Paper proposes a COP model for Algo trading using LQR.
problem Complexities in child order placement in Algo trading.
method Stochastic LQR model for passive limit orders and aggressive takeout orders.
result Closed-form solutions for optimal child order placement.
New method identifies algo trading strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.
problem Determining if algo trading strategies consume or provide liquidity.
method Analyzes trade and price history to classify strategies as liquidity consumers or providers.
result Identifies net liquidity consumption or provision of algo trading strategies.
Detecting real-time price impact in algo trading
problem Identifying the impact of traders' actions on market prices
method Measuring timing synchronicity between trader actions and adverse market events
result Detecting price impact on a per-action basis
Editorial discusses nine challenges in modern algorithmic trading.
problem Challenges in modern algorithmic trading and controls.
method Discussion of challenges without proposing solutions.
result No specific new results or findings.
Working on different aspects of algorithmic trading we empirically discovered a new market invariant. It links together the volatility of the instrument with its traded volume, the average spread and the volume in the order book. The invariant has been tested on different markets and different asset classes. In all cas…
A new method for PU learning improves classification error on CIFAR-10.
problem Learning from positive and unlabeled data in practical applications.
method A simple yet effective data augmentation method based on consistency regularization.
result Achieves an averaged improvement of 3.40 points in classification error on CIFAR-10.
Deep RL shows promise in algo trading, but more research needed.
problem Improving profitability in automated stock trading.
method Deep Reinforcement Learning applied to quantitative algo trading.
result Statistically significant improvements in performance, but no profitability.
In order to reduce signalling, traders may resort to limiting access to dark venues and imposing limits on minimum fill sizes they are willing to trade. However, doing this also restricts the liquidity available to the trader since an ever increasing quantity of orders are traded by algos in clips. An alternative is to…
A new algorithm STE for model-based RL improves learning rates.
problem Sparse rewards and computational intractability of estimating information gain.
method Developed a novel algorithm based on Stein Information Directed Exploration (STE)E.
result Achieves sublinear Bayesian regret, outperforming prior approaches.
We consider a stochastic linear bandit problem with multiple users, where the relationship between users is captured by an underlying graph and user preferences are represented as smooth signals on the graph. We introduce a novel bandit algorithm where the smoothness prior is imposed via the random-walk graph Laplacian…
New RL method learns from state transitions without actions.
problem Offline RL with missing action labels.
method State policy discretisation and decQN algorithm.
result Improves convergence speed and performance in online RL.
We present a general method for deriving collapsed variational inference algo- rithms for probabilistic models in the conjugate exponential family. Our method unifies many existing approaches to collapsed variational inference. Our collapsed variational inference leads to a new lower bound on the marginal likelihood. W…
Stochastic algo learns from evolving data, achieving optimal performance.
problem Performative prediction and multiplayer extensions.
method Stochastic approximation with decision-dependent distributions.
result Asymptotic normality and optimality of the algorithm's performance.
We describe a novel family of models of multi- layer feedforward neural networks in which the activation functions are encoded via penalties in the training problem. Our approach is based on representing a non-decreasing activation function as the argmin of an appropriate convex optimiza- tion problem. The new framewor…
We consider the problem of strongly-convex online optimization in presence of adversarial delays; in a T-iteration online game, the feedback of the player's query at time t is arbitrarily delayed by an adversary for d_t rounds and delivered before the game ends, at iteration t+d_t-1. Specifically for \algo{online-gradi…
Algorithm reduces support of discrete measures by integrating against functions.
problem Efficiently reducing the support of discrete measures when N≫n. method Geometric characterization and greedy geometric sampling.
result A new measure with n+1 atoms has the same mean as original measure. Large size models are implemented in recently ASR system to deal with complex speech recognition problems. The num- ber of parameters in these models makes them hard to deploy, especially on some resource-short devices such as car tablet. Besides this, at most of time, ASR system is used to deal with real-time problem …
New methods improve deep reinforcement learning by accelerating credit assignment.
problem Challenges in achieving fast and stable off-policy learning in deep reinforcement learning.
method Extends the generalized PBE objective to support multistep credit assignment and derives three gradient-based methods.
result Proposed methods outperform PPO and StreamQ in MuJoCo and MinAtar environments.
