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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1234 · May 201919922001200920172026
48 results for DGPs

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) combine the expressiveness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) with quantified uncertainty of Gaussian Processes (GPs). Expressive power and intractable inference both result from the non-Gaussian distribution over composition functions. We propose interpretable DGP based on approximating DGP …

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing inference approaches for DGP models have limited scalability and are notoriously cum…

2016-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a state-space approach to deep Gaussian processes for efficient state estimation.

problem Efficient regression and state estimation for deep Gaussian processes.
method Hierarchical transformed Gaussian process priors, state-space representation, linear stochastic differential equations, sequential methods.
result The state-space approach enables efficient state estimation and regression for deep Gaussian processes.

A new method for training deep Gaussian processes using stochastic imputation.

problem Efficiently training deep Gaussian processes with varying regimes or sharp changes.
method Stochastic imputation to transform DGPs into linked GPs for efficient training.
result The method produces fast and analytically tractable predictions from DGP emulators.

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a Bayesian non-parametric alternative to standard parametric deep learning models. A DGP is formed by stacking multiple GPs resulting in a well-regularized composition of functions. The Bayesian framework that equips the model with attractive properties, such as implicit capacity …

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We construct families of differential graded algebras R and R \boxtimes R and give an algebraic formulation of the contact category of a disk through the differential graded category DGP(R) generated by some distinguished projective differential graded R-modules. The homology category H^0(DGP(R)) is a triangulated cate…

2012-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A multi-layer deep Gaussian process (DGP) model is a hierarchical composition of GP models with a greater expressive power. Exact DGP inference is intractable, which has motivated the recent development of deterministic and stochastic approximation methods. Unfortunately, the deterministic approximation methods yield a…

2019-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances DGPs with adaptive RKHS Fourier features for better non-stationary pattern modeling.

problem Capturing complex non-stationary patterns in non-linear dynamical systems.
method Integrates ODE-based RKHS Fourier features into DGPs using convolution operations for adaptive amplitude and phase modulation. Uses a doubly stochastic variational inference framework.
result Improved predictive performance across various regression tasks.

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs, but inference in these models has proved challenging. Existing approaches to infe…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) were proposed as an expressive Bayesian model capable of a mathematically grounded estimation of uncertainty. The expressivity of DPGs results from not only the compositional character but the distribution propagation within the hierarchy. Recently, [1] pointed out that the hierarchical s…

2020-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

DGPs with variational inference suffer from SNR issues that degrade gradient estimates, leading to unreliable training.

problem SNR issues in gradient estimates for DGPs with variational inference.
method Adapted doubly reparameterized gradient estimators for DGP training.
result Fix improves predictive performance of DGP models.

Deep kernel processes unify various models using Gram matrices and kernel functions.

problem Unified representation of various deep learning models.
method Defining deep kernel processes with progressively transformed Gram matrices and sampling from inverse Wishart distributions.
result Deep Gaussian processes, BNNs, infinite BNNs, and infinite BNNs with bottlenecks can all be written as deep kernel processes.

Deep Gaussian Processes are reinterpreted as deep trigonometric networks for tractable inference.

problem Challenging inference in DGPs due to intractable marginalization in latent function space.
method Viewing DGPs as deep trigonometric networks with Bochner's theorem, and using the wide limit with a bottleneck to translate DGPs into deep trigonometric networks.
result The weight space view yields the same effective covariance functions as obtained in function space, and varying prior distributions over network parameters is equivalent to employing different kernels.

Simplified DGPs training by fixing inducing inputs to subset of data.

problem Challenging training of deep Gaussian processes.
method Fixed subset of data for inducing inputs, variational sampling.
result Significant reduction in trainable parameters and computation cost without performance degradation.

DSPPs improve predictive distributions in scalable regression tasks.

problem Improving predictive distributions in scalable regression tasks.
method Inspired by DGPs, DSPPs use mini-batch training and kernel basis functions for uncertainty control.
result DSPPs provide significantly better calibrated predictive distributions than other methods.

