The performance of classification algorithms with a massive and highly imbalanced data stream depends upon efficient balancing strategy. Some techniques of balancing strategy have been applied in the past with Batch data to resolve the class imbalance problem. This paper proposes a new incremental data balancing framew…
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48 results for “batch racing”
New method detects bearing faults using multivariate statistical process control.
problem Early detection of bearing faults in rotating machinery.
method Multivariate statistical process control charts applied to Fourier transform features of fixed-time batches.
result Effectiveness in detecting bearing faults across different conditions.
Develops a method to quantify racial bias in law enforcement systems.
problem Quantify racial bias in law enforcement systems considering criminality and multi-stage interactions.
method Multi-stage causal framework incorporating criminality.
result Identifies three canonical scenarios of racial bias in law enforcement.
Fair Model-based Clusteringstat.ML
Proposes FMC for fair clustering with independent parameters.
problem Finding clusters with balanced sensitive attribute proportions.
method Model-based clustering using finite mixture model with mini-batch learning.
result FMC scales up easily and can handle non-metric data.
Develops a learning model predictive controller for competitive racing.
problem Lack of exploration in state space and complexity in obstacle avoidance.
method Explores state space through multiple initializations and develops a new method for convex terminal set selection.
result Yields a richer terminal safe set and maintains convexity.
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process for Horse Race Betting: A Micro-Macro Analysis of Herding and Informed Bettorsphysics.soc-ph
Modeling horse race betting odds with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
problem Analyzing how herding and informed bettors affect odds movements.
method Deriving an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process from vote shares and odds movements data.
result Identified microscopic and macroscopic patterns in odds convergence.
Deep RL drone trained to compete against classical path planning in drone racing.
problem Optimizing long-term drone racing strategies using reinforcement learning.
method Used PPO algorithm on a simulated quadrotor in a racing environment created with AirSim.
result Deep RL agent outperformed classical path planning in drone racing competitions.
PAC best arm identification with a deadline, improving efficiency over sequential methods.
problem Identifying an optimal arm under a fixed time constraint.
method Elastic Batch Racing (EBR) algorithm for -PAC best arm identification under a deadline.
result EBR is optimal with respect to two hardness results and outperforms sequential methods.
DeepRacing uses neural networks to predict trajectories for autonomous racing in video games.
problem Training algorithms for high-speed autonomous racing in realistic environments.
method Developed a virtual testbed using F1 video games, trained neural networks to predict trajectories and control commands.
result Trajectory prediction outperforms end-to-end control methods in autonomous racing simulations.
To answer questions about racial inequality and fairness, we often need a way to infer race and ethnicity from names. One way to infer race and ethnicity from names is by relying on the Census Bureau's list of popular last names. The list, however, suffers from at least three limitations: 1. it only contains last names…
Black women and white men have the highest income disparity in the U.S.
problem Income inequality between black women and white men in the USA
method Dynamic microeconomic model, analyzing black and white population income since 1930
result Black females and white males are poles of overall income inequality
Societal bias towards certain communities is a big problem that affects a lot of machine learning systems. This work aims at addressing the racial bias present in many modern gender recognition systems. We learn race invariant representations of human faces with an adversarially trained autoencoder model. We show that …
Improved race prediction model outperforms existing methods.
problem Improving race prediction using voter registration data.
method Trained BiLSTM model on voter registration data and created an ensemble.
result Achieved up to 36.8% higher OOS F1 scores than previous models.
RankNet forecasts car racing positions with improved accuracy and stability.
problem Forecasting rank positions in car racing, especially considering pit stops.
method Cause-effect decomposition in RankNet, incorporating probabilistic forecasting.
result RankNet outperforms baselines significantly, improving MAE by over 10%.
Improved surname geocoding and name supplements enhance race imputation accuracy.
problem Census data problems affecting race imputation accuracy.
method Fully Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (fBISG) and name supplements.
result Significant improvement in race imputation accuracy across all racial groups.
BBE simulates sports betting exchanges for data generation.
problem Creating synthetic data for betting strategy testing.
method Agent-based model (ABM) for sports betting exchange simulation.
result Simulation runs up to 1000 times faster with GPU.
