A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper proposes a new method to learn combinatorial patterns for airline crew pairing optimization.
Machine learning predicts flight connections for airline crew scheduling.
G-CREWE efficiently aligns large networks using node embeddings and compression.
This study analyzes and predicts airline delays using machine learning models.
In the present scenario of domestic flights in USA, there have been numerous instances of flight delays and cancellations. In the United States, the American Airlines, Inc. have been one of the most entrusted and the world's largest airline in terms of number of destinations served. But when it comes to domestic flight…
A federated learning framework improves RUL prognosis for aircraft engines without sharing data.
We present a new application and covering number bound for the framework of "Machine Learning with Operational Costs (MLOC)," which is an exploratory form of decision theory. The MLOC framework incorporates knowledge about how a predictive model will be used for a subsequent task, thus combining machine learning with t…
We consider the problem of efficiently constructing cheap and novel round trip flight itineraries by combining legs from different airlines. We analyse the factors that contribute towards the price of such itineraries and find that many result from the combination of just 30% of airlines and that the closer the departu…
Airlines optimize fuel loading with better flight time predictions.
Multiple machine learning and prediction models are often used for the same prediction or recommendation task. In our recent work, where we develop and deploy airline ancillary pricing models in an online setting, we found that among multiple pricing models developed, no one model clearly dominates other models for all…
Travel providers such as airlines and on-line travel agents are becoming more and more interested in understanding how passengers choose among alternative itineraries when searching for flights. This knowledge helps them better display and adapt their offer, taking into account market conditions and customer needs. Som…
Ancillaries have become a major source of revenue and profitability in the travel industry. Yet, conventional pricing strategies are based on business rules that are poorly optimized and do not respond to changing market conditions. This paper describes the dynamic pricing model developed by Deepair solutions, an AI te…
Passenger Name Records (PNRs) are at the heart of the travel industry. Created when an itinerary is booked, they contain travel and passenger information. It is usual for airlines and other actors in the industry to inter-exchange and access each other's PNR, creating the challenge of using them without infringing data…
Pairwise Choice Markov Chains (PCMC) have been recently introduced to overcome limitations of choice models based on traditional axioms unable to express empirical observations from modern behavior economics like context effects occurring when a choice between two options is altered by adding a third alternative. The i…
Proposes ML methods for robust price-sensitivity estimation in dynamic pricing.
In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for customer and freight forwarders. In this paper, we investigate ways to assess and forecast transport risks using a half-yea…
Enhanced kernel framework for advanced data forecasting.
In this work, we develop a distributed least squares approximation (DLSA) method that is able to solve a large family of regression problems (e.g., linear regression, logistic regression, and Cox's model) on a distributed system. By approximating the local objective function using a local quadratic form, we are able to…
Paper forecasts dynamic transportation networks using probabilistic models.
This work introduces the concept of parametric Gaussian processes (PGPs), which is built upon the seemingly self-contradictory idea of making Gaussian processes parametric. Parametric Gaussian processes, by construction, are designed to operate in "big data" regimes where one is interested in quantifying the uncertaint…
Although aviation accidents are rare, safety incidents occur more frequently and require a careful analysis to detect and mitigate risks in a timely manner. Analyzing safety incidents using operational data and producing event-based explanations is invaluable to airline companies as well as to governing organizations s…
In this paper, we propose an active learning algorithm and models which can gradually learn individual's preference through pairwise comparisons. The active learning scheme aims at finding individual's most preferred choice with minimized number of pairwise comparisons. The pairwise comparisons are encoded into probabi…
Paper proposes a forecasting solution for network-rollout planning.
Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns and enable extrapolation. These kernels are derived by modelling a spectral dens…
'There is no terror in the bang, only is the anticipation of it' - Alfred Hitchcock. Yet there is everything in correctly anticipating the bang a movie would make in the box-office. Movies make a high profile, billion dollar industry and prediction of movie revenue can be very lucrative. Predicted revenues can be used …
We introduce a stochastic model to explain a double power-law distribution which exhibits two different Paretian behaviors in the upper and the lower tail and widely exists in social and economic systems. The model incorporates fitness consideration and noise fluctuation. We find that if the number of variables (e.g. t…
Automated suggestions help train technicians diagnose incidents faster.
We introduce a semi-supervised discrete choice model to calibrate discrete choice models when relatively few requests have both choice sets and stated preferences but the majority only have the choice sets. Two classic semi-supervised learning algorithms, the expectation maximization algorithm and the cluster-and-label…
A new method for real-time anomaly detection in flight data.
Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which generalizes deep kernel learning approaches to enable classification, multi-task lea…
Proposes a compensation mechanism for improving individual forecast confidence.
Paper uses AI to optimize crypto portfolios, showing better risk-adjusted returns.
To date, pavement management software products and studies on optimizing the prioritization of pavement maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) have been mainly focused on three parameters; the pre-treatment pavement condition, the rehabilitation cost, and the available budget. Yet, the role of the candidate projects' spa…
We propose a method (TT-GP) for approximate inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. We build on previous scalable GP research including stochastic variational inference based on inducing inputs, kernel interpolation, and structure exploiting algebra. The key idea of our method is to use Tensor Train decomposition fo…
A distributed bootstrap method for high-dimensional data reduces communication rounds efficiently.
We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the conditional likelihood, only needing its evaluation as a black-box function. Usi…
HL algorithms improve resource allocation in cloud environments.
CalNF models rare failures with limited data, improving safety in autonomous systems.
Study optimizes pricing under uncertainty and capacity constraints.
Unified study of stateful replay for streaming learning, reducing forgetting by 2-3x.
The paper tackles revenue management with time-varying demand using posterior sampling.
Develops methods to learn centre groupings from summary statistics in multi-centre studies.
AI classifies tourist events for better service.
Machine learning improves aircraft performance prediction by analyzing flight data.
Subbagging estimation for big data reduces memory usage while maintaining statistical consistency.
Study compares two knot pairings and their equivalence.
Air traffic control is a real-time safety-critical decision making process in highly dynamic and stochastic environments. In today's aviation practice, a human air traffic controller monitors and directs many aircraft flying through its designated airspace sector. With the fast growing air traffic complexity in traditi…
The paper studies Fox pairings of Poincaré duality groups using group cohomology.