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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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137273410546 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for alpha-stable distribution

We propose a new blind source separation algorithm based on mixtures of alpha-stable distributions. Complex symmetric alpha-stable distributions have been recently showed to better model audio signals in the time-frequency domain than classical Gaussian distributions thanks to their larger dynamic range. However, infer…

2017-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The study assesses how financial markets' efficiency changed during the COVID-19 crisis.

problem The impact of COVID-19 on financial market efficiency.
method Dynamic estimation method for Hurst exponent and memory parameter using alpha-stable distribution and dependence structure.
result Financial markets' efficiency varied during the COVID-19 crisis, with some indices showing less impact than others.

A new distribution family extends the α\alpha-stable distribution with a degree of freedom parameter.

problem Lack of moments in the α\alpha-stable distribution.
method Wright function framework to combine and extend distribution families.
result Generalized α\alpha-stable distribution with valid moments.

Adaptive estimation of alpha-Stable distribution and Hurst exponent for nonstationary time series.

problem Nonstationary time series require adaptive models to avoid bias.
method Moving estimator with exponentially weakening weights of old values, optimized using EMA of absolute central moments.
result Continuous adaptive estimation of alpha-Stable distribution and Hurst exponent for market stability evaluation.

This paper applies Thompson Sampling to asymmetric α\alpha-stable bandits for financial and wireless data.

problem Optimizing exploration-exploitation in multi-armed bandits with asymmetric α\alpha-stable distributions.
method Thompson Sampling applied to unknown asymmetric α\alpha-stable reward distributions.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of Thompson Sampling for asymmetric α\alpha-stable bandits.

Upper bound on withdrawal success for geometric Levy alpha-stable wealth process.

problem Estimating the probability of completing a withdrawal schedule.
method Constructing a log-Levy alpha-stable lower bound and applying it to a schedule of withdrawals.
result Necessary conditions on initial investment and parameters for a 95% confidence of completing kk withdrawals.

We consider a statistical model for pairs of traded assets, based on a Cointegrated Vector Auto Regression (CVAR) Model. We extend standard CVAR models to incorporate estimation of model parameters in the presence of price series level shifts which are not accurately modeled in the standard Gaussian error correction mo…

2010-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach is not prescriptive regarding the class of statistical model utilised to undertake capital estimation. It has however become well accepted to utlise a Loss Distributional Approach (LDA) paradigm to model the individual OpRisk loss…

2011-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on non-negative solutions for stochastic Volterra equations with jumps.

problem Existence and uniqueness of non-negative solutions for stochastic Volterra equations with jumps and non-Lipschitz coefficients.
method Developed a nonnegative approximation approach and used Yamada--Watanabe approximation technique for convergence proof.
result Established conditions for strong existence and pathwise uniqueness of non-negative solutions.

A fast method for estimating radar amplitude density parameters.

problem Accurate estimation of amplitude density function parameters in radar applications.
method Projecting amplitude data onto horizontal and vertical axes, then using MLE for α\alpha-stale distribution parameters.
result The average of computed MLEs based on two projections is a fast and accurate estimator for amplitude distribution parameters.

MAFLA improves sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using MH-inspired corrections.

problem Sampling from heavy-tailed and multimodal distributions when neither target nor proposal densities can be evaluated.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Fractional Langevin Algorithm (MAFLA) with Score Balance Matching.
result MAFLA significantly improves finite-time sampling accuracy over unadjusted fractional Langevin dynamics.

Soft diamond regularizers improve deep learning performance and sparsity.

problem Improving deep learning performance and sparsity of trained weights.
method New soft diamond synaptic weight priors based on thick-tailed symmetric alpha stable probability curves.
result Soft diamond regularizers outperform state-of-the-art methods in deep learning tasks.

Paper proposes a self-supervised method to denoise autoregressive signals with heavy-tailed noise.

problem Denoising autoregressive signals corrupted by heavy-tailed noise.
method Self-supervised learning approach without requiring full noise distribution knowledge.
result Strong denoising performance compared to baseline methods, especially for impulsive noise.

A neural network estimates sampling distributions for hard problems where classical methods fail.

problem Bootstrap failure in estimating sampling distributions for specific statistics.
method Neural network trained on simulated datasets using pinball loss.
result Neural network attains 95% nominal coverage and 97% improvement over classical methods on four bootstrap-failure problems.

The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that includes the Ito and Stratonovich cases. An uncoupled CTRW with zero-mean jumps is…

2008-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a modelling framework for multiple yield curves driven by continuous-state branching processes with immigration (CBI processes). Exploiting the self-exciting behavior of CBI jump processes, this approach can reproduce the relevant empirical features of spreads between different interbank rates. In particular…

2019-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: (1) a scale mixture of normals with respect to an alpha-stable random variable; and (2) a mixture of Bartlett--Fejer kernels (or triangle densities) with r…

2011-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes Kernel Density Estimation in high dimensions with varying data and dimensionality.

problem High-dimensional Kernel Density Estimation with growing data and dimensionality.
method Examines the behavior of Kernel Density Estimators in the regime where both data points and dimensionality grow with a fixed ratio.
result Three distinct statistical regimes are identified for Kernel-based density estimates, each with different statistical properties.

The total value of domestic market capitalization of the Mexican Stock Exchange was calculated at 520 billion of dollars by the end of November 2013. To manage this system and make optimum capital investments, its dynamics needs to be predicted. However, randomness within the stock indexes makes forecasting a difficult…

2014-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles drift identification in Lévy α-stable stochastic systems, proposing a Fourier space approach.

problem Estimating the drift field of a stochastic differential equation driven by Lévy α-stable noise.
method Fourier space approach, parameterizing the drift field using Fourier series, minimizing a loss function with gradients computed via the adjoint method.
result The method is capable of learning drift fields in qualitative and/or quantitative agreement with ground truth fields.