Ordinal Regression with Fenton-Wilkinson Order Statistics: A Case Study of an Orienteering Racestat.AP
A new model predicts race places using changeover-times and log-normal distributions.
problem Predicting race places in orienteering races.
method Fenton-Wilkinson Order Statistics model based on log-normal leg-times and changeover-times.
result The model accurately predicts race places with smaller root-mean-square-errors.
We propose Lomax delegate racing (LDR) to explicitly model the mechanism of survival under competing risks and to interpret how the covariates accelerate or decelerate the time to event. LDR explains non-monotonic covariate effects by racing a potentially infinite number of sub-risks, and consequently relaxes the ubiqu…
New analysis shows rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to catastrophic risk.
problem Rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to shared catastrophic risk.
method Continuous-time preemption game with shared catastrophic externalities, showing suicide region and welfare distortion.
result The suicide region widens as catastrophic risk grows, and two mechanisms can close it.
This work improves autonomous racing by creating diverse opponents and adapting risk.
problem Balancing performance and safety in autonomous racing environments.
method Developed a self-play method using replica-exchange Markov chain Monte Carlo for diverse opponents and a distributionally robust bandit optimization for adaptive risk adjustment.
result Demonstrated real-time motion-planning methods achieving speeds comparable to Formula One racecars.
This short note is intended as a "Letter to the Editor" Perspective in order that it serves as a contribution, in view of reaching the physics community caring about rare events and scaling laws and unexpected findings, on a domain of wide interest: sport and money. It is apparent from the data reported and discussed b…
In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting demographics of geographic units given geotagged Tweets that are composed within these units. Traditional survey methods that offer demographics estimates are usually limited in terms of geographic resolution, geographic boundaries, and time intervals. Thus, it would…
We find a remarkable agreement between the statistics of a randomly divided interval and the observed statistical patterns and distributions found in horse racing betting markets. We compare the distribution of implied winning odds, the average true winning probabilities, the implied odds conditional on a win, and the …
A deep RL approach generates counterfactual instances efficiently.
problem Efficient generation of counterfactual instances for large datasets and diverse models.
method Deep reinforcement learning to optimize counterfactual instances in a single forward pass.
result Model-agnostic and scalable counterfactual generation.
Assessing the fairness of a decision making system with respect to a protected class, such as gender or race, is challenging when class membership labels are unavailable. Probabilistic models for predicting the protected class based on observable proxies, such as surname and geolocation for race, are sometimes used to …
Study removes bias from chest X-ray embeddings using orthogonalization.
problem Reduces bias in chest X-ray embeddings due to protected features.
method Orthogonalization technique to remove protected feature effects.
result Orthogonalization removes bias and makes predictions of protected attributes infeasible.
New approach to counterfactual reasoning avoids demographic interventions.
problem Limitations of traditional counterfactual reasoning in AI systems.
method Backtracking counterfactual approach instead of interventional.
result Allows addressing social concerns without demographic interventions.
China and EU race to develop hydrogen for energy transition.
problem Developing hydrogen for sustainable energy systems.
method Comparative analysis framework using key factors.
result Customized solutions for local hydrogen industries.
Understanding and modeling human driver behavior is crucial for advanced vehicle development. However, unique driving styles, inconsistent behavior, and complex decision processes render it a challenging task, and existing approaches often lack variability or robustness. To approach this problem, we propose Probabilist…
BBE simulates betting exchanges to generate synthetic data for AI research.
problem Lack of real data for AI/ML in betting exchanges.
method Agent-based simulation model of a sports-betting exchange.
result Generates large, high-resolution synthetic data for AI/ML.
In the automation of many kinds of processes, the observable outcome can often be described as the combined effect of an entire sequence of actions, or controls, applied throughout its execution. In these cases, strategies to optimise control policies for individual stages of the process might not be applicable, and in…
This note examines financial distributions to competing teams at the end of the most famous multiple stage professional (male) bicyclist race, TOUR DE FRANCE. A rank-size law (RSL) is calculated for the team financial gains. The RSL is found to be hyperbolic with a surprisingly simple decay exponent (about equal to -1)…
Predictive modeling is increasingly being employed to assist human decision-makers. One purported advantage of replacing human judgment with computer models in high stakes settings-- such as sentencing, hiring, policing, college admissions, and parole decisions-- is the perceived "neutrality" of computers. It is argued…
Investigates sports betting strategies using modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion.
problem Mitigating risk in sports betting investments.
method Modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion, with modifications for practical risk control.
result Adaptive fractional Kelly method is suitable across various sports settings.
