DEUA detects diffusion-generated images by accounting for different types of uncertainty.
problem Detecting generated images with varying aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
method DEUA framework using Laplace approximation for DEU estimation and asymmetric loss function.
result DEUA achieves state-of-the-art performance on large-scale benchmarks.
Paper tackles uncertainty prediction for deep sequential regression.
problem Challenges in generating accurate uncertainty estimates for deep recurrent networks.
method Flexible method that generates symmetric and asymmetric uncertainty estimates without stationarity assumptions.
result Outperforms competitive baselines on both drift and non-drift scenarios.
This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks. We argue that this asymmetric network structure extracted from call and put tra…
DeepLR constructs confidence intervals for neural networks with asymmetric expansions.
problem Uncertainty estimation for neural network predictions.
method Likelihood-ratio-based approach for constructing asymmetric confidence intervals.
result DeepLR offers asymmetric intervals expanding in regions with limited data.
We present an extension of Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) that strongly increases its efficiency for trees with asymmetry and/or loops. Asymmetric termination of search trees introduces a type of uncertainty for which the standard upper confidence bound (UCB) formula does not account. Our first algorithm (MCTS-T), whic…
We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent α having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of α on the expectation and higher moments of the random variable. For instance, the moments of a right-tailed or right-asymmetric varia…
Proposes a flexible deep learning model for complex distributions.
problem Complex shapes, strong skews, and multiple modes in output variable distributions.
method Uncountable Mixture of Asymmetric Laplacians (UMAL) deep learning framework.
result UMAL can estimate heterogeneous distributions without strong assumptions.
We analyze total, asymmetric and frequency connectedness between oil and forex markets using high-frequency, intra-day data over the period 2007 -- 2017. By employing variance decompositions and their spectral representation in combination with realized semivariances to account for asymmetric and frequency connectednes…
The study examines tail dependence between global economic uncertainty and BRICS currencies using high-frequency data.
problem Understanding the tail dependence between exchange rates and economic uncertainty.
method Daily Twitter Uncertainty Index and BRICS exchange rates analyzed using time-varying copula framework.
result Indian, Russian, and South African currencies exhibit elliptical copulas, while Brazilian and Chinese currencies show upward trending tail dependence.
Proposes a neural network for estimating traffic density uncertainty.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep learning traffic prediction models.
method Quantile Graph Wavenet, a Spatio-Temporal neural network trained to estimate density.
result Produces uncertainty estimates efficiently without sampling.
This paper analyzes ETFs with Taiwan exposure, finding heavy tails and asymmetric volatility.
problem Heavy tails and asymmetric volatility in Taiwan-related ETFs.
method Tail-risk diagnostics, asymmetric volatility modeling, and portfolio optimization under mean--variance and CVaR criteria.
result CVaR optimization produces more concentrated allocations, favoring SMH during the post-COVID AI-driven expansion.
Paper identifies problematic baselines in Shapley value explanations and proposes a reweighting mechanism.
problem Identifying and addressing the suboptimality of baselines in Shapley value feature importance analysis.
method Analyzed suboptimality of baselines, identified problematic baseline, generalized uninformativeness, and designed a reweighting mechanism.
result Proposed uncertainty-based reweighting mechanism effectively accelerates computation and improves explanation quality.
A new method decomposes Bayesian uncertainty into per-class contributions for safer classification.
problem Bayesian uncertainty metrics fail to distinguish between safe and critical classes in safety-critical classification tasks.
method Decomposes mutual information into per-class contributions using a second-order Taylor expansion and a weighting correction.
result The per-class uncertainty vector Ck reduces selective risk and improves out-of-distribution detection compared to traditional metrics. Decomposes epistemic uncertainty into per-class contributions for safer classification.
problem Asymmetric costs in safety-critical classification.
method Decomposes mutual information into per-class vector Ck using second-order Taylor expansion. result Decomposition improves selective risk by 34.7% and 56.2% over existing metrics.
The paper introduces new portfolio rules beyond mean-variance, addressing asymmetry and uncertainty.
problem Optimizing portfolios with asymmetric returns and uncertainty in expected returns.
method Derives allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed returns and random normal expected returns. Addresses singular covariance matrices and uncertainty in returns.
result Optimal worst-case scenario solution provides a convex alternative to risk parity, improving portfolio stability.