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a posterior distribution of compositions of multiple functions giving rise to the…

2019-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables to the model. Previous work on DGP models has introduced noise additively and use…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the great flexibility of multilayer models. In DGPs, given the inputs, the outputs …

2018-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New method DDVI improves posterior inference for deep Gaussian processes.

problem Inference of inducing points in DGPs is challenging and biased.
method DDVI uses denoising diffusion SDE and score matching for posterior approximation.
result Empirically shows DDVI outperforms baseline methods in inducing point inference.

This report provides an in-depth overview over the implications and novelty Generalized Variational Inference (GVI) (Knoblauch et al., 2019) brings to Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) (Damianou & Lawrence, 2013). Specifically, robustness to model misspecification as well as principled alternatives for uncertainty quantif…

2019-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Gaussian Processes improve likelihood-free inference for complex distributions.

problem Limited flexibility of Bayesian Optimization with GPs for multimodal distributions.
method Proposes Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) as a surrogate model for likelihood-free inference.
result DGPs outperform GPs on multimodal distributions while maintaining comparable performance on unimodal cases.

Enhances multi-fidelity modeling with DGPs for different input domains.

problem Improving prediction accuracy with multi-fidelity models using different input domains.
method Extends Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) to handle different input domains for high and low-fidelity models.
result Demonstrates improved performance on real-world physical problems.

AR-Sieve Bootstrap improves Random Forest time series prediction accuracy.

problem Inaccurate time series prediction due to inadequate resampling methods.
method Combines Random Forest with AR-Sieve Bootstrap for better resampling.
result AR-Sieve Bootstrap leads to more accurate predictions compared to other methods.

This paper proposes a DGP approach with UCBs for point target tracking over WSNs.

problem Uncertainty quantification in distributed machine learning-based tracking over WSNs.
method Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) approach with upper confidence bounds (UCBs).
result UCBs provide 88% and 42% higher probability of encompassing true target states in X and Y coordinates, respectively.

This paper provides a guide to feature importance methods for better scientific inference.

problem Limited understanding of data-generating process due to opaque ML model mechanisms.
method Comprehensive review and new proofs of global feature importance methods.
result Facilitates a thorough understanding and concrete recommendations for FI methods.

Efficiently trains deep Gaussian processes with sparse approximations.

problem High computational complexity in training and inference for DGP models.
method Tensor Markov Gaussian Processes (TMGP) and hierarchical expansion to create DTMGP model.
result DTMGP model achieves superior computational efficiency compared to existing DGP models.

A new model combines deep learning and Gaussian Processes with hyperdata learning.

problem Combining deep learning and Gaussian Processes for expressive and robust learning.
method Conditional Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) with hyperdata learning and approximate inference.
result Conditional DGP offers better expressiveness and robustness compared to existing methods.

New analysis explains pathology of deep Gaussian processes.

problem Pathology of deep Gaussian processes reduces learning capacities with increased layers.
method Study nonlinear dynamic systems corresponding to DGPs, derive recurrence relations.
result Provide tighter bounds and rate of convergence for dynamic systems.

New method optimises worst-case risk under model uncertainty.

problem Minimizing expected risk under posterior beliefs leads to sub-optimal decisions due to model uncertainty.
method Distributionally Robust Optimisation with Bayesian Ambiguity Sets (DRO-BAS)
result Improved out-of-sample robustness in the Newsvendor problem.

NOVI improves deep Gaussian process inference with neural generators and regularized Stein discrepancy.

problem Intractable exact inference in deep Gaussian processes.
method NOVI uses a neural generator to approximate the posterior distribution and minimizes Regularized Stein Discrepancy.
result NOVI achieves 93.56% classification accuracy on CIFAR10, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

Study uses RL to hedge financial derivatives, showing robust strategies outperform non-robust ones.

problem Risk mitigation and gain-seeking in hedging path-dependent financial derivatives.
method Robust risk-aware reinforcement learning (RL) with policy gradient approach.
result Robust hedging strategies outperform non-robust ones under varying data generating processes.

Paper introduces RVNP to improve SBI in misspecified models.

problem Misspecification in simulation-based inference leads to unreliable posterior estimation.
method RVNP uses variational inference and error modeling to bridge the simulation-to-reality gap.
result RVNP can recover robust posterior inference without hyperparameters or priors.