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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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4385128170 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for air quality forecasting

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the spatial-temporal correlation features and interdependence of multivariate air quality rel…

2018-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

GraphSVR forecasts urban air pollution robustly across stations and seasons.

problem Nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent urban air pollution forecasting challenges.
method Combines graph convolutional learning and support vector regression.
result GraphSVR improves predictive accuracy and maintains stable performance across seasons and outlier-prone episodes.

Interpretable additive models outperform complex DL and hybrid pipelines for air quality forecasting.

problem Accurate forecasting of urban air pollution for public health and policy guidance.
method Investigated lightweight additive models (FBP, NP) vs. deep learning and hybrid pipelines on Beijing PM2.5 and PM10 data.
result Facebook Prophet consistently outperformed NeuralProphet and traditional models, achieving high R2R^2 values.

MMformer improves forecasting of environmental time series data.

problem Accurately forecasting environmental change trends for policy-making.
method Meta-learning MTS model combining self-attention and adaptive transferable multi-head attention.
result MMformer outperforms other models in air quality and climate datasets, reducing prediction errors by 50% in MSE and 20% in MAE.

AirRL uses RL to infer urban air quality from selected stations.

problem Inferring fine-grained urban air quality from limited monitoring stations.
method Reinforcement learning model with a dynamic station selector and air quality regressor.
result AirRL achieves highest performance in air quality inference experiments.

Quantile gradient boosted trees outperform other models in predicting NO2 concentration distributions.

problem Forecasting high NO2 concentration episodes for effective air quality management.
method Compared 10 probabilistic forecasting models for NO2 concentration prediction.
result Quantile gradient boosted trees model outperformed others in predicting NO2 concentration distributions.

This paper presents an engine able to predict jointly the real-time concentration of the main pollutants harming people's health: nitrogen dioxyde (NO2), ozone (O3) and particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10, which are respectively the particles whose size are below 2.5 um and 10 um). The engine covers a large part of the …

2020-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes air pollution trends in Rwanda using low-cost sensors and machine learning.

problem Lack of reliable air pollution data in Rwanda due to high costs of equipment.
method Analysis of existing data and development of forecasting models using low-cost sensors and machine learning.
result Proposes forecasting models for air pollution data collected by low-cost sensors.

Transfer learning aims at building robust prediction models by transferring knowledge gained from one problem to another. In the semantic Web, learning tasks are enhanced with semantic representations. We exploit their semantics to augment transfer learning by dealing with when to transfer with semantic measurements an…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New model clusters mixed-type data with missing values, improving air quality analysis.

problem Clustering mixed-type data with missing values and regime persistence.
method Statistical jump model incorporating regime persistence and handling missing data.
result Superior performance in inferring persistent air quality regimes compared to traditional methods.

Low-cost sensors improve air quality prediction accuracy significantly.

problem Improving air quality monitoring networks with affordable sensors.
method Developed a high-resolution air quality prediction engine using low-cost sensors and official data.
result The use of low-cost sensors improves prediction accuracy by 25% and 15% for PM2.5 and PM10 respectively in densely monitored areas.

DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.

problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

Work addresses long-term accuracy issues in IoT air quality sensors.

problem Limited accuracy of IoT air quality sensors in long-term field deployments.
method Adaptive machine learning strategies for network calibration.
result Prolongs the validity of multisensor calibration models for continuous learning.

RESPIRE calibrates low-cost air-quality sensors for CO levels, resistant to outliers.

problem Calibrating LCAQ sensors against regulatory-grade monitors is expensive and time-consuming.
method PROvably outlier-resistant semi-parametric regression technique.
result RESPIRE offers improved prediction in cross-site, cross-season, and cross-sensor settings.

Paper benchmarks CF mitigation in federated time series forecasting.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in federated learning for time series forecasting.
method Comprehensive evaluation of CF mitigation strategies in federated time series forecasting.
result Introduction of a new benchmark for CF in time series federated learning.

