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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for average divergence

Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.

problem Symmetric divergence measures for probability distributions.
method Two general classes of link models: one for survival functions and another for cumulative probability distribution functions.
result Advantages of symmetric divergence measures over asymmetric measures for model averaging and feature assessment.

We generalise the average asymptotic linking number of a pair of divergence-free vector fields on homology three-spheres by considering the linking of a divergence-free vector field on a manifold of arbitrary dimension with a codimension two foliation endowed with an invariant transverse measure. We prove that the aver…

2001-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper rethinks the use of exponential averaging in machine learning optimization.

problem The inefficiency of using exponential averaging in optimization algorithms.
method The paper connects EA-CM algorithms to Wake of Quadratic regularized models and proposes new algorithms, KLD-WRM.
result The new algorithms outperform existing methods like K-FAC on MNIST.

The paper analyzes MACD using operator theory.

problem Understanding the mathematical foundation of MACD.
method Developed a functional-analytic framework interpreting MACD as a phase-corrected, smoothed derivative operator.
result MACD is structurally equivalent to a band-pass filter and can be expressed as a finite difference of delayed and doubly averaged signals.

New method uses KL divergence to detect out-of-distribution data effectively.

problem Flow-based models assign higher likelihoods to OOD data than ID data, making OOD detection challenging.
method Proposes a method leveraging KL divergence and local pixel dependence of representations for anomaly detection.
result Demonstrates effectiveness and robustness on prevalent benchmarks.

This work proposes a model averaging method for SVM that avoids redundant covariates and achieves asymptotic optimality.

problem Redundant covariates impair SVM performance in high-dimensional settings.
method Frequentist model averaging procedure for SVM using cross-validation to select optimal weights.
result The proposed method achieves asymptotic optimality in SVM model averaging.

A new method Expectigrad improves on Adam and RMSProp by reducing divergence and improving performance.

problem Improving the convergence properties of adaptive gradient methods like Adam and RMSProp.
method Adjusts stepsizes using a per-component unweighted mean of all historical gradients and a bias-corrected momentum term.
result Cannot diverge on convex optimization problems that cause Adam to diverge.

Rank-statistic method approximates ff-divergences without density-ratio estimation.

problem Approximating ff-divergences without explicit density-ratio estimation.
method Mapping distribution rank histograms to discrete ff-divergence and averaging over random projections.
result The rank-statistic estimator is a lower bound of the true ff-divergence and converges under mild conditions.

New algorithm improves reinforcement learning policies without degrading performance.

problem Policy updates may degrade performance in reinforcement learning with general function approximators.
method Derives a new policy improvement bound with an average divergence instead of sup norm, leading to Easy Monotonic Policy Iteration.
result Generates sequences of policies with guaranteed non-decreasing returns.

Riesz regression connects to density ratio estimation for causal inference.

problem Estimating average treatment effects in causal inference.
method Riesz regression as a signed density ratio and least-squares importance fitting.
result Riesz regression and DRE are equivalent, allowing transfer of DRE results.

Unified framework improves robust causal inference, overcoming Gaussian barriers and optimization issues.

problem Improving robust causal inference in non-Gaussian settings.
method Combines gamma-Divergence, GNC, and Gatekeeper mechanism.
result Enhanced robustness and global optimization in causal effect estimation.

New principle controls graph-informed adversarial discrepancies.

problem Graph-informed adversarial learning for interpolative divergences.
method Proves infimal subadditivity for interpolative divergences.
result Graph-informed adversarial learning is justified for interpolative divergences.

Machine learning classification limits estimated using Kullback-Leibler divergence and Cohen's Kappa.

problem Estimating the best possible performance of machine learning classification algorithms.
method Relating Kullback-Leibler divergence to Cohen's Kappa and using the Chernoff-Stein Lemma to estimate error rates.
result Classification algorithms could not have performed any better due to underlying probability density functions for the two classes.

Study proposes a new method to estimate bias-correction term for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating the bias-correction term for ATE estimation.
method Directly estimating the bias-correction term by minimizing Bregman divergence.
result Automatic covariate balancing property achieved through specific model choices.

The Lasso performs well in ultra-sparse linear models with finite support size.

problem Performance analysis of Lasso in ultra-sparse linear models.
method Novel application of replica method from statistical physics, rigorous analysis of average case performance.
result Average performance of Lasso assessed without scaling assumptions, offering sample complexity bounds.