"Overlearning" means that a model trained for a seemingly simple objective implicitly learns to recognize attributes and concepts that are (1) not part of the learning objective, and (2) sensitive from a privacy or bias perspective. For example, a binary gender classifier of facial images also learns to recognize races…
Paper debiases multiple word embedding biases simultaneously.
problem Reduction of multiple biases in word embeddings.
method Joint multiclass debiasing approach using Word Embeddings Association Test (WEAT).
result Demonstrates reduction or complete elimination of bias in word embeddings.
Despite their impressive performance on diverse tasks, neural networks fail catastrophically in the presence of adversarial inputs---imperceptibly but adversarially perturbed versions of natural inputs. We have witnessed an arms race between defenders who attempt to train robust networks and attackers who try to constr…
fairadapt uses causal inference to mitigate algorithmic bias in data pre-processing.
problem Mitigating algorithmic bias in machine learning predictions.
method Causal graphical model and observed data to address counterfactual questions.
result The method can help eliminate discrimination and justify fair decisions.
This paper presents first steps toward robust models for crisis prediction. We conduct a horse race of conventional statistical methods and more recent machine learning methods as early-warning models. As individual models are in the literature most often built in isolation of other methods, the exercise is of high rel…
Fenton-Wilkinson Order Statistics and German Tanks: A Case Study of an Orienteering Relay Racestat.ML
Ordinal regression falls between discrete-valued classification and continuous-valued regression. Ordinal target variables can be associated with ranked random variables. These random variables are known as order statistics and they are closely related to ordinal regression. However, the challenge of using order statis…
New research shows many batch selection methods for training work just as well as full batch training.
problem Finding optimal batch selection methods for training.
method Analysis of mini-batch Gradient Descent (GD) and Stochastic GD (SGD) with various batch selection rules.
result All mini-batch schedules, including deterministic ones, generalize optimally for smooth Lipschitz-convex/nonconvex/strongly-convex loss functions.
Determining the appropriate batch size for mini-batch gradient descent is always time consuming as it often relies on grid search. This paper considers a resizable mini-batch gradient descent (RMGD) algorithm based on a multi-armed bandit for achieving best performance in grid search by selecting an appropriate batch s…
We analyze how batch learning impacts bandit problems.
problem Impact of batch learning in stochastic bandits.
method Policy-agnostic regret analysis, upper and lower bounds demonstration.
result The impact of batch learning can be measured in terms of online behavior.
The Ensemble Kalman Inversion Racephysics.data-an
Ensemble Kalman methods improve climate model calibration from noisy observations.
problem Calibrating parameters in complex climate models from noisy data.
method Comparing ensemble Kalman methods for efficiency in climate model calibration.
result Ensemble Kalman methods are more efficient and robust for parameter learning in climate models.
Machine learning outperforms crowd investors in predicting loan defaults and investment returns.
problem Determining if machine learning can outperform human decision-making in crowd lending.
method Using data from Prosper.com, a sophisticated ML algorithm was trained to predict loan defaults and investment returns.
result The ML algorithm outperforms crowd investors in predicting loan defaults and investment returns, especially for risky loans.
BatchGFN uses generative flow networks for efficient batch active learning.
problem Efficiently selecting informative batches for active learning.
method Generative flow networks to sample batches proportional to a batch reward.
result Constructs highly informative batches with a single forward pass per point.
Adaptive batch sizes improve active learning efficiency and flexibility.
problem Fixed batch sizes in active learning are inefficient due to dynamic cost-speed trade-offs.
method Probabilistic Numerics framework that adaptively changes batch sizes based on integration error and precision objectives.
result Significant enhancement in learning efficiency and flexibility across various applications.
A new method assesses algorithmic fairness using game theory.
problem Evaluating algorithmic fairness without proprietary data.
method Cohort Shapley value, a game-theoretic approach.
result Identifies individual impact of protected attributes.