New method uses neural networks to interpolate stellar atmospheres with high precision.
problem Recover precise stellar model atmospheres from grids of models.
method Deep neural network with 1D convolutional auto-encoder for feature extraction.
result Higher precision compared to traditional methods.
Optimized DMD for fast atmospheric chemistry forecasting.
problem Forecasting global atmospheric chemistry dynamics efficiently.
method Optimized Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) for reduced order modeling.
result Significant improvement in computational speed and interpretability.
TemperatureGAN generates hourly atmospheric temperature data with high fidelity.
problem Generating accurate hourly atmospheric temperature data for climate risk assessment.
method Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) conditioned on months, locations, and time periods.
result TemperatureGAN produces high-fidelity hourly atmospheric temperature data with good spatial and temporal consistency.
New model identifies anticyclonic patterns causing drought and heat.
problem Identifying atmospheric drivers of drought and heat.
method Smoothed convolutional neural network classifier for anticyclonic circulations.
result Helps identify important drivers of hot and dry extremes in climate simulations.
Reduced-order model improves LES for atmospheric pollutant dispersion.
problem Accurate near-field pollutant concentration tracking in urban areas.
method Combining POD and GPR for non-intrusive reduced-order modeling.
result Component-by-component optimization captures spatial scales in high-order modes.
TRAKNN detects rare atmospheric trajectories efficiently.
problem Detecting rare atmospheric anomalies over long periods.
method Unsupervised, recurrence-based kNN algorithm.
result Rare trajectories correspond to physical anomalies.
ClimART dataset benchmarks ML emulators for atmospheric RT in climate models.
problem Lack of a comprehensive dataset and standardized practices for ML benchmarking in climate models.
method Builds ClimART, a large dataset with over 10 million samples, and presents novel baselines.
result Indicates shortcomings of prior datasets and network architectures.
TelePiT improves S2S forecasting by integrating physics and teleconnections.
problem Challenges in subseasonal-to-seasonal climate forecasting due to chaotic dynamics and complex interactions.
method Integrates physics and teleconnections into a transformer architecture with spherical embedding and multi-scale physics-informed neural ODE.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods across all forecast horizons.
Study compares two methods for predicting extreme atmospheric events.
problem Forecasting threshold exceedances of atmospheric variables like temperature and wind speed.
method Direct vs. full distribution probabilistic methods for rare events.
result Full distribution approach outperforms direct method for extreme events.
Framework optimizes expensive manufacturing processes efficiently.
problem Optimizing input parameters for advanced manufacturing methods.
method Bayesian optimization with tailored acquisition function and parallel acquisition.
result Framework efficiently finds optimal parameters with minimal process cost.
Generative adversarial networks generate realistic, time-evolving high-resolution atmospheric fields.
problem Improving spatial resolution of low-resolution atmospheric images.
method Recurrent, stochastic super-resolution GAN for generating ensembles of time-evolving high-resolution atmospheric fields.
result The GAN produces realistic, temporally consistent super-resolution sequences for radar-measured precipitation and cloud optical thickness.
New clustering method improves climate data analysis in Lesser Antilles.
problem Inducing undesirable effects in clustering algorithms using Euclidean distance.
method Replacing Euclidean distance with Expert Deviation (ED) based on symmetrized Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result KMS-ED produces more interpretable clusters with better discrimination of daily situations.
We present Breizhcrops, a novel benchmark dataset for the supervised classification of field crops from satellite time series. We aggregated label data and Sentinel-2 top-of-atmosphere as well as bottom-of-atmosphere time series in the region of Brittany (Breizh in local language), north-east France. We compare seven r…
Although a key driver of Earth's climate system, global land-atmosphere energy fluxes are poorly constrained. Here we use machine learning to merge energy flux measurements from FLUXNET eddy covariance towers with remote sensing and meteorological data to estimate net radiation, latent and sensible heat and their uncer…
Modeling wildfire aerosols using satellite data to predict solar radiation reduction.
problem Accurately estimate and predict AOD propagation from wildfires using multi-source satellite data.
method Physics-informed statistical modeling integrating multi-source satellite data with an advection-diffusion equation.
result The proposed approach accurately predicts AOD propagation and demonstrates model interpretability.
