Proposes a method to generate prediction intervals using weighted asymmetric loss functions.
problem Generating reliable prediction intervals for neural network models.
method Uses a weighted asymmetric loss function to estimate prediction intervals.
result The method produces reliable prediction intervals in complex machine learning scenarios.
DeepLR constructs confidence intervals for neural networks with asymmetric expansions.
problem Uncertainty estimation for neural network predictions.
method Likelihood-ratio-based approach for constructing asymmetric confidence intervals.
result DeepLR offers asymmetric intervals expanding in regions with limited data.
A new UCB policy improves reward-cost ratio estimation in budgeted MAB.
problem Maximizing reward-cost ratio under budget constraints.
method ω-UCB policy with asymmetric confidence intervals.
result Logarithmic regret and superior performance in various settings.
RQR improves prediction intervals for skewed data.
problem Invalid prediction intervals for skewed noise.
method Relaxed Quantile Regression (RQR) for asymmetric noise.
result Improved prediction intervals with desirable qualities.
Study improves confidence measures in medical imaging pipelines by addressing bias.
problem Bias in metric-based imaging pipelines compromises the efficiency of prediction intervals.
method Formalized symmetric and asymmetric CP formulations, analyzed bias effects, and validated empirically.
result Symmetric intervals are inflated by bias, while asymmetric intervals remain unaffected.
Prediction intervals are a valuable way of quantifying uncertainty in regression problems. Good prediction intervals should be both correct, containing the actual value between the lower and upper bound at least a target percentage of the time; and tight, having a small mean width of the bounds. Many prior techniques f…
The paper presents a method for generating well-calibrated prediction intervals using quality-driven deep ensembles.
problem Generating reliable prediction intervals for regression analysis.
method A multi-objective loss function combining quality measures for prediction intervals and point estimates, with a penalty function to ensure semantic integrity and stability.
result The method produces well-calibrated prediction intervals and point estimates, capturing both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
INNs produce interval-valued uncertainty scores for DNNs.
problem Uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
method Data-driven interval propagating network using interval arithmetic.
result INNs produce sensible lower and upper bounds for prediction error.
Skew-adaptive method improves prediction intervals for regression.
problem Improving prediction intervals for regression models, especially in cases of skewness and varying scales.
method Develops a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction using an asymmetric interval family and gauge approach.
result Preserves marginal validity and adapts to local scale and skewness, with efficiency gains over existing methods.
This paper develops a new methodology for studying continuous-time Nash equilibrium in a financial market with asymmetrically informed agents. This approach allows us to lift the restriction of risk neutrality imposed on market makers by the current literature. It turns out that, when the market makers are risk averse,…
The paper studies curves in Finsler-like spaces and their properties.
problem Investigating properties of curves in asymmetric metric spaces induced by Finsler structures.
method Analyzes three types of absolutely continuous curves in Finsler-like spaces and establishes the Lisini structure theorem.
result Characterizes the nature of absolutely continuous curves in terms of dynamical transference plans.
The article improves GP interpolation calibration using conformal prediction.
problem GP interpolation often produces poorly calibrated prediction intervals.
method Integrates conformal prediction with Gaussian process models.
result CP methods enhance prediction interval calibration without sacrificing accuracy.
The study improves VaR forecast accuracy by modeling conditional quantile dynamics.
problem Improving the accuracy of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts for time-varying quantiles.
method Time-varying modeling of VaR, evaluation via simulation, asymmetric Mean Absolute Deviation loss function.
result Substantial improvements in forecasting conditional quantiles by maintaining predicted quantile unchanged.
Optimizes data splitting for shorter conformal prediction intervals.
problem Minimizing prediction interval length while maintaining coverage.
method Theoretical framework for optimal data splitting in split conformal prediction.
result Analytical characterizations of length-optimal split ratios in various settings.
The paper develops a new framework for managing asymmetric volatility.
problem Managing asymmetric volatility to improve recovery and participation.
method Path-dependent framework for asymmetric volatility management.
result Skew engineering reduces harmful downside participation more than productive upside participation.
New method finds rare dense clusters in asymmetric binary perceptrons, resolving algorithmic hardness.
problem Resolving algorithmic hardness in asymmetric binary perceptrons.
method Fully lifted random duality theory (fl RDT) and large deviation upgrade (sfl LD RDT).
result Local entropy breaks down for constraint densities in (0.77, 0.78) interval, matching current solver limits.