CAST predicts distribution-valued time series by stabilizing and transporting simplex-supported successors.

problem Forecasting distribution-valued time series with structural failure modes.
method CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport) uses successors retrieved from causal context, stabilized with a persistence anchor, and locally transported on ordered supports.
result CAST outperforms baselines on eleven public and simulated benchmarks, achieving best average rank on both one-step KL and autoregressive rollout JSD.

New method combines neural networks and data assimilation for indoor air quality prediction.

problem Accurate and fast prediction of indoor air quality using real-time data.
method Combines Data Assimilation and Machine Learning using a Convolutional neural network and Long-Short-Term-Memory.
result Improved accuracy of dynamic system representation by integrating real data.

Mobile and ubiquitous sensing of urban air quality has received increased attention as an economically and operationally viable means to survey atmospheric environment with high spatial-temporal resolution. This paper proposes a machine learning based mobile air pollution sensing framework, called Deep-MAPS, and demons…

2019-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies uncertainty quantification in deep spatiotemporal forecasting.

problem Uncertainty quantification in deep spatiotemporal forecasting models.
method Analysis of UQ methods from Bayesian and frequentist perspectives, including statistical decision theory.
result Different UQ methods have different strengths and weaknesses, with Bayesian methods being more robust in mean prediction and frequentist methods providing more extensive coverage.

LSCI provides locally adaptive prediction sets for operator models with tighter coverage.

problem Generating robust, calibrated uncertainty quantification for operator models.
method Local Sliced Conformal Inference (LSCI) for operator models.
result LSCI yields tighter prediction sets with stronger adaptivity compared to conformal baselines.

New deep learning model optimizes energy use in buildings.

problem Optimizing energy use and comfort in large buildings.
method Transformer-based metamodel trained with simulation and sensor data, calibrated with CMA-ES, optimized with multi-objective algorithms.
result Optimal settings reduce energy loads while maintaining thermal comfort and air quality.

Study shows reducing anthropogenic emissions significantly lowers PM2.5PM_{2.5} levels but has little effect on O3O_3 in Delhi.

problem Understanding and mitigating the effects of anthropogenic emissions on air pollution in Delhi.
method Predictive modeling, causal inference, Gaussian Process modeling, Granger causality analysis.
result Reductions in anthropogenic emissions lead to significant decreases in PM2.5PM_{2.5} levels but have little effect on O3O_3.

Enhanced visibility forecasts using CAMS data improve accuracy.

problem Improving the accuracy of visibility predictions in weather forecasts.
method Statistical post-processing with historical observations and CAMS forecasts.
result Post-processed forecasts with CAMS data are substantially superior to raw and climatological predictions.

Spatio-temporal (ST) data, which represent multiple time series data corresponding to different spatial locations, are ubiquitous in real-world dynamic systems, such as air quality readings. Forecasting over ST data is of great importance but challenging as it is affected by many complex factors, including spatial char…

2018-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study compares geostatistical and machine learning models for PM2.5 prediction.

problem Improving accuracy of hourly PM2.5 maps across California.
method Traditional geostatistical methods (kriging, land use regression) and machine learning models (neural networks, random forests, support vector machines) were evaluated.
result Ensemble model enhanced predictive accuracy of PM2.5 concentration by correcting PurpleAir data bias.

Simple GBRT model improved by window-based input transformation outperforms state-of-the-art deep learning models.

problem Improving performance of traditional forecasting models for time series data.
method Transformed GBRT model input structure to include target values and external features, forming one input instance per training window.
result Simple GBRT model with window-based input transformation outperformed state-of-the-art deep learning models on nine datasets.

The Analog Ensemble (AnEn) method tries to estimate the probability distribution of the future state of the atmosphere with a set of past observations that correspond to the best analogs of a deterministic Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). This model post-processing method has been successfully used to improve the fo…

2019-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes how probabilistic forecasts improve battery trading strategies in electricity markets.

problem Improvements in statistical forecast quality do not directly translate to economic value in battery trading strategies.
method The study frames battery optimization as a stochastic program based on fully probabilistic forecasts and examines decision quality under different uncertainty models.
result The study identifies two critical flaws in quantile-based trading strategies and provides theoretical justification and empirical evidence.