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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4999148197 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for automated risk

Framework uses LLMs to automate strategy finding in quantitative finance.

problem Brittleness of traditional deep learning models in financial applications.
method Three-stage framework with prompt-engineered LLMs, multimodal agent-based evaluation, and dynamic weight optimization.
result Robust performance in Chinese & US markets, superior risk-adjusted performance.

Human stablecoin transactions predict political risk in cryptocurrency markets.

problem Predicting political risk in cryptocurrency markets.
method Structural break analysis and surrogate-based robustness tests.
result Human-driven stablecoin transactions shift significantly before major political events.

Derives a size premium from automated market makers in decentralized AI subnets.

problem Determining the profitability and risk of decentralized AI subnets.
method Analyzes daily data on 128 subnets, tests the size premium, and calculates transaction costs.
result The size premium is reduced by a halving of token emissions but remains profitable only below a certain asset threshold.

The paper explores fairness metrics in automated decision-making and their limitations.

problem Discrimination in automated resource allocation decisions.
method Analysis of fairness metrics and distributive justice principles.
result Prominent fairness metrics fail to address egalitarian and sufficiency concerns in resource allocation.

This paper designs a new on-chain option that amortizes perpetual options for blockchain environments.

problem No equivalent standard for on-chain options exists, leading to high-frequency oracles and liquidation engines failures.
method Develops an amortizing perpetual option contract tailored to blockchain constraints, introducing a decentralized market framework.
result Demonstrates that the new contract functions as a risk primitive for DeFi, enabling applications like endogenous collateralization and de-peg insurance.

Modeling gas fee competition in decentralized exchanges to optimize arbitrage profits.

problem Gas fees and transaction ordering in decentralized exchanges create arbitrage opportunities.
method Developed a first equilibrium model of gas fee competition between two arbitrageurs under three transaction reversion settings.
result Mixed equilibria exist, and their characteristics depend on inventory risk and transaction settings.

Study analyzes risk management in Aave and Compound lending protocols, finding v3 better than v2.

problem Risk management in decentralized lending protocols.
method Cross-version and cross-chain analysis using fixed effects model.
result v3 protocols have better risk management, with stronger impact on L2 blockchains.

Paper optimizes liquidity provision in decentralized finance markets.

problem Strategic LPs face predictable losses and concentration risk in CL pools.
method Derive optimal liquidity provision strategy based on fees, PL, and concentration risk.
result Optimal strategy increases fee revenue and profit from marginal rate changes.

Automated HPO design using Bayesian optimization and benchmarking.

problem Designing effective hyperparameter optimization algorithms is manual and lacks systematic understanding.
method Formalized space of HPO candidates, Bayesian optimization for search, ablation analysis.
result Simple configurations can perform well in HPO, especially with right parameters.

The study uses AI to optimize trading in FX markets by considering size-dependent fees and risk-aversion.

problem Optimizing trading in FX markets with size-dependent fees and risk-aversion.
method Fitted Natural Actor-Critic (FNC) Reinforcement Learning algorithm.
result The algorithm effectively trades with variable order sizes, reducing transaction costs and promoting risk-averse behavior.

Optimal design of automated market makers for decentralized exchanges.

problem Maximizing utility for liquidity providers in decentralized exchanges.
method Modeling a risk-averse liquidity provider's optimal strategy and the optimal design of automated market makers.
result The optimal unit trading fee increases with asset volatility.

UAMM uses external market prices to improve AMM efficiency and reduce liquidity provider risk.

problem Traditional AMMs lack consideration of external markets and risk management.
method UAMM calculates prices by incorporating external market prices and impermanent loss, maintaining constant product curve properties.
result UAMM eliminates arbitrage opportunities when external market prices are efficient, reducing liquidity provider risk.

Quantum self-attention boosts automated market maker performance in crypto trading.

problem Improving automated market maker rebalancing in crypto trading.
method Quantum Adaptive Self-Attention (QASA) using variational quantum circuits and softmax attention.
result QASA-Sequence variant achieves best single-model risk-adjusted performance in crypto trading.

Paper uses AI to optimize crypto portfolios, showing better risk-adjusted returns.

problem Managing volatile crypto markets with high volatility.
method Multi-agent system designed to autonomously construct and evaluate crypto-asset allocations.
result Dynamic optimization strategy outperforms static equal weighting strategy in terms of risk-adjusted returns.

Proposes deep mixture models for probabilistic price movement forecasting in high-frequency trading.

problem Probabilistic forecasting of price movements in high-frequency trading.
method Deep recurrent neural networks with probabilistic mixture models.
result Outperforms benchmark models in both metric-based and simulated trading scenarios.