Study of geometric analysis on asymmetric metric spaces, including heat flow and Sobolev spaces.
problem Analysis of geometric properties on asymmetric metric measure spaces.
method Introduction of upper gradients, q-Laplacian, and q-heat flow in asymmetric settings. result Extension of concepts from symmetric to asymmetric metric measure spaces.
It has been suggested that marked point processes might be good candidates for the modelling of financial high-frequency data. A special class of point processes, Hawkes processes, has been the subject of various investigations in the financial community. In this paper, we propose to enhance a basic zero-intelligence o…
Trading affects grid frequency fluctuations, making them more extreme.
problem Impact of trading on grid frequency stability.
method Analysis of frequency time series from 2011 and 2017.
result Trading modifies frequency fluctuation statistics, making large deviations more likely.
New metrics for Anosov representations defined from Thurston's asymmetric metrics.
problem Defining metrics for Anosov representations.
method Generalizing Thurston's asymmetric metric to Anosov representations.
result Provides a (possibly asymmetric) Finsler distance in some cases.
Generalizes Thurston's asymmetric metric to flat metrics.
problem Defining an asymmetric metric on flat metrics.
method Defined an asymmetric metric on the space of unit-area flat metrics.
result Discussed two different topologies from the asymmetry.
This study examines asymmetric cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets using fractal analysis.
problem Exploring asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets.
method Fractal analysis and MF-ADCCA method to investigate asymmetric volatility dynamics.
result Cross-correlations are stronger in downtrend markets than in uptrend markets for maturing BTC and ETH.
Theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of precise theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
method Adapting a finite-time convergence analysis to the asymmetric actor-critic setting with linear function approximators.
result A finite-time bound reveals that the asymmetric critic eliminates aliasing errors in the agent state.
This work presents deep asymmetric networks with a set of node-wise variant activation functions. The nodes' sensitivities are affected by activation function selections such that the nodes with smaller indices become increasingly more sensitive. As a result, features learned by the nodes are sorted by the node indices…
We consider the problem of designing locality sensitive hashes (LSH) for inner product similarity, and of the power of asymmetric hashes in this context. Shrivastava and Li argue that there is no symmetric LSH for the problem and propose an asymmetric LSH based on different mappings for query and database points. Howev…
New asymmetric kernel methods improve feature learning.
problem Improving feature learning with asymmetric kernels.
method Coupled covariance eigenproblem and Nyström method.
result Empirical evaluations show benefits of KSVD.
The article confirms two quasi-alternating surgeries for 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
problem Understanding quasi-alternating surgeries on asymmetric L-space knots.
method Using the Montesinos trick to confirm known surgeries.
result Confirmation of two quasi-alternating surgeries for each of 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
The paper improves asymmetric causality tests by addressing inefficiencies and statistical significance issues.
problem Inefficiencies and statistical significance issues in asymmetric causality tests.
method Improved asymmetric causality tests via partial cumulative sums for positive and negative components, explicitly testing differences between causal parameters.
result Efficiently tested hypotheses on asymmetric causal interaction between financial markets.
We propose Deep Asymmetric Multitask Feature Learning (Deep-AMTFL) which can learn deep representations shared across multiple tasks while effectively preventing negative transfer that may happen in the feature sharing process. Specifically, we introduce an asymmetric autoencoder term that allows reliable predictors fo…
In this paper we show how the study of asymmetric R&D alliances, that are those between young and small firms and large and MNEs firms for knowledge exploration and/or exploitation, requires the adoption of a coopetitive framework which consider both collaboration and competition. We draw upon the literature on asymmet…
A new method for designing accurate emulators using deep learning with interval calibration.
problem Designing accurate emulators for scientific processes with modern machine learning methods.
method Learn-by-Calibrating (LbC) approach based on interval calibration.
result Significant improvements in generalization error over widely-used loss functions.
