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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for baseline method

Enhanced visual feature attribution via adaptive baseline weighting.

problem IG's sensitivity to baseline images leads to noisy or unstable explanations.
method Weighted Integrated Gradients (WG) evaluates and weights baselines for improved reliability.
result WG improves over Expected Gradients (EG) by up to 36% across various models.

Bayesian Scattering offers a simple baseline for image data uncertainty.

problem Lack of interpretable, mathematically grounded uncertainty quantification methods for image data.
method Coupling wavelet scattering transform with a simple probabilistic head.
result Bayesian Scattering provides sensible uncertainty estimates under distribution shifts.

Like all sub-fields of machine learning Bayesian Deep Learning is driven by empirical validation of its theoretical proposals. Given the many aspects of an experiment it is always possible that minor or even major experimental flaws can slip by both authors and reviewers. One of the most popular experiments used to eva…

2018-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Policy gradient methods are a widely used class of model-free reinforcement learning algorithms where a state-dependent baseline is used to reduce gradient estimator variance. Several recent papers extend the baseline to depend on both the state and action and suggest that this significantly reduces variance and improv…

2018-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper compares two local explanation methods for machine learning models.

problem Comparing two local explanation methods for machine learning models.
method Integrated Gradients and Baseline Shapley methods.
result Additional insights on comparative behavior for tabular data and neural networks.

Proposes baselines for joint NAS and HPO optimization.

problem Joint optimization of neural architecture and hyperparameters for multiple objectives.
method Extends existing methods to jointly optimize with multiple objectives.
result Serves as simple baselines for future multi-objective joint NAS + HPO research.

An important problem in sequential decision-making under uncertainty is to use limited data to compute a safe policy, i.e., a policy that is guaranteed to perform at least as well as a given baseline strategy. In this paper, we develop and analyze a new model-based approach to compute a safe policy when we have access …

2016-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

A training-free conformal interval is a mandatory baseline for probabilistic time-series forecasting.

problem Comparing probabilistic forecasters against weak or omitted baselines.
method A simple conformal interval with no parameters and no training.
result The ConformalNaive interval decisively beats several baselines.

We propose an approximation algorithm for efficient correlation search in time series data. In our method, we use Fourier transform and neural network to embed time series into a low-dimensional Euclidean space. The given space is learned such that time series correlation can be effectively approximated from Euclidean …

2018-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a new Graph Neural Network (GNN) type using feature-wise linear modulation (FiLM). Many standard GNN variants propagate information along the edges of a graph by computing "messages" based only on the representation of the source of each edge. In GNN-FiLM, the representation of the target node of an…

2019-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper identifies problematic baselines in Shapley value explanations and proposes a reweighting mechanism.

problem Identifying and addressing the suboptimality of baselines in Shapley value feature importance analysis.
method Analyzed suboptimality of baselines, identified problematic baseline, generalized uninformativeness, and designed a reweighting mechanism.
result Proposed uncertainty-based reweighting mechanism effectively accelerates computation and improves explanation quality.

Enhances survival analysis by separating population behavior from individual dynamics.

problem Improving the training and inference of survival analysis models for sparsely occurring events.
method Decouples survival analysis into an aggregated baseline hazard and independent survival scores.
result Achieves competitive performance and robust results without fine-tuning.

Classification and clustering algorithms have been proved to be successful individually in different contexts. Both of them have their own advantages and limitations. For instance, although classification algorithms are more powerful than clustering methods in predicting class labels of objects, they do not perform wel…

2017-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we study reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to solve real-world decision problems with the objective of maximizing the long-term reward as well as satisfying cumulative constraints. We propose a novel first-order policy optimization method, Interior-point Policy Optimization (IPO), which augments the…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves policies with high certainty, even in small samples.

problem Ensuring new policies are better than the baseline with high probability.
method Leverages powerful safety tests and multiple testing for threshold policies.
result Controls the rate of adopting a worse policy to pre-specified error level.

Previous work has shown the unreliability of existing algorithms in the batch Reinforcement Learning setting, and proposed the theoretically-grounded Safe Policy Improvement with Baseline Bootstrapping (SPIBB) fix: reproduce the baseline policy in the uncertain state-action pairs, in order to control the variance on th…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Active Learning methods create an optimized labeled training set from unlabeled data. We introduce a novel Online Active Deep Learning method for Medical Image Analysis. We extend our MedAL active learning framework to present new results in this paper. Our novel sampling method queries the unlabeled examples that maxi…

2019-08-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method detects OOD samples using neural network trajectories.

problem Lack of comprehensive layer exploration in OOD detection.
method Functional data perspective, analyzing sample trajectories through multi-layer classifier.
result Empirically validated as effective compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Paper formalizes continual semi-supervised anomaly detection, showing promising results.

problem Formalizing continual semi-supervised anomaly detection in real-world conditions.
method Baseline model of variational autoencoder (VAE) with deep generative replay and outlier rejection.
result Outlier rejection shows promising results, often surpassing baseline methods.

The study introduces backward baselines to distinguish past prediction from future prediction in machine learning models.

problem Differentiating between past and future prediction in machine learning models.
method Theoretical, empirical, and normative arguments support a family of simple and efficient statistical tests called backward baselines.
result The study provides a meaningful backward baseline for auditing black-box prediction systems.

A simple baseline outperforms deep learning methods in transportation forecasting.

problem The importance of stationarity and recurrent patterns in transportation data.
method A naive baseline based on average weekly patterns and linear regression.
result The baseline method achieves comparable or better results than state-of-the-art deep learning approaches.

Algorithm safely learns from sub-optimal baseline policies while satisfying constraints.

problem Safe reinforcement learning with constraints when baseline policy is sub-optimal.
method Iterative policy optimization alternating between return maximization, baseline distance minimization, and constraint projection.
result Consistently outperforms baselines, achieving 10x fewer constraint violations and 40% higher reward.

In high dimensions, most machine learning methods are brittle to even a small fraction of structured outliers. To address this, we introduce a new meta-algorithm that can take in a base learner such as least squares or stochastic gradient descent, and harden the learner to be resistant to outliers. Our method, Sever, p…

2018-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Though CNNs have achieved the state-of-the-art performance on various vision tasks, they are vulnerable to adversarial examples --- crafted by adding human-imperceptible perturbations to clean images. However, most of the existing adversarial attacks only achieve relatively low success rates under the challenging black…

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

How can we design safe reinforcement learning agents that avoid unnecessary disruptions to their environment? We show that current approaches to penalizing side effects can introduce bad incentives, e.g. to prevent any irreversible changes in the environment, including the actions of other agents. To isolate the source…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Simple tabular event prediction model outperforms existing methods.

problem Predicting events from tabular data with historic events.
method Standard autoregressive LLM-style transformers with elementary positional embeddings and causal language modeling.
result Simple model outperforms existing approaches across various datasets and use-cases.

Recent work establishes dataset difficulty and removes annotation artifacts via partial-input baselines (e.g., hypothesis-only models for SNLI or question-only models for VQA). When a partial-input baseline gets high accuracy, a dataset is cheatable. However, the converse is not necessarily true: the failure of a parti…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work we describe the preparation of a time series dataset of inertial measurements for determining the surface type under a wheeled robot. The data consists of over 7600 labeled time series samples, with the corresponding surface type annotation. This data was used in two public competitions with over 1500 part…

2019-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