A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper studies the deviations of the regret in a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem. When the total number of plays n is known beforehand by the agent, Audibert et al. (2009) exhibit a policy such that with probability at least 1-1/n, the regret of the policy is of order log(n). They have also shown that such a …
Deployment of deep neural networks (DNNs) in safety- or security-critical systems requires provable guarantees on their correct behaviour. A common requirement is robustness to adversarial perturbations in a neighbourhood around an input. In this paper we focus on the L0 norm and aim to compute, for a trained DNN an…
The study introduces anytime learning schedules for large language models without fixed horizons.
problem Training large language models without knowing the total training horizon.
method Theoretical analysis and weight averaging to create anytime learning schedules.
result Theoretical and empirical evidence shows that weight averaging with simple step sizes can achieve comparable final loss to well-tuned cosine schedules.
The pioneer deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged to be deeper or wider for improving their accuracy in various applications of artificial intelligence. However, DNNs are often too heavy to deploy in practice, and it is often required to control their architectures dynamically given computing resource budget, i.e., …
We introduce a new sequential Monte Carlo algorithm we call the particle cascade. The particle cascade is an asynchronous, anytime alternative to traditional particle filtering algorithms. It uses no barrier synchronizations which leads to improved particle throughput and memory efficiency. It is an anytime algorithm i…
We introduce a novel incremental decision tree learning algorithm, Hoeffding Anytime Tree, that is statistically more efficient than the current state-of-the-art, Hoeffding Tree. We demonstrate that an implementation of Hoeffding Anytime Tree---"Extremely Fast Decision Tree", a minor modification to the MOA implementat…
We introduce an approximate search algorithm for fast maximum a posteriori probability estimation in probabilistic programs, which we call Bayesian ascent Monte Carlo (BaMC). Probabilistic programs represent probabilistic models with varying number of mutually dependent finite, countable, and continuous random variable…
CSA fills a gap in RLVR-trained LLM deployment by providing anytime-valid selective risk control.
problem Deployment of RLVR-trained LLMs in regulated organizations requires a safety certificate for every round without waiting for long-run averages.
method CSA uses a (test statistic, validity guarantee, deployment rule) framework to fill the gap, maintaining a Ville-type e-process per threshold on a Bonferroni grid.
result CSA provides the first anytime-valid selective risk control for RLVR-trained LLMs, matching the long-run average certification rate and satisfying pathwise validity and non-refusing deployment on every cell.
I introduce and analyse an anytime version of the Optimally Confident UCB (OCUCB) algorithm designed for minimising the cumulative regret in finite-armed stochastic bandits with subgaussian noise. The new algorithm is simple, intuitive (in hindsight) and comes with the strongest finite-time regret guarantees for a hori…
Recent seminal work at the intersection of deep neural networks practice and random matrix theory has linked the convergence speed and robustness of these networks with the combination of random weight initialization and nonlinear activation function in use. Building on those principles, we introduce a process to trans…
Belief Propagation has been widely used for marginal inference, however it is slow on problems with large-domain variables and high-order factors. Previous work provides useful approximations to facilitate inference on such models, but lacks important anytime properties such as: 1) providing accurate and consistent mar…
Transfer learning techniques have been widely used in the reality that it is difficult to obtain sufficient labeled data in the target domain, but a large amount of auxiliary data can be obtained in the relevant source domain. But most of the existing methods are based on offline data. In practical applications, it is …
Develops an anytime-valid framework for optimal policy identification from logged contextual bandit data.
problem Selecting the optimal policy from a candidate policy class while monitoring evidence continuously.
method Constructs a time-indexed set that retains the true optimal policy set uniformly over time.
result The procedure allows the analyst to monitor policy values, eliminate clearly suboptimal policies, and stop at data-dependent times without invalidating inference.
An online reinforcement learning algorithm is anytime if it does not need to know in advance the horizon T of the experiment. A well-known technique to obtain an anytime algorithm from any non-anytime algorithm is the "Doubling Trick". In the context of adversarial or stochastic multi-armed bandits, the performance of …
The paper shows optimal robustness against adversarial corruption in sequential decision-making problems.
problem Optimal robustness to adversarial corruption in online decision-making problems.
method Investigates prediction with expert advice and multi-armed bandit problems, focusing on algorithms with decreasing learning rates and second-order regret bounds.
result Optimal robustness can be expressed by a square-root dependency on the amount of corruption, achieving O(ΔlogN+ΔClogN)-regret.
Modern deep learning methods are very sensitive to many hyperparameters, and, due to the long training times of state-of-the-art models, vanilla Bayesian hyperparameter optimization is typically computationally infeasible. On the other hand, bandit-based configuration evaluation approaches based on random search lack g…
This paper presents a new anytime algorithm for the marginal MAP problem in graphical models. The algorithm is described in detail, its complexity and convergence rate are studied, and relations to previous theoretical results for the problem are discussed. It is shown that the algorithm runs in polynomial-time if the …
We propose a new anytime hierarchical clustering method that iteratively transforms an arbitrary initial hierarchy on the configuration of measurements along a sequence of trees we prove for a fixed data set must terminate in a chain of nested partitions that satisfies a natural homogeneity requirement. Each recursive …
HATT improves online decision tree ensembles by using a more eager splitting strategy.
problem Improving the efficiency of online decision tree ensembles.
method Replacing Hoeffding Tree's split strategy with HATT, which uses the Hoeffding Test for candidate splits.
result HATT outperforms Hoeffding Tree in online bagging and boosting ensembles, as shown by significant performance improvements in various testbenches.
Unified framework for ensemble sampling in nonlinear contextual bandits with provable regret bounds.
problem Efficient exploration in nonlinear contextual bandits with unknown feature dimensions.
method Developed GLM-ES and Neural-ES for generalized linear and neural contextual bandits, respectively, using maximum likelihood estimation on randomly perturbed data.
result Unified high-probability frequentist regret bounds for GLM-ES and Neural-ES, matching state-of-the-art results.