Unified framework for debiased machine learning using Riesz representer and Bregman divergence.

problem Estimating causal and structural parameters in machine learning.
method Generalized Riesz regression for fitting Riesz representer via Bregman divergence minimization.
result Automatic covariate balancing and Neyman orthogonality properties for debiased estimation.

New method tightens variational representations of divergences for faster learning.

problem Improving tightness of variational representations of divergences for faster statistical estimation.
method Improved objective functionals constructed via an auxiliary optimization problem, leveraging neural network approximation.
result Tighter variational representations can result in significantly faster learning and more accurate estimation of divergences.

The paper proposes a new method to measure risk with fine-grained tail sensitivity.

problem Risk measures that do not account for tail sensitivity are insufficient for machine learning systems.
method The approach involves specifying a reference distribution with desired tail behavior and constructing risk measures compatible with this upper probability.
result Risk measures with fine-grained tail sensitivity can replace the expectation operator in machine learning systems.

Paper analyzes SVGD algorithm for non-asymptotic convergence.

problem Optimizing a set of particles to approximate a target probability distribution.
method Finite time analysis of SVGD algorithm, providing descent lemma and convergence rates.
result SVGD algorithm decreases the objective at each iteration and converges to the target distribution.

Extends reinforcement learning alignment to scalar rewards, improving math reasoning.

problem Designing reinforcement learning algorithms for general LLM alignment.
method Introduces f-GRPO and f-HAL, estimating f-divergences between reward-aligned and unaligned distributions.
result Improves math reasoning RLVR tasks and mitigates reward hacking.

New algorithm reduces error in regression problems.

problem Minimizing composite objective functions with quadratic and convex components.
method Stochastic dual averaging with constant step-size, proving convergence rate O(1/n).
result Extends least-squares regression to various convex regularizers and geometries.

New framework estimates staged tree models using hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex.

problem Estimating staged tree models with context-specific dependencies.
method Hierarchical clustering on the probability simplex, using simplex-based divergences and linkage methods.
result Total Variation divergence with Ward.D2 linkage produces staged trees with better model fit, structure recovery, and computational efficiency.

Gradient descent dynamics in quadratic regression models are analyzed, revealing five phases: monotonic, catapult, periodic, chaotic, and divergent.

problem Analyzing the dynamics of gradient descent in quadratic regression models.
method Fine-grained bifurcation analysis of gradient descent dynamics using a cubic map parameterized by the step-size.
result Gradient descent dynamics in quadratic regression models exhibit five distinct phases: monotonic, catapult, periodic, chaotic, and divergent.

Personalized sleep staging achieved with single-night data using KL-divergence regularization.

problem Improving automatic sleep staging accuracy with limited single-night data.
method KL-divergence regularization for transfer learning from a pretrained model to a personalized model.
result Personalized sleep staging accuracy of 79.6% with KL-divergence regularization.

Introduces q-paths for generalizing geometric annealing paths in machine learning.

problem Limited applicability of existing path methods in machine learning.
method Develops a family of paths derived from a generalized mean, including geometric and arithmetic mixtures.
result Empirical gains in Bayesian inference and generative model evaluation.

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set minimization problems. The dual relationship between these two classes of multivariate ris…

2014-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models outperform traditional technical analysis in Bitcoin trading.

problem Maximizing profits in the Bitcoin market using trading signals.
method Comparison of machine learning models (LightGBM, LSTM) and technical analysis strategies (EMA, MACD+ADX).
result LSTM model achieved a 65.23% cumulative return over a year, significantly outperforming other strategies.

Study improves reinforcement learning for stable long-term performance.

problem Distributionally robust average-reward reinforcement learning for stable long-term performance.
method Proposes two algorithms to achieve near-optimal sample complexity.
result Achieves a sample complexity of O(SAtmix2ε2)O(|\mathbf{S}||\mathbf{A}| t_{\mathrm{mix}}^2\varepsilon^{-2}) for estimating optimal policy and robust average reward.

Conditional diffusion models can approximate target distributions well with Gaussian-mixture reverse kernels.

problem Approximating target distributions in conditional diffusion models.
method Using finite Gaussian mixtures with ReLU-network logits as reverse kernels, reducing the problem to static conditional density approximation.
result The resulting neural reverse-kernel class is dense in conditional KL divergence under exact terminal matching.