The aim of this paper is to construct natural geometrical objects on the 1-jet space J^1(T,R^5), where T/subsetR, like a non-linear connection, a generalized Cartan connection, together with its d-torsions and d-curvatures, a jet electromagnetic d-field and a jet Yang-Mills energy, starting from the given Lorenz atm…
Time-aware deep learning methods improve spatial downscaling of atmospheric pollutants.
problem Transform coarse satellite data of atmospheric pollutants into high-resolution fields.
method Super-resolution deep residual networks and UNet architectures are extended with a temporal module encoding observation time.
result Temporal modules significantly improve downscaling performance and convergence speed.
Modeling air pollutants using data-driven techniques and sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics.
problem Predicting concentrations of air pollutants using hidden physical laws.
method Sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) for parsimonious systems of ordinary differential equations.
result More than half of the critical points are saddle points, indicating system instability.
This paper describes a novel deep learning-based method for mitigating the effects of atmospheric distortion. We have built an end-to-end supervised convolutional neural network (CNN) to reconstruct turbulence-corrupted video sequence. Our framework has been developed on the residual learning concept, where the spatio-…
Improved weather forecasting using deep CNN on cubed-sphere grid.
problem Global weather prediction accuracy and speed.
method Deep convolutional neural network (CNN) on cubed-sphere grid, offline mapping, loss minimization.
result Significantly improved weather forecasts, indefinitely stable, realistic patterns at long lead times.
In this paper, we consider the use of structure learning methods for probabilistic graphical models to identify statistical dependencies in high-dimensional physical processes. Such processes are often synthetically characterized using PDEs (partial differential equations) and are observed in a variety of natural pheno…
HECT tests climate model outputs for reproducibility.
problem Ensuring climate models accurately reflect physical processes.
method Probabilistic classifiers for high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.
result A principled way to assess statistical reproducibility of climate models.
New framework models complex spatial data with basis functions and graphical vectors.
problem Modeling highly-multivariate spatial processes with varying resolutions.
method Extends graphical lasso to multivariate Gaussian processes with independent graphical vectors at different resolutions, using an orthogonal basis and fusion penalty.
result Linear complexity and parsimonious conditional independence structure in multilevel graphical model.
We construct and analyze symmetrized delay correlation matrices for empirical data sets for atmopheric and financial data to derive information about correlation between different entities of the time series over time. The information about correlations is obtained by comparing the results for the eigenvalue distributi…
Chemical transport models (CTMs), which simulate air pollution transport, transformation, and removal, are computationally expensive, largely because of the computational intensity of the chemical mechanisms: systems of coupled differential equations representing atmospheric chemistry. Here we investigate the potential…
xVAE models extreme turbulence events in turbulent flows.
problem Capturing extreme events in turbulent flows.
method Max-infinitely divisible process with heavy-tailed distributions embedded into a standard VAE framework.
result xVAE more robust in capturing extreme values compared to POD modes.
Treeging combines regression trees and kriging for spatial and space-time prediction.
problem Improving spatial and space-time prediction accuracy.
method Combines regression trees with kriging's covariance structures.
result Treeging outperforms kriging and random forest in various scenarios.
Lagrangian data assimilation is a complex problem in oceanic and atmospheric modeling. Tracking drifters in large-scale geophysical flows can involve uncertainty in drifter location, complex inertial effects, and other factors which make comparing them to simulated Lagrangian trajectories from numerical models extremel…
Enhanced Zika spread forecasting using topological data analysis.
problem Challenging prediction of Zika virus spread due to nonlinear spatio-temporal dependency and lack of historical records.
method Integrates topological data analysis, specifically persistent homology, into predictive machine learning models.
result Ensemble forecasting improves Zika spread predictions in Brazil.
New method uses neural networks to identify sources from limited data in complex systems.
problem Identifying sources from noisy and limited data in high-dimensional systems.
method Calibrating deep neural network surrogates to ensemble simulations and using Bayesian optimization for source identification.
result Reliable source identification with uncertainty quantification using limited data and auxiliary processes.