In this paper, we propose a cost-aware cascading bandits model, a new variant of multi-armed ban- dits with cascading feedback, by considering the random cost of pulling arms. In each step, the learning agent chooses an ordered list of items and examines them sequentially, until certain stopping condition is satisfied.…
Proposes EDESH-SA for better inventory management under uncertainty.
problem Inventory management under uncertainty.
method Ensemble Differential Evolution with simulation-based hybridization and self-adaptation.
result Improves financial performance and optimizes search spaces.
As an effective data preprocessing step, feature selection has shown its effectiveness to prepare high-dimensional data for many machine learning tasks. The proliferation of high di-mension and huge volume big data, however, has brought major challenges, e.g. computation complexity and stability on noisy data, upon exi…
A learning algorithm optimizes beamforming for holographic transceivers in far-field communication.
problem Optimal phase-shifts for beamforming in holographic transceivers are challenging due to unknown receiver locations and large phase-shifts.
method Developed a learning algorithm using a fixed-budget multi-armed bandit framework to learn optimal phase-shifts.
result The algorithm, HoloBeam, outperforms state-of-the-art methods in beamforming optimization.
This paper examines how regional trade agreements affect global trade relationships.
problem The relationship between regional trade agreements and global trade purity.
method Defined and decomposed synthesized trade resistance, separated natural and artificial factors, used expectation maximization algorithm to optimize parameters, and quantified trade purity indicator.
result Regional trade agreements contribute to the relative prosperity of EU and NAFTA countries, but weaken the role of trade unions and accelerate multilateral trade liberalization.
Paper predicts international trade flows using machine learning and factorization models.
problem Predicting international bilateral trade flows with PTAs.
method Two-stage approach combining SHAP Explainer and Factorization Machine models.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy and deeper insights into trade dynamics.
Traders in a stock market exchange stock shares and form a stock trading network. Trades at different positions of the stock trading network may contain different information. We construct stock trading networks based on the limit order book data and classify traders into k classes using the k-shell decomposition m…
Analysis shows preference for Chinese yuan in global trade network.
problem Analyzing the preference of countries to trade in US dollars or Chinese yuan.
method Mathematical analysis of world trade network using Ising spin interactions.
result Majority of countries prefer trading in Chinese yuan due to network structure.
Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.
problem Predicting strategic trading behavior of investors with private targets.
method Equilibrium model of dynamic trading, learning, and pricing by strategic investors.
result Trading strategies are a combination of target following, liquidity provision, and front-running based on latent demand and price pressure.
Here, we present the World Trade Atlas 1870-2013, a collection of annual world trade maps in which distance combines economic size and the different dimensions that affect international trade beyond mere geography. Trade distances, which are based on a gravity model predicting the existence of significant trade channel…
A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time t, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time t−1 to its own trading volume at its last trade. The price return is determined by the volume imbalance and number of trades. The …
This paper conducts an empirically study on the trade package composed of a sequence of consecutive purchases or sales of 23 stocks in Chinese stock market. We investigate the probability distributions of the execution time, the number of trades and the total trading volume of trade packages, and analyze the possible s…
Automated trading system with preprocessing and reinforcement learning.
problem Efficient portfolio trading for individual investors.
method Feature preprocessing, recurrent reinforcement learning, automated trading algorithm.
result System outperforms other strategies in profit and drawdown.
The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.
problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.
The paper classifies trades into types based on proximity and measures their impact on stock prices.
problem Understanding the impact of high-frequency trades on stock prices and their predictability.
method Classifies trades into five types based on proximity, measures conditional order imbalance (COI), and develops trading strategies.
result Strong positive correlations between contemporaneous returns and COIs, and positive associations with future returns for isolated trades.
