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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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50100150200 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for asymptotic oracle

New oracles improve stochastic optimization with noisy or biased measurements.

problem Optimizing functions with noisy or biased measurements.
method Introduced biased gradient oracles for stochastic optimization, analyzed RSG and SGD algorithms with these oracles.
result Derived non-asymptotic bounds for convergence rates of algorithms with biased gradient oracles.

This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when the number of parameters is of a much larger order of magnitude than the sample …

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops accelerated fixed-point methods with delayed oracles for scientific computing.

problem Approximating fixed points of nonexpansive operators.
method Combines Nesterov's acceleration and KM iteration with delayed inexact oracles.
result Establishes improved convergence rates for fixed-point approximation.

Extends covariance estimation with multiple targets for better performance.

problem Improving covariance estimation for multiple targets.
method Combines multiple constant matrices with sample covariance matrix, derives estimators and proves convergence.
result The multi-target linear shrinkage estimator outperforms other estimators in various situations.

Two important goals of high-dimensional modeling are prediction and variable selection. In this article, we consider regularization with combined L1L_1 and concave penalties, and study the sampling properties of the global optimum of the suggested method in ultra-high dimensional settings. The L1L_1-penalty provides th…

2016-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the estimation of two-sample integral functionals, of the type that occur naturally, for example, when the object of interest is a divergence between unknown probability densities. Our first main result is that, in wide generality, a weighted nearest neighbour estimator is efficient, in the sense of achievi…

2019-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses nonconvex penalized LAD estimation in partial linear models using DNNs.

problem Challenges in nonconvex penalized LAD estimation with DNNs in partial linear models.
method Parameterizes nonparametric term with DNNs, formulates penalized LAD problem, introduces proximal subgradient method.
result Establishes consistency, convergence rate, and asymptotic normality of the estimator.

New weighted Lasso estimates improve logistic regression performance with measurement error.

problem Improper Lasso estimates in sparse logistic regression with equal penalties.
method Proposed weighted Lasso estimates using McDiarmid inequality for non-asymptotic oracle inequalities.
result Finite sample behavior illustrated by non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for estimation and prediction errors.

This paper consider penalized empirical loss minimization of convex loss functions with unknown non-linear target functions. Using the elastic net penalty we establish a finite sample oracle inequality which bounds the loss of our estimator from above with high probability. If the unknown target is linear this inequali…

2013-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We presented Bayesian portfolio selection strategy, via the kk factor asset pricing model. If the market is information efficient, the proposed strategy will mimic the market; otherwise, the strategy will outperform the market. The strategy depends on the selection of a portfolio via Bayesian multiple testing methodol…

2017-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Propose an XMSE-aware mixed estimator for EB that interpolates between ML and EB shrinkage.

problem Kernel-based EB estimation may be worse than ML when the kernel is poorly aligned with the true parameter.
method An XMSE-aware mixed estimator that interpolates between ML and EB shrinkage.
result Fixed-weight XMSE is a scalar quadratic, yielding a closed-form oracle mixing weight that is no worse than both ML and the base EB estimator at the XMSE scale.

The effect of errors in variables in quantization is investigated. We prove general exact and non-exact oracle inequalities with fast rates for an empirical minimization based on a noisy sample Zi=Xi+εi,i=1,,nZ_i=X_i+ε_i,i=1,\ldots,n, where XiX_i are i.i.d. with density ff and εiε_i are i.i.d. with density ηη. These rates depend …

2013-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis reveals optimal regularization for ESNs, avoiding double descent.

problem Characterizing and optimizing Echo State Networks (ESNs) for precise bias-variance.
method Random matrix theory applied to ESNs in a teacher-student setting.
result ESNs achieve lower MSE with limited training samples and teacher memory.

New model-free RL algorithm tackles robust average-reward problems with finite sample complexity analysis.

problem Long-term decision-making in environments with varying dynamics.
method Proposes Robust Halpern Iteration (RHI) algorithm based on a black-box sampling oracle and multi-level Monte-Carlo estimator.
result Achieves ε-optimal robust policy with sample complexity of O(1/ε^(2+o(1))) under generative model setting.

The paper addresses model averaging and ensembling, providing theoretical and practical insights.

problem Combining least squares estimators from multiple candidate models for improved predictive accuracy.
method Establishes oracle inequalities for Mallows' CpC_p criterion, proposes a novel Mallows-type MA procedure.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed Mallows-type MA estimator through numerical experiments.

Develops asymptotic theory for deep Cox models to enable valid inference.

problem Theoretical gaps in deep neural network estimators for Cox models.
method Asymptotic distribution theory linking in-sample optimization error to population risk.
result Pointwise and multivariate asymptotic normality for subsampled ensemble estimators.