Study improves parameter estimation for SDEs driven by Levy noise.

problem Challenges in estimating parameters of SDEs with non-Gaussian noises.
method Introduces PEnet, a CNN-LSTM model for efficient parameter estimation.
result PEnet offers superior accuracy and adaptability for various SDE scenarios.

This work extracts stochastic dynamical systems with α\alpha-stable Lévy noise.

problem Extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method End-to-end deep learning approach for learning drift and diffusion coefficients for α\alpha-stable Lévy noise.
result Effectiveness of the method confirmed by numerical experiments.

Data-driven discovery of "hidden physics" -- i.e., machine learning of differential equation models underlying observed data -- has recently been approached by embedding the discovery problem into a Gaussian Process regression of spatial data, treating and discovering unknown equation parameters as hyperparameters of a…

2018-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores solutions to the distributional Bellman equation in reinforcement learning.

problem Distributional reinforcement learning considers complete return distributions, not just expected returns.
method Study existence and uniqueness of solutions to general distributional Bellman equations, linking them to multivariate affine equations.
result Any solution to a distributional Bellman equation can be derived from a multivariate affine distributional equation.

Proposes vMF distribution for skewed elliptical distributions.

problem Skewed distributions not adequately modeled by symmetric distributions.
method Introduces von-Mises-Fisher (vMF) distribution to represent skewed elliptical distributions.
result vMF distribution provides an explicit and simple probability representation of skewed elliptical distributions.

We realise the first and second Grushin distributions as symmetry reductions of the 3-dimensional Heisenberg distribution and 4-dimensional Engel distribution respectively. Similarly, we realise the Martinet distribution as an alternative symmetry reduction of the Engel distribution. These reductions allow us to derive…

2012-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Income and wealth distribution affect stability of a society to a large extent and high inequality affects it negatively. Moreover, in the case of developed countries, recently has been proven that inequality is closely related to all negative phenomena affecting society. So far, Econophysics papers tried to analyse in…

2014-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study clusters distributions with known or unknown clusters using distribution testing.

problem Cluster distributions that are ε\varepsilon-far in total variation.
method Distribution testing approach to establish upper and lower bounds on sample complexity.
result Achieves tight sample complexity bounds for all regimes (up to a logarithmic factor).

Gradually Truncated Log-normal distribution - Size distribution of firms Abstract Many natural and economical phenomena are described through power law or log- normal distributions. In these cases, probability decreases very slowly with step size compared to normal distribution. Thus it is essential to cut-off these di…

2001-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a new method to improve model calibration under distribution shifts.

problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification with different training and test distributions.
method Develops multi-domain temperature scaling to handle distribution shifts.
result Outperforms existing methods on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.

New class of heavy-tailed distributions shows weighted averages dominate individual variables.

problem Understanding and comparing risks in heavy-tailed distributions.
method Introducing a new class of heavy-tailed distributions and proving stochastic dominance relations.
result Weighted averages of random variables in this class are stochastically larger than individual variables.

Researchers derived formulas for joint moments of elliptical distributions.

problem Calculating joint moments of elliptical distributions.
method Used Stein's lemma and two different methods to derive expressions.
result New formulae for expectations of product of normally distributed random variables and simplified expressions for other distributions.

Paper proposes a new method for designing materials using deep learning.

problem Designing high-performance material distributions from given distributions.
method Iterative process of selecting, generating, and merging material distributions using a deep generative model.
result The method improves material performance through iterative refinement.

One-shot algorithm for feature-distributed kernel PCA reduces communication costs.

problem Efficiently perform kernel PCA in distributed computing environments.
method Inspired by dual relationship between sample-distributed and feature-distributed scenarios, proposes a one-shot algorithm for feature-distributed kernel PCA.
result The algorithm provides high-quality results with low communication costs, especially when eigenvalues decay fast.

Paper finds how many neurons are needed to approximate histogram distributions.

problem How many neurons are needed to approximate a target probability distribution?
method Examined for uniform input distribution and histogram target distributions, using efficient neural net construction.
result Obtained a new upper bound on the number of required neurons, strictly better than previous bounds.

A new distributed clustering framework using distributional kernel.

problem Clustering in distributed networks with arbitrary shapes, sizes, and densities.
method Distributed Clustering based on Distributional Kernel (KDC) using similarity of distributions.
result KDC guarantees equivalent clustering outcomes to centralized methods, reduces runtime, and discovers arbitrary clusters.

Paper introduces a new distributional successor measure for reinforcement learning.

problem Learning the distributional consequences of behavior in reinforcement learning.
method Formulates distributional successor measure as a distribution over distributions, proposes algorithm to learn it from data.
result Demonstrates zero-shot risk-sensitive policy evaluation.

The paper extends distributions by singular curves, revealing structural equivalences.

problem Extending (3,6)(3, 6)-distributions using singular curves.
method Using data from singular curves, the paper extends (3,6)(3, 6)-distributions to higher rank distributions.
result The equivalence of classification problems for four extended distribution classes.

Random matrix ensembles yield uniform distributions on manifolds.

problem Understanding distributions of vectors in random matrix ensembles.
method Analyzing eigenvalues, singular values, and Autonne-Takagi vectors of various random matrix ensembles.
result Uniform distributions on specific manifolds for different types of random matrix ensembles.