Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay out the non-fraudulent ones immediately. Modern machine learning methods are we…
HAD-Net forecasts glucose levels with insights into insulin and carbs diffusion.
problem Inaccurate predictions in glucose level forecasting without context understanding.
method Hybrid model combining deep learning and physiological models, using recurrent attention network.
result Achieves competitive performance in glucose level forecasting with plausible diffusion insights.
Simplified approach to portfolio risk management and hedging in practice.
problem Challenges in applying academic portfolio risk management and hedging in real-world business settings.
method A straightforward approach using convex optimization and quadratic programming.
result Demonstrates how to solve portfolio risk management and hedging problems with CVXOPT.
Machine learning improves fiber nonlinearity detection.
problem Mitigating nonlinear effects in optical fiber channels.
method Parzen window classifier applied to detect nonlinear fiber channel.
result Performance improvement in dispersion managed and unmanaged systems.
The basic financial purpose of an enterprise is maximization of its value. Trade credit management should also contribute to realization of this fundamental aim. Many of the current asset management models that are found in financial management literature assume book profit maximization as the basic financial purpose. …
Automates decision-making for human operators managing multiple robots.
problem Limited human operator attention when controlling multiple robots.
method Learned model of user preferences from easy settings to automatically identify the most critical robot.
result Automated decision-making can assist human operators in managing more robots than their attention allows.
A new framework uses deep RL to aggregate expert advice for better portfolio management.
problem Improving portfolio management through expert advice and deep reinforcement learning.
method Convolutional networks for signal aggregation and historical price data, Proximal Policy Optimization algorithm.
result Our framework can achieve 90% of the best expert's profit on average.
This paper proposes a multi-head attention model for predicting RUL in IIoT environments.
problem Estimating RUL for complex industrial equipment using IIoT data.
method Multi-Head Attention Mechanism combined with LSTM for multi-dimensional time-series data.
result The proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art models on benchmark datasets.
FutureQuant Transformer predicts price ranges and volatility for futures trading.
problem Complex futures trading with real-time LOBs and vast data.
method FutureQuant Transformer model using attention mechanisms.
result Significantly improved trading performance with an average gain of 0.1193%.
Improved GRU model with multi-head cross-attention enhances stock prediction accuracy.
problem Inaccurate stock prediction due to complex market dynamics and data sparsity.
method Enhanced GRU with multi-head cross-attention for better historical information selection and latent market state learning.
result The proposed MCI-GRU model outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in multiple metrics.
Nowadays, mobile telephony interruptions in our daily life activities are common because of the inappropriate ringing notifications of incoming phone calls in different contexts. Such interruptions may impact on the work attention not only for the mobile phone owners but also the surrounding people. Decision tree is th…
New approach shows why overparameterized neural nets generalize well.
problem Understanding why overparameterized neural nets generalize well in practice.
method An alternative notion of capacity for attention-based models based on the effective rank of attention matrices.
result Generalization bound matches empirical scaling laws observed in large language models.
Enhances stock movement prediction using Higher Order Transformers for multimodal time-series data.
problem Predicting stock movements in financial markets with complex dynamics.
method Introduced Higher Order Transformers, extending self-attention and transformer architecture to capture complex market dynamics. Employed low-rank tensor decomposition and kernel attention to manage computational complexity. Integrated technical and fundamental analysis from historical prices and tweets.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of the method on the Stocknet dataset, improving stock movement prediction.
The way developers collaborate inside and particularly across teams often escapes management's attention, despite a formal organization with designated teams being defined. Observability of the actual, organically formed engineering structure provides decision makers invaluable additional tools to manage their talent p…
A new indicator measures project risk from activity durations.
problem Managing project risks throughout the lifecycle.
method Activity Risk Index (ARI) based on Schedule Risk Baseline.
result Identifies activities contributing most to project uncertainty.
Paper proposes a graph neural network for accurate long-term ILI prediction.
problem Limited long-term prediction performance and spatio-temporal dependency in existing models.
method Cross-location attention based graph neural network (Cola-GNN) for time series embeddings and location aware attentions.
result Proposed method shows strong predictive performance and interpretable results for long-term epidemic predictions.