We study the asymptotic properties of the adaptive Lasso in cointegration regressions in the case where all covariates are weakly exogenous. We assume the number of candidate I(1) variables is sub-linear with respect to the sample size (but possibly larger) and the number of candidate I(0) variables is polynomial with …

2011-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved GANs estimate convergence rate for density estimation.

problem Improving the accuracy of density estimation with GANs.
method Proved an oracle inequality for JS divergence between GAN estimate and true density.
result JS-divergence rate of convergence is (logn/n)2β/(2β+d)(\log{n}/n)^{2β/(2β+ d)}.

New algorithm optimizes stochastic optimization with circular dependency.

problem Circular dependency between decision variable and importance sampling.
method Single-loop stochastic approximation algorithm based on Nesterov's dual averaging.
result Achieves minimal asymptotic variance and resolves circular optimization challenge.

New model handles complex non-linear relationships with hidden graph structures.

problem Modeling non-linear relationships with hidden graph-structured interactions.
method Block-diagonal localized mixture of polynomial experts (BLoMPE) regression model with penalized maximum likelihood selection criterion.
result Strong theoretical guarantee for finite-sample oracle inequality.

Paper proposes CIV estimator for categorical instruments in small sample settings.

problem Estimation with categorical instruments in settings with few observations per category.
method CIV estimator leveraging regularization assumption for latent categorical variable.
result CIV estimator is asymptotically normal, efficient, and semiparametrically efficient under homoskedasticity.

New tool for parallel and private stochastic convex optimization reduces query complexity.

problem Parallel and private stochastic convex optimization with reduced query complexity.
method Reweighted Stochastic Query (ReSQue) estimator combined with ball oracle acceleration.
result Achieves state-of-the-art complexities for SCO in parallel and private settings.

Oracle-efficient algorithms reduce combinatorial semi-bandit regret to logarithmic time.

problem Scalability issue in combinatorial semi-bandit problems due to high combinatorial optimization costs.
method Oracle-efficient frameworks that minimize oracle queries while maintaining tight regret guarantees.
result Achieved ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret with O(loglogT)O(\log\log T) oracle queries for worst-case linear rewards.

We propose a new sparsity-smoothness penalty for high-dimensional generalized additive models. The combination of sparsity and smoothness is crucial for mathematical theory as well as performance for finite-sample data. We present a computationally efficient algorithm, with provable numerical convergence properties, fo…

2008-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis shows Thompson Sampling can work with greedy approximations in combinatorial bandits.

problem Thompson Sampling's theoretical limits with greedy approximations in combinatorial semi-bandits.
method Study with greedy oracle, providing lower and upper bounds on regret.
result First theoretical results showing TS can work with greedy approximations, breaking misconceptions.

TA-CQR predicts regression intervals with exact coverage, splitting miscoverage between endpoints.

problem Predicting regression intervals with exact coverage under reporting constraints.
method TA-CQR uses tail allocation to parameterize the oracle, estimating the allocation by searching quantile cores and applying nonnegative additive split-conformal calibration.
result TA-CQR achieves exact finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, with theoretical guarantees on calibration and length.

MAMBA learns policies competitive with multiple conflicting oracles.

problem Learning policies from multiple conflicting oracles in reinforcement learning.
method MAMBA uses a gradient estimator in the style of GAE to optimize policies, leveraging demonstrations from multiple weak oracles.
result MAMBA outperforms the state-of-the-art in learning policies competitive with multiple conflicting oracles.

We study the problem of interactively learning a binary classifier using noisy labeling and pairwise comparison oracles, where the comparison oracle answers which one in the given two instances is more likely to be positive. Learning from such oracles has multiple applications where obtaining direct labels is harder bu…

2017-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) uses past samples to update the \textit{sampling policy} qtq_t at each stage tt. Each stage tt is formed with two steps : (i) to explore the space with ntn_t points according to qtq_t and (ii) to exploit the current amount of information to update the sampling policy. The very funda…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method solves variational inequality problems with multiple constraints without needing optimal Lagrange multipliers.

problem Solving variational inequality problems with multiple functional constraints efficiently.
method Constrained Gradient Method (CGM) for Minty variational inequality problems.
result The Constrained Gradient Method achieves complexity similar to projection-based methods but with cheaper oracles.

In most classification tasks there are observations that are ambiguous and therefore difficult to correctly label. Set-valued classifiers output sets of plausible labels rather than a single label, thereby giving a more appropriate and informative treatment to the labeling of ambiguous instances. We introduce a framewo…

2016-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New oracle uses uncertainty for active classification with noisy feedback.

problem Improving query complexity in interactive binary classifier learning.
method Proposes a new pairwise comparison oracle that considers uncertainty and an adaptive labeling algorithm.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency compared to existing methods.

Quantum oracles help identify counterfactuals better than classical ones.

problem Identifying unknown causal parameters in causal models.
method Using quantum oracles to query and identify all causal parameters and counterfactuals.
result Quantum oracles enable identification of all two-way joint counterfactuals and tighter bounds on higher-order counterfactuals.