A commonly expressed concern about the rise of the peer-to-peer rental market Airbnb is that hosts---those renting out their properties---impose costs on their unwitting neighbors. I consider the question of whether apartment building owners will, in a competitive rental market, set a building-specific Airbnb hosting p…
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Predicts Airbnb listing prices based on attributes for host profitability.
problem Optimizing Airbnb listing prices for host profitability and guest affordability.
method Data exploration, transformations, machine learning models, experiments.
result Developed a model for optimal Airbnb listing prices.
Paper tackles diversity in Airbnb search results.
problem Show diverse results to improve user experience.
method Heuristic based approaches → Deep learning solution using RNNs.
result Novel deep learning solution improves diversity in search results.
This paper explores using neural networks to improve Airbnb search performance.
problem Plateaued gains from gradient boosted decision tree model in search ranking.
method Applied neural networks to improve search performance.
result Shows elements useful in applying neural networks to a real-life product.
Paper predicts Airbnb prices using machine learning and customer reviews.
problem Predicting optimal Airbnb prices with limited property information.
method Uses machine learning, sentiment analysis, and various models.
result Develops a model to help both property owners and customers with price evaluation.
Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.
problem Disruptions in booking behaviors during global crises affect forecasting accuracy.
method Normalized L1 (Manhattan) distance to assess lead time divergences.
result Identified two-phase disruption: abrupt change at pandemic onset followed by partial recovery.
Improves deep learning for Airbnb search ranking.
problem Challenges in ranking inventory and handling new listings.
method New ranking neural network architecture, positional bias handling, and cold start solutions.
result Significant improvements in inventory ranking and new listing treatment.
Optimizes Airbnb pricing to increase revenue and reduce booking regret.
problem Maximizing revenue in an online marketplace with competing products.
method Two-stage model to price retrieved items based on learned distributions of their values.
result Improves revenue and booking regret by at least +20% and +55% respectively.
Distributional Fitting and Tail Analysis of Lead-Time Compositions: Nights vs. Revenue on Airbnbq-fin.ST
Study analyzes Airbnb lead-time distributions for Nights Booked and Gross Booking Value, finding divergent shapes and tail behavior.
problem Analyzing lead-time distributions for Airbnb demand metrics.
method Compositional analysis of daily lead-time vectors, fitting Gamma, Weibull, and Lognormal distributions, using generalized Pareto for tail inference.
result Lead-time distributions for Nights Booked and Gross Booking Value diverge, with GBV concentrating more in mid-range horizons.
Study incentivizes sharing economy users to explore less-reviewed options.
problem Lack of reviews leads to neglect of less-popular options, creating a cycle.
method Introduced Coordinated Online Learning (CoOL) to learn optimal incentives.
result Algorithm increases exploration on Airbnb, improving user experience.
Research shows a significant increase in stay lengths for digital nomads in the U.S. during and after the pandemic.
problem Shifts in stay lengths for digital nomads during and after the pandemic.
method Analysis of Airbnb reservations data from 2019-2024, using statistical models to quantify changes.
result Mean stay lengths increased from 3.68 to 4.36 nights, stabilizing near 4.07 after 2021, indicating a 10% increase from pre-pandemic levels.
Bayesian model predicts evolving guest origin markets in tourism.
problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models achieve lower forecast error and competitive performance in guest origin market shares.
Bayesian models predict evolving guest origin markets in tourism.
problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models outperform standard benchmarks in forecasting guest origin market shares.
Deep learning is a form of machine learning for nonlinear high dimensional pattern matching and prediction. By taking a Bayesian probabilistic perspective, we provide a number of insights into more efficient algorithms for optimisation and hyper-parameter tuning. Traditional high-dimensional data reduction techniques, …
We study an online multi-task learning setting, in which instances of related tasks arrive sequentially, and are handled by task-specific online learners. We consider an algorithmic framework to model the relationship of these tasks via a set of convex constraints. To exploit this relationship, we design a novel algori…
A new sampler tackles high-dimensional models with intractable likelihoods.
problem Statistical inference for models with computationally intractable likelihoods and high-dimensional parameters.
method Likelihood-free approximate Gibbs sampler focusing on lower-dimensional conditional distributions estimated by flexible regression models.
result The sampler enables fitting models with 13,140 parameters that are otherwise impossible with standard ABC techniques.
This paper analyzes P2P collaborative insurance products and network structure impact.
problem Analyzing P2P collaborative insurance products and their network structure impact.
method Examined a P2P insurance product with reciprocal risk sharing contracts, studied network structure impact on risk reduction, and discussed optimal reciprocal commitments.
result The network structure, particularly the distribution of degrees, significantly impacts risk reduction in P2P insurance products.
The study estimates how changing words in sentences affects audience perception.
problem Estimating the causal effect of lexical choice on audience perception.
method Two classes of methods: quasi-experimental designs and classification problems.
result Algorithmic estimates align with randomized-control trials and can be transferred across domains.
A new pricing strategy maximizes revenue in high-dimensional product spaces with varying customer preferences.
problem Maximizing revenue in a high-dimensional product space with heterogeneous price sensitivity.
method Proposes M3P, a pricing policy that achieves a specific regret bound under heterogeneous price sensitivity.
result Achieves a -period regret of .
Bayesian ARMA model with directional shifts captures structural breaks in compositional time series.
problem Structural breaks in compositional time series due to external shocks or policy changes.
method Developed a Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA model augmented with a directional-shift intervention mechanism.
result The model captures structural breaks through interpretable parameters and produces coherent probabilistic forecasts.