Deep learning enhances water resources management through data analysis.
problem Data volume and variety in water resources management.
method Systematic review of deep learning applications in hydrology and water resources.
result Deep learning improves water resources monitoring, prediction, and classification.
A deep learning strategy outperforms traditional methods in stocks portfolio management.
problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance using machine learning.
method Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient framework with neural networks.
result Compound annual return rate of 14.12% compared to 7 other strategies.
Study uses RL to optimize crypto portfolios with two-sided transactions and lending.
problem Managing downside risk and capital optimization in high-risk crypto markets.
method Integrates RL with a new environmental formulation and PnL-based reward function, using SAC agent with CNN-MHA.
result Significantly outperforms benchmarks, especially in high-volatility scenarios.
Land use classification of low resolution spatial imagery is one of the most extensively researched fields in remote sensing. Despite significant advancements in satellite technology, high resolution imagery lacks global coverage and can be prohibitively expensive to procure for extended time periods. Accurately classi…
DFMM automates market making with adaptive pricing and risk management.
problem Challenges in decentralised automated market making (AMMs).
method Data aggregator, order routing, rebalancing, arbitrageurs, protective buffers, algorithmic accounting.
result DFMM optimises inventory risk and ensures market stability.
DeePM is a deep-learning portfolio manager that outperforms classical strategies in diversified futures markets.
problem Maximizing risk-adjusted returns in financial markets with low signal-to-noise ratios and asynchronous data.
method Structured deep learning with a Directed Delay mechanism, Macroeconomic Graph Prior, and distributionally robust optimization.
result DeePM achieves net risk-adjusted returns roughly twice those of classical strategies and passive benchmarks.
DeepSupp detects financial support levels using attention mechanisms.
problem Traditional SR identification methods fail to adapt to modern markets.
method Multi-head attention mechanisms, dynamic correlation matrices, DBSCAN clustering.
result DeepSupp outperforms six baseline methods across six financial metrics.
GARCH-UGH improves VaR estimation for financial risk management.
problem Dynamic estimation of extreme VaR in financial time series.
method AR-GARCH filtering followed by a bias-reduced extreme value estimator.
result GARCH-UGH estimates are more accurate than conventional methods.
Traffic flow prediction is crucial for urban traffic management and public safety. Its key challenges lie in how to adaptively integrate the various factors that affect the flow changes. In this paper, we propose a unified neural network module to address this problem, called Attentive Crowd Flow Machine~(ACFM), which …
In this paper the fractional trading ansatz of money management is reconsidered with special attention to chance and risk parts in the goal function of the related optimization problem. By changing the goal function with due regards to other risk measures like current drawdowns, the optimal fraction solutions reflect t…
The paper uses GRU and self-attention for SPY option pricing.
problem Precise prediction of SPY option prices for better investment decisions.
method Partitioned dataset, built four models, used SHAP for interpretation.
result Self-attention GRU model outperforms traditional models.
Most companies utilize demographic information to develop their strategy in a market. However, such information is not available to most retail companies. Several studies have been conducted to predict the demographic attributes of users from their transaction histories, but they have some limitations. First, they focu…
This review analyzes recent advances in solving index tracking problems.
problem Creating a portfolio that closely follows a specific index with lower costs.
method Systematic review of mathematical approaches and metaheuristics.
result Metaheuristics have been extensively applied and improved in solving index tracking problems.
Reliable calculations of financial risk require that the fat-tailed nature of prices changes is included in risk measures. To this end, a non-Gaussian approach to financial risk management is presented, modeling the power-law tails of the returns distribution in terms of a Student-t distribution. Non-Gaussian closed-fo…
Model earnings call transcripts for better stock price prediction.
problem Predicting future stock price movements using earnings call transcripts.
method Deep learning framework with an attention mechanism to encode text data into vectors for predicting stock price movements.
result The proposed model outperforms traditional machine learning methods in stock price prediction.
MRA-BGCN improves traffic forecasting accuracy through complex graph interactions.
problem Challenging traffic forecasting due to spatial-temporal dependency and uncertainty.
method Proposes MRA-BGCN, a deep learning model that uses bicomponent graph convolution and multi-range attention.
result MRA-BGCN achieves state-of-the-art results on real-world traffic datasets.