An L-space is a rational homology 3-sphere with minimal Heegaard Floer homology. We give the first examples of hyperbolic L-spaces with no symmetries. In particular, unlike all previously known L-spaces, these manifolds are not double branched covers of links in S^3. We prove the existence of infinitely many such examp…
Bayesian VI copula models capture asymmetric intraday equity dependence.
problem Modeling asymmetric and extreme tail dependence in financial data.
method Bayesian variational inference for skew-t copula models in high dimensions.
result The copula captures substantial heterogeneity in asymmetric dependence over equity pairs and time.
Extends multidimensional scaling to analyze three-way asymmetric proximities.
problem Analyzing asymmetric and three-way proximities in a Euclidean space.
method Unified h-plot methodology for three-way asymmetric proximities, including symmetric and conditional frameworks.
result Identification of archetypal profiles and clustering structures.
Extends metric to Margulis spacetimes for convex properties.
problem No specific problem stated; extends metric.
method Extends Thurston's asymmetric metric to Margulis spacetimes and proves convex properties.
result Established convex properties of the extended metric.
In recent years, correntropy has been seccessfully applied to robust adaptive filtering to eliminate adverse effects of impulsive noises or outliers. Correntropy is generally defined as the expectation of a Gaussian kernel between two random variables. This definition is reasonable when the error between the two random…
This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to create generalized asymmetric versions of the Laplace and normal distributions, whic…
Study smooths Finsler structures on Lie groups, proving extremal convergence.
problem Smooth left-invariant strongly convex C0-Finsler structures on Lie groups. method Introduce mollifier smoothing, study extremals using Pontryagin maximum principle.
result Pontryagin extremals on smoothed Finsler structures converge uniformly to those on original structure.
Enhances reinforcement learning with partial state information.
problem Improving learning under partial observability with limited privileged signals.
method Introduced informed asymmetric actor-critic framework that uses arbitrary state-dependent privileged signals.
result Unbiased policy gradient estimates with arbitrary privileged signals.
This paper studies gradient flows in asymmetric metric spaces and proves existence results.
problem Investigating gradient flows in asymmetric metric spaces.
method Discrete approximation and natural convexity assumption on potential function.
result Existence of curves of maximal slope in asymmetric metric spaces.
Paper defines saddle points in asymmetric Dynkin games using martingale theory.
problem Tackles saddle point conditions in asymmetric Dynkin games with partial information.
method Uses martingale theory to identify super and submartingales related to equilibrium payoffs.
result Characterizes saddle point strategies in terms of equilibrium payoffs' dynamics and Doob-Meyer decompositions.
Proposes a neural network for estimating traffic density uncertainty.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep learning traffic prediction models.
method Quantile Graph Wavenet, a Spatio-Temporal neural network trained to estimate density.
result Produces uncertainty estimates efficiently without sampling.
Study uncovers new phase transitions in asymmetric causal inference scenarios.
problem Understanding typical phase transitions in asymmetric causal inference.
method Combining Causal inference (C-inf) and Low-rank recovery (LRR) with Random duality - Free probability theory (RDT-FPT).
result Discovering a doubling low-rankness phenomenon in asymmetric scenarios.
Modified asymmetric hidden Markov models for time series with autoregressive components.
problem Dynamic relationships between variables in time series data.
method Introducing an asymmetric autoregressive component to recent asymmetric hidden Markov models.
result The model can choose the optimal autoregressive order for better likelihood.
Mixtures of multivariate contaminated shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions are developed for handling asymmetric clusters in the presence of outliers (also referred to as bad points herein). In addition to the parameters of the related non-contaminated mixture, for each (asymmetric) cluster, our model has one param…
In this paper, we propose a novel asymmetric ε-insensitive pinball loss function for quantile estimation. There exists some pinball loss functions which attempt to incorporate the ε-insensitive zone approach in it but, they fail to extend the ε-insensitive approach for quantile estimation in true sense. The propo…
Study proves value of non-Markovian games with partial, asymmetric info.
problem Value of non-Markovian Dynkin games with partial and asymmetric information.
method Probabilistic and functional analytic approach based on Sion's min-max theorem.
result Existence of optimal strategies for both players in randomised stopping times.
We highlight several analogies between the Finsler (infinitesimal) properties of Teichmüller's metric and Thurston's asymmetric metric on Teichmüller space. Thurston defined his asymmetric metric in analogy with Teichmüllers' metric, as a solution to an extremal problem, which consists, in the case of the asymmetric me…