Novel framework improves wind power forecasts by bundling assets and using machine learning.
problem Inaccurate forecasts of intermittent renewable generation, especially wind power.
method Bundle-Predict-Reconcile (BPR) framework integrating asset bundling, machine learning, and forecast reconciliation.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy, especially at the fleet level.
Geometric Arbitrage Theory reformulates a generic asset model possibly allowing for arbitrage by packaging all assets and their forwards dynamics into a stochastic principal fibre bundle, with a connection whose parallel transport encodes discounting and portfolio rebalancing, and whose curvature measures, in this geom…
Geometric arbitrage theory reformulates a generic asset model possibly allowing for arbitrage by packaging all asset and their forward dynamics into a stochastic principal fibre bundle, with a connection whose parallel transport encodes discounting and portfolio rebalancing, and whose curvature measures, in this geomet…
Valuation of Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) has become an important field as its calculation is required in Basel III, issued in 2010, in the wake of the credit crisis. Exposure, which is defined as the potential future loss of a default event without any recovery, is one of the key elementsfor pricing CVA. This pap…
This paper solves optimal market making for multiple goods, including bundling, under adverse selection.
problem Designing optimal market making mechanisms for multiple goods and adverse selection.
method Formulated as an optimal transport problem with geometric constraints, using differentiable economics.
result Optimal market making mechanisms can exploit bundling to improve prices and accept payments in kind.
Paper explores asset pricing dynamics in Bachelier model.
problem Understanding risky asset price dynamics in Bachelier model.
method Analyzes Bachelier market model to represent risky asset price dynamics.
result Defines riskless assets within the Bachelier model.
We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show that it is possible to: --Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle. --Parameterize arbitrage strategies by its holonomy. --Give the Fundamental Theorem of Asset …
Enhances portfolio construction with tailored regime forecasts for individual assets.
problem Traditional portfolio construction methods fail to account for asset-specific market conditions.
method Hybrid framework combining unsupervised and supervised learning for regime identification and forecasting.
result Outperforms traditional portfolio models across various asset classes.
Predicts financial asset dependencies using spatiotemporal patterns.
problem Complex dependency structures in financial assets for risk mitigation.
method Proposes Asset Dependency Matrix (ADM) and Asset Dependency Neural Network (ADNN) with ConvLSTM for spatiotemporal asset dependency prediction.
result ADNN outperforms baselines in predicting asset dependencies and their applications.
IDA makes DFMM's asset tradeable, enhancing cross-chain finance efficiency.
problem Making DFMM's asset tradeable to improve cross-chain finance efficiency.
method Introducing IDA as a tradeable asset, leveraging DFMM's robust liquidity and dynamic AMM.
result IDA enhances cross-chain finance efficiency through tradeable asset and dynamic AMM.
Investors prioritize ESG in crypto-assets, showing higher exposure than traditional assets.
problem Understanding ESG preferences in crypto-assets and their investment behavior.
method A representative household finance survey in Austria to examine ESG preferences and crypto-investment exposure.
result ESG-conscious investors have higher exposure to crypto-assets compared to traditional asset classes.
How to price and hedge claims on nontraded assets are becoming increasingly important matters in option pricing theory today. The most common practice to deal with these issues is to use another similar or "closely related" asset or index which is traded, for hedging purposes. Implicitly, traders assume here that the h…
New heuristic selects fewer assets for efficient portfolios, reducing costs.
problem High transaction costs and fees from including many assets in portfolios.
method Surrogate formulation to select assets, re-optimizes portfolio with fewer assets.
result Effective in constructing portfolios with fewer assets, reducing costs.
Study examines hedging options on asset portfolios against one underlying asset with transaction costs.
problem Hedging options on asset portfolios when one underlying asset is expensive to trade.
method Simulated data analysis with varying trading intervals, correlation coefficients, and transaction costs.
result Trading the wrong asset can be beneficial when correlation is high and transaction costs are low.
In power systems, an asset class is a group of power equipment that has the same function and shares similar electrical or mechanical characteristics. Predicting failures for different asset classes is critical for electric utilities towards developing cost-effective asset management strategies. Previously, physical ag…
Dynamic model considers private asset markets' complexities.
problem Understanding and optimizing private asset allocation.
method State-of-the-art dynamic model with machine learning.
result Optimal investment policies quantified over fund life.