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) can aid decarbonization of the atmosphere to limit further global temperature increases. A framework utilizing unsupervised learning is used to generate a range of subsurface geologic volumes to investigate potential sites for long-term storage of carbon dioxide. Generative adversarial …
Study of rotating gravastars with de Sitter interiors and Kerr exteriors.
problem Understanding the spacetime structure of rotating gravastars and black hole mimickers.
method Exact analytical solutions for Cn metrics with de Sitter interiors and Kerr exteriors. result Existence of Cn metrics with arbitrary differentiability, respecting energy conditions. Machine learning improves sub-seasonal climate forecasting, especially gradient boosting and deep learning.
problem Predicting climate variables like temperature and precipitation in 2-week to 2-month time scales.
method Carefully constructed feature representations and ML approaches including gradient boosting and deep learning.
result ML methods can outperform climatological baselines and improve prediction accuracy.
Graph-based weather prediction adapted for local models.
problem Applying neural weather prediction to limited area modeling.
method Adapting graph-based Neural Weather Prediction approach to local models.
result Validation of multi-scale hierarchical model extension for Nordic region.
Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns and enable extrapolation. These kernels are derived by modelling a spectral dens…
M-CaStLe discovers causal structures in multivariate space-time data.
problem Challenges in causal graph discovery for high-dimensional gridded data.
method Generalizes CaStLe to multivariate analyses, using local embeddings and pooling spatial replicates.
result More accurately recovers multivariate causal structure and identifies physical dynamics.
Graph Neural Networks improve El Niño forecasts.
problem Improving seasonal forecasting models for ENSO.
method Application of spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks.
result Preliminary results outperform state-of-the-art systems for 1 and 3-month projections.
We present a technique for efficiently synthesizing images of atmospheric clouds using a combination of Monte Carlo integration and neural networks. The intricacies of Lorenz-Mie scattering and the high albedo of cloud-forming aerosols make rendering of clouds---e.g. the characteristic silverlining and the "whiteness" …
During this last decades, several attempts to construct slow invariant manifold of the Lorenz-Krishnamurthy five-mode model of slow-fast interactions in the atmosphere have been made by various authors. Unfortunately, as in the case of many two-time scales singularly perturbed dynamical systems the various asymptotic p…
Soil moisture is an important variable that determines floods, vegetation health, agriculture productivity, and land surface feedbacks to the atmosphere, etc. Accurately modeling soil moisture has important implications in both weather and climate models. The recently available satellite-based observations give us a un…
CNN improves neutrino event reconstruction in IceCube DeepCore.
problem Difficulties in distinguishing muon neutrinos and reconstructing inelasticity at GeV scale energies.
method 2D Convolutional Neural Network exploiting time and depth translational symmetry.
result CNN model outperforms conventional methods for flavor identification and inelasticity reconstruction.
Physics-informed model reduces RBC simulation costs.
problem Computational infeasibility of direct numerical simulations for turbulent systems.
method Combines CNN and recurrent architecture, penalized with PDEs, uses conformal prediction.
result Significant reduction in computational cost for long-term simulations.
Underwater gas reservoirs are used in many situations. In particular, Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) facilities that are currently being developed intend to store greenhouse gases inside geological formations in the deep sea. In these formations, however, the gas might percolate, leaking back to the water and eventua…
The forecasting and reconstruction of ocean and atmosphere dynamics from satellite observation time series are key challenges. While model-driven representations remain the classic approaches, data-driven representations become more and more appealing to benefit from available large-scale observation and simulation dat…
ST-STORM separates semantic and appearance features for robust representation learning.
problem Traditional SSL methods fail to capture appearance cues in critical applications.
method Hybrid SSL framework with two latent streams, Content and Style, disentangled through gating mechanisms.
result The Style branch effectively isolates complex appearance phenomena without degrading semantic performance.
DiffObs predicts global precipitation with realistic wave modes and low frequency variations.
problem Predicting global precipitation evolution using satellite observations.
method Autoregressive generative diffusion model trained on satellite data.
result Model generates realistic wave modes and low frequency variations, validating its potential for climate prediction.
In this work, a new approach for Sun tracking systems is presented. Due to the current system limitations regarding costs and operational problems, a new approach based on low cost, computer vision open hardware and deep learning has been developed. The preliminary tests carried out successfully in Plataforma solar de …
New method learns spatiotemporal dynamics from random point process observations.
problem Challenges in modeling spatiotemporal dynamics from randomly collected data.
method Integration of neural differential equations, neural point processes, implicit neural representations, and amortized variational inference.
result Significant improvements in predictive accuracy and computational efficiency compared to existing methods.