New GIC improves model selection for structured sparse models.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Improves industry classification for diversified companies.
Large language models learn company embeddings from SEC filings.
Inverse classification is the process of perturbing an instance in a meaningful way such that it is more likely to conform to a specific class. Historical methods that address such a problem are often framed to leverage only a single classifier, or specific set of classifiers. These works are often accompanied by naive…
We introduce a computationally effective algorithm for a linear model selection consisting of three steps: screening--ordering--selection (SOS). Screening of predictors is based on the thresholded Lasso that is l_1 penalized least squares. The screened predictors are then fitted using least squares (LS) and ordered wit…
In this paper, we consider the pricing of derivative products that involve dynamic hedging strategies and payments within the planning horizon. Equity-indexed annuities (EIAs), Guaranteed investment certificate (GIC), American and Barrier options are typical examples of these products. Our exploration involves evaluati…
Paper proposes a closed-form formula for geometric Istanbul call options.
Develops MIS, a probabilistic model for multi-industry classification.
Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized likelihood metric, where the penalty is determined by the criterion adopted. Wh…
Learning representation on graph plays a crucial role in numerous tasks of pattern recognition. Different from grid-shaped images/videos, on which local convolution kernels can be lattices, however, graphs are fully coordinate-free on vertices and edges. In this work, we propose a Gaussian-induced convolution (GIC) fra…
In the high-dimensional regression model a response variable is linearly related to covariates, but the sample size is smaller than . We assume that only a small subset of covariates is `active' (i.e., the corresponding coefficients are non-zero), and consider the model-selection problem of identifying the a…
Determining how to appropriately select the tuning parameter is essential in penalized likelihood methods for high-dimensional data analysis. We examine this problem in the setting of penalized likelihood methods for generalized linear models, where the dimensionality of covariates p is allowed to increase exponentiall…
Graph InfoClust learns node representations by capturing cluster-level information, improving graph mining tasks.
Market sectors play a key role in the efficient flow of capital through the modern Global economy. We analyze existing sectorization heuristics, and observe that the most popular - the GICS (which informs the S&P 500), and the NAICS (published by the U.S. Government) - are not entirely quantitatively driven, but rather…
The study distills news sources to analyze stock reactions, finding sentiment has asymmetric and sector-specific effects.
Study finds price-based clustering outperforms AI and human methods in stock market analysis.
In this paper, we apply tools from the random matrix theory (RMT) to estimates of correlations across volatility of various assets in the S&P 500. The volatility inputs are estimated by modeling price fluctuations as GARCH(1,1) process. The corresponding correlation matrix is constructed. It is found that the distribut…
Financial markets have been extensively studied as highly complex evolving systems. In this paper, we quantify financial price fluctuations through a coupled dynamical system composed of phase oscillators. We find a Financial Coherence and Incoherence (FCI) coexistence collective behavior emerges as the system evolves …
We present a novel algorithm that predicts the probability that the time derivative of the horizontal component of the ground magnetic field exceeds a specified threshold at a given location. This quantity provides important information that is physically relevant to Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GIC), whic…
This paper considers a portfolio trading strategy formulated by algorithms in the field of machine learning. The profitability of the strategy is measured by the algorithm's capability to consistently and accurately identify stock indices with positive or negative returns, and to generate a preferred portfolio allocati…
New algorithm reduces high-dimensional data processing costs and achieves true sparsity.
Co-trading networks reveal dynamic market structures and improve covariance estimation.
FinReflectKG benchmarks financial QA by linking relevant context from a financial KG, improving model performance and efficiency.