HRT uses bi-level reinforcement learning to optimize stock selection and execution in multi-asset equity markets.

problem Optimizing automated equity trading decisions under risk, turnover, and transaction costs.
method Hierarchical Reinforced Trader (HRT) framework that separates selection and execution decisions.
result HRT outperforms other methods in learning-based return-risk-cost trade-offs, improving Sharpe ratio and reducing turnover.

This paper explores BTC-denominated prediction markets to avoid stablecoin opportunity costs.

problem Opportunity costs and loss of BTC exposure when converting to stablecoins.
method Analyzes three methods of liquidity provision: cross-market making, automated market making, and DeFi redirection.
result Cross-market making provides the best user risk profile but requires active liquidity.

This study interprets AMM fees as implied volatility, validating their relevance in digital asset markets.

problem Understanding the volatility of fees in decentralized exchange systems.
method Reinterpreting AMM fees as implied volatility and applying fixed-for-floating swaps to quote and validate these volatilities.
result The implied volatilities of digital assets can be accurately quoted using AMM fees, validating the approach.

The paper critiques UBI as ineffective for addressing technological unemployment.

problem Technological unemployment due to automation.
method Empirical data analysis and theoretical projections of UBI's impact.
result UBI is not an effective solution for improving living standards and employability among displaced workers.

Research proposes a decentralized invoice discounting system using Kelly criterion.

problem Persistent funding gap for SMEs and inefficiencies in traditional factoring.
method Automated Market Maker (AMM) with Kelly criterion for premium calculation.
result Resilient decentralized system with optimal profit distribution policies.

This study optimizes trading and arbitrage in decentralized finance's CPMs, revealing convexity costs and developing efficient strategies.

problem Optimizing trading and arbitrage in decentralized finance's constant product markets (CPMs).
method Developed models for CPMs in competing centralised exchanges, CPMs, and both venues. Derived computationally efficient strategies.
result Accurately estimated convexity costs in CPMs, which are linear in trade size and nonlinear in liquidity depth and exchange rate.

Paper presents efficient IS for tail risk estimation with machine learning features.

problem Estimating Value at Risk and Conditional Value at Risk with black-box access.
method Efficient Importance Sampling algorithm with self-structuring transformation.
result Asymptotically optimal variance reduction in logarithmic scale.

Novel AMM model for pegged cryptoassets using nested OU processes.

problem Liquidity and risk management in markets for pegged cryptoassets.
method Multi-level nested Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes for exchange rate dynamics, calibrated and filtered AMM model.
result Consistent efficient quotes and improved liquidity provision for pegged cryptoassets.

fastml guards against data leakage in automated machine learning.

problem Data leakage during preprocessing before resampling inflates apparent performance.
method fastml uses guarded resampling to re-estimate preprocessing inside each resample.
result Guarded resampling reduces apparent performance compared to global preprocessing.

Minimizes indecisions in selective classification to control misclassification rates.

problem Controlling misclassification rates in high-risk scenarios.
method Using indecisions to control misclassification rates, even below Bayes optimal.
result Control of misclassification rates to any user-specified level, even below Bayes optimal.

FLAIR measures LP competitiveness in AMMs, improving LP performance evaluations.

problem LP returns are affected by both market risk and competitive strategies.
method Introduces FLAIR metric to quantify LP competitiveness and assesses its impact on LP returns.
result FLAIR captures dynamic behavior of LPs and differentiates between active provisioning strategies.

Novel method reconstructs liquidity data for CLMMs, optimizing dynamic liquidity strategies.

problem Challenges in evaluating and optimizing CLMMs due to lack of historical liquidity data.
method Reconstructs historical liquidity states from swap transaction data using machine learning.
result Identifies outperformance of dynamic liquidity strategies over uniform allocation benchmarks.

We refine toxicity bounds for dynamic liquidation incentives in CP-AMM systems.

problem Ensuring stability in dynamic liquidation incentives in automated market makers.
method Derived state-dependent toxicity bounds for dynamic liquidation incentives, reconciling them with CP-AMM price dynamics.
result State-dependent bounds and liquidity-depth-only condition for dynamic liquidation incentives.

Quant 4.0 uses AI to automate, explain, and incorporate knowledge in investment.

problem Limitations of deep learning in quant investment.
method Automated AI, Explainable AI, Knowledge-driven AI.
result Improves investment decision-making through automation, interpretability, and prior knowledge integration.