Global Memory Augmentation (GMAT) improves Transformer performance on long documents.
problem Large memory requirements of Transformer pairwise dot-product attention for long sequences.
method Integrates a dense global memory of length M into sparse Transformer blocks.
result Significant improvement on various tasks, including synthetic tasks, masked language modeling, and reading comprehension.
Paper proposes deep learning model for dynamic stock repurchase forecasting.
problem Complex temporal dependencies in corporate financial conditions.
method Hybrid Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and Attention-based LSTM.
result Model significantly outperforms static baselines in stock repurchase forecasting.
Study predicts online procrastination using machine learning.
problem Predicting procrastination in eLearning to prevent drop-outs.
method Comparison of multiple machine learning models with subjective and objective predictors.
result Models with objective predictors outperform those with subjective predictors.
A novel CAB-XDE framework predicts speculative stock prices with high accuracy.
problem Forecasting speculative stock prices in volatile markets.
method Customized attention BiLSTM with XGBoost, integrating attention mechanism and weight determination theory-error reciprocal method.
result Empirically validated with MAPE of 0.0037, MAE of 84.40, and RMSE of 106.14.
Neural network models that are not conditioned on class identities were shown to facilitate knowledge transfer between classes and to be well-suited for one-shot learning tasks. Following this motivation, we further explore and establish such models and present a novel neural network architecture for the task of weakly…
Compact Recurrent Transformer (CRT) improves Transformer efficiency for long sequences.
problem Efficiently scaling Transformer architecture to long sequences with limited compute resources.
method Combines shallow Transformer models with recurrent neural networks and persistent memory.
result CRT achieves comparable or superior performance to full-length Transformers with shorter segments and reduced FLOPs.
Enhances crowd safety through AI and data-driven models.
problem Improving crowd safety during events.
method Innovative data collection, AI, and machine learning.
result Accurate multi-day forecasts for event planning.
Optimizes Iron Condor portfolios for better risk and profit management.
problem Transient value process of Iron Condor portfolios not well studied.
method Formulated as a stochastic optimal control problem, using bounded martingale assumption.
result Optimal stopping time aligns with expiration for submartingale value process.
Managing investment portfolios is an old and well know problem in multiple fields including financial mathematics and financial engineering as well as econometrics and econophysics. Multiple different concepts and theories were used so far to describe methods of handling with financial assets, including differential eq…
Combines VaR and ES forecasts for cryptocurrency market risk management.
problem Improving tail risk forecasts in financial markets.
method Proposes semiparametric and parametric combination frameworks.
result Combined forecasts outperform individual VaR and ES forecasts.
Reliable calculations of financial risk require that the fat-tailed nature of prices changes is included in risk measures. To this end, a non-Gaussian approach to financial risk management is presented, modeling the power-law tails of the returns distribution in terms of a Student-t (or Tsallis) distribution. Non-Gau…
Graph Neural Networks improve volatility prediction in financial markets.
problem Traditional models struggle with complex, non-linear interdependencies in financial markets.
method Temporal Graph Attention Network (Temporal GAT) combines GCNs and GATs to capture dynamic graph structures.
result Temporal GAT outperforms traditional GARCH models in volatility forecasting, especially for short- to mid-term predictions.
Paper presents a data preprocessing method for PHM models.
problem Lack of consistent data preprocessing for PHM applications.
method Comprehensive pipeline for sensor data preprocessing.
result Creation of clean data sets for training machinery health state classifiers.
Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.
problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.
Model improves information transfer from visual streams.
problem Challenges in unsupervised learning from continuous visual data.
method Inspired by physics, maximizes mutual information through temporal process.
result Focus of attention enhances information transfer from input stream.
Anomaly-aware forecast improves accuracy for extreme events.
problem Challenges in automatically detecting and learning from extreme events and anomalies in large-scale datasets.
method Proposes an anomaly-aware forecast framework that automatically detects and incorporates anomalies using an attention mechanism and dynamic uncertainty optimization.
result Demonstrated superior accuracy and reduced uncertainty on three datasets with different types of anomalies.