The ACCRU framework improves probabilistic forecasts by capturing input-dependent uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in deterministic predictions, especially for skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
method Neural network trained with a loss function balancing accuracy and reliability to learn input-dependent, non-Gaussian uncertainty distributions.
result Improves probabilistic forecasts relative to existing methods, capturing skewed and non-Gaussian errors.
In an economy with asymmetric information, the smart contract in the blockchain protocol mitigates uncertainty. Since, as a new trading platform, the blockchain triggers segmentation of market and differentiation of agents in both the sell and buy sides of the market, it recomposes the asymmetric information and genera…
INNs produce interval-valued uncertainty scores for DNNs.
problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Data-driven interval propagating network using interval arithmetic.
result INNs produce sensible lower and upper bounds for prediction error.
Novel model improves clinical risk prediction by transferring knowledge between tasks over time.
problem Negative transfer in multi-task learning for clinical risk prediction.
method Temporal Probabilistic Asymmetric Multi-Task Learning (TPAMTL).
result Significantly outperforms various deep learning models for time-series prediction.
The paper bounds solutions to complex optimization problems with uncertain data.
problem Distributionally robust optimization problems with multivariate uncertainty sets.
method Conditions and bounds derived for multivariate and univariate Wasserstein distances, Bregman-Wasserstein divergences, and signed Choquet integrals.
result Computable lower and upper bounds for DRO problems, derived from scalar-valued aggregation functions and Wasserstein distances.
Study of geometric analysis on asymmetric metric spaces, including heat flow and Sobolev spaces.
problem Analysis of geometric properties on asymmetric metric measure spaces.
method Introduction of upper gradients, q-Laplacian, and q-heat flow in asymmetric settings. result Extension of concepts from symmetric to asymmetric metric measure spaces.
A new asymmetric correntropy method improves robust adaptive filtering for asymmetric error distributions.
problem Inadequate handling of asymmetric error distributions in adaptive filtering.
method Proposes asymmetric correntropy using an asymmetric Gaussian kernel and develops a robust adaptive filtering algorithm.
result The proposed algorithm shows better steady-state convergence performance for asymmetric error distributions.
The article improves GP interpolation calibration using conformal prediction.
problem GP interpolation often produces poorly calibrated prediction intervals.
method Integrates conformal prediction with Gaussian process models.
result CP methods enhance prediction interval calibration without sacrificing accuracy.
Sparse Gaussian process quantile regression tackles computational challenges in Bayesian quantile regression.
problem Nonconjugacy and computational cost in Gaussian process quantile regression.
method Sparse Gaussian process framework with Laplace approximation, adaptive inducing-input placement, and sequential data acquisition.
result Accuracy of Laplace approximation and effectiveness of adaptive mechanisms in reducing predictive uncertainty.
New metrics for Anosov representations defined from Thurston's asymmetric metrics.
problem Defining metrics for Anosov representations.
method Generalizing Thurston's asymmetric metric to Anosov representations.
result Provides a (possibly asymmetric) Finsler distance in some cases.
A new method for semi-supervised learning with missing data using GMM and margin confidence.
problem Handling missing data in semi-supervised learning with classification uncertainty.
method Explicitly models missingness mechanism, uses margin confidence and Aranda Ordaz function, develops ECM algorithm.
result Effective reduction of bias and robustness in semi-supervised learning with substantial missing labels.
Generalizes Thurston's asymmetric metric to flat metrics.
problem Defining an asymmetric metric on flat metrics.
method Defined an asymmetric metric on the space of unit-area flat metrics.
result Discussed two different topologies from the asymmetry.
This study examines asymmetric cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets using fractal analysis.
problem Exploring asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets.
method Fractal analysis and MF-ADCCA method to investigate asymmetric volatility dynamics.
result Cross-correlations are stronger in downtrend markets than in uptrend markets for maturing BTC and ETH.
Theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of precise theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
method Adapting a finite-time convergence analysis to the asymmetric actor-critic setting with linear function approximators.
result A finite-time bound reveals that the asymmetric critic eliminates aliasing errors in the agent state.