Enhanced synthetic dataset improves asset allocation analysis.
problem Lack of realistic synthetic data for fixed income portfolio construction.
method Improved CorrGAN model for synthetic correlation matrices and Encoder-Decoder model for additional data conditioning.
result Synthetic dataset enhances portfolio construction and asset allocation analysis.
We consider a portfolio allocation problem for trend following (TF) strategies on multiple correlated assets. Under simplifying assumptions of a Gaussian market and linear TF strategies, we derive analytical formulas for the mean and variance of the portfolio return. We construct then the optimal portfolio that maximiz…
Paper studies estimating asset correlations across sectors.
problem Estimating correlations between different asset sectors.
method Separates cross-sectional and time dimensions for estimation.
result Developed method for better asset correlation estimation.
Develops a dynamic latent-factor model for high-dimensional asset characteristics.
problem Estimating asset pricing tests with high-dimensional data.
method Dynamic latent-factor model with Double Selection Lasso regularization.
result The inflation-mimicking portfolio in the crypto asset class has positive risk compensation.
Efficient method for pricing multi-asset options with local volatility.
problem Pricing options on multiple assets with varying volatility.
method Generic hybrid numerical method for efficient pricing.
result Efficient pricing of multi-asset options with local volatility.
Game theory model shows optimal investment strategy for wealth growth.
problem Minimizing time to reach large wealth in a stochastic asset market.
method Proved strategy of proportional asset investment minimizes expected time.
result Proportional investment strategy asymptotically minimizes time to large wealth.
Research proposes a model to estimate transaction costs and assess asset liquidity risk.
problem Lack of standardized models for asset liquidity risk in asset management.
method Develops a market impact model and a two-regime model based on power-law property.
result Defines liquidity measures and applies model to stocks and bonds.
Given a new candidate asset represented as a time series of returns, how should a quantitative investment manager be thinking about assessing its usefulness? This is a key qualitative question inherent to the investment process which we aim to make precise. We argue that the usefulness of an asset can only be determine…
Clusters of highly correlated stocks are identified for better asset selection.
problem Identifying a small set of stocks to approximate the diversification of the whole stock universe.
method Data-driven correlation blockmodel clustering approach.
result The algorithm effectively detects clusters of highly correlated stocks.
We propose a modelling framework for the optimal selection of crypto assets. Crypto assets differ by two essential features: security (technological) and stability (governance). Investors make choices over crypto assets similarly to how they make choices by using a recommender app: the app presents each investor with a…
Optimizes asset allocation with illiquid assets using MPC.
problem Strategic asset allocation with illiquid alternative asset classes.
method Formulates illiquid dynamics as a random linear system and proposes a convex optimization based MPC policy.
result Performance close to a fully liquid scenario, despite time delay and uncertainty.
This paper addresses AMMs for expiring assets, ensuring liquidity and risk management.
problem AMMs struggle with assets that expire, leading to liquidity issues and risk exposure.
method Combines AMM and limit-order book features, ensuring liveness and dynamic price adjustment.
result A DEX for expiring assets maintains liquidity and risk management.
A possible data source for the estimation of asset correlations is default time series. This study investigates the systematic error that is made if the exposure pool underlying a default time series is assumed to be homogeneous when in reality it is not. We find that the asset correlation will always be underestimated…
The paper revisits and applies FTAP to life insurance and annuities pricing.
problem Non-arbitrage pricing of life contingent assets in dynamic markets.
method Revisit FTAP, use martingale theory, apply FTAP to life insurance and annuities, clarify assumptions.
result Valuation formula for life contingent assets including life insurance policies and annuities.
We design an optimal strategy for investment in a portfolio of assets subject to a multiplicative Brownian motion. The strategy provides the maximal typical long-term growth rate of investor's capital. We determine the optimal fraction of capital that an investor should keep in risky assets as well as weights of differ…
Despite being described as a medium of exchange, cryptocurrencies do not have the typical attributes of a medium of exchange. Consequently, cryptocurrencies are more appropriately described as crypto assets. A common investment attribute shared by the more than 2,500 crypto assets is that they are highly volatile. An i…
Paper proposes a comprehensive taxonomy for crypto assets.
problem Lack of a holistic classification framework for crypto assets.
method Identified 14 attributes for classification, tested framework with cash and bitcoin.
result Proposes a structured classification framework for all types of assets.