Study high-frequency trading patterns in cryptocurrencies.
problem Understanding automated trading algorithms in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analyzes intraday trading data of cryptocurrencies, focusing on returns, volumes, and volatility.
result Provides insights into predictability of economic value in cryptocurrency markets.
Developed Forex trading heuristics with high profit potential.
problem Reduced trade opportunities due to technical indicator values.
method Machine learning simulation of 10 years of Forex data.
result Optimized trade parameters for 118 pips daily profit.
Paper examines costs of using wrong price impact models in trading.
problem Misspecifying price impact models in trading predictions.
method Derives formulas for misspecification costs and applies to trading data.
result Misspecification costs are asymmetric, affecting profits and losses.
This paper surveys cryptocurrency trading research, covering various aspects.
problem Understanding the unique nature and behavior of cryptocurrencies as assets.
method Comprehensive review of 146 research papers on cryptocurrency trading.
result Identifies promising open opportunities in cryptocurrency trading.
We extend the framework of trading strategies of Gatheral [2010] from single stocks to a pair of stocks. Our trading strategy with the executions of two round-trip trades can be described by the trading rates of the paired stocks and the ratio of their trading periods. By minimizing the potential cost arising from cros…
Brazil proposes a new BRICS trade currency to dominate international trade.
problem Dominance of BRICS currency in international trade.
method Mathematical model of influence battle between three currencies, using trade flows and weights in global trade.
result By 2012, about 58% of countries preferred trading with the BRICS currency.
Trade finance history traced from medieval origins to modern markets.
problem Evolution and standardization of trade finance products.
method Historical analysis of market structures and regulatory changes.
result Global trade finance market evolved from local to centralized, then decentralized.
CREDIT learns to master pair trading with risk-aware RL, outperforming existing methods.
problem Challenges in applying RL to pair trading due to temporal correlations and risk considerations.
method Risk-aware recurrent reinforcement learning (RL) with bidirectional GRU and temporal attention.
result CREDIT achieves significant profit in pair trading over five years of U.S. stock data.
Study reveals inefficiencies in EU carbon trading market.
problem Inefficiencies in carbon trading market undermine emission reduction goals.
method Analysis of granular transaction data from 2005-2020.
result 40% of firms never trade in a given year, and many trade only during high-price months.
Using the United Nations COMTRADE database \cite{comtrade} we construct the Google matrix G of multiproduct world trade between the UN countries and analyze the properties of trade flows on this network for years 1962 - 2010. This construction, based on Markov chains, treats all countries on equal democratic grounds …
Unified market-based description of returns and variances of trades.
problem Market-based variance of trades and market portfolio.
method Unified market-based approach to describe returns and variances of trades and market portfolio.
result Market-based variance accounts for random volumes of trades and differs from Markowitz's portfolio variance.
Automated trading systems on developed and emerging capital markets are studied in this paper. The standard for developed market is automated trading system with 40-days simple moving average. We tested it for the index SIX Industrial for 1000 and 730 trading days of the slovak emerging capital market. The Buy and Hold…
Optimal transport and neural networks improve trade modeling accuracy.
problem Capturing subtler drivers of trade beyond supply and demand.
method Employing optimal transport and deep neural networks to learn a time-dependent cost function from data.
result Consistently outperforms traditional gravity models in accuracy.
Paper examines trade/no trade patterns in illiquid stocks, highlighting effects of varying zero returns probabilities.
problem Detecting long-run trade/no trade effects in illiquid stocks with varying zero returns probabilities.
method Proposes a framework considering constant and time-varying zero returns probabilities, analyzing trade/no trade categorical sequences.
result Long-run trade/no trade effects may be spuriously detected in presence of non-constant zero returns probabilities.
We develop a polynomial method to optimize trading in markets with transaction costs.
problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with proportional transaction costs.
method Polynomial approximation of the residual value function to determine optimal trading strategies.
result Identify the trade-off between trading frequency and trade sizes for satisfactory agreement with theoretically optimal strategies.