This work presents deep asymmetric networks with a set of node-wise variant activation functions. The nodes' sensitivities are affected by activation function selections such that the nodes with smaller indices become increasingly more sensitive. As a result, features learned by the nodes are sorted by the node indices…
We consider the problem of designing locality sensitive hashes (LSH) for inner product similarity, and of the power of asymmetric hashes in this context. Shrivastava and Li argue that there is no symmetric LSH for the problem and propose an asymmetric LSH based on different mappings for query and database points. Howev…
Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in financial markets. Yet, the large literature studying information transmission mechanisms ignores the fact that bad and good volatility may spill over at different magnitudes. This paper fills this gap…
New asymmetric kernel methods improve feature learning.
problem Improving feature learning with asymmetric kernels.
method Coupled covariance eigenproblem and Nyström method.
result Empirical evaluations show benefits of KSVD.
The article confirms two quasi-alternating surgeries for 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
problem Understanding quasi-alternating surgeries on asymmetric L-space knots.
method Using the Montesinos trick to confirm known surgeries.
result Confirmation of two quasi-alternating surgeries for each of 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
The paper improves asymmetric causality tests by addressing inefficiencies and statistical significance issues.
problem Inefficiencies and statistical significance issues in asymmetric causality tests.
method Improved asymmetric causality tests via partial cumulative sums for positive and negative components, explicitly testing differences between causal parameters.
result Efficiently tested hypotheses on asymmetric causal interaction between financial markets.
Asymmetric expansion preserves convexity in hyperbolic geometry.
problem Maintaining convexity in hyperbolic geometry under asymmetric expansions.
method Generalizing earlier results on radial expansion to asymmetric expansion.
result Asymmetric expansion of hyperbolic convex sets remains convex.
We propose Deep Asymmetric Multitask Feature Learning (Deep-AMTFL) which can learn deep representations shared across multiple tasks while effectively preventing negative transfer that may happen in the feature sharing process. Specifically, we introduce an asymmetric autoencoder term that allows reliable predictors fo…
In this paper we show how the study of asymmetric R&D alliances, that are those between young and small firms and large and MNEs firms for knowledge exploration and/or exploitation, requires the adoption of a coopetitive framework which consider both collaboration and competition. We draw upon the literature on asymmet…
Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.
problem Designing optimal insurance contracts under asymmetric information and risk types.
method Constructing a menu of contracts that maximizes mean-variance utilities, subject to truth-telling constraints.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, inducing self-selection.
Bayesian VI copula models capture asymmetric intraday equity dependence.
problem Modeling asymmetric and extreme tail dependence in financial data.
method Bayesian variational inference for skew-t copula models in high dimensions.
result The copula captures substantial heterogeneity in asymmetric dependence over equity pairs and time.
This work describes compactifications of metric spaces and vector spaces using asymmetric norms.
problem Compactifying metric spaces and vector spaces using asymmetric norms.
method Nonstandard methods, ultrapowers of the spaces at hand.
result Polyhedral compactifications of vector spaces with stratified structure.
The paper presents a method for generating well-calibrated prediction intervals using quality-driven deep ensembles.
problem Generating reliable prediction intervals for regression analysis.
method A multi-objective loss function combining quality measures for prediction intervals and point estimates, with a penalty function to ensure semantic integrity and stability.
result The method produces well-calibrated prediction intervals and point estimates, capturing both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
Extends multidimensional scaling to analyze three-way asymmetric proximities.
problem Analyzing asymmetric and three-way proximities in a Euclidean space.
method Unified h-plot methodology for three-way asymmetric proximities, including symmetric and conditional frameworks.
result Identification of archetypal profiles and clustering structures.
Extends metric to Margulis spacetimes for convex properties.
problem No specific problem stated; extends metric.
method Extends Thurston's asymmetric metric to Margulis spacetimes and proves convex properties.
result Established convex properties of the extended metric.
This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to create generalized asymmetric versions of the Laplace and normal distributions, whic…
Framework for robust control under model uncertainty, improving financial derivatives hedging.
problem Model uncertainty in financial derivatives hedging.
method Dynamic programming principle for solving one-step optimization problems.
result Robust hedging strategy outperforms model-based strategies during adverse scenarios.
Enhances reinforcement learning with partial state information.
problem Improving learning under partial observability with limited privileged signals.
method Introduced informed asymmetric actor-critic framework that uses arbitrary state-dependent privileged signals.
result Unbiased policy gradient estimates with arbitrary privileged signals.
A new method for self-attention models that improves uncertainty estimation.
problem Overconfident predictions and lack of calibrated uncertainty in Transformers.
method Kernel-Eigen Pair Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes (KEP-SVGP) with Kernel SVD (KSVD) to handle asymmetry of attention kernels.
result Reduction in time complexity and improved performance on various benchmarks.