anomalies in Bitcoin price changes.
method Time embedding of autocorrelation function, binary series generation, stepped time windows.
result Linear laws became more complex before major market events, suggesting price manipulation.
In this paper we consider the problem of learning undirected graphical models from data generated according to the Glauber dynamics. The Glauber dynamics is a Markov chain that sequentially updates individual nodes (variables) in a graphical model and it is frequently used to sample from the stationary distribution (to…
A new reinforcement learning method improves Max-Cut solutions without needing training data.
problem Max-Cut problem is NP-hard, and existing methods struggle with generalizability and scalability.
method Training-data-free reinforcement learning approach to hyperplane rounding for Max-Cut optimization.
result Our method consistently achieves better Max-Cut solutions across various graph types.
The belief propagation (BP) algorithm is widely applied to perform approximate inference on arbitrary graphical models, in part due to its excellent empirical properties and performance. However, little is known theoretically about when this algorithm will perform well. Using recent analysis of convergence and stabilit…
We present a theoretical analysis of Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) sequence estimation for binary symmetric hidden Markov processes. We reduce the MAP estimation to the energy minimization of an appropriately defined Ising spin model, and focus on the performance of MAP as characterized by its accuracy and the number of s…
"Mixed Data" comprising a large number of heterogeneous variables (e.g. count, binary, continuous, skewed continuous, among other data types) are prevalent in varied areas such as genomics and proteomics, imaging genetics, national security, social networking, and Internet advertising. There have been limited efforts a…
A Max-Product EM Algorithm for Reconstructing Markov-tree Sparse Signals from Compressive Samplesstat.ML
We propose a Bayesian expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for reconstructing Markov-tree sparse signals via belief propagation. The measurements follow an underdetermined linear model where the regression-coefficient vector is the sum of an unknown approximately sparse signal and a zero-mean white Gaussian noise wi…
We present some nonparametric methods for graphical modeling. In the discrete case, where the data are binary or drawn from a finite alphabet, Markov random fields are already essentially nonparametric, since the cliques can take only a finite number of values. Continuous data are different. The Gaussian graphical mode…
Learning to Unknotmath.GT
The UNKNOT problem solved using natural language processing and machine learning.
problem Determining if a knot is the unknot.
method Braid word representation, binary classification, Reformer and shared-QK Transformer networks, reinforcement learning, Markov moves, braid relations.
result Reformer and shared-QK Transformer networks outperform fully-connected networks in predicting the unknot.
Multilayer switch networks are proposed as artificial generators of high-dimensional discrete data (e.g., binary vectors, categorical data, natural language, network log files, and discrete-valued time series). Unlike deconvolution networks which generate continuous-valued data and which consist of upsampling filters a…
A novel Bayesian method for dynamic sparsity in Gaussian dynamic linear regression.
problem Variable selection and shrinkage in time-varying regression models.
method Time-varying sparsity via Markov switching priors for coefficients' variances, extending spike-and-slab priors.
result Induces smoothness or shrinkage towards zero at each time point, leading to improved model performance.
EBMs trained on discrete data using heat equations on graph structures.
problem Training EBMs on discrete or mixed data.
method Heat equations on graph structures for data perturbation.
result Efficacy demonstrated in various applications.
Bayesian inference identifies model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
problem Identifying model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
method Bayesian inference approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm.
result Bayesian inference can estimate unknown trend and volatility coefficients from measured data.
Neural networks improve gravitational-wave parameter estimation.
problem Estimating parameters of binary black hole systems from gravitational-wave data.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows for likelihood-free inference.
result Performance comparable to current best deep-learning approaches, with fast sampling.