New models reduce regional inequality by adjusting exchange range and asset distribution bias.
problem Reduction of regional inequality in economic systems.
method Proposed new asset exchange models with spatial exchange range and local support bias to adjust asset distribution and circulation rates.
result Achieved asset distribution from over-concentration to exponential and eventually normal, reducing Gini coefficient.
Investigates price dynamics of two assets with and without bubbles, deriving conditions for equilibrium prices.
problem Understanding price dynamics and bubbles in multi-asset markets.
method Derives sufficient and necessary conditions for average equilibrium price dynamics in a two-asset model.
result Assets with positive average dividends display hump-shaped bubbles, while those with constant fundamental values show misvaluation effects.
The CAPM's market returns are endogenously determined, affecting all assets' expected returns.
problem The standard CAPM's market return assumption is not endogenously consistent.
method Demonstrates the impact of endogenously determined market returns on asset returns and the range of feasible market returns.
result Expected returns are influenced by all assets' risks, and market returns are limited by asset distribution.
Quantum assets are priced using a new theorem, extending classical asset pricing.
problem Quantum properties in financial markets and assets.
method Developed a new definition of arbitrage for quantum assets and proved a quantum version of the first fundamental theorem of asset pricing.
result There exists a risk-free density operator under which all quantum assets are martingales if no arbitrage exists.
Develops a climate risk model for asset managers.
problem Climate-related risks affecting asset performance and productivity.
method Uses the Vasicek model with downward jumps to represent climate impacts on asset dynamics.
result Expected losses increase over time due to climate-related extreme events.
The study assesses music as an investment asset class using discounted cashflow models.
problem Quantifying the risk and return characteristics of music royalty assets.
method Fitting three discounted cashflow models to Royalty Exchange platform transactions and backtesting performance.
result Life of Rights music assets had risk and return characteristics comparable to stocks in the S\&P500 over 5 years.
Improved asset pricing using uncertainty-adjusted sorting in machine learning models.
problem Ignoring asset-specific estimation uncertainty in portfolio construction.
method Uncertainty-adjusted prediction bounds for sorting assets.
result Improves portfolio performance across various ML models and equity panels.
Improved price bounds for multi-asset derivatives using market option data.
problem Creating robust price bounds for multi-asset derivatives under market-implied dependence.
method Extracting inter-asset dependence information from market option prices and applying modified martingale optimal transport.
result Improved price bounds for multi-asset derivatives, demonstrating relevance and tractability.
Intuitively, the default risk of a single borrower is higher when her or his assets and debt are denominated in different currencies. Additionally, the default dependence of borrowers with assets and debt in different currencies should be stronger than in the one-currency case. By combining well-known models by Merton …
Study on asset price dynamics in OLG economies with and without a bubbly asset.
problem Analyzing asset price dynamics and optimality in OLG economies with an asset that yields dividends.
method Deriving conditions for three scenarios of equilibrium existence, providing a complete characterization of the equilibrium set, and investigating the relationship between asset price behaviors and optimality.
result A bubbly equilibrium exists if and only if the interest rate is lower than the population growth rate and the sum of per capita dividends is finite.
In this article we study a multi-asset version of the Merton investment and consumption problem with proportional transaction costs. In general it is difficult to make analytical progress towards a solution in such problems, but we specialise to a case where transaction costs are zero except for sales and purchases of …
The subject of this paper is an optimal consumption/optimal portfolio problem with transaction costs and with multiple risky assets. In our model the transaction costs take a special form in that transaction costs on purchases of one of the risky assets (the endowed asset) are infinite, and transaction costs involving …
The aim of this paper is to compare two asset allocation methods for a pension scheme during the decumulation phase in the simplified portfolio selection between a risky asset following a geometric Brownian motion and a riskless asset. The two asset allocation criteria are the ruin probability of the insurance company …
Algorithm ranks assets in fluctuating markets.
problem Ranking assets in nonstationary time series.
method Naive Bayes asset ranker that adjusts weights based on performance.
result Outperforms traditional methods and S&P 500 index.
Develops a novel framework for pricing variance swaps in multi-asset stochastic volatility models.
problem Pricing variance swaps in multi-asset stochastic volatility models.
method Determinant-based instantaneous generalized variance, Heston and BNS stochastic volatility frameworks.
result Analytical pricing expressions for multi-asset Heston and BNS formulations.